Erasmo Ramirez (8-4, 3.83 ERA) and Williams Perez (4-2, 4.48 ERA) take the hill in the first of a two-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (56-56) and the Atlanta Braves (51-61) at Tropicana Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on SUN and SPSO.
Ramirez pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out two and walking two in a 6-5 defeat to the White Sox. Logan Forsythe (.279, 45 Rs, 13 HRs, 50 RBIs, 7 SBs) had another good game Sunday, going 2 for 4. Perez went 6.0 innings, surrendering five runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking two in a 6-1 defeat to the Giants in his last outing.
The odds for Tampa Bay and Atlanta are Rays -175, while the Over/Under (O/U) is 7. Against the NL, the Rays have a 9-6 record SU. The Rays have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Rays. The 3.8 runs that Tampa Bay's pitchers allow per game makes them the fifth-ranked staff in the AL. The Rays are the top team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.9 hits per game so far this season.
Atlanta is 5-7 SU against teams in the AL. Offensively, the Braves have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.7 during that stretch. The Braves have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 265 extra base hits. The Braves allow 4.4 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.2 runs per game during that span.
The Rays have a 36-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Perez takes the mound. Ramirez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 43-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 22-21, while Atlanta is 23-32.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rays have a 25-3 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 34-15. The Rays have a 40-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Tampa Bay and Atlanta both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Tampa Bay sits at 27th with 416 runs this season and Atlanta ranks 24th with 421.
Tampa Bay and Atlanta both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Tampa Bay sits at 19th with 303 this season and Atlanta ranks 16th with 309.
When the Rays hit at least one home run, they are 40-30, well-matched with the Braves who are 30-22 when hitting one or more homers.