Madison Bumgarner (16-7, 2.96 ERA), seeking his 200th strikeout of the season, takes the mound for the San Francisco Giants (70-66) as they go up against Yohan Flande (3-1, 4.04 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (56-79) in the last of a four-game series at Coors Field. The Giants won the last game 7-3 and Colorado leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 6 and will air on RTRM and CSBy.
In his last start, Flande pitched 5.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking three in a 6-4 loss to the Diamondbacks. Nolan Arenado (.288, 82 Rs, 36 HRs, 105 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. The Giants were unsuccessful the last time Bumgarner pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 2-1 loss to the Dodgers. Buster Posey (.325, 63 Rs, 16 HRs, 80 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
Colorado is a heavy +175 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 10 runs. The Rockies have a losing record of 39-59 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,376. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 22-33 and a 16-25 record when they were the underdog. The Rockies have the most prolific home offense in the entire NL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with 10.6 per game. Colorado's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 3.5 during that span, compared to its 5.2 season average.
On the other side, the Giants have a record of 39-29 when they are favored and are -246 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the favorite with a perfect 3-0 record and 3-7 SU. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. San Francisco is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. The Giants average just 7.1 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per game, fifth-best in the NL.
The Rockies have gotten the best of the Giants in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-6. The Rockies will take on a left-hander (Bumgarner) in this game. They have struggled against left-handed starting pitchers this season, going 5-22. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the left-hander Flande. They sport a 17-17 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
The Giants hold a split 28-28 record against NL West teams, but the Rockies are 22-34 in such matchups.
The Rockies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 25-14 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-43. The Rockies have an 8-56 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 112 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 160.
Colorado and San Francisco both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Colorado sits at second with 9.28 hits per game and San Francisco ranks third with 9.16.
Ranking 12th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.730). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .763.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 31-49, well-matched with the Rockies who are 28-60 when allowing at least one homer.