Kyle Ryan (1-1, 4.56 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (39-38) meet Francisco Liriano (4-6, 3.21 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (44-33) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Comerica Park. The Pirates won the last game 9-3 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:08 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jul. 2 and will air on ROOT-PIT, FSN-DET and MLB.
In his most recent outing, Ryan pitched 0.2 inning, allowing two runs and striking out one in an 8-2 loss to the Indians. J.D. Martinez (.281, 45 Rs, 20 HRs, 48 RBIs, 2 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4. In his pitching opportunities against the Tigers, Liriano is 5-10 with a 5.59 ERA. He meets a strong Detroit offense that's batting .275. Starling Marte (.285, 43 Rs, 13 HRs, 47 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Pirates, going 4 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Detroit is a +110 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Tigers have a 15-18 record and overall money line at -109. They have a 4-5 record when they were the underdog and 7-8 SU against the National League. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Tigers has gone great. Over that span, Detroit is averaging 5.5 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.4. The Tigers are a stellar hitting team with an AL-best 9.6 hits per game. Detroit's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.2 during that span, compared to its 4.4 season average.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Pirates come into this game with a solid win percentage of .661 when playing as the favorite (37-19) and an overall money line of +316. AL opponents haven't been able to get the upper hand on fiery Pittsburgh. The Pirates hold a record of 6-4 in games where they were ranked as the favorite and a 6-4 SU. Pittsburgh is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 8.9 hits per contest. The Pirates have racked up 58 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Pittsburgh's pitching staff has allowed an average of 4.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 3.4.
In their previous five games this season, the Pirates have a 3-2 record. This game will feature Liriano (LHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have an 11-7 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Pirates will be the right-hander Ryan. They sport a 35-27 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
Detroit recorded at least two errors for the sixth time this season.
The Tigers are 3-5 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 4-7 in such matchups.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 3-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 4-26. The Pirates have an 8-24 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 60 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 68.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.55 per game this season. Pittsburgh ranks fifth with 8.88 hits.
Ranking 18th, Pittsburgh is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.702). Detroit ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .754.
When the Pirates allow at least one home run, they are 14-23, well-matched with the Tigers who are 16-28 when allowing at least one homer.