Masahiro Tanaka (8-4, 3.84 ERA) and Marco Estrada (9-6, 3.40 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (61-47) and the Toronto Blue Jays (59-52) at Yankee Stadium. The Blue Jays won the last game 6-0, continuing a six-game winning streak. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 9 and can be seen on YES and RSN.
Tanaka pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 13-3 win over the Red Sox. Mark Teixeira (.268, 55 Rs, 30 HRs, 77 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Estrada went 6.2 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking two in a 3-1 win over the Twins in his most recent start. Jose Bautista (.237, 70 Rs, 25 HRs, 77 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
New York is a -133 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +339 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 38-25. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 17-10 and 26-19 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in home offense with 5.3 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.3 per game.
Over in the other dugout, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+16), Toronto has an unimpressive 17-28 record when playing as the underdog. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 9-1 SU record over the same span. Offensively, they average 5.3 runs per game, which is tops in the AL.
The Blue Jays have controlled the season series, 5-2. The Yankees have a 40-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Estrada takes the mound. Tanaka (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 44-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Yankees are 26-19 against their divisional rivals, while the Blue Jays are 24-21 against their division.
New York has won 48% (26-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 58% (30-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 1-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Yankees are 41-6. The Blue Jays have a 49-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 589 this season. New York ranks second with 529 runs.
Ranking first in walks, Toronto has earned 374 this season. New York ranks fifth with 357 walks.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 52-29, well-matched with the Blue Jays who are 53-28 when hitting one or more homers.