The St. Louis Cardinals are favored at home on Friday night as they host the Pittsburgh Pirates. It is another key game for the Cardinals as they try and get into the second Wild Card spot in the National League. It should be Tyler Glasnow going for the Pirates in this contest while the Cardinals send Carlos Martinez. Let’s look at the matchup and MLB picks.
Probable Pitching Matchup – Glasnow vs. Martinez
Glasnow has not pitched well in his three starts as he has a 6.35 ERA. He made his Major League debut in St. Louis and allowed four runs. Glasnow allowed four runs, three of which were earned on seven hits last time out against the Nationals. He didn’t even make it out of the third inning.
Martinez has been the most reliable starter for the Cardinals for much of this season. He has allowed two runs or less in four of his last five starts. He hasn’t gotten much run support as he is 1-2 in his last three starts. He has a 2.41 ERA in three starts against the Pirates this season but the Cardinals lost two of those three games with all three games going under the total.
Pittsburgh is 40-38 on the road this season with 39 going over, 36 going under with 3 pushes. The Pirates are scoring 4.6 runs per game and giving up 4.2 per contest.
St. Louis was just 34-43 in their first 77 home games with 37 going over, 37 going under with 3 pushes. The Cardinals are scoring 4.8 runs per game and giving up 4.1 per contest.
The Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 road games. The Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Pirates are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. the National League Central. The Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. The Cardinals are 6-2 in Martinez’s last 8 starts. The Cardinals are 4-9 in Martinez’s last 13 home starts.
The Over is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 7-2-1 in the Pirates last 10 vs. the National League Central. The Over is 5-2-1 in the Pirates last 8 road games. The Under is 7-2 in the Cardinals last 9 home games. The Under is 6-2 in the Cardinals last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 9-3 in the Cardinals last 12 the vs. National League Central. The Under is 5-0 in Martinez’s last 5 starts overall. The Under is 4-1-1 in Martinez’s last 6 starts vs. the Pirates.
This is simply a game the Cardinals have to win and they have a huge edge in the pitching matchup with Martinez going against Glasnow. I will lay the price and take St. Louis in this contest.