Jordan Zimmermann (9-4, 3.95 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (59-48) meet Jose Quintana (8-8, 2.89 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (51-56) in the last of a three-game division series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 2-1, extending an eight-game winning streak. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 4 and will air on CSCh and FSDT.
In his most recent outing, Zimmermann pitched 6.0 innings, allowing five runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking two in a 10-7 victory over the Rays. Miguel Cabrera (.306, 62 Rs, 24 HRs, 69 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The White Sox were unsuccessful against the Twins 2-1 the last time Quintana pitched. He went 6.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out nine and walking one. Todd Frazier (.215, 60 Rs, 30 HRs, 68 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the White Sox, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Detroit, a -135 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Chicago. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Tigers have a winning record of 29-11 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,623. They are 8-2 SU and perfect as the favorite (3-0) in their last 10 games. Detroit has averaged 6.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.8. Whenever an AL Central opponent shows up on the calendar, the Tigers seem to struggle with pitching. They allow an average of 4.6 runs per game, but allow 5.1 against teams from their own division. The Tigers are fifth in the AL in walks allowed at home with just 2.6 per game.
Moving on to the away team, the White Sox come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (22-33) and an overall money line of -656. Against divisional foes, they are 17-25 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 3-13 record. Playing against AL Central foes really brings the worst out of the Chicago pitchers. They allow 4.8 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.
The Tigers have gotten the best of the White Sox in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-4. This game will feature Quintana (LHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 16-15 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Zimmermann will take the mound against the White Sox, who have a 40-46 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Tigers hold a 20-23 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The White Sox's record in these matchups is 17-25.
When leading after seven innings, Detroit is 29-21, while Chicago is 24-25.
Having scored one run in their last game, the White Sox are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Tigers have a 14-2 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the White Sox are 8-43. The Tigers have a 9-34 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 24th in home runs, Chicago has hit 106 this season. Detroit ranks sixth with 142 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.48 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at second with 9.26.
Ranking 23rd, Chicago is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Detroit ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .771.
When the White Sox allow at least one home run, they are 30-40, well-matched with the Tigers who are 30-33 when allowing at least one homer.