Tyson Ross (9-9, 3.42 ERA) and Colby Lewis (14-6, 4.38 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (63-67) and the Texas Rangers (68-61) at Petco Park. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 31 and can be seen on FSSD, FSSW and MLBN.
Ross pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out nine and walking two in a 6-5 win over the Nationals. Justin Upton (.253, 70 Rs, 24 HRs, 72 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Lewis went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking four in a 12-4 defeat to the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Rougned Odor (.280, 38 Rs, 11 HRs, 43 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rangers, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
San Diego is a -125 favorite against Texas and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -755 and a record as the favorite of 32-26. In interleague play, they are winless as the favorite (0-7), but have an SU record of 6-11. The Padres have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.0 runs per game. They average 4.0 runs per game on the season. The Padres are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 348. San Diego's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 6.2 against AL teams, compared to its 4.4 season average. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank second in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 9.0.
In games where it is the underdog, Texas has a 53-49 record and an overall money line of +2,245. Texas is 7-3 as the underdog and 9-8 SU against interleague opponents. Offensively, they average 4.5 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the AL. Texas's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL at pitching on the road, with a 4.02 ERA.
The Padres lead the season series, 2-1. The Padres have a 47-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lewis takes the mound. Ross (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rangers, who have a 44-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
Texas earned its seventh shutout of the season in its last game. San Diego has been shut out 16 times this season.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Rangers have a 9-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 9-48. The Rangers have a 15-46 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks in the bottom half of the league at 18th when it comes to home runs, hitting 119 this season. Texas ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 135.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.20 per game. Texas ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.74.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.684). Texas ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .734.
When the Rangers allow at least one home run, they are 34-47, well-matched with the Padres who are 34-48 when allowing at least one homer.