Aaron Sanchez (4-4, 3.88 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (25-30) go up against Roberto Hernandez (2-4, 4.92 ERA) and the Houston Astros (34-21) in the first of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre. The game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 5 and will air on ROOT-SW and RSN.
Sanchez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA against the Astros in his career, and faces a struggling Houston offense that's hitting just .236 on the year. Josh Donaldson (.312, 45 Rs, 15 HRs, 39 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 Wednesday with one run. In his career against the Blue Jays, Hernandez is 3-3 with a 4.38 ERA. He gets a solid Toronto offense that's batting .263. Jose Altuve (.295, 25 Rs, 5 HRs, 26 RBIs, 16 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one stolen base.
Toronto is a -124 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Blue Jays are 14-12 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -681. The Blue Jays rank fourth in the majors in home runs with 64. Don't expect the Toronto hitters to swing wildly in their own ballpark. They average only 6.3 strikeouts per home game.
Switching gears, the Astros come into this game with a solid win percentage of .679 when playing as the underdog (19-9) and an overall money line of +1,351. They sport the top-ranked offense in the AL, averaging five runs per game. The Astros are known for their bats, hitting 176 extra base hits. Houston is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 45 stolen bases. Switching gears to Houston's pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.13, best in the MLB.
The previous four games have all gone Houston's way. This game will feature Hernandez (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have an 18-26 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Sanchez will take the mound against the Astros. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 22-11 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Astros lost by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 3-12 in one-run games. The Astros have an 11-7 record in close games.
Toronto has won 52% (13-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 62% (15-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Astros have a 3-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 3-22. The Astros have a 9-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston tops the league in home runs with 75 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 64.
Ranking 14th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.89 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.82.
Ranking 13th, Houston is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.722). Toronto ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .765.
The Astros are 12-14 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 13-23 when they allow at least one homer.