CC Sabathia (4-9, 5.23 ERA) and Mike Pelfrey (6-7, 3.70 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (64-52) and the Minnesota Twins (59-58) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 8-7 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 18 and can be seen on YES and FSN.
Sabathia pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 2-1 defeat to the Indians. Pelfrey went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking one in an 11-1 win over the Rangers in his most recent start. Brian Dozier (.244, 81 Rs, 25 HRs, 61 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
New York is a -160 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +212 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 39-26. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 4.8 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.8 per game. New York's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.2. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who rank fourth in the AL in strikeouts per home game with 8.7.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 44-48 record and an overall money line of +1,145. The Twins allow 4.4 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.0 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees lead the season series, 3-1. The Yankees have a 42-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Pelfrey takes the mound. Sabathia (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 38-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Twins lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Yankees are 19-18. The Twins are 16-16 in close games this season.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 27-41 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 10-51. The Yankees have a 13-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 111 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 158.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.24 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.78.
Ranking 20th, Minnesota is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.705). New York ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .756.
The Twins are 32-47 when they allow at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 32-40 record.