Brad Hand (4-4, 4.54 ERA) and Bartolo Colon (12-11, 4.42 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (56-79) and the New York Mets (74-60) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 6-5 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 5 and can be seen on FSFL and WPIX.
Hand pitched 4.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking two in a 7-4 defeat to the Nationals. Justin Bour (.252, 30 Rs, 15 HRs, 50 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI. Colon went 8.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 3-1 win over the Phillies in his most recent start. Yoenis Cespedes (.294, 87 Rs, 29 HRs, 89 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 2 for 6 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
New York takes on Miami as a -154 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,872 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 33-52. Miami has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 12-17 and 22-33 as the underdog and SU respectively. The Marlins are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 326. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 97 bases.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +886 and an impressive record of 58-23 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 31-11 record against NL East opponents, and a 36-19 record SU. Offensively, the Mets have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.9 during that stretch. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.44 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.17 for the season.
The Mets lead the season series, 9-5. The Marlins have a 45-62 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Colon takes the mound. Hand (LHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 16-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Mets's last 18 games.
NY Mets are 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road.
NY Mets are 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing Miami.
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami.
The Mets lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Marlins are 17-19. The Mets are 22-22 in close games this season.
The Marlins managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are coming in with a 6-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 11-52. The Mets have a 15-49 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 99 this season. New York ranks in the top half at 12th with 139.
Ranking 12th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.66.
Miami and New York both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Miami sits at 29th with an OPS of .687 and New York ranks 23rd with an OPS of .706.
The Mets are 35-43 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 25-50 when they allow at least one homer.