In the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (78-81) and the New York Yankees (87-72) at Camden Yards, Wei-Yin Chen (10-8, 3.35 ERA) and Luis Severino (5-3, 2.77 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 2 and will air on YES and MASN.
In his last start, Chen pitched 5.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking two in an 8-0 loss to the Red Sox. Manny Machado (.287, 98 Rs, 33 HRs, 82 RBIs, 20 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs, two home runs, three RBIs, and two stolen bases. The Yankees were victorious the last time Severino pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out two and walking one in a 6-1 victory over the White Sox. Alex Rodriguez (.252, 83 Rs, 33 HRs, 86 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment. Against teams in the AL East, the Orioles have a SU record of 36-37. Baltimore has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Baltimore has only averaged 3.2 runs per game compared to the 4.3 they've averaged on the season. Baltimore's pitchers struggle within their division. The Orioles have given up an average of 4.8 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 4.3.
Against divisional opponents, the Yankees are 37-35 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 3.1 runs per game, below their 4.8 season average. The Yankees are known for their bats, hitting 496 extra base hits. New York has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.4 in the AL with second walks per game. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.5 strikeouts per game.
The Yankees have gotten the better of the Orioles in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-7. The Orioles will take on a right-hander (Severino) in this game and have a 56-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Chen will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 26-22 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
The Orioles are 36-37 against their divisional rivals, while the Yankees are 38-35 against their division.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 13-21 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 14-62. The Yankees have a 20-57 record when opponents outhit them.
Tied at third for total home runs, Baltimore and New York have each hit 212 homers this season.
Ranking 12th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.65.
Ranking 15th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.725). New York ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .749.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 43-57, well-matched with the Orioles who are 44-59 when allowing at least one homer.