In the third of a four-game series between the New York Yankees (86-71) and the Boston Red Sox (77-80) at Yankee Stadium, Masahiro Tanaka (12-7, 3.38 ERA) and Wade Miley (11-11, 4.39 ERA) get the ball. The Red Sox won the last game 10-4, extending a five-game winning streak. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 30 and will air on YES and NESN.
In his last start, Tanaka pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs and striking out four in a 5-1 loss to the Mets. The Red Sox were also unsuccessful the last time Miley pitched. He struggled, going 6.1 innings, allowing four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 4-2 loss to the Rays. Mookie Betts (.293, 90 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 20 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Yankees have a SU record of 37-34 against teams in their division. The Yankees have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Yankees are a dangerous hitting team with 488 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB.
Against divisional opponents, the Red Sox are 34-40 SU. Boston has an eye for the strike zone on the road, ranking 3.0 in the AL with fifth walks per game. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Boston pitchers. They've allowed 3.0 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.7.
The Yankees have gotten the best of the Red Sox in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-7. This game will feature Miley (LHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 26-21 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Tanaka. They sport a 56-57 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games.
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Boston's last 21 games on the road.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees.
Boston is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing NY Yankees.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.
When leading after 7 innings, Boston is 37-39, while New York is 35-41.
The Red Sox are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 10 runs. The Yankees have a 0-13 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 15-66. The Yankees have a 20-56 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 15th in home runs, Boston has hit 157 this season. New York ranks third with 208 home runs.
Ranking eighth, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.63 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at second with 9.31.
New York and Boston both rank in the top five of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at fifth with an OPS of .746 and Boston ranks fourth with an OPS of .747.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 38-64. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 43-56 record.