Zack Greinke (10-2, 1.41 ERA) is on the hill for the Los Angeles Dodgers (61-46) as they square off against David Buchanan (2-5, 6.44 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (42-66) in the last of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Dodgers won the last game 4-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 6 and can be seen on CSPh and SNLA.
Buchanan pitched 7.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs and striking out four in a 9-3 win over the Braves. Maikel Franco (.282, 40 Rs, 12 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. Greinke went 8.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 5-3 win over the Angels in his most recent start. Yasmani Grandal (.295, 39 Rs, 15 HRs, 41 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Los Angeles is favored (-239) over Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -742 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 37-59. Philadelphia has gone 6-2 in its last 10 as underdog. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.3 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.8.
In games where it is the favorite, Los Angeles has a 54-42 record and an overall money line of -802. Offensively, they average 4.1 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the NL. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking second in the NL. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.35 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Dodgers lead the season series, 4-2. The Phillies have a 32-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Greinke takes the mound. Buchanan (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 53-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia.
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
LA Dodgers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
The Dodgers won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Phillies are 12-18. The Dodgers are 15-17 in close games this season.
Philadelphia has won 38% (20-33) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 52% (21-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 20-41 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 25-9. The Dodgers have a 45-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 397 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half at 15th with 442.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 245 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with 366.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 26-27. When the Dodgers hit at least one homer, they have a 47-28 record.