Jake Arrieta (15-5, 2.75 ERA) gets the start for the Chicago Cubs (79-45) as they meet Christian Friedrich (4-9, 4.69 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (53-72) in the second of a three-game series at Petco Park. The Cubs won the last game 5-1, and Chicago leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 23 and will air on CSCh and FSSD.
In his last start, Friedrich pitched 6.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking one in a 2-0 loss to the Rays. Yangervis Solarte (.285, 44 Rs, 13 HRs, 52 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Cubs were victorious the last time Arrieta pitched. He did not do well, pitching 5.2 innings, allowing five runs, striking out three and walking seven in a 9-6 victory over the Brewers. Anthony Rizzo (.301, 76 Rs, 25 HRs, 87 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well, going 4 for 5 yesterday with one run.
The Over/Under (O/U) for this game is seven runs and San Diego is a considerable +212 underdog. The Padres have a losing record of 39-64 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -25. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-6). The Padres are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 105 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Cubs come into this game with a solid win percentage of .664 when playing as the favorite (73-37) and an overall money line of +21. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Chicago is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.5 hits per contest. The Cubs average 4.1 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the NL. The Cubs are the top pitching staff in the NL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 3.4 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.119 on the year, the best in the league. The Chicago pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Padres will take on a right-hander (Arrieta) in this game and have a 38-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Friedrich will take the mound against the Cubs. Against lefty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 26-13 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
Chi Cubs are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road.
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing San Diego.
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing San Diego.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Padres are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Cubs have a 33-2 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 11-53. The Cubs have a 7-28 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks in the bottom half of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 145 this season. Chicago ranks in the top half at 12th with 158.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.77.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.701). Chicago ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .782.
The Cubs are 41-37 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Padres are 27-52 when they allow at least one homer.