In a game that could be a shootout, Bartolo Colon (8-3, 4.72 ERA) and the New York Mets (30-26) are in Arizona to take on Archie Bradley (2-3, 5.80 ERA) and the Diamondbacks (26-28). This is the third of a four-game series at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 7-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 6 and can be seen on SNY and FSN-AZ.
Bradley pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out one and walking three in an 8-1 defeat to the Braves. A.J. Pollock (.330, 39 Rs, 7 HRs, 25 RBIs, 14 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs, two RBIs, and one stolen base. Against the Diamondbacks, Colon is 0-0 with a 6.35 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Michael Cuddyer (.268, 26 Rs, 6 HRs, 24 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Arizona is a narrow -107 favorite at home against New York. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -61 and a record as the favorite of 8-9. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 52 bases.
As for their opponent, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+452), New York has an unimpressive 6-19 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Mets have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.8 during that stretch. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season.
The Diamondbacks have a 20-21 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Colon takes the mound. Bradley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 26-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 12-4, while New York is 15-9.
The Diamondbacks are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 4-12 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 6-20. The Mets have a 9-21 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 19th in home runs, New York has hit 47 this season. Arizona ranks 13th with 53 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Arizona has earned 9.60 per game this season. New York ranks 13th with 7.96 hits.
Ranking 27th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.672). Arizona ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .735.
The Mets are 12-18 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 14-23 record.