Michael Wacha (7-1, 2.27 ERA) takes the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals (35-18) as they meet Carlos Frias (4-2, 4.29 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-22) in the first of a four-game series at Dodger Stadium. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 4 and will air on FSN-MW, SportsNet LA and MLB.
In his last start, Frias pitched 7.0 innings, giving up zero runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking two in a 5-1 victory over the Cardinals. Adrian Gonzalez (.333, 36 Rs, 11 HRs, 39 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Dodgers, Wacha is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA, seven strikeouts and three walks. Matt Carpenter (.314, 35 Rs, 8 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Cardinals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Los Angeles is a slight underdog (-103) and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Dodgers are 3-3 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +168. The Dodgers lead the majors in home runs with 74. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the NL with an average of 3.7 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Dodgers are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an NL-best 9.5 K's per home game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Cardinals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .763 when playing as the favorite (29-9) and an overall money line of +1,471. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 8-2 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 7-2 record. St. Louis's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.1 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 2.9. The St. Louis pitching staff has been an intimidating group on the road this year, averaging 8.0 strikeouts per game.
In their previous three games this season, the Cardinals have a 2-1 record. The Dodgers will take on a right-hander (Wacha) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (29-15), especially at home where they have a 20-4 record. Taking the hill against the Cardinals will be the right-hander Frias. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 29-13 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers.
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 13-4, while Los Angeles is 10-11.
The Dodgers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cardinals who are coming in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Dodgers are 4-14. The Cardinals have a 9-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league when it comes to home runs with 74 this season. St. Louis ranks near the bottom at 25th with 40.
Ranking seventh, Los Angeles is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.60 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.13.
Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .793. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .728.
The Cardinals are 15-12 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Dodgers are 14-16 when they allow at least one homer.