Ariel Miranda (0-0, 13.50 ERA) and Drew Pomeranz (8-9, 3.09 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Seattle Mariners (54-52) and the Boston Red Sox (58-48) at Safeco Field. The Mariners won the last game 3-1, and Seattle leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 4 and can be seen on NESN and RTNW.
Nelson Cruz (.283, 60 Rs, 27 HRs, 69 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Pomeranz went 5.1 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out four and walking two in a 5-2 defeat to the Angels in his last outing. Jackie Bradley Jr. (.292, 63 Rs, 17 HRs, 62 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Boston takes on Seattle as a -150 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of -456 and a record as the underdog of 24-23. Seattle is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Boston has a 42-34 record and an overall money line of -452. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, they average 5.5 runs per game, which the best in the AL. The Red Sox have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 398 extra base hits. The Red Sox have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 7.9 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Mariners have a 15-23 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Pomeranz takes the mound. Miranda (LHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have an 11-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Boston is 30-22, while Seattle is 25-25.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Red Sox are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Mariners have a 13-0 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 6-29. The Mariners have a 12-36 record when opponents outhit them.
Boston ranks in the top half of the league at 11th when it comes to home runs, hitting 135 this season. Seattle ranks in the top five with 151.
Boston tops the league in hits with 10.05 per game this season. Seattle ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.81.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Boston has an OPS of .822 this season. Seattle ranks 10th with an OPS of .760.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 34-40, well-matched with the Mariners who are 36-42 when allowing at least one homer.