David Phelps (5-5, 2.45 ERA) is on the hill for the Miami Marlins (60-53) as they square off against Jeff Samardzija (9-8, 4.40 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (64-49) in the last of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 2-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 12:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and can be seen on CSBA.
Phelps pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-3 win over the Rockies. Giancarlo Stanton (.243, 51 Rs, 24 HRs, 67 RBIs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI. Samardzija went 7.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking two in a 5-1 defeat to the Nationals in his most recent start.
Miami is a -132 favorite against San Francisco and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of +310 and a record as the favorite of 28-26. The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. Miami's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.2.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has an 18-22 record and an overall money line of +309. San Francisco is excellent at drawing walks with 3.6 per game, ranking third in the NL. Moving on to San Francisco's pitching staff and defense, the Giants allow just 4.0 runs per game, ranking them fifth in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Giants are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.216 for the season.
The Giants lead the season series, 3-2. The Marlins have a 41-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Samardzija takes the mound. Phelps (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 40-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
Miami earned its eighth shutout of the season in its last game. San Francisco has been shut out seven times this season.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 35-18 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 7-35. The Giants have a 12-34 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Miami ranks 28th with 94 homers and San Francisco is 29th with 93.
Miami ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.53 per game this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.95.
Ranking 17th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.732). Miami ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .742.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 29-38, well-matched with the Marlins who are 25-32 when allowing at least one homer.