7-Unit Play. Take #737 Gonzaga +5 over Villanova (Tuesday, December 5th at 7:00 PM ET)
Take Gonzaga ATS as my 7-Unit CBB Smash for Tuesday night. This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems and I have the Zags winning this game outright so we are getting great value with this line tonight. The Zags have played much tougher opponents than Villanova to start the season which would explain why on paper their defensive numbers are not as good. The Zags have shot 50.3% as a team on the road this season and they will be able to dominate the boards tonight. The Bulldogs are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games against a Big East opponent and 24-10-2 ATS in their last 26 games when playing a team with a winning record. The Wildcats are #223 in the country for offensive rebounds and this game will be won on the boards tonight by the Bulldogs who are ranked 72nd in the country for offensive rebounds and 34th in the country for defensive rebounds. Opponents have shot just 39.6% against the Bulldogs this season and they are the better team at this point in the season. The Bulldogs are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on a neutral court as an underdog of +3.5 to +6 points and they are 29-2 SU in their last 31 games when the posted total is 140 to 149.5. Play Gonzaga as we move to 12-5 the last 17 days in CBB.
7-Unit Play. #722. Take Missouri -22.5 over Miami of Ohio (Tuesday @ 9pm est)
You are Missouri and you just scored 62 points in your last game against UCF and you won a huge game away from home which makes you feel very good. But, does it? This team scored just 62 points and though that seems not so bad against a good UCF team with a quality defense for a big win, Missouri is a high powered offense that is ranked in the top 50 in offense, top 20 in effective field goal percentage and top 25 in 3 point shooting. So, as Cuonzo Martin’s team returns home, they will want to win and win big here. Remember, this team put up 90 points on St. Johns, and beat similar Long Beach State and Wagner by scores of 95-58 and 99-55. This team can score and Martin in his first year is looking like a genius taking a 8 win team to already 6 wins as it makes his resume look stellar. This is a Mizzou team that might be a major contender going forward in the years to come as Martin will have his way and this school will love and respect him which is something that Tennessee failed to do – of course, that’s what Tennessee does so they deserve that (in a way, Lane Kiffin was Karma for what they did to Fulmer – but I digress as a Bama fan). As per Missouri, they have an elite offense, a top 75 defense and face a Miami of Ohio team that is outside the top 300 in effective offense and as they come off back to back wins, they likely have a let down here. Remember, this is the toughest team they have played all year and if they had issues against Tulane scoring just 59 points, they are going to have some serious issues against Missouri who likely will drop more than 90 on them today especially after coming off a low scoring affair in their last game.