In the last of a three-game series between the Texas Rangers (85-72) and the Detroit Tigers (73-84) at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Yovani Gallardo (12-11, 3.42 ERA) and Matt Boyd (1-5, 6.91 ERA) get the start. The Rangers won the last game 7-6 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 30 and will air on FSDT and FSSW.
In his last start, Gallardo pitched 4.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out four and walking two in a 6-2 loss to the Astros. Shin-soo Choo (.276, 89 Rs, 21 HRs, 79 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. The Tigers were unsuccessful to the Twins 6-4 the last time Boyd pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up two runs (two unearned), striking out four and walking four. J.D. Martinez (.281, 91 Rs, 38 HRs, 101 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Texas is a considerable -184 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at nine runs. The Rangers perform well as a favorite with a 26-17 record and have an overall money line of +2,905. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (5-2). The Rangers come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Rangers rank fifth in the AL in hits with 8.8 per game. The Rangers typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.1 walks per game.
Switching gears, the Tigers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (36-54) and an overall money line of -840. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-5 record. They sport the third-ranked offense in the AL, averaging four runs per game. The top hitting team in the league are the Tigers, who have a .271 batting average.
The Rangers have gotten the best of the Tigers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. The Rangers will take on a left-hander (Boyd) in this game and have a 32-29 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Gallardo will take the mound against the Tigers, who have a 53-68 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games.
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 13 games on the road.
Detroit is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Texas.
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas.
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas.
The Tigers lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Rangers are 27-20. The Tigers are 26-20 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Detroit is 36-38, while Texas is 34-36.
The Tigers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rangers who are heading in with a 37-20 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 61-20. The Rangers have a 63-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th, Detroit sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 677 this season. Texas ranks in the top five at fourth with 720.
Ranking 19th, Detroit is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 442 this season. Texas ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 482.
The Rangers are 63-30 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Tigers are 53-36 when they hit at least one homer.