Jacob deGrom (11-6, 2.02 ERA) is on the hill for the New York Mets (63-55) as they square off against Kevin Gausman (2-4, 4.48 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (61-56) in the first of a two-game series at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 18 and can be seen on MASN and SNY.
Gausman pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 3-0 defeat to the Mariners. Manny Machado (.299, 75 Rs, 25 HRs, 62 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. deGrom went 7.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out 10 and walking four in a 3-0 win over the Rockies in his last outing.
New York takes on Baltimore as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of +109 and a record as the underdog of 22-30. Baltimore has recorded a disappointing 1-4 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Orioles have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. The Orioles are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 156. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Orioles, who have a team ERA of only 3.70. The Orioles are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.2 walks per game to their opponents this season.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +661 and an impressive record of 49-19 as the favorite. New York is 5-1 as the favorite and 6-6 SU against teams in the AL. The Mets allow 3.5 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 4.1 against teams from the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Orioles have a 43-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when deGrom takes the mound. Gausman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 50-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 24-16, while New York is 25-20.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 16-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 10-40. The Mets have a 14-45 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the top half of the league at 15th when it comes to home runs, hitting 109 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with 156.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.96 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.66.
Ranking 29th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.674). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .739.
The Mets are 26-39 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Orioles are 34-39 when they allow at least one homer.