Noah Syndergaard (9-7, 3.34 ERA) and Gio Gonzalez (11-8, 3.93 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (89-70) and the Washington Nationals (81-78) at Citi Field. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 3 and can be seen on MAS2 and SNY.
Syndergaard pitched 7.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs and striking out 11 in a 12-5 win over the Reds. Gonzalez went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking two in a 12-5 defeat to the Phillies in his last outing. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 Thursday with one run.
New York is a -128 favorite against Washington and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +762 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 71-32. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 39-18 and 46-27 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They average 4.3 runs per game on the season. The Mets are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 485. As for the pitchers, the Mets are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.19 so far this season.
In the other locker room, Washington is coming in with an overall money line of -2,039 and a disappointing record of 13-26 as the underdog. Despite an underwhelming record as the underdog against NL East opponents (2-7), they pulled off an impressive 42-31 SU record. Offensively, the Nationals have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.4 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. The Nationals average 4.0 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.4 against division foes. When it comes to issuing walks, the Nationals have the fewest in the NL with only 2.2 walks allowed per game.
The Mets lead the season series, 10-6. The Mets have a 71-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gonzalez takes the mound. Syndergaard (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 61-62 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 46-27 against their divisional rivals, while the Nationals are 42-31.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 38-26, while Washington is 36-36.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 30-46 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Nationals are 63-12. The Mets have a 63-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 681 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 698.
Ranking 11th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 482 this season. Washington ranks in the top five at fifth with 534.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 62-30, well-matched with the Nationals who are 63-40 when hitting one or more homers.