In the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (61-58) and the Toronto Blue Jays (68-52) at Yankee Stadium, CC Sabathia (7-9, 4.20 ERA) and J.A. Happ (16-3, 2.96 ERA) get the start. The Blue Jays won the last game 12-6, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and will air on RSN and YES.
In his most recent outing, Sabathia pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out seven and walking three in a 6-3 victory over the Rays. Carlos Beltran (.308, 56 Rs, 24 HRs, 72 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 4 for 5 with three RBIs. The Blue Jays were victorious over the Rays 7-0 the last time Happ pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out seven and walking two. Edwin Encarnacion (.270, 75 Rs, 34 HRs, 100 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
New York, a +140 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Toronto. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at nine runs. The Yankees perform poorly as an underdog with a 21-32 record and have an overall money line of -169. They have disappointing records of 10-16 as the underdog and 19-26 SU within their division. Within their division, New York's offense has been struggling. New York has only averaged 3.4 runs per game compared to its 4.2 season average. As for the pitching staff, the Yankees are third in the AL in hits allowed with just 8.4 per game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the AL with 8.8 strikeouts per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Blue Jays come into this game with a solid win percentage of .611 when playing as the favorite (55-35) and an overall money line of +95. Against divisional rivals, they are 28-22 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 20-13 record. Toronto is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 396 extra base hits. The Blue Jays are the top pitching staff in the AL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 4.0 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.217, fourth best in the MLB.
The Blue Jays have gotten the best of the Yankees in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-3. The Yankees will take on a left-hander (Happ) in this game and have a 17-19 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Blue Jays will be the left-hander Sabathia. They sport a 16-18 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Yankees hold a 19-26 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Blue Jays' record in these matchups is 28-22.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Yankees need to step it up. The Blue Jays have a record of 53-17 when opponents get eight hits or less.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 8-40. The Yankees have a 12-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, New York has hit 126 this season. Toronto ranks second with 173 home runs.
New York and Toronto both rank in the top half of the league in hits. New York sits at 13th with 8.39 hits per game and Toronto ranks 14th with 8.37.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Toronto ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .763.
The Blue Jays are 40-39 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 36-47 when they allow at least one homer.