Marco Estrada (14-9, 3.13 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays square off against Edinson Volquez (14-10, 3.48 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals in Game 5 of the League Championship Series at the Rogers Centre. Action begins at 4:07 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 21 and can be seen on FS1.
Estrada pitched 5.1 innings in Game 1 of the League Championship Series, surrendering three runs and striking out six in a 5-0 defeat to the Royals. Josh Donaldson (.296, 129 Rs, 44 HRs, 131 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. Volquez went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out five and walking four in a 5-0 win over the Blue Jays in Game 1 of the League Championship Series. Lorenzo Cain (.306, 108 Rs, 17 HRs, 79 RBIs, 30 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run, three RBIs, and one stolen base.
Toronto is a -144 favorite against Kansas City and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. For updated lines, check out BTB's MLB Baseball Odds.
The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +979 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 72-37. Toronto is an impressive 5-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Blue Jays lead the MLB in home runs with 243. Toronto leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Toronto's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.4 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.1. The Blue Jays are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Kansas City has a 37-30 record and an overall money line of +1,904. The Royals have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 511 extra base hits. The Royals are an excellent base stealing team with 110 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB.
The Royals lead the season series, 6-5. The Blue Jays have a 73-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Volquez takes the mound. Estrada (RHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a 64-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Royals won their last game by a 12-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Blue Jays are 4-1. The Royals are 3-4 in blowouts this season.
The Blue Jays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Royals who are coming in with a 17-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 15-58. The Royals have a 16-59 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Toronto has hit 243 this season. Kansas City ranks 18th with 151 home runs.
Toronto and Kansas City both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Toronto sits at fourth with 9.12 hits per game and Kansas City ranks second with 9.24.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .794. Kansas City ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .741.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 44-54. When the Blue Jays allow one or more homers, they have a 57-53 record.