Tommy Milone (4-1, 3.02 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (45-39) square off against Ubaldo Jimenez (7-4, 2.96 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (43-41) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the last of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 8-3 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on MASN.
Milone is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA in his appearances against the Orioles, but goes up against a good Baltimore offense which is batting .257 this season. Torii Hunter (.262, 41 Rs, 13 HRs, 46 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. When pitching against the Twins, Jimenez is 4-3 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 53 strikeouts. Manny Machado (.302, 54 Rs, 18 HRs, 47 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Baltimore takes on Minnesota as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,346 and a record as the underdog of 37-32. The Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Baltimore has a 26-19 record and an overall money line of +146. The Orioles can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fifth in the league with 102 home runs. The Orioles allow 3.9 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.9 runs per game during that span.
The Twins have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Twins have a 25-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Jimenez takes the mound. Milone (LHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have an 11-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 20-12, while Minnesota is 13-16.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 24-28 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Twins have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Twins have won their last two games while the Orioles have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 32-9. The Twins have a 31-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 352 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 375.
Minnesota and Baltimore both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Minnesota sits at 25th with 203 this season and Baltimore ranks 23rd with 208.
The Twins are 33-16 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 36-20 record.