In the first of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (35-40) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (35-40) at Petco Park, Tyson Ross (4-7, 3.61 ERA) and Robbie Ray (2-2, 1.78 ERA) take the mound. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and will air on FSN-AZ and FSN-SD.
Ross has a 2.73 ERA and a 3-3 record in his career against the Diamondbacks, but faces a solid Arizona offense that's hitting .262 on the year. Justin Upton (.272, 42 Rs, 13 HRs, 43 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Padres, Ray is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA, seven strikeouts and two walks. A.J. Pollock (.307, 47 Rs, 9 HRs, 35 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
San Diego, a -143 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Arizona. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Padres are 19-15 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -362. They have a winless record (0-4) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. San Diego has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, San Diego has only averaged 2.8 runs per game compared to the 4.1 they've averaged on the season. San Diego's pitchers are doing better against opposing batters during divisional games, only allowing an average of 3.8 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
Moving on to the away team, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a win percentage of .489 when playing as the underdog (23-24) and an overall money line of +233. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 6-4 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 4-1 record. The Diamondbacks rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Arizona is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.9 hits per contest. The Diamondbacks have racked up 63 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have the fifth-lowest road ERA in the NL at 3.96.
The Padres will take on a right-hander (Ray) in this game and have a 26-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Diamondbacks will be the right-hander Ross. They sport a 27-27 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Padres are 19-20 against their divisional rivals, while the Diamondbacks are 19-18 against their division.
When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 5-3 record. The Diamondbacks are 4-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 22-8. The Padres have a 25-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th in runs, San Diego has earned 312 this season. Arizona ranks seventh with 324 runs.
Ranking 20th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 193 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 13th with 219.
The Padres are 23-13 when they hit at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 24-14 record.