Adam Morgan (1-0, 1.59 ERA) and Gio Gonzalez (5-4, 4.41 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (26-49) and the Washington Nationals (41-33) at Citizens Bank Park. The Nationals won the last game 5-2, continuing a seven-game winning streak. Action begins at 3:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and can be seen on MASN and CSN-PHI.
Morgan pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking two in a 9-2 win over the Cardinals. Ben Revere (.294, 40 Rs, 1 HR, 19 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Against the Phillies, Gonzalez is 7-5 with a 3.02 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 83 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.340, 53 Rs, 24 HRs, 58 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Nationals, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Washington takes on Philadelphia as a -175 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,379 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 23-43. Philadelphia has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 9-20 and 10-21 as the underdog and SU respectively. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 4.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.3 runs per game. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 7.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.0.
In games where it is the favorite, Washington has a 32-22 record and an overall money line of +15. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.4 runs per game, which is good for third in the NL. The Nationals are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.8 hits per game. Washington is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the NL. The Nationals allow 4.0 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.5 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks, the Nationals have the second-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.3 walks allowed per game.
The Nationals lead the season series, 7-4. The Phillies have a bad 5-10 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gonzalez takes the mound. Morgan (LHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a very good 11-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
The Nationals hold a 21-12 record against the NL East Division this season, while the Phillies have a 10-22 record against the division.
The Nationals are 5-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 2-4 in such matchups.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 1-6 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 8-38. The Nationals have a 7-31 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 47 this season. Washington ranks eighth with 76 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.14 per game. Washington ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.79.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.650). Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .731.
When the Nationals allow at least one home run, they are 13-19. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have an 11-34 record.