Erasmo Ramirez (10-5, 3.96 ERA) and CC Sabathia (4-9, 5.16 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (69-72) and the New York Yankees (78-64) at Tropicana Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and can be seen on SUN.
Ramirez pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs and striking out nine in an 8-7 defeat to the Tigers. Evan Longoria (.275, 63 Rs, 19 HRs, 68 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Sabathia went 4.2 innings, surrendering one, striking out five and walking three in a 5-3 defeat to the Orioles in his most recent start. Alex Rodriguez (.256, 77 Rs, 31 HRs, 81 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Tampa Bay is a slim -108 favorite at home against New York. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Rays have an overall money line of -573 and a record as the favorite of 34-32. Within its division, Tampa Bay has a 12-12 record as favorite and a 28-30 record SU. The Rays have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Rays, who lead the AL in strikeouts per home game with 9.0.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 26-30 record and an overall money line of -48. They are 12-14 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 33-29 SU. Offensively, the Yankees have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.9 runs per game by averaging 4.4 in those contests. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 451 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 3.4 per road game. The Yankees allow 4.4 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.0 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the Yankees have the fifth-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game. The Yankees have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.4 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Yankees lead the season series, 10-6. The Rays have a 26-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Sabathia takes the mound. Ramirez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 53-47 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Rays are 28-30 against their divisional rivals, while the Yankees are 34-29 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 33-36, while Tampa Bay is 28-31.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Rays have a 2-7 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 49-22. The Yankees have a 52-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 546 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 693.
Ranking 20th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 386 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 473.
The Rays are 51-40 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Yankees are 67-39 when they hit at least one homer.