Luis Severino (4-3, 3.10 ERA) and Erik Johnson (3-0, 3.52 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the New York Yankees (85-69) and the Chicago White Sox (73-82) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 2-1 and New York leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 27 and can be seen on WGN.
Severino pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-4 defeat to the Blue Jays. Alex Rodriguez (.250, 81 Rs, 32 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. Johnson went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out nine and walking two in a 3-2 win over the Tigers in his last outing. Jose Abreu (.289, 87 Rs, 29 HRs, 97 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a big -189 favorite, takes on Chicago. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +181 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 53-35. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 206.
In games where it is the underdog, Chicago has a 39-47 record and an overall money line of -1,090. Offensively, the White Sox have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.7 during that stretch.
The Yankees lead the season series, 4-2. The Yankees have a 59-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Johnson takes the mound. Severino (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 54-64 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
In their last game, the White Sox lost by a margin of one run. The Yankees are 23-23 in one-run games. The White Sox have a 27-30 record in close games.
After a weak showing last week where they got in seven hits, the Yankees need to step it up. The White Sox have a record of 43-21 when opponents get seven hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the White Sox are 12-63. The Yankees have a 20-54 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 133 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 206.
The Yankees and the White Sox both average 8.62 hits per game.
Ranking 28th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.691). New York ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .746.
When the White Sox allow at least one home run, they are 36-63. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 42-54 record.