Jon Lester (4-5, 3.80 ERA) and Carlos Frias (4-5, 4.68 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (39-31) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (40-33) at Wrigley Field. The Dodgers won the last game 5-2 and Chicago leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 2:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 25 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and ABC7.
Lester pitched 6.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking three in a 4-1 defeat to the Twins. Kris Bryant (.279, 40 Rs, 10 HRs, 42 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Against the Cubs, Frias is 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Justin Turner (.323, 27 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Chicago is a -130 favorite against Los Angeles and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is currently unavailable. The Cubs have an overall money line of +632 and a record as the favorite of 23-17. Chicago leads the whole NL in walks at home, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Chicago's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.4 runs per game, well under their season average of 3.8. The Cubs are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.19 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Los Angeles has a 4-3 record and an overall money line of -840. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 3-7 SU record over the same span. Offensively, the Dodgers have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 3.0 during that stretch. The Dodgers can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking third in the league with 95 home runs. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.9 per road game. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.32 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Cubs lead the season series, 2-1. The Cubs have a 33-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Frias takes the mound. Lester (LHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have inferior records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 1-4 and 3-8, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Under
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 15-13, while Chicago is 16-14.
The Cubs are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 6-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 7-25. The Dodgers have an 8-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago ranks in the top half of the league at 12th when it comes to home runs, hitting 71 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with 95.
Chicago and Los Angeles both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Chicago sits at 10th with 8.38 hits per game and Los Angeles ranks ninth with 8.39.
Ranking 18th, Chicago is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.710). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .766.
The Dodgers are 16-23 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 22-22 when they allow at least one homer.