Rubby De La Rosa (5-3, 5.27 ERA) and James Shields (7-0, 3.59 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (32-34) and the San Diego Padres (33-36) at Chase Field. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 19 and can be seen on FSN-SD and FSN-AZ.
De La Rosa pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-0 win over the Giants. Shields is 2-1 with a 6.50 ERA when pitching against the Diamondbacks. He takes on a quality Arizona offense which is hitting .263 this season. Wil Myers (.277, 30 Rs, 5 HRs, 19 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
San Diego is a slim -115 favorite over Arizona. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +257 and a record as the underdog of 21-24. Within its division, Arizona has a 5-3 as the underdog and a 16-15 SU. The Diamondbacks have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks lead the NL in hits with an impressive 9.3 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 59 bases. Arizona's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.8 against fellow NL West members, compared to its 4.4 season average.
In games where it is the favorite, San Diego has a 19-14 record and an overall money line of -431. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the NL. San Diego is excellent at drawing walks with 3.0 per road game, ranking fourth in the NL. The Padres average 4.6 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL West is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.7 against division foes. The Padres have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 7.9 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Padres lead the season series, 4-3. The Diamondbacks have a 24-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shields takes the mound. De La Rosa (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 24-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Diamondbacks are 16-15 against their divisional rivals, while the Padres are 17-16 against their division.
When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 4-3 record. The Diamondbacks are 4-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 6-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 20-7. The Padres have a 23-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking eighth in runs, San Diego has earned 289 this season. Arizona ranks fifth with 295 runs.
Ranking 20th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 178 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 14th with 200.
When the Diamondbacks hit at least one home run, they are 23-13, well-matched with the Padres who are 22-12 when hitting one or more homers.