The New York Mets visit the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday in a game that can be seen on FOX. The Mets are trying to wrap up the top Wild Card spot in the National League while the Phillies are trying to play spoiler. The Mets are expected to have Bartolo Colon on the mound in this game while the Phillies go with Phil Klein. Let’s look at the contest and MLB picks.
Probable Pitching Matchup – Colon vs. Klein
Colon has been reliable for the most part for the Mets this season as he is 14-8 with a 3.42 ERA. He didn’t pitch well last time out against the Marlins but that was almost to be expected as everyone was dealing with emotions regarding Jose Fernandez. Colon is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 5.06 ERA. He beat the Phillies in late August as he allowed four runs in seven innings.
Klein is expected to start this game for the Phillies but it is going to be a bullpen game for Philly. Klein is 0-1 on the season with an ERA of more than eight. He has been pitching in relief for the most part this season so it is hard to see him going more than three innings. There is a good chance that Adam Morgan will end up pitching in relief following Klein.
The Mets were 41-37 in their first 78 road games with 35 going over, 42 going under with 1 push. New York is scoring 4.1 runs per game and allowing 3.6 per contest.
The Phillies were 36-42 in their first 78 home games with 33 going over, 40 going under with 5 pushes. The Phillies are scoring 3.8 runs per game and allowing 4.6 per contest.
The Mets are 22-8 in the last 30 meetings in Philadelphia. The Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. the National League East. The Mets are 12-5 in their last 17 road games. The Mets are 5-2 in Colon’s last 7 road starts vs. the Phillies.
The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 16-36 in their last 52 vs. the National League East. The Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Over is 6-1 in the Mets last 7 overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 5-1 in Colon’s last 6 starts overall. The Under is 7-3 in Colon’s last 10 road starts. The Over is 8-1-2 in the Phillies last 11 overall. The Over is 6-1-2 in the Phillies last 9 vs. the National League East. The Over is 34-16-4 in the last 54 meetings in this series in Philadelphia.
The Mets have a big pitching edge in this game so I will lay the price and take New York in this contest.