Cnotes March Madness Trends-Picks-News !

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  • #385440

    cnotes
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    SUNDAY, MARCH 12

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    YALE at PRIN 12:00 PM

    PRIN -7.0

    U 129.5

    URI at VCU 12:30 PM

    URI -1.5

    O 132.0

    ARK at UK 01:00 PM

    ARK +8.0

    O 156.5

    TROY at TXST 02:00 PM

    TXST +1.5

    O 131.5

    MICH at WIS 03:00 PM

    MICH +2.0

    O 127.0

    CIN at SMU 03:15 PM

    SMU -1.5

    U 127.0

    #385703

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    Armadillo: Monday’s six-pack

    — Last year, UNLV fired hoop coach Dave Rice three games into conference play; as an alumnus, he deserved much better. Now Rice is in the NCAA’s as an assistant for Nevada. Have to feel good for the guy.

    — Cardinals-Pirates will play a Sunday night game in Williamsport during the Little League World Series in August.

    — Random musical knowledge: Michael Jackson did 22 shows at the Tokyo Dome.

    — Cleveland Browns have five of the first 65 picks in this year’s NFL Draft and four picks in the first two rounds next season. All they have to do now is pick the right guys.

    — Cleveland Browns will start their 5th different QB in last five years in Week 1 in September.

    — Showtime has a special on the 1976 Indiana basketball team that finished unbeaten, the last college basketball team to do that. If you like basketball history, it is worth a look.

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday’s List of 13: Quick thoughts on the field of 68

    Some quick thoughts after seeing the pairings and after Champ Week.

    13) Must be nice go to college at Arizona; their players were watching the pairings show while sitting outside, in the sun. I’m guessing the North Dakota kids watched the pairings show inside.

    12) Early last week, was texting with a friend in Las Vegas, talking about hoop; the two mid-majors who I thought were best positioned to shock the world this week were Tex-Arlington and Monmouth— welllllll……neither one of them made it.

    There will be a great set of games at some point in this tournament, I’m just not real sure it’ll be the first round this year. There are jackasses on TV who run their mouths and pick lot of upsets so they can look good if the upsets happen- no way do they really believe those upsets will happen.

    11) UCLA is a 3-seed; they play Kent State, then probably the Cincy-Wake-KState survivor. One note of caution about UCLA; Lonzo Ball hurt his left thumb Friday night. No one said anything, and he played the game but you could tell it was bothering him. If he ain’t 100%, the Bruins will go out early. I’m looking at Cincinnati to upset the Bruins in the second round.

    10) Providence-USC is a play-in game; Friars beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 game LY, with Friars scoring on an OB under play at the buzzer. USC led by 5 with 2:21 left. Kris Dunn is in the NBA now, though. Long trip east for the USC kids, and also for the Cal-Davis kids who also play in Dayton Wednesday night.

    9) Purdue is a 4-seed, the best seed of any Big 14 team. Was looking at Maryland as a team who would get beat in the first round, but they drew a Xavier squad whose point guard got hurt 13 games ago— Musketeers are 6-7 since he got hurt.

    8) Vermont is a 13-seed, second year in row the America East champ was a 13-seed. Since 2006, America East teams are 6-6 vs spread in NCAA’s, but a closer look shows that Albany was 5-1 vs spread in NCAA games, the rest of the league 1-5. Vermont lost to Butler by 12, South Carolina by 18, Providence by 22 this season- their best wins were over Harvard, Wofford.

    7) Of the teams who played on Sunday, who has to play Thursday? Princeton and Wisconsin. Thats a quick turnaround, especially if the Thursday games are during the day.

    6) Last two years, ACC teams are 9-3 against the spread in the first round.

    5) Last year, Wichita State beat Sean Miller’s Arizona Wildcats 65-55 in the NCAA’s; this year, Shockers play Dayton in the first round- Flyers are coached by Archie Miller, Sean’s brother.

    4) Westgate Sportsbook in Las Vegas (where it is not expected to snow this week, unlike in beautiful downtown Albany) has Duke at 5-1 to win it all; North Carolina is 6-1, followed by Kansas/Kentucky/Villanova, all at 8-1, then Gonzaga 10-1.

    3) Six years ago, New Orleans didn’t have a basketball team; they were out of it for two years as the school considered dropping to Division III. Now the Privateers are in the NCAA’s- they won by 16 at Washington State of the Pac-12. Great coaching job by Mark Slessinger- UNO is 16-5 this season vs teams ranked outside the top 200. Mt St Mary’s is ranked #213.

    2) Several teams made the NCAA’s for the first time; Northwestern, Cal-Davis, North Dakota and Jacksonville State; for those teams, everything from this point on is gravy- they’ve already had a fabulous season.

    1— Someone in the blur of last week’s TV deluge predicted a 16-seed would beat a 1-seed this season; it has never happened, but look at the four games this year- it still ain’t happening.

    #385705

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 13

    ——————————————————————————–

    NORFOLK ST (17 – 16) at LIBERTY (19 – 13) – 3/13/2017, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    NCAAB
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Monday, March 13

    Liberty lost three of last four games after being 13-2 in Big South; they start two frosh and a sophomore, are #294 experience team. Flames are 14-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they play 10th slowest tempo in country, force turnovers 21.8% of time. Norfolk State split its last six games; they’re 15-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Spartans are #38 experience team, starting two juniors, two seniors.

    #385706

    cnotes
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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, March 14

    ——————————————————————————–

    MOUNT ST MARYS (19 – 15) vs. NEW ORLEANS (20 – 11) – 3/14/2017, 6:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    NEW ORLEANS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————-

    KANSAS ST (20 – 13) vs. WAKE FOREST (19 – 13) – 3/14/2017, 9:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WAKE FOREST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 74-112 ATS (-49.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 107-143 ATS (-50.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 118-152 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    Wednesday, March 15

    ——————————————————————————–

    NC CENTRAL (25 – 8) vs. CAL DAVIS (22 – 12) – 3/15/2017, 6:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
    NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
    NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    USC (24 – 9) vs. PROVIDENCE (20 – 12) – 3/15/2017, 9:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    USC is 1-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
    PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    NCAAB
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Monday, March 13

    Play-in games, Dayton
    Tuesday
    Mt St Mary’s went 17-4 in a bad NEC, was 2-12 out of conference; they’re 1-10 vs teams in top 200; they haven’t played one since Dec 19. Mountaineers lost this game 71-64 to Albany three years ago. NEC teams are 3-2 overall in play-in games. New Orleans didn’t even have a hoop team six years ago; Privateers won eight of last ten games, are #5 experience team- they start two juniors, three seniors, but they turn ball over 23.9% of time, 3rd-worst in country. Teams from Southland are 1-1 in play-in games.

    Kansas State went 11-1 in its pre-conference schedule then was 9-11 in Big X games; Wildcats won three of last four games; they start three sophs, two seniors. K-State beat Boston College of the ACC 72-54 in November. Wake Forest beat BC three times, by 13-5-14 points. Deacons won four of last five games; they’re 9-3 out of conference. Wake starts three sophs, is #275 experience team. K-State starts two sophs, three seniors, is #218 team in experience. Last six years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in the “varsity (11-seed)” play-in games.

    Wednesday
    North Carolina Central won at Northern Kentucky and Missouri, lost by 6 at Ohio State; they’re 20-3 vs teams outside the top 200. Eagles are most experienced team in country, starting five seniors- they lost by 18 to Iowa State in NCAA’s three years ago. MEAC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, winning last two. Cal-Davis is in NCAA’s for first time; they start two senior guards, are 5-6 vs teams in top 200. Three years ago, Cal Poly of Big West won their play-in game by 12. Last six years, favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread in the “JV (16-seed) ” play-in game.

    Providence beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 first round game LY, scoring on an OB under play as the game ended, a game Trojans led by 5 with 2:21 left. Friars are in NCAA’s for 4th year in row (1-3 last three years, with USC with only win); they won six of last seven games, are #278 experience team, starting four juniors. Southern Cal is 3-5 in its last eight games; they went 13-0 vs #251 pre-conference schedule. USC is #326 experience team; they start a freshman, three sophs; this is much longer trip for them than for Friars. Trojans are 2-6 vs teams in the top 60.

    #385707

    cnotes
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Monday, March 13

    Play-in games, Dayton
    Tuesday
    Mt St Mary’s went 17-4 in a bad NEC, was 2-12 out of conference; they’re 1-10 vs teams in top 200; they haven’t played one since Dec 19. Mountaineers lost this game 71-64 to Albany three years ago. NEC teams are 3-2 overall in play-in games. New Orleans didn’t even have a hoop team six years ago; Privateers won eight of last ten games, are #5 experience team- they start two juniors, three seniors, but they turn ball over 23.9% of time, 3rd-worst in country. Teams from Southland are 1-1 in play-in games.

    Kansas State went 11-1 in its pre-conference schedule then was 9-11 in Big X games; Wildcats won three of last four games; they start three sophs, two seniors. K-State beat Boston College of the ACC 72-54 in November. Wake Forest beat BC three times, by 13-5-14 points. Deacons won four of last five games; they’re 9-3 out of conference. Wake starts three sophs, is #275 experience team. K-State starts two sophs, three seniors, is #218 team in experience. Last six years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in the “varsity (11-seed)” play-in games.

    Wednesday
    North Carolina Central won at Northern Kentucky and Missouri, lost by 6 at Ohio State; they’re 20-3 vs teams outside the top 200. Eagles are most experienced team in country, starting five seniors- they lost by 18 to Iowa State in NCAA’s three years ago. MEAC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, winning last two. Cal-Davis is in NCAA’s for first time; they start two senior guards, are 5-6 vs teams in top 200. Three years ago, Cal Poly of Big West won their play-in game by 12. Last six years, favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread in the “JV (16-seed) ” play-in game.

    Providence beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 first round game LY, scoring on an OB under play as the game ended, a game Trojans led by 5 with 2:21 left. Friars are in NCAA’s for 4th year in row (1-3 last three years, with USC with only win); they won six of last seven games, are #278 experience team, starting four juniors. Southern Cal is 3-5 in its last eight games; they went 13-0 vs #251 pre-conference schedule. USC is #326 experience team; they start a freshman, three sophs; this is much longer trip for them than for Friars. Trojans are 2-6 vs teams in the top 60.

    #385708

    cnotes
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    2017 NIT, CBI, CIT Results
    March 13, 2017

    NCAA Tournament

    National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

    REGION 1 – CALIFORNIA
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 14 CSU Bakersfield at California – –
    Mar. 14 College of Charleston at Colorado – –
    Mar. 15 Texas-Arlington at Brigham Young – –
    Mar. 15 Akron at Houston – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 21-22 TBA at TBA – –

    REGION 2 – SYRACUSE
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 14 UNC Greensboro at Syracuse – –
    Mar. 14 Mississippi at Monmouth (NJ) – –
    Mar. 14 Indiana at Georgia Tech – –
    Mar. 15 Belmont at Georgia – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 21-22 TBA at TBA – –

    REGION 3 – ILLINOIS STATE
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 14 Boise State at Utah – –
    Mar. 14 Valparaiso at Illinois – –
    Mar. 15 UC Irvine at Illinois State – –
    Mar. 15 Colorado at UCF – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 21-22 TBA at TBA – –

    REGION 4 – IOWA
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 14 Richmond at Alabama – –
    Mar. 14 Oakland at Clemson – –
    Mar. 15 South Dakota at Iowa – –
    Mar. 15 Fresno State at Texas Christian – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 16-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 21-22 TBA at TBA – –

    SEMIFINALS & FINALS
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 28 TBA vs. TBA – –
    Mar. 28 TBA vs. TBA – –
    Mar. 30 TBA vs. TBA – –

    College Basketball Invitational (CBI)
    FIRST ROUND
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 15 Utah Valley at Georgia Southern – –
    Mar. 15 Loyola (MD) at George Mason – –
    Mar. 15 Hampton at Coastal Carolina – –
    Mar. 15 Toledo at George Washington – –
    Mar. 15 Stony Brook at Illinois-Chicago – –
    Mar. 15 Green Bay at Missouri-Kansas City – –
    Mar. 15 San Francisco at Rice – –
    Mar. 15 Eastern Washington at Wyoming – –

    QUARTERFINALS AND SEMIFINALS
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 22 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 22 TBA at TBA – –

    FINALS (BEST-OF-THREE)
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 27 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 29 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 31 TBA at TBA – –

    CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT)
    FIRST ROUND
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 13 Norfolk State at Liberty – –
    Mar. 14 St. Francis (PA) at Jacksonville – –
    Mar. 14 Houston Baptist at Campbell – –
    Mar. 14 Canisius at Samford – –
    Mar. 15 Ball State at IUPUI Fort Wayne – –
    Mar. 15 Fairfield at Maryland-Baltimore County – –
    Mar. 15 Georgia State at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi – –
    Mar. 15 Stephen F. Austin at Idaho – –
    Mar. 16 Lamar at Texas State – –
    Mar. 16 St. Peter’s at Albany – –
    Mar. 16 Furman at South Carolina-Upstate – –
    Mar. 16 UNC Asheville at Tennesse-Martin – –
    Mar. 16 Weber State at CS Fullerton – –

    SECOND ROUND AND QUARTERFINALS
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 17-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 17-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 17-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 17-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 17-20 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 23-26 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 23-26 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 23-26 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 23-26 TBA at TBA – –

    SEMIFINALS & FINALS
    Date Matchup Score ATS Result
    Mar. 29 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 29 TBA at TBA – –
    Mar. 31 TBA at TBA – –

    #385709

    cnotes
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    Villanova’s first opponent: the weather
    March 12, 2017

    Villanova may have an opponent no overall No. 1 seed deserves – weather.

    The Wildcats open play Thursday but there may be an outside influence on that game.

    A major snowstorm is expected to hit the Northeast on Tuesday and that means a tough trip from Philadelphia to Buffalo, even for the defending national champions.

    ”We’re looking at leaving tomorrow night right now to try to get out of here before the snow hits on Tuesday,” Wright said Sunday.

    The Wildcats open against the winner of the First Four game between Mount Saint Mary’s and New Orleans on Tuesday.

    ”We’ll have the team watch it. We’ll watch it together and then we’ll still break it down. We’ll have the assistants break it down,” Wright said. ”It’s actually tougher. You don’t have as much time to prepare.”

    HOTTEST TEAM:

    If you’re looking for the East region’s hottest team you have to go all the way down to the No. 6 seed – SMU.

    The Mustangs have won 16 straight – including three games in the American Athletic Conference Tournament – and 26 of their last 27.

    ”Our confidence is very high,” Sterling Brown said. ”We just go out there and do what we do. We’re gelling on and off the floor and it’s showing. I feel like we’re going to make a good run in the tournament.”

    HOME COOKING:

    If second-seeded Duke beats No. 15 Troy and seventh-seeded South Carolina beats No. 10 Marquette, the Blue Devils would face the Gamecocks in the second round in Greenville, South Carolina.

    BIG INJURY:

    Florida has had to play without center John Egbunu who tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee in a game at Auburn.

    The 6-foot-11 redshirt junior, averaged 7.8 points and a team-leading 6.6 rebounds this season. The Gators had won seven straight games when Egbunu was hurt. They won two more then closed the season losing three of four, the last two to Vanderbilt.

    WHICH BAYLOR?:

    Baylor is the No. 3 seed, a spot many argued they didn’t deserve after closing the season by losing four of their last seven including a quarterfinal loss to Kansas State in the Big 12 Tournament.

    The Bears started the season with 15 wins and 19 of 20. But down the stretch there were two losses to Kansas State, one of the last four teams selected for the NCAA Tournament, and one to Texas Tech, which is not in the NCAA field.

    ”So now we have to get back to what we were doing, and, you know, maybe how we were being collectively together as a team early on in the year and get back to that feeling,” sophomore guard Jake Lindsey said.

    TIRED DUKE:

    The Blue Devils won four games in four days to win the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament . Even though they don’t open play against Troy until Friday, how will coach Mike Krzyzewski handle his team being tired?

    ”One thing is we adjust how much we give them in a scouting report. It becomes less because there’s less time,” he said. ”We’re at the end of the season, so they’re accustomed to that.

    ”Winning championships is not easy. So whatever you need to do to be tough, it’s not about being motivated now. They are motivated. They’re tired. The other team is really good. How are we going to be tough right now?”

    SHORT TAKE:

    Mount Saint Mary’s will have one of the smallest players in the field in 5-foot-5 Junior Robinson, the Mountaineers’ second-leading scorer at 14.1 points per game.

    Robinson is second in assists (2.9) and second in steals (66).

    SEAHAWKS REPEAT:

    UNCW is 1-5 in its five previous NCAA Tournaments, winning its first-round game in 2002 against No. 4 seed Southern California before losing in the second round to Indiana.

    The Seahawks repeated as Colonial Athletic Association champions and last year they lost 93-85 to fourth-seeded Duke. It would take three wins for a rematch in this year’s East region Sweet Sixteen.

    ”This is definitely a confidence boost,” C.J. Bryce, a sophomore named the tournament’s most outstanding player, said. ”As long as we stay focused, we’ll be good.”

    #385710

    cnotes
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    Bracket Analysis
    March 12, 2017

    This is our favorite column of the year that we drop every Selection Sunday.

    It’s called Bracket Analysis. Let’s do it!

    The four No. 1 seeds are Gonzaga (West Region), Kansas (Midwest), Villanova (East) and North Carolina (South). The picks of the Bulldogs, Jayhawks and Wildcats were no-brainers, but some felt that Arizona and Duke had cases to be ahead of the Tar Heels, who lost to Duke twice, including Saturday’s setback in the ACC Tournament semifinals. Meanwhile, Sean Miller’s team beat Oregon on Saturday night to win the Pac-12 Tournament.

    Speaking of the Ducks, they lost starting center Chris Boucher to a torn ACL in Las Vegas this past weekend. That fact prompted the Selection Committee to drop Oregon to a No. 3 seed when it was probably slated for a No. 2 seed before the injury. Boucher was averaging 11.8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game.

    Villanova is a top seed for the third time in school history. The Wildcats are looking to repeat as national champions after winning both the Big East regular-season title and the league tournament at MSG in NYC. They’ll get the Wisconsin-Va. Tech winner in the Round of 32, assuming they don’t become the first No. 1 seed to ever fall against a 16 seed.

    Jay Wright’s team has these potential foes in the Sweet 16: fourth-seeded Florida, fifth-seeded Virginia, 12-seed UNC-Wilmington or 13th East Tennessee State. The Buccaneers won at Mississippi State and lost by four at Tennessee. They lost by nine at UNC-Wilmington and by 14 at Dayton.

    The Gators will certainly have fresh legs after getting beaten by Vanderbilt in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals. They’ll only have to travel 90 minutes to Orlando, the same city where their Final Four run started in the 2014 NCAA Tournament. I think UF will get past the UVA-UNC-W winner, which could certainly be the Seahawks.

    That would provide us with a Villanova-Florida showdown in the East Region semifinals at MSG. These teams met in the 2005 and 2006 NCAA Tournaments. The Wildcats won a 76-65 decision in the Round of 32 in ’05, but the Gators exacted revenge in the ’06 Elite Eight by capturing a 75-62 victory on their way to the school’s first national title.

    The other portion of the East Region features No. 2 seed Duke, which is fresh off of Saturday’s win over Notre Dame in the ACC Tournament finals. The Blue Devils face the Troy Trojans, who beat Texas State. 59-53 in the Sun Belt Tournament finals. Mike Krzyzewski’s team would face the Marquette-South Carolina survivor if it knocks off Troy.

    I think sixth-seeded SMU will make the Sweet 16 by beating Baylor to set up at date with Duke in NYC. I see form holding in the East with Villanova facing Duke in what will be an epic showdown at the best venue possible.

    Let’s turn to the Midwest, where Kansas will face the Miami-Michigan State winner. Like Florida, Bill Self’s team will have fresh legs after its Big 12 Tournament quarterfinals loss to TCU. The Jayhawks were playing without one of their best players, freshman sensation Josh Jackson, who was serving a one-game suspension in the loss to Horned Frogs.

    If KU gets to the Sweet 16, possible foes include Purdue (4), Vermont (13), Iowa State (5) and Nevada (12). The Cyclones, who won the Big 12 Tournament by dusting West Virginia in Saturday’s finals in Kansas City, are absolutely on fire. They’ve won nine of their last 10 games while going 8-2 ATS. I think ISU gets to the Sweet 16 where it will meet the Jayhawks, who won 76-72 in Ames but lost to the Cyclones at Allen Fieldhouse by a 92-89 count.

    Watch out for a potential upset of Purdue by the Catamounts, who own the nation’s longest winning streak. Vermont, the America East champion, haven’t tasted defeat since Dec. 21 in an 81-69 loss at Butler.

    The lower part of the Midwest features a dandy of a 7/10 matchup with Michigan taking on Oklahoma State. The Wolverines were the best story of the weekend. The team plane skidded off the runway at the Detroit airport as it was taking off for the Big Ten Tournament in Washington D.C. The terrifying incident left Michigan to catch a flight the next morning at 6:00 a.m. on the day it was playing Illinois.

    John Beilein’s team won four games in four days to win the Big Ten Tourney, including scalps of Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. The Wolverines smoked the Badgers 71-56 in Sunday’s finals. They’ll face the Cowboys on Friday in Indianapolis.

    Brad Underwood’s team finished strong down the stretch and has a star in Jawun Evans. Also, Oklahoma State has the nation’s best free-throw shooter (Phil Forte) and outstanding players in Jeffrey Carroll and Leyton Hammonds.

    The OSU-Michigan winner will likely face second-seeded Louisville, which takes on Jacksonville State. The Cardinals are certainly in danger of getting sent home in the Round of 32.

    Now to the South Region, where North Carolina will take on Arkansas or Seton Hall in Greenville. I see the Tar Heels easily advancing to the Sweet 16, where I believe they’ll meet Butler in Memphis.

    Memphis could have an influx of bluebloods in two weeks. There’s a strong chance Kentucky, the No. 2 seed, and UCLA, the third seed, will join UNC at FedEx Forum. If the UK-UCLA South Region semifinal matchup materializes (I say it will), it would be a rematch of an early December game when the Bruins went into Rupp Arena as double-digit underdogs and beat UK by a 97-92 count.

    I was in Memphis for the South Region semifinals and finals three years ago when Florida beat Dayton in the Elite Eight. The Flyers, the South’s No. 7 seed, could get back to Memphis again with wins over Wichita State and UK (presumably). UCLA was also in Memphis that year, losing to UF in the Sweet 16. The Bruins hope to return with wins over Kent State and, in my opinion, Cincinnati.

    If Gregg Marshall’s Shockers can get past Dayton (more on this great coaching matchup below), it will get a rematch with the ‘Cats, who ended their unbeaten season with a thrilling win in the Round of 32 three years ago. To demonstrate how wrong the committee was in placing Wichita State and its 30-4 record as a 10-seed, the Shockers opened as 7.5-point favorites vs. Dayton. The line was down to 6.5 as of Sunday night.

    Finally, let’s check out the West that features Gonzaga, Arizona, FSU and West Va. as its top four seeds. There’s also Northwestern as the endless wait for an NCAA bid finally concluded Sunday when the Wildcats were marked as the 8-seed. They’ll take on Vanderbilt, which has won seven of its last nine games while going 8-1 ATS. The NW-Vandy winner will meet Gonzaga. If Gonzaga gets to the West semifinals, I think Notre Dame will be waiting for it.

    FSU and Florida Gulf Coast will play a 3/14 game in Orlando. The Seminoles went unbeaten at home this year, but they’ve had all sorts of problems playing on the road and at neutral venues. Leonard Hamilton’s team better be on upset alert. This program hasn’t been to an Elite Eight since 1993 and hasn’t gone to the Final Four since 1972. FSU is in the field for the first time in five years.

    I think sixth-seeded Maryland will get to the Sweet 16 with victories over Xavier and the FSU-FGC survivor. The Terrapins will get Arizona in the West semifinals after the Wildcats slip past VCU in a nail-biter.

    I think the West is the weakest region and Arizona will beat Notre Dame in the finals to get to the Final Four. If that happens, Sean Miller will finally be able to shake the label of ‘the best coach never to make the Final Four.’

    The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas has tabbed Duke as the 5/1 ‘chalk’ to win the Tournament. UNC has the second-shortest odds (6/1), followed by Kentucky, Villanova and Kansas, who each have 8/1 odds. The next-shortest odds belong to Gonzaga (10/1), Louisville (12/1), Arizona (12/1), UCLA (12/1) and Oregon (25/1).

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    — Florida is making its 19th NCAA Tournament appearance. The Gators have been to five Final Fours, eight Elite Eights and three national-title games, winning it all twice. They have a stellar 42-17 overall record in the Tournament.

    — Best Round of 64 matchups:
    1-Oklahoma State vs. Michigan
    2-Minnesota vs. Middle Tennessee
    3-Princeton vs. Notre Dame
    4-Dayton vs. Wichita State
    5-Northwestern vs. Vanderbilt

    — Best Coaching Matchups:
    1-Jim Larranaga (Miami) vs. Tom Izzo (Michigan State)
    2-Archie Miller (Dayton) vs. Gregg Marshall (Wichita State)
    3-John Beilein (Michigan) vs. Brad Underwood (Oklahoma State)
    4-Buzz Williams (Va. Tech) vs. Greg Gard (Wisconsin)
    5-Tony Bennett (Virginia) vs. Kevin Keatts (UNC-Wilmington)

    — I think Gonzaga will be the first No. 1 seed eliminated. The Vanderbilt-Northwestern could pull the trick. If Mark Few’s team makes the Sweet 16, it will go down against either West Virginia or Notre Dame. Granted, the Fighting Irish face a stern test against Princeton, but I think it will find a way to survive and I really like the Irish’s chances to get to a third consecutive Elite Eight. With all that said, Wisconsin is a very dangerous No. 8 seed that has tons of NCAA Tournament experience (and success) from its core group of players. By the way, how the hell are the Badgers an eight seed? I think Villanova will slip past UW, but the Tournament’s No. 1 overall seed shouldn’t have to face a team as good as the Badgers during the first weekend.

    — Most Dangerous Double-Digit Seeds: Oklahoma State, VCU and Middle Tennessee.

    — Teams with a No. 5 seed or lower that can get (or stay) hot and win the national title: Iowa State, Michigan, Notre Dame and Oklahoma State.

    — I suggest buying the following future tickets for small amounts (remember, these teams don’t have to win it all for you to profit, as there will be all sorts of hedge scenarios to ensure making money if these schools advance to the Sweet 16): Iowa State (60/1), Michigan (65/1), Notre Dame (80/1) and Oklahoma State (100/1). (those odds courtesy of Sportsbook.ag as of Sunday night)

    #385711

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    East Regional Snapshot
    March 13, 2017

    1 Villanova vs. 16 TBD
    2 Duke vs. 15 Troy
    3 Baylor vs. 14 New Mexico State
    4 Florida vs. 13 East Tennessee State
    5 Virginia vs. 12 UNC Wilmington
    6 SMU vs. 11 TBD
    7 South Carolina vs. 10 Marquette
    8 Wisconsin vs. 9 Virginia Tech

    Odds to win East Regional – per Sportsbook.ag

    EAST REGIONAL STATS

    Seed Team SU ATS Away Last 5 Last 10 O-PPG D-PPG FG% 3-PT% FT%
    1 Villanova 31-3 18-15 17-2 5-0 9-1 77.7 62.8 49.7 37.0 79.4
    2 Duke 27-8 15-18-1 12-7 4-1 7-3 80.7 69.8 47.7 37.5 75.8
    3 Baylor 25-7 14-13 10-5 3-2 5-5 72.7 62.7 47.1 35.9 71.7
    4 Florida 24-8 17-13 15-7 2-3 7-3 78.3 66.6 45.0 36.2 72.6
    5 Virginia 22-10 18-12 10-6 4-1 5-5 66.6 55.6 46.4 39.3 70.8
    6 SMU 30-4 22-6-1 11-4 5-0 10-0 74.5 59.8 47.4 40.6 69.5
    7 South Carolina 22-10 11-16-2 7-7 2-3 4-6 72.1 64.5 41.5 33.9 69.1
    8 Wisconsin 25-9 15-16 10-7 3-2 4-6 71.9 61.4 45.2 35.6 64.4
    9 Virginia Tech 22-10 16-11-1 7-8 3-2 6-4 79.2 74.4 49.0 40.3 73.4
    10 Marquette 19-12 16-15 5-9 3-2 5-5 82.5 75.0 48.7 43.0 77.9
    11 TBD
    12 UNC-Wilmington 29-5 14-15-1 16-4 5-0 9-1 85.2 74.9 48.2 36.6 69.2
    13 East Tennessee State 27-7 17-13-1 14-5 4-1 9-1 79.9 69.4 49.1 38.3 70.4
    14 New Mexico State 28-5 3-2 11-4 5-0 7-3 78.9 67.2 46.8 33.7 71.2
    15 Troy 22-14 20-12 12-10 5-0 8-2 78.4 71.7 45.7 36.3 72.3
    16 TBD

    Favorite: Villanova (31-3 SU, 18-15 ATS)

    The Wildcats are seeking their second consecutive championship after knocking off North Carolina at the buzzer to win the 2016 title. Villanova lost two of its top players from last year’s squad, but Jay Wright’s squad didn’t skip a beat by finishing non-conference play undefeated and capturing the Big East tournament title. Villanova will face the winner of Mount St. Mary’s and New Orleans on Thursday as the Wildcats covered in all six tournament victories last season.

    Underachiever: Wisconsin (25-9 SU, 15-16 ATS)

    The Badgers finished the regular season with the second-best record in the Big 10, but Wisconsin lost six of its final 10 games down the stretch. UW fell in the Big 10 title game to red-hot Michigan, as the Badgers dropped all the way to an eighth seed, where they will face Virginia Tech on Thursday night. The Badgers reached the championship game two seasons ago, but were knocked out in the Sweet 16 last season by Notre Dame following a pair of close victories over Pittsburgh and Xavier.

    Keep an Eye on: SMU (30-4 SU, 22-6-1 ATS)

    The Mustangs missed out on the NCAA tournament last season due to probation, but SMU is ready to make a run towards the Final Four. SMU captured the American Athletic Conference tournament title by beating Cincinnati to avenge an earlier loss and extend their winning streak to 16 games. The Mustangs will draw the winner of USC and Providence on Friday as SMU owns a remarkable 13-2-1 ATS record during this hot streak with the two ATS losses coming as a favorite of 19 points or more.

    Easiest Travel: Florida and South Carolina

    The tournament committee does it best to keep the first two rounds as regionalized as possible but the Gators and Gamecocks received terrific travel draws. Florida makes the short trip from Gainesville to Orlando to face East Tennessee State out of the Southern Conference on Thursday. The Gators are making their first tournament appearance since reaching the Final Four in 2014 before falling to eventual champion UConn.

    The Gamecocks are back in the Big Dance for the first time since 2004 as they seek their first tournament win since 1973. South Carolina makes the 90-minute drive from Columbia to Greenville to face Marquette in the late tip-off on Friday night. However, the Gamecocks weren’t sharp down the stretch by losing five of their last seven games, with four of those defeats coming away from Columbia.

    Toughest Travel: Marquette (19-12 SU, 16-15 ATS)

    It seems like a road game for the Eagles, who face South Carolina in Greenville. Marquette failed to win a game in the Big East tournament after losing to Seton Hall, while owning a 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS record in its last seven games as an underdog away from Milwaukee. The Eagles picked up a road victory against an SEC squad earlier this season by winning at Georgia in December as three-point underdogs, 89-79.

    Highest Total: Duke/Troy – 153

    Lowest Total: Baylor/New Mexico State – 135 ½

    #385939

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    Armadillo: Tuesday’s six-pack

    — Nick Foles signed a 2-year, $11M deal to go back to the Eagles as a backup QB.

    — Since December 1st, Washington Wizards have the best record in the NBA.

    — There were 15,307 pitching changes in 2,430 games in the major leagues LY. Reduce that number by two per game, and games would already be ten minutes shorter.

    — Once again this year, I have to look up what channel TruTV is on my DirecTV; LOL Turns out it is channel 246 and as I type this, Impractical Jokers is on. I watch truTV four days a year.

    — Reading articles about baseball metrics, the amount of data involved now is simply mind-numbing. I love numbers, but some of this stuff goes beyond numbers.

    — World Baseball tournament had sone chaos late Sunday night; the tie-breaker rules were not clearly stated and things got confused- Venezuela advanced instead of Mexico. Not everyone was happy about this.

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday’s List of 13: NCAA tournament trends (mostly)…….

    13) Call me an old guy yelling at kids to get off his lawn, but NBA players making 8-figure salaries taking nights off to “rest” is complete BS. They fly around on private jets, never, ever carry their own luggage, but can’t play on consecutive nights? They’re soft.

    Karl-Anthony Towns hasn’t missed a game in his two years in the NBA; nothing soft about him, but he is becoming the exception instead of the rule. Karl Malone played in 80+ games in 17 consecutive non-strike seasons— you don’t think he ever got tired?!?!?!

    12) When Tampa Bay Bucs’ WR Mike Evans was playing at Galveston Ball HS in Texas, the WR on the other side of the field was Phillies OF prospect Nick Williams, who is in AAA with the Phils now, and is their #4 overall prospect, according to Baseball America.

    Now, on to some NCAA tournament trends……..

    11) Over last four years, 16-seeds are 9-7 vs spread in first round games; over last 24 years, the #1 seed in East Region is just 7-16-1 vs spread in the first round.

    10) As I type this, Rhode Island (97%), St Mary’s (96%), UCLA (94%) are getting highest percentage of money wagered on them in their first round games. Most evenly divided action is Princeton (52%)-Notre Dame game. These numbers are at William Hill sports books in Nevada.

    9) Last three years, 14-seeds are 8-4 vs spread in first round, with four SU upsets. All four 3-seeds are favored by 12+ points this week, first time since 2009 that all four 3-seeds were a double digit favorite in the first round.

    8) Over last five years, Atlantic 14 teams are 13-8 vs spread in first round games.

    7) This is mostly random but still interesting; you look at 4-13 first round games- the favorite is 16-7 vs spread in the East region, 9-2 in Southeast, 3-6 in Midwest and 3-14 in the West.

    6) Last two years, Big X teams are 3-11 against the spread in the first round;

    5) Last 23 years, the 12-seed in the Midwest is 18-5 vs spread in first round, 15-8 SU; last 10 years, the 12-seed in the West is 8-2 vs spread, winning three of last four SU. Favorites are 10-5 vs spread in 5-12 games in Southeast, 8-4 in East the last 12 years.

    4) Since 2008, Mountain West teams other than San Diego State are 5-22 vs spread in the NCAA tournament, 4-16 in the first round.

    3) 10-seed Wichita State is favored by 6 points over 10-seed Dayton; since 1987, 10-seeds that are favored over a 7-seed are 10-16-1 vs spread. In the last 30 years, this is the most points a 10-seed has been favored by in the first round.

    2) If you look at the eventual national champ the last 11 years, they went 10-1 vs spread in their first round game, exception being Kentucky in 2012, which beat Western Kentucky by 15 in first round, laying 26.5. WKU’s coach then was Ray Harper, who now has Jacksonville State of OVC in the tournament, this year against Louisville in first round.

    OVC teams are 6-1-1 vs spread in first round the last eight years.

    1— Illinois State coach Dan Muller put out a message on Twitter Monday, asking any “Big 5” conference coach to play a home/home series with the Redbirds next season. Muller won’t get any calls, since the Big 5 conference teams don’t have the onions to play true road games. You think Jim Boeheim is getting on a plane and flying to Normal, IL for a game in December?

    #385940

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, March 14

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    MOUNT ST MARYS (19 – 15) vs. NEW ORLEANS (20 – 11) – 3/14/2017, 6:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    NEW ORLEANS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    KANSAS ST (20 – 13) vs. WAKE FOREST (19 – 13) – 3/14/2017, 9:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WAKE FOREST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 74-112 ATS (-49.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 107-143 ATS (-50.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 118-152 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    UNC-GREENSBORO (25 – 9) at SYRACUSE (18 – 14) – 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    OLE MISS (20 – 13) at MONMOUTH (27 – 6) – 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    INDIANA (18 – 15) at GEORGIA TECH (17 – 15) – 3/14/2017, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    VALPARAISO (24 – 8) at ILLINOIS (18 – 14) – 3/14/2017, 7:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    CS-BAKERSFIELD (22 – 9) at CALIFORNIA (21 – 12) – 3/14/2017, 11:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CS-BAKERSFIELD is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
    CS-BAKERSFIELD is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    COLL OF CHARLESTON (25 – 9) at COLORADO ST (23 – 11) – 3/14/2017, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    RICHMOND (20 – 12) at ALABAMA (19 – 14) – 3/14/2017, 9:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    OAKLAND (24 – 8) at CLEMSON (17 – 15) – 3/14/2017, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
    CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons

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    BOISE ST (19 – 11) at UTAH (20 – 11) – 3/14/2017, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    ST FRANCIS-PA (16 – 16) at JACKSONVILLE (17 – 15) – 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    HOUSTN BAPTIST (17 – 13) at CAMPBELL (17 – 17) – 3/14/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    CANISIUS (18 – 15) at SAMFORD (19 – 15) – 3/14/2017, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    Wednesday, March 15

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    NC CENTRAL (25 – 8) vs. CAL DAVIS (22 – 12) – 3/15/2017, 6:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAL DAVIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
    NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
    NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    USC (24 – 9) vs. PROVIDENCE (20 – 12) – 3/15/2017, 9:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game this season.
    PROVIDENCE is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    USC is 1-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
    PROVIDENCE is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BELMONT (22 – 6) at GEORGIA (19 – 14) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TX-ARLINGTON (25 – 8) at BYU (22 – 11) – 3/15/2017, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    AKRON (26 – 8) at HOUSTON (22 – 10) – 3/15/2017, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    S DAKOTA (22 – 11) at IOWA (18 – 14) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    FRESNO ST (20 – 12) at TCU (19 – 15) – 3/15/2017, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    UC-IRVINE (21 – 14) at ILLINOIS ST (27 – 6) – 3/15/2017, 9:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    COLORADO (19 – 14) at UCF (21 – 11) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    LOYOLA-MD (15 – 16) at GEORGE MASON (20 – 13) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    HAMPTON (14 – 16) at COASTAL CAROLINA (16 – 17) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    TOLEDO (17 – 16) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (19 – 14) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    E WASHINGTON (22 – 11) at WYOMING (18 – 14) – 3/15/2017, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    WI-GREEN BAY (18 – 13) at MISSOURI-KC (17 – 16) – 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WI-GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
    WI-GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    SAN FRANCISCO (20 – 12) at RICE (22 – 11) – 3/15/2017, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    UTAH VALLEY ST (15 – 16) at GA SOUTHERN (18 – 14) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    BALL ST (21 – 12) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (19 – 12) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    FAIRFIELD (16 – 14) at MD-BALT COUNTY (18 – 12) – 3/15/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    GEORGIA ST (20 – 12) at TEXAS A&M CC (20 – 11) – 3/15/2017, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    SF AUSTIN ST (18 – 14) at IDAHO (18 – 13) – 3/15/2017, 11:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    Thursday, March 16

    ——————————————————————————–

    VIRGINIA TECH (22 – 10) vs. WISCONSIN (25 – 9) – 3/16/2017, 9:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    PRINCETON (23 – 6) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 – 9) – 3/16/2017, 12:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PRINCETON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    PRINCETON is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    BUCKNELL (26 – 8) vs. W VIRGINIA (26 – 8) – 3/16/2017, 2:45 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W VIRGINIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
    BUCKNELL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BUCKNELL is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    W VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    UNC-WILMINGTON (29 – 5) vs. VIRGINIA (22 – 10) – 3/16/2017, 12:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 163-126 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    VIRGINIA is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    E TENN ST (27 – 7) vs. FLORIDA (24 – 8) – 3/16/2017, 3:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    FLORIDA is 124-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
    FLORIDA is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    E TENN ST is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
    E TENN ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    E TENN ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
    E TENN ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    FLA GULF COAST (26 – 7) vs. FLORIDA ST (25 – 8) – 3/16/2017, 9:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLA GULF COAST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    FLA GULF COAST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    XAVIER (21 – 13) vs. MARYLAND (24 – 8) – 3/16/2017, 6:50 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    XAVIER is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
    XAVIER is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
    XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
    XAVIER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
    XAVIER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
    XAVIER is 223-176 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    NEVADA (28 – 6) vs. IOWA ST (23 – 10) – 3/16/2017, 9:55 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    IOWA ST is 153-117 ATS (+24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    NEVADA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
    NEVADA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    NEVADA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEVADA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
    NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEVADA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NEVADA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    VERMONT (29 – 5) vs. PURDUE (25 – 7) – 3/16/2017, 7:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PURDUE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    PURDUE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    PURDUE is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against VERMONT over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    MIDDLE TENN ST (30 – 4) vs. MINNESOTA (24 – 9) – 3/16/2017, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MINNESOTA is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    WINTHROP (26 – 6) vs. BUTLER (23 – 8) – 3/16/2017, 1:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUTLER is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    BUTLER is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    BUTLER is 70-34 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    BUTLER is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
    BUTLER is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    BUTLER is 70-34 ATS (+32.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    BUTLER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    BUTLER is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
    BUTLER is 74-42 ATS (+27.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    BUTLER is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
    BUTLER is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
    BUTLER is 210-163 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    S DAKOTA ST (18 – 16) vs. GONZAGA (32 – 1) – 3/16/2017, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S DAKOTA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
    GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
    GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GONZAGA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
    GONZAGA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
    GONZAGA is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
    GONZAGA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GONZAGA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams – allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
    GONZAGA is 34-12 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams – allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
    S DAKOTA ST is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    VANDERBILT (19 – 15) vs. NORTHWESTERN (23 – 11) – 3/16/2017, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NORTHWESTERN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
    NORTHWESTERN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    NORTHWESTERN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    NORTHWESTERN is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    VANDERBILT is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
    VANDERBILT is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    VANDERBILT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
    VANDERBILT is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    VANDERBILT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    N DAKOTA (22 – 9) vs. ARIZONA (30 – 4) – 3/16/2017, 9:50 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
    ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
    N DAKOTA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
    N DAKOTA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    N DAKOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
    N DAKOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
    N DAKOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    N DAKOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    ARIZONA is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    VA COMMONWEALTH (26 – 8) vs. ST MARYS-CA (28 – 4) – 3/16/2017, 7:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST MARYS-CA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST MARYS-CA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST MARYS-CA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    ST MARYS-CA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
    ST MARYS-CA is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    ST PETERS (19 – 13) at ALBANY (21 – 13) – 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    FURMAN (21 – 11) at USC UPSTATE (17 – 15) – 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    UNC-ASHEVILLE (23 – 9) at TENN-MARTIN (21 – 12) – 3/16/2017, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    LAMAR (19 – 14) at TEXAS ST (20 – 13) – 3/16/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS ST is 1-0 straight up against LAMAR over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    WEBER ST (18 – 13) at CS-FULLERTON (17 – 14) – 3/16/2017, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    STONY BROOK (18 – 13) at IL-CHICAGO (15 – 18) – 3/16/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IL-CHICAGO is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    Friday, March 17

    ——————————————————————————–

    TROY (22 – 14) vs. DUKE (27 – 8) – 3/17/2017, 7:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TROY is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
    TROY is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
    TROY is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
    TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
    TROY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
    TROY is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    DUKE is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in March games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    MARQUETTE (19 – 12) vs. S CAROLINA (22 – 10) – 3/17/2017, 9:50 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MARQUETTE is 138-95 ATS (+33.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    S CAROLINA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    S CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    TEXAS SOUTHERN (22 – 11) vs. N CAROLINA (27 – 7) – 3/17/2017, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N CAROLINA is 291-239 ATS (+28.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    SETON HALL (21 – 11) vs. ARKANSAS (25 – 9) – 3/17/2017, 1:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SETON HALL is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    SETON HALL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    SETON HALL is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    SETON HALL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
    SETON HALL is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    SETON HALL is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARKANSAS is 76-118 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 89-134 ATS (-58.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 60-90 ATS (-39.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    JACKSONVILLE ST (20 – 14) vs. LOUISVILLE (24 – 8) – 3/17/2017, 2:45 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOUISVILLE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LOUISVILLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    JACKSONVILLE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LOUISVILLE is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons
    LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    OKLAHOMA ST (20 – 12) vs. MICHIGAN (24 – 11) – 3/17/2017, 12:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
    MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
    MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
    OKLAHOMA ST is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    N KENTUCKY (24 – 10) vs. KENTUCKY (29 – 5) – 3/17/2017, 9:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KENTUCKY is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
    N KENTUCKY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
    N KENTUCKY is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    WICHITA ST (30 – 4) vs. DAYTON (24 – 7) – 3/17/2017, 7:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DAYTON is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    DAYTON is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    DAYTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
    WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
    WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    WICHITA ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
    WICHITA ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    WICHITA ST is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    NEW MEXICO ST (28 – 5) vs. BAYLOR (25 – 7) – 3/17/2017, 12:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in March games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
    BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    MICHIGAN ST (19 – 14) vs. MIAMI (21 – 11) – 3/17/2017, 9:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    MIAMI is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    MIAMI is 137-104 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    MICHIGAN ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
    MIAMI is 11-19 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MIAMI is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    IONA (22 – 12) vs. OREGON (29 – 5) – 3/17/2017, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IONA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
    OREGON is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
    OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
    OREGON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
    OREGON is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game this season.
    IONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    RHODE ISLAND (24 – 9) vs. CREIGHTON (25 – 9) – 3/17/2017, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CREIGHTON is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CREIGHTON is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CREIGHTON is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    RHODE ISLAND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    KENT ST (22 – 13) vs. UCLA (29 – 4) – 3/17/2017, 9:55 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KENT ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
    UCLA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    KENT ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.
    KENT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    UCLA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    UCLA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    UCLA is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    UCLA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    #385941

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Tuesday, March 14

    Play-in games, Dayton
    Tuesday
    Mt St Mary’s went 17-4 in a bad NEC, was 2-12 out of conference; they’re 1-10 vs teams in top 200; they haven’t played one since Dec 19. Mountaineers lost this game 71-64 to Albany three years ago. NEC teams are 3-2 overall in play-in games. New Orleans didn’t even have a hoop team six years ago; Privateers won eight of last ten games, are #5 experience team- they start two juniors, three seniors, but they turn ball over 23.9% of time, 3rd-worst in country. Teams from Southland are 1-1 in play-in games.

    Kansas State went 11-1 in its pre-conference schedule then was 9-11 in Big X games; Wildcats won three of last four games; they start three sophs, two seniors. K-State beat Boston College of the ACC 72-54 in November. Wake Forest beat BC three times, by 13-5-14 points. Deacons won four of last five games; they’re 9-3 out of conference. Wake starts three sophs, is #275 experience team. K-State starts two sophs, three seniors, is #218 team in experience. Last six years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in the “varsity (11-seed)” play-in games.

    Wednesday
    North Carolina Central won at Northern Kentucky and Missouri, lost by 6 at Ohio State; they’re 20-3 vs teams outside the top 200. Eagles are most experienced team in country, starting five seniors- they lost by 18 to Iowa State in NCAA’s three years ago. MEAC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, winning last two. Cal-Davis is in NCAA’s for first time; they start two senior guards, are 5-6 vs teams in top 200. Three years ago, Cal Poly of Big West won their play-in game by 12. Last six years, favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread in the “JV (16-seed) ” play-in game.

    Providence beat USC 70-69 in an 8-9 first round game LY, scoring on an OB under play as the game ended, a game Trojans led by 5 with 2:21 left. Friars are in NCAA’s for 4th year in row (1-3 last three years, with USC with only win); they won six of last seven games, are #278 experience team, starting four juniors. Southern Cal is 3-5 in its last eight games; they went 13-0 vs #251 pre-conference schedule. USC is #326 experience team; they start a freshman, three sophs; this is much longer trip for them than for Friars. Trojans are 2-6 vs teams in the top 60.

    Thursday’s NCAA games
    Day games
    Notre Dame lost in regional finals the last two years; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine first round games, winning last two years by 4-7 points. Princeton won its last 19 games; their last loss was 96-90 to Monmouth Dec 19. Tigers are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 9-11-11-6 points and a 72-70 win at Bucknell- they’re in NCAA’s for first time since 2011, when they lost 59-57 (+13) as a 13-seed vs Kentucky; Ivy League teams are 5-2 vs spread in first round last seven years (4-3 SU). Princeton played Sunday, now has early game Thursday; not best scenario.

    Virginia went 9-7 down stretch after starting season 16-3; they won four of last five games, with all four wins by 10+ points. Cavaliers play slowest-tempo games in country, are #16 team in country at protecting ball. NC-Wilmington won its last seven games; they’re 11-2 outside CAA, with one of losses by 14 at Clemson of ACC. Seahawks are #57 experience team, starting three seniors, two sophomores; they force turnovers 20.4% of time. Virginia won their last three first round games, by 11-12-36 points. Since ’09, CAA teams are 8-2 vs spread in first round games. Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in 5-12 first round games.

    Winthrop is in NCAA’s for first time since 2010; they’re #31 experience team, starting three seniors and a junior. Eagles lost by 14 at Florida St, 16 at Dayton- they won at Illinois in their games vs “bigtime” teams. Winthrop makes 38% of its 3-pointers, accounting for 36.7% of their points. Butler lost its last two games, split their last ten games; they’re 5-1 vs teams outside top 100, with three wins by 16+ points. Bulldogs won first round games the last two years, by 8-10 points. Since ’08, Big South teams are 2-5 vs spread in first round games.

    Gonzaga hammered South Dakota 102-65 Dec 21; Coyotes finished four games ahead of rival South Dakota State in Summit standings- does that make Zags overconfident here? Over last seven years, Gonzaga is 5-2 vs spread in first round games; last time they were a 1-seed (’13) they won their first round game 64-58. Jackrabbits lost first six D-I games this season; they lost by 29 at Cal, 12 to East Tennessee St, 28 at Northern Iowa, 22 to Wichita State in non-league games vs good teams. Since ’03, Summit League teams are 4-8-2 vs spread in first round, 4-4 last eight years.

    Bucknell won 18 of its last 21 games, winning last six; they lost by 20 at Wake Forest, by 26 at Butler, but also won at Vanderbilt. Patriot League teams are 0-4 vs spread in this round the last four years, losing by 12-40-41-39 points; Bucknell is in tourney for first time since 68-56 (+3) loss to Butler four years ago. West Virginia lost in first round LY to SF Austin; Mountaineers force turnovers 28.1% of time, #1 in country- they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight first round games. Last three years, underdogs are 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 first round games.

    Florida lost three of last four games, all to Vandy/Kentucky; Gators are 19-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 50- this is coach White’s first NCAA tourney in his sixth year as a head coach. East Tennessee State won 13 of its last 15 games; they’re #7 experience team in country, starting a junior, four seniors. Buccaneers played two SEC teams this year, losing to Tennessee by 4 at home, winning by 2 at Miss State- ETSU coach Forbes was an assistant at Tennessee for six years. Last three years, dogs are 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 first round games.

    5-seed Minnesota is a 1-point favorite over 12-seed Middle Tennessee? Gophers are in NCAA tourney for first time since ’13; they’ve won nine of last 11 games, but lost senior G Springs over weekend- they played only six guys in last game (three played 39:00+). Blue Raiders beat Michigan St in first round LY; they’re 20-1 in last 21 games, 5-1 vs top 100 teams, with wins over UNCW, Ole Miss, Vandy, Belmont. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-14 vs spread (12-8 SU) in first round games. Last six years, C-USA teams are 4-2 vs spread in this round.

    Northwestern is in NCAA’s for first time, despite going 5-7 in its last 12 games; Wildcats are 4-6 vs top 40 teams this season, with best win at Wisconsin- they start two juniors, two seniors, are healthier now with Lindsey (mono) back in lineup. Vanderbilt won seven of its last nine games; they were only 6-6 in pre-conference games, going 0-5 vs top 50 teams- they’re 6-9 overall vs top 50 teams this season. Drew was in NCAA’s twice as Valpo’s coach, losing first round games by 3-11 points. Commodores are 1-5 in last six NCAA tournament games.

    Night games
    Maryland is #317 experience team, playing three frosh around star PG Trimble; Terps are 4-6 in their last ten games after a 20-2 start when they won eight games by 6 or less points- they beat Georgetown by point in only game vs Big East foe. Xavier lost seven of last ten games; two of three wins were over doormat DePaul; Musketeers are 6-7 since Somner got hurt, but Bluiett is back, playing 38:00+ in seven games since he returned. Xavier played three starters 38:00+ in last game, a 4th kid 34:00- they’re 9-3 in last 12 first round games. Underdogs are 5-3 SU in 6-11 games the last two years.

    VCU split its last six games after a 23-5 start; Rams are 4-2 in last six first round games- they’re #40 experience team, forcing turnovers 21% of time (#36)- they start four seniors. St Mary’s is in NCAA’s for first time since ’13; 2-3 vs top 60 teams, with three losses to Gonzaga, wins over Dayton, Nevada back in November (VCU split pair with Dayton). Gaels are #84 experience team, playing 2nd-slowest tempo in country; they start three juniors, two seniors- they’ve got #4 eFG% in country. Last six years, underdogs are 14-9-1 vs spread in 7-10 games.

    Purdue lost in first round LY as a 5-seed; their last tourney win was in ’12. Boilers won eight of last ten games with both losses to Michigan- they’re #23 experience team- no seniors start. Vermont won its last 21 games, is in its first NCAA since 2012; Catamounts lost to Providence by 22, Butler by 12, So Carolina by 18; their best win was over #111 Harvard. Vermont is #93 experience team, but start only one senior. America East teams are 6-6 vs spread in last 12 tourney games, but Albany was 5-1, rest of league is 1-5 vs spread. Last three years, underdog is 7-5 vs spread in 4-13 games— since ’13, single digit underdogs are 5-4 in 4-13 games.

    Florida State is in NCAA’s for first time since 2012; they split last four first round games (1-3 vs spread). Seminoles split their last eight games- they’re #306 experience team, starting frosh and two sophs- their bench plays #23 minutes in country. FSU is 11-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with ten wins by 14+ points- the only loss was to Temple. Florida Gulf Coast won 19 of last 21 games; they’re 0-3 vs top 50 teams, losing by 21 to Florida, 1 at Michigan St, 9 at Baylor- they lost by 16 to UNC in this round LY. Last four years, double digit favorites are 4-3 vs spread in 4-13 games.

    Virginia Tech is in NCAA’s for first time since ’07; Hokies are 2-0 vs Big 14 teams, winning by 3 at Michigan, by 13 over Nebraska on neutral floor. Tech starts two juniors, two seniors; they’re #103 experience team- they make 40.3% of their 3’s (#9 in country). Wisconsin beat Syracuse by 17, lost by 15 to UNC; Badgers are 4-6 in last 10 games (3-1 in last four)- they start four seniors, but are #306 at defending arc (37.7%). Last three years, favorites are 6-4 vs spread in 8-9 games; last five years, favorites of 4+ points are 6-2 vs spread in 8-9 games.

    Arizona won five of its last six first round games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight first round games, 4-6 in last 10 first round games when laying double digits. When Wildcats won Pac-12 tourney two years ago, they won first round game by 21. Arizona is #323 experience team, with two frosh and a soph starting. North Dakota is here for first time; Hawks went 2-5 vs D-I teams in pre-conference. UND plays #34 tempo in country. Big Sky teams lost last ten NCAA 1st round games (2-8 vs spread); last SU winner was Montana in ’06.

    Since ’08, Mountain West teams other than San Diego State are 5-22 vs spread in NCAA tournament, 4-16 in the first round. Nevada is in NCAA’s for first time since ’07; they’ve got a former NBA coach, start three sophs- their bench plays 2nd-least minutes in country. Since ’94, underdogs in 5-12 game in this region are 18-5 vs spread, 15-8 SU. Over last four years, dogs are 11-5 vs spread in 5-12 games. Iowa State is #6 experience team in country, starting four seniors; they’re 4-1 in last five first round games, with all four wins by 13+ points.

    #385944

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB

    Tuesday, March 14

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Trend Report
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    7:00 PM
    UNC GREENSBORO vs. SYRACUSE
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of UNC Greensboro’s last 9 games on the road
    UNC Greensboro is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Syracuse is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

    7:00 PM
    MISSISSIPPI vs. MONMOUTH
    Mississippi is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Mississippi is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Monmouth’s last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Monmouth’s last 6 games at home

    7:15 PM
    VALPARAISO vs. ILLINOIS
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Valparaiso’s last 5 games on the road
    Valparaiso is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois’s last 7 games at home
    Illinois is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

    7:30 PM
    CANISIUS vs. SAMFORD
    No trends available
    Samford is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Samford’s last 20 games

    8:00 PM
    OAKLAND vs. CLEMSON
    Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Clemson’s last 13 games at home
    Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    9:00 PM
    GEORGIA TECH vs. INDIANA
    Georgia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech’s last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana’s last 7 games

    9:00 PM
    COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. COLORADO STATE
    College of Charleston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    Colorado State is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State’s last 5 games

    9:10 PM
    WAKE FOREST vs. KANSAS STATE
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State’s last 7 games

    9:15 PM
    RICHMOND vs. ALABAMA
    No trends available
    Alabama is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama’s last 7 games

    10:00 PM
    BOISE STATE vs. UTAH
    Boise State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State’s last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah’s last 5 games at home
    Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

    11:15 PM
    CS BAKERSFIELD vs. CALIFORNIA
    CS Bakersfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    California is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    California is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games at home

    Wednesday, March 15

    7:00 PM
    UTAH VALLEY vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
    Utah Valley is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Southern’s last 10 games at home
    Georgia Southern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

    7:00 PM
    BALL STATE vs. IUPU FORT WAYNE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State’s last 6 games on the road
    No trends available

    7:00 PM
    FAIRFIELD vs. UMBC
    Fairfield is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    No trends available

    7:00 PM
    BELMONT vs. GEORGIA
    Belmont is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Belmont’s last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia’s last 5 games at home
    Georgia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

    7:00 PM
    COLORADO vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado’s last 9 games on the road
    Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida’s last 6 games at home
    Central Florida is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

    7:00 PM
    LOYOLA vs. GEORGE MASON
    No trends available
    George Mason is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    George Mason is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    7:00 PM
    SOUTH DAKOTA vs. IOWA
    No trends available
    Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa’s last 8 games at home

    7:00 PM
    TOLEDO vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toledo’s last 12 games on the road
    Toledo is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    George Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Washington’s last 7 games

    7:30 PM
    AKRON vs. HOUSTON
    Akron is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Akron’s last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games at home
    Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

    8:00 PM
    FRESNO STATE vs. TCU
    Fresno State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State’s last 6 games on the road
    TCU is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU’s last 5 games

    8:00 PM
    SAN FRANCISCO vs. RICE
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games on the road
    Rice is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice’s last 5 games at home

    8:00 PM
    GEORGIA STATE vs. TEXAS A&M C.C.
    Georgia State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Georgia State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    No trends available

    8:05 PM
    WISC-GREEN BAY vs. UMKC
    No trends available
    UMKC is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    UMKC is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

    9:00 PM
    TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. BYU
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-Arlington’s last 6 games on the road
    Texas-Arlington is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    BYU is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games
    BYU is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    9:00 PM
    EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. WYOMING
    Eastern Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Washington’s last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wyoming’s last 8 games at home
    Wyoming is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

    9:10 PM
    USC vs. PROVIDENCE
    No trends available
    Providence is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

    9:30 PM
    UC IRVINE vs. ILLINOIS STATE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UC Irvine’s last 5 games on the road
    UC Irvine is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Illinois State is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois State’s last 6 games

    11:00 PM
    STEPHEN F. AUSTIN vs. IDAHO
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho’s last 5 games at home
    Idaho is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Thursday, March 16

    12:15 PM
    PRINCETON vs. NOTRE DAME
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame’s last 7 games
    Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

    12:40 PM
    UNC WILMINGTON vs. VIRGINIA
    No trends available
    Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia’s last 8 games

    1:30 PM
    WINTHROP vs. BUTLER
    No trends available
    Butler is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler’s last 6 games

    2:00 PM
    SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GONZAGA
    No trends available
    Gonzaga is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
    Gonzaga is 19-5-1 ATS in its last 25 games

    2:45 PM
    BUCKNELL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
    No trends available
    West Virginia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    West Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

    3:10 PM
    EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. FLORIDA
    No trends available
    Florida is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida’s last 10 games

    TBA
    LAMAR vs. TEXAS STATE
    No trends available
    Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Lamar
    Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

    4:00 PM
    MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MINNESOTA
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 10 games
    Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

    4:30 PM
    VANDERBILT vs. NORTHWESTERN
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern’s last 5 games

    6:50 PM
    XAVIER vs. MARYLAND
    No trends available
    Maryland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Maryland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

    7:00 PM
    SAINT PETER’S vs. ALBANY
    Saint Peter’s is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    No trends available

    7:00 PM
    FURMAN vs. USC UPSTATE
    Furman is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman’s last 6 games on the road
    No trends available

    7:20 PM
    VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. ST. MARY’S
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary’s last 6 games
    St. Mary’s is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

    7:27 PM
    VERMONT vs. PURDUE
    No trends available
    Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Purdue is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

    8:00 PM
    STONY BROOK vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago’s last 6 games
    Illinois-Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    8:00 PM
    UNC ASHEVILLE vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
    No trends available
    Tennessee-Martin is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
    Tennessee-Martin is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    9:20 PM
    FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA STATE
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State’s last 5 games
    Florida State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

    9:40 PM
    VIRGINIA TECH vs. WISCONSIN
    No trends available
    Wisconsin is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    Wisconsin is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

    9:50 PM
    NORTH DAKOTA vs. ARIZONA
    No trends available
    Arizona is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games

    9:57 PM
    NEVADA vs. IOWA STATE
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State’s last 5 games
    Iowa State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    10:00 PM
    WEBER STATE vs. CS FULLERTON
    Weber State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State’s last 5 games on the road
    CS Fullerton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    CS Fullerton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Friday, March 17

    12:15 PM
    PRINCETON vs. NOTRE DAME
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame’s last 7 games
    Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

    12:40 PM
    UNC WILMINGTON vs. VIRGINIA
    No trends available
    Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia’s last 8 games

    1:30 PM
    WINTHROP vs. BUTLER
    No trends available
    Butler is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler’s last 6 games

    2:00 PM
    SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GONZAGA
    No trends available
    Gonzaga is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
    Gonzaga is 19-5-1 ATS in its last 25 games

    2:45 PM
    BUCKNELL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
    No trends available
    West Virginia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    West Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

    3:10 PM
    EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. FLORIDA
    No trends available
    Florida is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida’s last 10 games

    TBA
    LAMAR vs. TEXAS STATE
    No trends available
    Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Lamar
    Texas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

    4:00 PM
    MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. MINNESOTA
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 10 games
    Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

    4:30 PM
    VANDERBILT vs. NORTHWESTERN
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern’s last 5 games

    6:50 PM
    XAVIER vs. MARYLAND
    No trends available
    Maryland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Maryland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

    7:00 PM
    SAINT PETER’S vs. ALBANY
    Saint Peter’s is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    No trends available

    7:00 PM
    FURMAN vs. USC UPSTATE
    Furman is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman’s last 6 games on the road
    No trends available

    7:20 PM
    VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. ST. MARY’S
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary’s last 6 games
    St. Mary’s is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

    7:27 PM
    VERMONT vs. PURDUE
    No trends available
    Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Purdue is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

    8:00 PM
    STONY BROOK vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois-Chicago’s last 6 games
    Illinois-Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    8:00 PM
    UNC ASHEVILLE vs. TENNESSEE-MARTIN
    No trends available
    Tennessee-Martin is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
    Tennessee-Martin is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    9:20 PM
    FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA STATE
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State’s last 5 games
    Florida State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

    9:40 PM
    VIRGINIA TECH vs. WISCONSIN
    No trends available
    Wisconsin is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    Wisconsin is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

    9:50 PM
    NORTH DAKOTA vs. ARIZONA
    No trends available
    Arizona is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games

    9:57 PM
    NEVADA vs. IOWA STATE
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State’s last 5 games
    Iowa State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    10:00 PM
    WEBER STATE vs. CS FULLERTON
    Weber State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State’s last 5 games on the road
    CS Fullerton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    CS Fullerton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    #385948

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, March 14

    Canisius @ Samford

    Game 581-582
    March 14, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Canisius
    52.952
    Samford
    53.695
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Samford
    by 1
    169
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Samford
    by 4
    164
    Dunkel Pick:
    Canisius
    (+4); Over

    Houston Baptist @ Campbell

    Game 579-580
    March 14, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston Baptist
    48.892
    Campbell
    51.420
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Campbell
    by 2 1/2
    157
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston Baptist
    by 1
    152
    Dunkel Pick:
    Campbell
    (+1); Over

    St. Francis-PA @ Jacksonville

    Game 577-578
    March 14, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Francis-PA
    48.029
    Jacksonville
    54.485
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 6 1/2
    164
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 2
    157
    Dunkel Pick:
    Jacksonville
    (-2); Over

    Boise State @ Utah

    Game 561-562
    March 14, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boise State
    56.878
    Utah
    70.415
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 13 1/2
    161
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 10 1/2
    155 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-10 1/2); Over

    Oakland @ Clemson

    Game 559-560
    March 14, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    57.030
    Clemson
    71.001
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Clemson
    by 14
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Clemson
    by 10 1/2
    155 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Clemson
    (-10 1/2); Over

    Richmond @ Alabama

    Game 557-558
    March 14, 2017 @ 9:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Richmond
    58.990
    Alabama
    68.606
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Alabama
    by 9 1/2
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Alabama
    by 7 1/2
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Alabama
    (-7 1/2); Over

    Coll of Charleston @ Colorado State

    Game 555-556
    March 14, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Coll of Charlesto
    59.337
    Colorado State
    65.987
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado State
    by 6 1/2
    126
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado State
    by 3 1/2
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado State
    (-3 1/2); Under

    CS-Bakersfield @ California

    Game 553-554
    March 14, 2017 @ 11:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    CS-Bakersfield
    54.816
    California
    67.667
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    California
    by 13
    118
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    California
    by 10 1/2
    123
    Dunkel Pick:
    California
    (-10 1/2); Under

    Valparaiso @ Illinois

    Game 551-552
    March 14, 2017 @ 7:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Valparaiso
    64.679
    Illinois
    69.132
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Illinois
    by 4 1/2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Illinois
    by 8 1/2
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    Valparaiso
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Indiana @ Georgia Tech

    Game 549-550
    March 14, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    66.799
    Georgia Tech
    66.580
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Tech
    Even
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 3
    142 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia Tech
    (+3); Over

    Ole Miss @ Monmouth

    Game 547-548
    March 14, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ole Miss
    64.842
    Monmouth
    63.704
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ole Miss
    by 1
    167
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Monmouth
    by 3
    161
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ole Miss
    (+3); Over

    NC-Greensboro @ Syracuse

    Game 545-546
    March 14, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NC-Greensboro
    58.695
    Syracuse
    66.171
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Syracuse
    by 7 1/2
    156
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Syracuse
    by 13
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC-Greensboro
    (+13); Over

    Kansas State @ Wake Forest

    Game 543-544
    March 14, 2017 @ 9:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas State
    67.381
    Wake Forest
    72.261
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wake Forest
    by 5
    146
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wake Forest
    Pick
    152 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wake Forest
    Under

    Mt St Mary’s @ New Orleans

    Game 541-542
    March 14, 2017 @ 6:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Mt St Mary’s
    48.357
    New Orleans
    52.154
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4
    124
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1 1/2
    131 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-1 1/2); Under

    #385949

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    These five March Madness games drawing plenty of early betting action

    “Historically, the public loves betting on Notre Dame in any sport, so you might be getting some value in a 7-point Princeton ‘dog.”

    A day after the NCAA Tournament bracket was unveiled, there were several games drawing bettors’ interest and forcing line moves. Patrick Everson checks in on where the action is with Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at The Mirage on the Las Vegas Strip, and with the lines manager for offshore sportsbook GTBets.eu.

    No. 13 Vermont Catamounts vs. No. 4 Purdue Boilermakers – Open: -9.5; Move: -9; Move: -8.5

    When it comes to final scores, there’s certainly no hotter team than Vermont in the NCAA Tournament. The Catamounts, seeded 13th in the Midwest Region, have won 21 consecutive games, although only eight of those were lined contests, including three in the America East tournament. Vermont (29-5 SU, 4-4 ATS) edged Albany 56-53 as a 10.5-point favorite in Saturday’s conference final.

    Fourth-seeded Purdue won the Big Ten regular-season title, but bowed out in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament, losing 74-70 in overtime as a 2.5-point fave against Michigan. Prior to that, the Boilermakers (25-7 SU, 17-10-2 ATS) had an 8-1 SU run (5-2-2 ATS) to cap the regular season.

    “This is the region where we’ve taken the most action on games,” Stoneback said of the Midwest. “Vermont opened as a 9.5-point ‘dog, and they’re getting 8.5 points now against Purdue.”

    Vermont and Purdue tip off at 7:27 p.m. ET Thursday.

    No. 11 Southern California Trojans vs. No. 11 Providence Friars – Open: Pick; Move: -1; Move: -3

    These two teams hope to play their way into the field of 64. Providence (20-12 SU and ATS) won its last six regular-season games (5-1 ATS) to land a spot in the NCAA Tournament, despite losing its Big East tournament opener 70-58 as a 2-point underdog to Creighton.

    Southern Cal (24-9 SU, 16-16 ATS) had a four-game skid late in the regular season that had some analysts thinking the Trojans wouldn’t get into the Big Dance. But the Men of Troy bounced back with three straight wins, then played UCLA very tough in the Pac-12 tournament quarterfinals, losing 76-74 as a 10-point pup.

    “Everyone jumped on USC pretty quickly, pushing the line from pick to Trojans -1,” GTBets’ lines manager said Monday morning. “But that hasn’t deterred the action from remaining at 65 percent on USC.”

    In fact, the Trojans moved up to -3 by Monday afternoon and were the only tournament team really catching the attention of professional bettors.

    “We’ve seen nothing sharp yet, except on USC,” Stoneback said. “We opened USC -1, and now it’s 2.5.”

    The winner of this contest, at 9:10 p.m. ET Wednesday, moves into the East Regional to face No. 6 seed Southern Methodist.

    No. 15 Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. No. 2 Louisville Cardinals – Open: -21; Move: -20

    As a 15 seed, Jacksonville State is rightly a huge underdog in this 2:45 p.m. ET Friday game in the Midwest Region. The Gamecocks (20-14 SU, 17-12 ATS) won the Ohio Valley Conference tournament to reach the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever. In the OVC final, fourth-seeded Jacksonville State beat No. 2 seed Tennessee-Martin 66-55 as a 2.5-point chalk.

    Louisville (24-8 SU, 17-12-1 ATS) has been a little up-and-down of late, alternating wins and losses over its last six games while going 1-5 ATS. The Cardinals were seeded fourth in the ACC tourney, losing 81-77 to Duke as a 2-point favorite in the quarterfinals.

    Stoneback said the public was on Jacksonville State early at +21, drawing that number down a point to +20.

    No. 11 Kansas State Wildcats vs. No. 11 Wake Forest Demon Deacons – Open: +1; Move: Pick; Move: -1; Move: Pick; Move: -1

    It’s another play-in game, this one at 9:10 p.m. ET Tuesday night, for the right to play No. 6 seed Cincinnati in the South Region. Wake Forest had a four-game run through the first round of the ACC tournament, including regular-season wins at home over Louisville and on the road against Virginia Tech. But in the second round of the ACC, the Demon Deacons (19-13 SU, 16-14 ATS) fell to VaTech 99-90 laying 3 points.

    Kansas State (20-13 SU, 15-12-2 ATS) nearly made it to the Big 12 tournament championship game from the No. 6 seed. The Wildcats upended No. 3 seed Baylor in the quarterfinals, then gave West Virginia all it could handle in a 51-50 loss as a 6-point pup in the semis.

    “The public is on Wake, with 3/1 parlays on the Demon Deacons and 60 percent of the side bets,” GTBets’ lines manager said. “But the sharp action has yet to come in.”

    No. 12 Princeton Tigers vs. No. 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Open: -7.5; Move: -7; Move: -6.5; Move: -7

    Notre Dame has been stout over the past month-plus, winning six in a row as part of an 8-1 SU spree (7-2 ATS) that put it in the ACC championship game. The Fighting Irish (25-9 SU, 18-9-1 ATS) then fell to Duke 75-69 getting 4.5 points.

    Princeton (23-6 SU, 12-10-1 ATS) won the Ivy League tournament, dropping Yale 71-59 as a 7-point chalk in the championship game to stretch its winning streak to 19 games. The league title gave the Tigers a spot in one of the NCAA Tournament’s first games Thursday, a 12:15 p.m. ET tipoff in the West Region.

    “The Irish opened as a 7.5 point favorite, and after some back and forth, the line has settled at 7,” GTBets’ lines manager said, adding Notre Dame had a 2/1 margin in bets. “Historically, the public loves betting on Notre Dame in any sport, so you might be getting some value in a 7-point Princeton ‘dog.”
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