For Friday, Top-Rated 1000♦ is the Stanford Cardinal plus the points. At 4:30 am eastern time, the Cardinal is the +4 point underdog in Vegas and offshore. I do advise buying the half-point up on Stanford if your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 to +4 points.
100 Dime selection on the USC Trojans against the Stanford Cardinal. As I release this play at 6:15 am Pacific in Vegas, the line on USC is -4. If your line is anywhere between -4 1/2 and -3, I recommend buying down the 1/2 point insurance.
My 100 Dime Winner is on the TORONTO RAPTORS in tonight’s Eastern Conference showdown against the Indiana Pacers. And as I release this play at 6:45 a.m. pacific, the line I see on this game is Raptors -7 points.
San Antonio gives up fewer points per game than all but one team. The Spurs have gone Under in seven of their nine road games this season. Memphis ranks sixth in both defensive scoring and defensive field goal percentage. The Grizzlies have gone Under in nine of their 11 home contests this season. So there is a clear pattern of Unders involving the home/road breakdowns of these two strong defensive clubs. Now let’s get down to the specific matchup. The two teams just met on Wednesday in San Antonio. The Spurs won 104-95. So that was a total of 199 points, which went Over the 195 total. This total opened lower. But for good reason. The teams combined to make 34 of 40 free throws for 85 percent in Wednesday’s game. Both are above average free throw shooting teams, but not nearly that good. The Spurs and Grizzlies both shoot 79 percent from the foul line. Memphis made 11 of 22 shots from 3-point range. The Grizzlies rank 29th in 3-point shooting hitting 33 percent. The Spurs shot 50.7 percent from the floor. LaMarcus Aldridge scored a season-high 41 points on 17 of 24 shooting from the field. San Antonio ranks 16th in field goal percentage at 45.6 percent. Aldridge is an outstanding player and he’s have a great season. But the Grizzlies aren’t going to let him beat them again. Memphis is in desperation mode, losers of nine in a row. This will be their second game under interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff. I can’t back the Grizzlies when they don’t have Mike Conley, who is out with an Achilles injury. Memphis is averaging 90.6 points in its last six games – all without their star point guard. Tony Parker is back for San Antonio. This is just his third game, though, of the season. So he’s still rusty. Put this all together and I believe Under is the way to go.
The opening oddsmakers number in this game has shifted across the key number of three-points and it all has to do with the healthy concerns of running back Bryce Love, who will play and start on Friday night.
It is difficult to beat and cover both events in one season, be it in college or the NFL, and a part of the variable that has moved this Pac-12 number is that the Trjons defeated the Cards 42-24 in the first meeting between the conference foes. Yes, USC and Darnold recored 300 yds on the ground and through the air in that win but that was in early September. This game presents a large number of underlying peripherals that shift the power and the venue advantage to the Cardinals. This is a game that carries nothing more than league bragging rights and those rights will go to smarter and more motivated team on Friday night, Stanford.
If you are a trend capper, or a gamer that likes to us common opponent comparisons look no further than what Stanford did last weekend versus Notre Dame.
While USC has strung together four straight wins since being routed by Notre Dame in Indiana they have been porous on the defensive side of the football and will surrender a large number of yards to Love on Friday night keeping Darnold and the Troy offense off the Levi Stadium field.
My 20 Dime winner is Stanford over USC. The current line on this game at 10:45 am is +4 in Vegas and offshore. If your line is between +2 1/2 and +4, I recommend buying up the 1/2 point. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.