Alec Asher (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and James Shields (9-6, 3.89 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (52-78) and the San Diego Padres (62-67) at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 4-3 and Philadelphia leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and can be seen on CSPh and FSSD.
This is the first start for Asher this season. Shields went 5.2 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out two and walking four in an 8-3 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Matt Kemp (.265, 62 Rs, 15 HRs, 78 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
San Diego takes on Philadelphia as a -155 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -595 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 46-71. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.5 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game.
In games where it is the favorite, San Diego has a 32-25 record and an overall money line of -602. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 6-4 record SU. The Padres have a dynamic offense, ranking fifth in the league with 343 extra base hits.
The Phillies lead the season series, 5-0. The Phillies have a 39-61 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shields takes the mound. Asher (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 47-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Padres lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Phillies are 15-19. The Padres are 18-17 in close games this season.
Philadelphia has won 41% (26-37) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 52% (33-30) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Padres need to step it up. The Phillies have a record of 28-18 when opponents get eight hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 9-48. The Phillies have a 17-60 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 102 this season. San Diego ranks 19th with 116 home runs.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.20 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.68.
Philadelphia and San Diego both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 26th with an OPS of .691 and San Diego ranks 29th with an OPS of .681.
When the Padres allow at least one home run, they are 33-48. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 24-57 record.