In the last of a three-game series between the Colorado Rockies (57-63) and the Washington Nationals (70-48) at Coors Field, Jon Gray (8-6, 4.55 ERA) and Stephen Strasburg (15-3, 3.07 ERA) get the start. The Rockies won the last game 6-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 3:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and will air on MASN.
In his last start, Gray pitched 4.1 innings, allowing seven runs (one unearned), striking out six and walking four in a 10-6 loss to the Phillies. Trevor Story (.272, 67 Rs, 27 HRs, 72 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI. The Nationals were also unsuccessful the last time Strasburg pitched. He struggled, going 5.1 innings, allowing six runs, striking out seven and walking two in an 8-5 loss to the Braves. Daniel Murphy (.348, 71 Rs, 22 HRs, 87 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Nationals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Colorado is a +138 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 10 runs. The Rockies are 31-42 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -287. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (1-4). The Rockies are a dangerous hitting team with 421 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. Colorado's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.9 during that span, compared to its 5.1 season average.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .652 when playing as the favorite (60-32) and an overall money line of +245. The Nationals rank fourth in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Washington batters, who rank third in the NL with 7.5 strikeouts per game. Switching gears to Washington's pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.168, third best in the MLB.
The Rockies will take on a right-hander (Strasburg) in this game and have a 42-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Gray will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 53-36 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - WAS, O/U - Over
Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games on the road.
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Colorado.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado.
Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado.
The Rockies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 24-22 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 11-43. The Nationals have a 12-28 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total home runs this season, Colorado ranks 10th with 152 homers and Washington is sixth with 156.
Ranking eighth, Washington is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.58 per game. Colorado ranks in the top five at second with 9.41.
Ranking ninth, Washington is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.759). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .797.
The Nationals are 40-37 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rockies are 28-49 when they allow at least one homer.