Zack Greinke (12-2, 1.59 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (7-7, 3.75 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (66-51) and the Cincinnati Reds (51-64) at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 8-3 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 16 and can be seen on FSOH and SNLA.
Greinke pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out six and walking one in a 5-0 win over the Nationals. Adrian Gonzalez (.294, 65 Rs, 24 HRs, 73 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. DeSclafani went 6.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Diamondbacks in his last outing. Joey Votto (.307, 66 Rs, 21 HRs, 58 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when Los Angeles, a substantial -240 favorite, takes on Cincinnati. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Dodgers have an overall money line of -924 and a record as the favorite of 59-46. The Dodgers are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 144. Los Angeles is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to Dodger Stadium have been stifled by the Dodgers, who have a team ERA of only 3.23 at home. The Dodgers are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.0 hits per game to their opponents this season.
As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -1,211 and a disappointing record of 24-44 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 110 stolen bases.
The Dodgers lead the season series, 2-1. The Dodgers have a 56-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when DeSclafani takes the mound. Greinke (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 39-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 21-21, while Cincinnati is 18-25.
The Reds managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Dodgers who are heading in with a 25-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-43. The Dodgers have a 13-37 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 of the league at eighth when it comes to home runs, hitting 125 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fifth with 144.
Los Angeles and Cincinnati both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 10th with 8.49 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks seventh with 8.61.
Ranking 14th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.716). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .763.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 22-49. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have a 28-36 record.