Our selection is on the Phoenix Suns
The Atlanta Hawks come to Phoenix playing probably their best basketball all year as they have won 3 out of their last 4 games. One problem with that is that they all have been at home. The last time the won on the road was on December 2nd and since they have now lost 6 straight games on the road. As for the Suns, they have their best player back in the fold in Devin Booker after being out with an injury. Since his return, the Suns have won two out of three games and you can see he just makes everyone around him play with more confidence. The line at the time of this writing has Phoenix as a 1 point favorite and we have no problem laying the point, as we believe the Suns win this game by 4-8 points. Backing our selection is the fact that the Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. the NBA Pacific and the fact that the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
So lets get the job done with the Phoenix Suns.
1-Unit Play. Take #511 TCU (Pk) over Baylor (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
Baylor is really beat up right now. They are pretty thin in terms of depth anyway. But if Jo Lual-Acuil doesn’t play tonight they are waif thin on the interior. Terry Maston is back but still not 100 percent and this tea is just really young and really shaky. Manu Lecomte is doing what he can to run the offense but it hasn’t been pretty. TCU had its winning streak snapped in a tough loss to Oklahoma. But I think they will rebound in their first road game of the year.
2-Unit Play. Take #514 Xavier (-6.5) over Butler (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
I think that this is a letdown spot for Butler. They played out of their minds in their big win over Villanova on Saturday but I think they are going to come back to earth here. They aren’t going to shoot 60 percent from the field again and this team has struggled when playing away from home this year, going 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. Xavier didn’t play well in its last home game against DePaul. But these guys can turn people’s lights out when they play on their home gym and they are winning their home games this year by over 20 points per game. It won’t be that ugly here. But they beat Cincinnati and Baylor both by double-digits and Butler got creamed by Purdue by 15 so I don’t think a double-digit loss is out of the question.
1-Unit Play. Take #518 Central Michigan (-2) over Ohio (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #527 Alabama (-2.5) over Vanderbilt (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
Vanderbilt scored a garbage backdoor cover against Florida over the weekend to snap an 11-game ATS losing streak. But these guys still stink. Alabama is coming off a big blowout over Texas A&M and the Crimson Tide could have a letdown here. But this team is starting to take off now that they have Braxton Key healthy on the interior and their size and athleticism should be too much for the Commodores.
1-Unit Play. Take #529 William & Mary (+2) over James Madison (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
I think the wrong team is favored here. William & Mary has been a pleasant surprise to start this year and they are a solid 7-2 SU in their last nine games. The Tribe are on a 6-1 ATS run and their only losses have come against TCU, Ohio State and Central Florida, three teams they were never going to beat. But they have taken care of business against everyone else and will keep chugging along. James Madison is a program that’s been off the rails for a while. I don’t
1-Unit Play. Take #532 Tennessee (-5.5) over Auburn (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
I really like this Auburn team and we have used them often. But they haven’t played anyone and they haven’t beaten anyone this year. Their schedule has been a joke. Tennessee has sharpened itself with games against teams like Villanova, North Carolina and Purdue. They are coming off a tough loss at Arkansas – a brutal place to try to get a win – and I think the Vols will be ready to get a win here against an Auburn team that is unproven on the road.
3-Unit Play. Take #536 Western Michigan (-7) over Akron (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
Western Michigan has lost six straight games to Akron. It is time for them to get some revenge. This is not the same Akron team that we’ve seen the last few years and they are in the beginning stages of a total rebuild. Western Michigan has not played up to its ability yet this year. But this is one of the better teams in the MAC and I think they will want to make a statement here.
1-Unit Play. Take #538 Buffalo (-6) over Toledo (7 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #534 Charleston (-3.5) over Delaware (7 p.m.) AND Take #536 Western Michigan (-2) over Akron (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #514 Xavier (-1.5) over Butler (7 p.m.) AND Take #536 Western Michigan (-2) over Akron (7 p.m.)
4 Unit Play. Take #506 Phoenix -1.5 over Atlanta (9:05p.m., Tuesday January 2)
Both teams are at the bottom of their divisions and conferences but tonight someone has to win. The Hawks shockingly have won 3 out 4 games but those 3 wins were at home the Hawks continue to struggle on the road going 3-15 this season. The Suns have split their last 4 home games and if they play like they did against Memphis at home I see Phoenix getting the ‘W’ and covering this small number on their home court. Atlanta is 1-7 ATS against Pacific division teams and the Suns are 4-0 ATS following a SU loss.
2-Unit Play. Take #510 L.A. Clippers (-5.5) over Memphis (10:30 p.m., Tuesday, Jan. 2)
The Clippers are looking much better now that Blake Griffin is back. The Grizz are finishing up their road trip and they won’t have the stamina necessary to get a win versus an improving Clippers squad. LA is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win and 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Grizzlies on the other hand are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Lay the points in this one as the Clips win easy.
3 Unit Play. Take #12 Minnesota -150 over Florida (8:05p.m., Tuesday January 2)
Earlier in the season the Florida Panthers beat the Minnesota Wild so when we saw this game being played in the Twin Cities we knew revenge will be served. Last night this number was the Wild -135 and we knew we were going to have action but wow talk about a huge money move as the Wild has moved 20 cents. I knew the Panthers are hot right now but their winning streak has been at home and tonight they start a 4 game road trip and I see the Wild taking this game. Florida is 3-8 in their last 11 Western Conference opponents and the Wild are 7-1 in their last 8 home games