The San Francisco Giants will look to stay alive yet again on Tuesday night as they host the Chicago Cubs in Game 4 of the NLDS on FS1. The Giants pulled out a 6-5 win in 13 innings on Monday night and now trail the best-of-five series 2-1. The Giants will turn to Matt Moore on Tuesday night as they look to stave off elimination again while the Cubs counter with playoff veteran John Lackey. Let’s look at the contest, MLB odds and MLB predictions.
MLB Odds – Chicago Cubs -128, total 7.5
Probable Pitching Matchup – Lackey vs. Moore
Lackey went 11-8 with a 3.35 ERA this season. He had seven quality starts in his last ten outings. He was 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA in his last three starts. He was 4-1 with a 2.34 ERA in his last nine starts. He has made 23 playoff appearances with 20 of those being starts and he has a 3.11 ERA. This will be the 16th playoff series for Lackey. "I feel like there are some guys that are better in bigger games, for sure, but I think that over the years I found that you're going to feel something different, you're going to be a little more amped up,'' Lackey said. "To fight that sometimes can be counterproductive. If you embrace it and use it, it can take you to another level."
Moore was 13-12 this season with a 4.08 ERA. He finished the season well winning four of his last five decisions. He will be making just his third career playoff start. He has allowed two runs or less in six of his last eight starts.
The Giants have won 10 straight elimination games after their 6-5 win on Tuesday night. "I believe in this bunch,'' said Giants second baseman Joe Panik, "I think everybody believes in each other, and I think that's why we're able to come back. ... There's no giving up with this bunch. Doesn't mean we're going to win every game, no, but we're not going to go down without a fight.''
The Cubs are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. The Cubs are 13-5 in their last 19 Game 4’s of a series. The Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 playoff road games. The Cubs are 4-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts.
The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Giants are 20-8 in their last 28 playoff home games. The Giants are 4-0 in Moore’s last 4 home starts.
The Over is 4-0 in the Cubs last 4 road games. The Over is 4-1 in the Giants last 5 home games. The Over is 16-5 in the Giants last 21 playoff home games. The Over is 5-1 in Moore’s last 6 home starts.
I will take the Cubs and the game under the total.