Cody Anderson (3-3, 3.72 ERA) and Justin Verlander (3-7, 3.43 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (69-70) and the Detroit Tigers (64-76) at Progressive Field. The Indians won the last game 7-5 and Cleveland leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and can be seen on STOh and FSDT.
Anderson pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out three and walking two in a 4-0 win over the Tigers. Michael Brantley (.319, 65 Rs, 15 HRs, 81 RBIs, 14 SBs) continued his strong play Thursday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs. Verlander went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 4-0 defeat to the Indians in his last outing. J.D. Martinez (.280, 81 Rs, 36 HRs, 91 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Thursday with one run.
This one isn't expected to be close when Cleveland, a big -200 favorite, takes on Detroit. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,183 and a record as the favorite of 46-42. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 14-24 and 23-33 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Indians are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.2 per game. Cleveland is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Cleveland's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.6 against fellow AL Central members, compared to its 4.1 season average. The Indians are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.19 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.8.
Over in the other dugout, Detroit is coming in with an overall money line of -1,151 and a disappointing record of 30-47 as the underdog. Despite an underwhelming record as the underdog against AL Central foes (12-17), they pulled off an impressive 32-25 SU record. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is third in the AL. The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.4 hits per road game. The Tigers allow 5.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.0 runs per game during that span.
The Tigers lead the season series, 10-6.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
Detroit is 1-2-2 SU in its last 5 games,.
Detroit is 0-3-2 SU in its last 5 games, on the road.
Detroit is 1-4-2 SU in its last 7 games, when playing Cleveland.
Detroit is 1-2-2 SU in its last 5 games, when playing on the road against Cleveland.
The Indians hold a 23-33 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Tigers' record in these matchups is 32-25.
The Indians are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Tigers have a record of 35-22 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Indians have a slight leg up on the Tigers, as the Indians have won their last two games while the Tigers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 53-18. The Indians have a 58-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Cleveland is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 570 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 13th with 606.
Ranking 21st, Detroit is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 383 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at fifth with 466.
When the Indians hit at least one home run, they are 51-28. When the Tigers hit at least one homer, they have a 48-34 record.