In the last of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (50-77) and the New York Mets (70-56) at Citizens Bank Park, Aaron Harang (5-14, 4.67 ERA) and Jonathon Niese (8-9, 3.80 ERA) take the mound. The Mets won the last game 9-4, extending a six-game winning streak. New York can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 27 and will air on CSPh and SNY.
In his last start, Harang pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking four in a 4-2 loss to the Marlins. Ryan Howard (.242, 47 Rs, 21 HRs, 72 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Mets were victorious over the Rockies 14-9 the last time Niese pitched. He went 5.1 innings, allowing seven runs, striking out three and walking two. Yoenis Cespedes (.296, 80 Rs, 25 HRs, 82 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Philadelphia, a +155 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). The Phillies perform poorly as an underdog with a 45-69 record and have an overall money line of -513. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 21-29 and an 18-27 record when they were the underdog. Whenever an NL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Phillies pitch better. They allow an average of 5.0 runs per game, but allow just 4.3 against teams from their own division.
Across the field, the Mets have a nice record of 53-19 when they are favored and are +1,161 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 32-17 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 27-9 record. New York has been playing better lately, averaging 7.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.0. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.35 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.17, best in the MLB.
The Mets have gotten the best of the Phillies in head-to-head matchups this season, going 11-1. This game will feature Niese (LHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 12-16 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Harang will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 54-44 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 33-17 against their divisional rivals, while the Phillies are 21-30.
Philadelphia has won 40% (25-37) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 58% (28-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Phillies have a record of 9-20 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 16-59. The Mets have a 14-46 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 99 this season. New York ranks 12th with 129 home runs.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.22 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.71.
Philadelphia and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 26th with an OPS of .691 and New York ranks 24th with an OPS of .699.
The Mets are 32-40 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 23-56 when they allow at least one homer.