In the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (64-49) and the Philadelphia Phillies (52-63) at Dodger Stadium, Scott Kazmir (9-5, 4.51 ERA) and Jeremy Hellickson (9-7, 3.72 ERA) get the ball. The Dodgers won the last game 9-3, and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 3:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and will air on CSPh and SNLA.
In his most recent outing, Kazmir pitched 5.1 innings, giving up four runs, striking out two and walking four in a 9-0 loss to the Red Sox. Corey Seager (.303, 73 Rs, 21 HRs, 55 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one RBI. The Phillies were victorious the last time Hellickson pitched. He went 6.2 innings, allowing three runs, striking out three and walking two in a 5-4 victory over the Padres. Maikel Franco (.252, 46 Rs, 20 HRs, 66 RBIs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a considerable -180 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. The Dodgers perform well as a favorite with a 57-30 record and have an overall money line of +63. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fifth in the NL with an average of only 7.3 strikeouts per home game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Dodgers, who allow only 3.8 runs per game. The Dodgers don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.134 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Phillies come into this game with a win percentage of .412 when playing as the underdog (35-50) and an overall money line of +282. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.5 runs per game, above their 3.7 season average.
The previous two games have all gone Los Angeles's way. This game will feature Hellickson (RHP) on the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 50-35 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Kazmir will take the mound against the Phillies, who have a 12-13 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road.
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia has won 47% (25-28) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Los Angeles has won 60% (24-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Dodgers have a record of 13-10 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 11-51. The Dodgers have an 11-35 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 22nd when it comes to home runs, hitting 114 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half with 131.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.42.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.683). Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .728.
When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 21-49. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have a 29-37 record.