Cnotes March Madness Trends-Picks-News !

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  • #385269

    cnotes
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    Big 12 Trends and Angles
    March 11, 2017

    Venue: Sprint Center – Kansas City, Missouri

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 4-4
    Over/Under: 5-3

    Saturday, March 11
    FINALS
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 2 West Virginia
    Overall: 26-7 SU, 13-14-1 ATS
    Totals: 15-12-1 O/U

    No. 4 Iowa State
    Overall: 22-10 SU, 17-12 ATS
    Totals: 17-12 O/U

    No. 2 West Virginia vs. No. 4 Iowa State (ESPN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

    In early February, Iowa State owned a 6-5 record inside the Big 12 after losing at last-place Texas. The Cyclones have torn through the conference recently by winning eight of nine games to reach the Big 12 championship against West Virginia. Iowa State cruised past TCU on Friday, 84-63 as 4 ½-point favorites to cash the OVER for the eighth straight game. The only loss in this stretch for ISU came in the season finale at West Virginia, 87-76, as the Mountaineers pulled off the season sweep of the Cyclones. WVU squeezed past Kansas State in a 51-50 victory on Friday, but failed to cover as six-point favorites. The Mountaineers dropped to 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games, in spite of winning six times during this stretch. West Virginia is playing for the Big 12 championship for the second straight season after losing to Kansas in 2016, while Iowa State captured the tournament title in both 2014 and 2015.

    West Virginia 80
    Iowa State 77

    ————————————

    SEC Trends and Angles
    March 11, 2017

    Venue: Bridgestone Arena – Nashville, Tennessee

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 7-3
    Over/Under: 3-7

    Saturday, March 11
    SEMIFINALS
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 1 Kentucky
    Overall: 27-5 SU, 16-16 ATS
    Totals: 16-16 O/U

    No. 5 Alabama
    Overall: 19-13 SU, 15-15 ATS
    Totals: 11-19 O/U

    No. 1 Kentucky vs. No. 5 Alabama (ESPN, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Kentucky and Alabama meet in the SEC tournament for the second straight year as the Wildcats blew out the Crimson Tide in the quarterfinals, 85-59 last March. The Wildcats advanced to this year’s semifinals following a 71-60 victory over Georgia on Friday, but Kentucky failed to cash as 11 ½-point favorites. The Crimson Tide won for the second straight day after knocking out South Carolina, 64-53 to cover as four-point underdogs. Earlier this season, Alabama lost at home to Kentucky, 67-58 as 7 ½-point underdogs as the Tide last beat the Wildcats in January 2013. The Tide improved to 5-5 ATS as an underdog in SEC play this season following Friday’s win, but Alabama owns a 1-5 ATS record in its last six matchups with Kentucky.

    Kentucky 73
    Alabama 68

    No. 3 Arkansas
    Overall: 24-8 SU, 16-14 ATS
    Totals: 16-14 O/U

    No. 7 Vanderbilt
    Overall: 19-14 SU, 20-11 ATS
    Totals: 13-17-1 O/U

    No. 3 Arkansas vs. No. 7 Vanderbilt (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    Vanderbilt pulled off its third victory over Florida in Friday’s quarterfinals, 72-62 in overtime to help improve its resume for the NCAA tournament. The Commodores have covered eight straight games and have compiled a terrific 9-0 ATS mark in its last nine in the role of an underdog. Vanderbilt and Arkansas split a pair of meetings this season with the road team winning each time. In the last matchup in Fayetteville on February 7, the Commodores jumped out to a 21-point halftime lead and never looked back in a 72-59 rout as four-point underdogs. Arkansas held off Mississippi on Friday to advance to the semifinals, 73-72, but failed to cash as 4 ½-point favorites. With the victory, the Hogs improved to 7-1 in the last eight games as these teams are meeting in the SEC tournament for the first time since 2013.

    Arkansas 65
    Vanderbilt 71

    —————————————

    Pac-12 Trends and Angles
    March 10, 2017

    Venue: T-Mobile Arena – Las Vegas, Nevada

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 8-2 SU, 2-8 ATS
    Over/Under: 6-4

    Saturday, March 11
    FINAL
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 1 Oregon
    Overall: 29-4 SU, 19-13 ATS
    Totals: 18-13-1 O/U

    No. 2 Arizona
    Overall: 29-4 SU, 17-14 ATS
    Totals: 15-17 O/U

    No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 2 Arizona (ESPN, 11:00 p.m. ET)

    The Ducks handled the Sun Devils 80-57 in the least entertaining of the Pac-12 quarterfinals, running away from the No. 9 seed after the break. While the league’s other two heavyweights square off in the nightcap, Dillon Brooks-led Oregon will try and guard against complacency against a Cal team still looking to cement an NCAA at-large bid. Holding off a late Utah surge to prevail in a bubble battle helped aid their cause, but the Bears struggled down the stretch and don’t have the most impressive of resumes, making this a must-win if it wants to be confident going into Selection Sunday. Since February began, Cal’s two most impressive outings before yesterday’s win were losses at Arizona and home against Oregon, which won 68-65 on Feb. 22. The Bears blew a 16-point second-half lead when Dillon Brooks connected on a 3-pointer with 0.2 left, rescuing a game that the Ducks trailed by 10 pints with less than five minutes remaining. Weeks later, Cal is still looking for the signature win that escaped them and knows it will likely see full-court pressure considering how poorly it handled it as Oregon staged its comeback. Jabari Bird scored 20 points in that loss and was the driving force on Thursday, pouring in 26 and connecting on a crucial 3-point play to help the Bears avoid blowing an 11-point lead with 2:17 remaining. Both Ducks’ wins over Cal went over the posted total, as have both games for the Bears in this tournament. Oregon had a four-game run of overs ended when yesterday’s win over ASU fell well short of 154.5.

    Oregon 76
    Arizona 72

    #385270

    cnotes
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    Michigan, Vanderbilt get hot at right time
    March 11, 2017

    RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Michigan coach John Beilein is seeing his team get hot at the right time of the year, solidifying its NCAA Tournament standing. The same can be said for Vanderbilt coach Bryce Drew.

    The Wolverines and Commodores earned big wins in their conference tournaments against ranked teams on Friday. Michigan upset No. 13 Purdue in the Big Ten quarterfinals, and then Vanderbilt outlasted 17th-ranked Florida in overtime in the Southeastern Conference quarterfinals.

    ”We just want to keep winning games,” Drew said. ”Hopefully the committee realizes how well we’re playing, and we get in.”

    The Commodores (19-14) entered the day among ESPN’s last teams into the NCAAs, and then added a sixth top-50 RPI win this season – and a third win against the Gators. They have won seven of eight.

    In the Big Ten, Michigan began the day as a No. 9 NCAA seed in ESPN’s projected field of 68 after beating bubble-team Illinois in Thursday’s second round. But the Wolverines followed with Friday’s overtime win against regular-season champ Purdue to reach the semifinals.

    Michigan was playing its second game since a scary mishap when its plane slid off the runway before takeoff. It led to a delayed arrival in Washington for the tournament, even forcing the Wolverines to play their opener against Illinois in practice jerseys. But they now have won eight of 10.

    ”I believe a lot in it,” Beilein said of getting hot at tournament time. ”It’s happened to us. . We’ve been selling the fun of a run is really – it’s irreplaceable in their lives, really. You throw in what happened on Wednesday, now they got a lot of memories. We don’t want it to stop.”

    MISSED CHANCES IN THE BIG 12: TCU and Kansas State both lost games that could’ve seriously helped their NCAA hopes.

    TCU was coming off the upset of top-ranked Kansas, but lost 84-63 to No. 23 Iowa State in the semifinals. The Horned Frogs (19-15) entered the day among ESPN’s first teams out of the field and desperately needed this one.

    Then there was Kansas State (20-13), which beat No. 9 Baylor on Thursday but couldn’t follow with another upset against No. 11 West Virginia and lost 51-50.

    Kansas State had regular-season wins against Baylor and West Virginia on its resume and sat at No. 29 in KenPom.com’s rankings, but only at No. 55 in the RPI. The Wildcats were among the last teams in on several projected brackets, but beating the Mountaineers might have eliminated doubt.

    LAST CHANCE?: California lost 73-65 to No. 5 Oregon in the Pac-12 semifinals. The Bears (21-12) are No. 54 in the RPI and fell to 1-8 against RPI top-50 teams.

    HOUSTON FALLS: Houston might have seen its chances disappear with Friday’s loss to Connecticut in the American Athletic Conference Tournament. The Cougars (21-10) are No. 51 in the RPI and No. 49 on KenPom, but they entered the day on the wrong side of the bubble in ESPN’s projections before losing to a .500 Huskies team.

    TOP-SEED SHUFFLE?: There’s also plenty of intrigue near the top, too.

    Two leading candidates for No. 1 seeds – Kansas and No. 6 North Carolina – have now lost this week after the Tar Heels fell to No. 14 Duke in the Atlantic Coast Conference semifinals Friday night. The question is whether either loss will drop them to a 2-seed, possibly depending on what happens with Saturday’s Oregon-Arizona final in the Pac-12 or No. 8 Kentucky’s finish in the SEC.

    No. 2 Villanova could be the top overall seed when the bracket is unveiled Sunday, while No. 4 Gonzaga is a strong contender after a 32-1 season.

    Then there is preseason No. 1 Duke, which might be climbing toward a No. 2 seed with a national-best 12 wins against RPI top-50 teams. The Blue Devils play No. 22 Notre Dame in the ACC final on Saturday.

    #385278

    cnotes
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    SATURDAY, MARCH 11

    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    TXST at UTA 12:30 PM

    UTA -7.0

    NORF at NCCU 01:00 PM

    NCCU -7.5

    DAV at URI 01:00 PM

    O 134.5

    MICH at MINN 01:00 PM

    MICH -4.5

    O 134.5

    ALA at UK 01:00 PM

    UK -10.5

    PENN at PRIN 01:30 PM

    PENN +7.5

    —————————————

    TROY at GSU 03:00 PM

    TROY +2.0

    VAN at ARK 03:00 PM

    VAN -3.5

    UCF at SMU 03:00 PM

    UCF +8.0

    RICH at VCU 03:30 PM

    VCU -6.5

    YALE at HARV 03:30 PM

    HARV -3.0

    NW at WIS 03:30 PM

    NW +4.5

    ——————————–

    UCONN at CIN 05:00 PM

    UCONN +9.5

    CRE at VILL 05:30 PM

    VILL -10.0

    ISU at WVU 06:00 PM

    ISU +2.5

    CSU at NEV 06:00 PM

    NEV -5.0

    ALCN at TXSO 06:15 PM

    TXSO -7.0

    —————————–

    KENT at AKR 07:30 PM

    AKR -4.0

    MRSH at MTU 08:30 PM

    MRSH +9.5

    WEB at UND 08:30 PM

    UND -1.0

    DUKE at ND 09:00 PM

    DUKE -4.5

    AMCC at UNO 09:30 PM

    UNO -1.5

    ARIZ at ORE 11:00 PM

    ARIZ +2.0

    NMSU at CSB 11:00 PM

    CSB +2.5

    UCD at UCI 11:30 PM

    UCI -5.0

    #385279

    cnotes
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    MY PARLAY FOR THE DAY !

    PARLAY WAGER

    CBB Troy +2 1.86

    CBB Arkansas +3.5 1.95

    CBB Central Florida +7.5 1.86

    CBB Iowa State +2.5 1.95

    CBB Duke -4.5 1.90

    CBB North Dakota -1 1.86

    CBB New Orleans University -1.5 1.90

    CBB Harvard -3 1.95

    GOOD LUCK !

    #385425

    cnotes
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    Top 25 Capsules
    March 12, 2017

    NEW YORK (AP) Josh Hart scored 29 points and No. 2 Villanova beat Creighton 74-60 on Saturday to win the Big East Tournament and probably lock up the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament.

    Hart, the conference player of the year, became just the third player to win the tournament MVP award twice, joining Patrick Ewing of Georgetown and Peyton Siva of Louisville.

    It was the third Big East Tournament crown for Villanova, the others coming in 1995 and 2015. The defending national champions have won four consecutive Big East regular-season titles.

    The top-seeded Wildcats (31-3) forced 17 turnovers that led to 21 points. And with Hart leading the way, they made every big shot they needed.

    Jalen Brunson added 17 points for Villanova. Kris Jenkins, whose 3-pointer won the national championship game last year, had 14.

    Cole Huff and Marcus Foster each scored 13 points to lead sixth-seeded Creighton (25-9).

    No. 7 ARIZONA 83, No. 5 OREGON 80

    LAS VEGAS (AP) – Allonzo Trier scored 23 points and hit four free throws in the final 17 seconds, helping Arizona outlast Oregon in the Pac-12 Tournament championship game.

    Arizona (30-4) lost a lopsided game at Oregon earlier this season on a barrage of 3-pointers by the Ducks. The second-seeded Wildcats were better defensively while building a 14-point lead and shot 58 percent to hold off Oregon’s second-half charge.

    Next up for Arizona: A possible No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

    Top-seeded Oregon (29-5) got bad news before tipoff, learning senior forward Chris Boucher is out for the season with a torn ACL sustained in the semifinals against California.

    Dillon Brooks carried Oregon through its early struggles and finished with 25 points. Tyler Dorsey added 23.

    No. 8 KENTUCKY 79, ALABAMA 74

    NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) – De’Aaron Fox scored a career-high 28 points, including seven straight down the stretch, and Malik Monk added 20 to lift Kentucky past Alabama in the Southeastern Conference Tournament semifinals.

    Bam Adebayo had 10 points and nine rebounds to send top-seeded Kentucky (28-5) to Sunday’s championship game against Arkansas.

    Dazon Ingram had 17 points for No. 5 seed Alabama (19-14), which outrebounded Kentucky 33-28 but couldn’t get the basket when needed.

    No. 23 IOWA STATE 80, No. 11 WEST VIRGINIA 74

    KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) – Monte Morris scored 17 points, Deonte Burton and Matt Thomas helped him deal with West Virginia’s attacking defense, and Iowa State beat the Mountaineers for its third Big 12 Tournament title in four years.

    Burton had 16 points and Thomas finished with 12 for the fourth-seeded Cyclones (23-10), who will enter the NCAA Tournament as one of the nation’s hottest teams. They’ve won nine of their last 10 games, with their only loss during that stretch coming a week ago in Morgantown.

    They avenged that defeat in a big way at the Sprint Center.

    Iowa State has never lost in four appearances in the Big 12 title game, while the second-seeded Mountaineers (26-8) remain without a conference tournament title of any kind since winning the Big East in 2010.

    Jevon Carter had 18 points for West Virginia, which will no doubt rue its 8-for-17 shooting from the foul line.

    No. 12 SMU 70, UCF 59

    HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) – Sterling Brown scored 22 points and SMU beat UCF in the semifinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament.

    Semi Ojeleye added 17 points, and Shake Milton had 14 of his 16 points in the second half for the Mustangs (29-4). They are back in the championship game after missing last year’s tournament because of NCAA sanctions. The Mustangs won the title in 2015. This time, they will face No. 15 Cincinnati for the crown.

    SMU has won 15 straight games and 25 of its last 26 after a 4-3 start to the season.

    B.J. Taylor had 20 points, and Nick Banyard 16 for the Knights (21-11). They had won six in a row.

    No. 14 DUKE 75, No. 22 NOTRE DAME 69

    NEW YORK (AP) – Jayson Tatum took over in the final three minutes, making key plays on both ends of the floor, and Duke became the first team to win the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament with four wins in four days by rallying past Notre Dame.

    The freshman forward finished a spectacular week in Brooklyn with 19 points and eight rebounds for the fifth-seeded Blue Devils (27-8). Duke won its first ACC Tournament championship since 2011 and its 20th overall, most in league history.

    Bonzie Colson was a beast for third-seeded Notre Dame (25-9), with 29 points and nine rebounds.

    The Blue Devils came from double digits down in the second half to beat both No. 10 Louisville and No. 6 North Carolina to get to the finals at Barclays Center and then came from eight back with 11:35 left to defeat the Irish.

    No. 15 CINCINNATI 81, CONNECTICUT 71

    HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) – Gary Clark scored 25 points to lead Cincinnati over UConn in the American Athletic Conference semifinals.

    Jacob Evans added 21 points and Troy Caupain had 18 for the Bearcats (29-4), who will be seeking their first AAC title Sunday against SMU.

    Jalen Adams scored 20 points and Christian Vital had 18 for UConn. The Huskies finished 16-17, their first losing season in 30 years.

    It was a typically chippy game between the teams, whose rivalry dates to the old Big East. They combined for 56 fouls, 32 committed by UConn.

    Cincinnati was 38 of 46 from the foul line. UConn made 20 of its 25 free throw attempts.

    No. 24 WISCONSIN 76, NORTHWESTERN 48

    WASHINGTON (AP) – Wisconsin revved up the defense against weary Northwestern and got the desired result, a victory that earned the Badgers a berth in the Big Ten Tournament championship game for the third time in five years.

    Nigel Hayes scored 18 points and Ethan Happ added 16 for the second-seeded Badgers. They never trailed in their third straight victory – second in the tournament – following a run of five losses in six games.

    Wisconsin (25-8) will vie for its fourth Big Ten title Sunday against No. 8 seed Michigan, which will be playing its fourth game in four days. It will be the seventh championship game appearance for the Badgers, trailing only the eight by Ohio State.

    Northwestern (23-11) was playing for the second time in less than 24 hours and its third game in three days, and it showed. Coming off wins over Rutgers and No. 3 seed Maryland, the Wildcats missed 20 of 27 shots in the first half, had only one assist and trailed 38-21.

    #385426

    cnotes
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    Championship Week Results
    March 12, 2017

    ACC
    Venue: Barclays Center
    Location: Brooklyn, N.Y.

    ACC TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Tuesday, March 7 ATS Results
    Clemson 61 vs. North Carolina State (-5.5) 75 Favorite-Under (151)
    Wake Forest (-12.5) 92 vs. Boston College 78 Favorite-Over (158.5)
    Georgia Tech 59 vs. Pittsburgh (-2.5) 61 Underdog-Under (131.5)
    Second round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Syracuse 57 vs. Miami-Florida (-2) 62 Favorite-Under (130.5)
    Clemson 72 vs. Duke (-6.5) 79 Favorite-Over (145)
    Wake Forest 90 vs. Virginia Tech (+3, +135 ML) 99 Underdog-Over (161.5)
    Pittsburgh 63 vs. Virginia (-9.5) 75 Favorite-Over (117)
    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Miami-Florida 53 vs. North Carolina (-9) 78 Favorite-Under (138.5)
    Duke (+1.5, +115 ML) 81 vs. Louisville 77 Underdog-Over (146)
    Virginia Tech 68 vs. Florida State (-8) 74 Underdog-Under (158)
    Virginia 58 vs. Notre Dame (+3.5, +150 ML) 71 Underdog-Over (124.5)
    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Duke (+4.5, ML +170) 93 vs. North Carolina 83 Underdog-Over (155.5)
    Florida State 73 vs. Notre Dame (+1.5, ML +105) 77 Underdog-Under (151)
    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Duke (-4.5) 70 vs. Notre Dame 65 Favorite-Under (138.5)

    Pac-12
    Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
    Location: Las Vegas, Nevada

    PAC-12 TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Arizona State (+5, +180 ML) 98 vs. Stanford 88 (OT) Underdog-Over 149.5
    California (-14) 67 vs. Oregon State 62 Underdog-Over (121.5)
    Colorado (-11.5) 73 vs. Washington State 63 Underdog-Under (144.5)
    Southern California (-13) 78 vs. Washington 73 Underdog-Under (153)
    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Arizona State 57 vs. Oregon (-17) 80 Favorite-Under (155)
    California (+3.5, +150 ML) 78 vs. Utah 75 Underdog-Over (129)
    Colorado 78 vs. Arizona (-8) 92 Favorite-Over (138.5)
    Southern California 74 vs. UCLA (-10.5) 76 Underdog-Under (167)
    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    California 65 vs. Oregon (-9) 73 Underdog-Over (128)
    Arizona (+2.5, ML +125) 86 vs. UCLA 75 Underdog-Over (157.5)
    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Arizona (+1.5, ML +105) 83 vs. Oregon 80 Underdog-Over (139.5)

    Big 12
    Venue: Sprint Center
    Location: Kansas City, Missouri

    BIG 12 TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Texas Christian (-2) 82 vs. Oklahoma 63 Favorite-Over (139.5)
    Texas Tech 52 vs. Texas (+4.5, +175 ML) 61 Underdog-Under (129.5)
    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Iowa State (+1.5, +115 ML) 92 vs. Oklahoma State 83 Underdog-Over (160.5)
    Texas Christian (+9,+400 ML) 85 vs. Kansas 82 Underdog-Over (149.5)
    Texas 53 vs. West Virginia (-10.5) 63 Underdog-Under (137.5)
    Baylor 64 vs. Kansas State (+4.5, +175 ML) 70 Underdog-Over (130.5)
    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Iowa State (-5) 84 vs. TCU 63 Favorite-Over (144.5)
    West Virginia (-5.5) 51 vs. Kansas State 50 Underdog-Under (139.5)
    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Iowa State (+4, ML +165) 80 vs. West Virginia 74 Underdog-Over (147)

    Big East
    Venue: Madison Square Garden
    Location: New York City, New York

    BIG EAST TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    St. John’s (+1) 74 vs. Georgetown 73 Underdog-Under (154)
    Xavier (-7.5) 75 vs. DePaul 64 Favorite-Under (141.5)
    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    St. John’s 67 vs. Villanova (-16) 108 Favorite-Over (147.5)
    Marquette 76 vs. Seton Hall (+1.5, +115 ML) 82 Underdog-Over (148.5)
    Xavier (+6.5, +240 ML) 62 vs. Butler 57 Underdog-Under (143)
    Providence 58 vs. Creighton (-2) 70 Favorite-Under (145)
    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Seton Hall 53 vs. Villanova (-11) 55 Underdog-Under (135.5)
    Xavier 72 vs. Creighton (-4.5) 75 Underdog-Under (147.5)
    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Creighton 60 vs. Villanova (-10.5) 74 Favorite-Under (141.5)

    Big Ten
    Venue: Verizon Center
    Location: Washington, D.C.

    BIG TEN TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Nebraska 67 vs. Penn State (-1.5) 76 (OT) Favorite-Over (143)
    Ohio State 57 vs. Rutgers (+7.5, +290 ML) 66 Underdog-Under (134.5)
    Second round – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Michigan (-6) 75 vs. Illinois 55 Favorite-Under (132.5)
    Penn State 51 vs. Michigan State (-6) 78 Favorite-Under (138)
    Iowa 73 vs. Indiana (-2.5) 95 Favorite-Over (156.5)
    Rutgers 61 vs. Northwestern (-8) 83 Favorite-Over (123)
    Quarterfinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Michigan (+3, +130 ML) 74 vs. Purdue 70 (OT) Underdog-Over (139)
    Michigan State 58 vs. Minnesota (-1) 63 Favorite-Under (137.5)
    Indiana 60 vs. Wisconsin (-5) 70 Favorite-Under (136.5)
    Northwestern (+2, ML +105) 72 vs. Maryland 64 Underdog-Over (134.5)
    Semifinals – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Michigan (-4.5) 84 vs. Minnesota 77 Favorite-Over (135)
    Northwestern 48 vs. Wisconsin (-4.5) 76 Favorite-Over (123.5)
    Championship – Sunday, March 12 ATS Results
    Michigan vs. Wisconsin –

    SEC
    Venue: Bridgestone Arena
    Location: Nashville, Tennessee

    SEC TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Mississippi State (-5.5) 79 vs. Louisiana State 52 Favorite-Under (155.5)
    Auburn 83 vs. Missouri (+7, +260 ML) 86 Underdog-Over (153.5)
    Second round – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Georgia (-1) 59 vs. Tennessee 57 Favorite-Under (141.5)
    Mississippi State 55 vs. Alabama (-2) 75 Favorite-Over (127.5)
    Vanderbilt (-3.5) 66 vs. Texas A&M 41 Favorite-Under (131.5)
    Missouri 74 vs. Mississippi (-7) 86 Favorite-Over (143)
    Quarterfinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Georgia 60 vs. Kentucky (-11.5) 71 Underdog-Under (146)
    Alabama (+4, ML +155) 64 vs. South Carolina 53 Underdog-Under (122)
    Vanderbilt (+5, ML +200) 72 vs. Florida 62 Underdog-Under (136)
    Mississippi 72 vs. Arkansas (-4.5) 73 Underdog-Under (159)
    Semifinals – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Kentucky (-10.5) 79 vs. Alabama 74 Underdog-Over (135.5)
    Vanderbilt 62 vs. Arkansas (+4, ML +155) 76 Underdog-Under (143.5)
    Championship – Sunday, March 12 ATS Results
    Arkansas vs. Kentucky –

    #385428

    cnotes
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    Big 10 Trends and Angles
    March 12, 2017

    Venue: Verizon Center – Washington, D.C.

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS
    Over/Under: 7-5

    Sunday, March 12
    FINALS
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection
    vs.
    No. 2 Wisconsin
    Overall: 25-8 SU, 15-15 ATS
    Totals: 12-16 O/U

    No. 8 Michigan
    Overall: 23-11 SU, 15-16 ATS
    Totals: 19-12 O/U
    No. 2 Wisconsin vs. No. 8 Michigan (CBS, 3:00 p.m. ET)
    The Badgers and Wolverines will square off for the Big Ten Tournament title. Wisconsin was expected to be here after securing the No. 2 seed, but Michigan is a bit of a surprise. They ousted a No. 1 seed for the second straight season when they showed Purdue the door, and now have their eyes on a bigger prize. The two schools split their regular season series, each securing a win on their home court. Michigan ended up covering the spread in both games, a 64-58 win in Ann Arbor Feb. 16 and a 68-64 lsos in Madison on Jan. 17. The Wolverines have cashed in four straight and they’re 5-0 ATS in their past five neutral-site battles. They’re also 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games against a team with a winning percentage over .600. Michigan has covered four of the past five meetings with the underdog 13-3 ATS in the past 16 in this series. The ‘under’ is also 13-6 in the past 19 meetings while going 9-1 in the past 10 neutral-site games for Wisconsin. The under is also 7-2 in Michigan’s past nine on a neutral-site floor.

    Wisconsin 69
    Michigan 64

    ——————————–

    #385429

    cnotes
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    SEC Championship
    March 12, 2017

    Arkansas is back in the SEC Tournament finals for the first time since the iconic Nolan Richardson Era. In reality, that’s how it should be.

    With the emergence of Florida’s program over the last quarter-century, it’s not necessarily a given that Arkansas should be the SEC’s second-best program. However, there’s no reason whatsoever that the Razorbacks shouldn’t at least be the third-best SEC hoops program on a consistent basis.

    Remember, Arkansas won more games than any school in America from the 1989-90 season to the 1995-96 campaign, bagging a national title in 1994 and nearly repeating in ’95 if not for Jim Harrick’s UCLA squad that was led by Ed O’Bannon and received extraordinary play from a true freshman point guard from Atlanta Douglass High School, Cameron Dollar. (Quick side note/thought: Back in my playing days at summer camps in the early ’90, Dollar dominated me like no other player ever has at B/C All-Star Camp in Georgia. He was bigger, quicker, stronger and just destroyed me and told me about it every step of the way.)

    Arkansas has a rabid fan base, great history and an amazing venue in Bud Walton Arena. Nevertheless, since Richardson was forced out in Fayetteville, the Razorbacks have won just two NCAA Tournament games and Sunday’s invite will be just the fifth in the 15 years since Richardson was rudely dismissed.

    That stretch of ineptitude is beyond unacceptable. Anderson was plucked away from Missouri with the hope that he’d bring Nolan’s style of play back since he served under him at Arkansas and Tulsa for 17 years. However, this year’s NCAA berth will be just the second of his six-year tenure.

    But after Saturday’s effort to get back to the SEC Tournament finals for the second time in three seasons, perhaps things are looking up? For Arkansas standards, it’s going to take some mid-and-late March production to please the masses.

    Arkansas (25-8 straight up, 17-14 against the spread) produced one of its best performances of the season in Saturday’s semifinal showdown with Vanderbilt, which had covered the spread in seven straight games while winning outright six times with the only defeat coming at UK in a game the Commodores led most of the way.

    The win was the Razorbacks’ eighth in their last nine games. They’ve posted a stellar 7-2 ATS record during this hot stretch.

    With its suffocating defense serving as the catalyst, Mike Anderson’s team quickly turned a 35-31 halftime lead into a blowout. A 29-6 run to start the second half resulted in a 27-point lead and the game was over midway through the second half.

    The Razorbacks won by a 76-62 count, but that was a misleading final score. They obviously took the cash as four-point underdogs, hooking up money-line supporters with a nice +155 return (paid $155 on $100 wagers).

    Jaylen Barford scored a team-best 18 points for the Hogs, while Dusty Hannahs produced 16 points. Moses Kingsley added 12 points and 13 rebounds, and Daryl Macon was also in double figures with 15 points.

    The Arkansas defense forced 15 turnovers and held Vandy to a season-low 30.4 percent shooting from the field.

    Kentucky (28-5 SU, 17-16 ATS) advanced to the finals with wins over Georgia (71-60) and Alabama. The Wildcats took the cash as 10.5-point favorites (it was push for some as many books moved the line to 11 in the 30 minutes prior to tip-off) in the win over UGA after a frenetic/wild finish in the final minutes for our purposes. UGA’s shot from halfcourt to cover at the buzzer nearly went in.

    On Saturday in the first semifinal matchup at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, UK took out Alabama 79-74 in a hard-fought 40-minute struggle. The Crimson Tide covered the number as a 10.5-point underdog, while the 153 combined points soared ‘over’ the 135-point total.

    With UK clinging to a two-point lead with 3:07 left, freshman point guard De’Aaron Fox decided to take over. And he did. Fox scored 14 of his game-high 28 points in the last seven minutes, hitting multiple key shots at crunch time.

    The ‘Cats led by only one at intermission. John Calipari’s team went to the free-throw line 39 times compared to only 20 charity-stripe trips for Alabama. Malik Monk scored 20 points, while Edrice Adebayo added 10 points, nine rebounds and three steals.

    Since getting shellacked by Florida 88-66 on Feb. 4 in Gainesville, UK has ripped off 10 straight wins. However, the ‘Cats are only 5-5 ATS during this stretch.

    When these teams met at Rupp Arena on Jan. 7, Kentucky led by only three at halftime. But the second half was all UK, as it outscored the Hogs 56-33 en route to a 97-71 victory as a 17.5-point ‘chalk.’ The 168 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 168.5-point total.

    Fox produced 27 points, six rebounds and six assists, while Derek Willis finished with 15 points and five rebounds on 3-of-5 shooting from downtown. Isaiah Briscoe added 15 points and eight boards. Monk and Adebayo were also in double figures with 12 and 11 points, respectively.

    In the losing effort, Macon scored a team-best 15 points for the Razorbacks. Barford had 14 from off the bench in just 17 minutes of action. Kingsley also had 14 points with seven boards.

    As of late Saturday night, most betting shops had Kentucky installed as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 161. There wasn’t a money line listed yet, but gamblers can expect Arkansas to be around +315ish on the comeback (risk $100 to win $315).

    The ‘over’ is 17-16 overall for the ‘Cats, but they’ve watched the ‘under’ go 7-2 in their last nine games.

    The ‘over’ is 16-15 overall for Arkansas, but the ‘under’ is 4-1 in its last five outings.

    Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    — Arkansas has only won the SEC Tournament once in 2000. The ironic thing about that is that the ’94 and ’95 teams, both of whom played for all the marbles on a Monday night, didn’t win the SEC Tourney, while Nolan’s 2000 squad won it when it was on the bubble and had to cut the nets down to garner an NCAA invite.

    — This is UK’s fourth consecutive trip to the SEC Tournament finals.

    — Watch the fudge out for Iowa State! I tweeted multiple times this weekend (before their destruction of West Virginia on Saturday night) that the Cyclones are a legit Final Four contender. It’s going to take a game-as-hell effort to send them back to Ames before the national semifinals. I was all over Iowa State as my guarantee (+3.5) last night, hitting that easily for a fifth straight pay-if-it-wins-only casher. I also had the Cyclones on the money line for a +155 return.

    — That dunk by Deonte Burton on the alley-oop last night!!! Get some of that.

    — I’ve always said that ‘Fresh Legs Theory’ is really just a cop-out for taking an ‘L’ and getting sent home from the conference tournament early in upset fashion. The premise behind it is that a team won’t spend energy galore playing three (and sometimes four like Duke this year) games in three days and have dead legs for the more important NCAA Tournament the following week. We have test cases to watch this year. On one hand (with the fresh legs), we have Florida, Kansas and Purdue. On the flip side, we can watch Michigan, Duke and, especially if it gets sent to the First Four in Dayton like last year, Vanderbilt. Unlike Michigan and Duke, Vandy only played three days in a row but one of those games went to overtime.

    #385430

    cnotes
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    • Author

    Sunday’s Tip Sheet
    March 12, 2017

    It may be Selection Sunday for everyone waiting for the final bracket to be set for the 68 teams in this season’s NCAA Tournament, but it is Championship Sunday for the top two teams left in this week’s SEC and Big Ten Tournaments.

    Title games in the Atlantic 10, American Athletic, Sun Belt and the Ivy League Tournament are also on Sunday’s slate.

    SEC Championship
    Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Kentucky Wildcats (ESPN, 1 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Kentucky -8 ½, Total 160 ½

    Betting Matchup

    The Razorbacks came into this week’s SEC Tournament as the third seed after going 12-6 straight-up in conference play. They squeaked past Mississippi 73-72 as 4 ½-point favorites in their tournament opener before hammering Vanderbilt 76-62 on Saturday as four-point underdogs to earn a spot in Sunday’s title game.

    Arkansas (25-8 SU, 17-14 ATS) is now 8-1 SU in its last nine games while going a profitable 7-2 against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER in four of its last five contests. Junior guard Jaylen Barford scored a game-high 18 points in Saturday’s win and senior forward Moses Kingsley added 12 points and 13 rebounds to the winning cause.

    It is no big surprise that Kentucky is in the title game after winning the SEC regular season crown with a SU record of 16-2. The Wildcats (28-5 SU, 16-16-1 ATS) got things started on Friday by upending Georgia 71-60 in a game that ended in a PUSH. They then faced Alabama in the semifinals as 10-point favorites, but could not cover in a tight five-point win. Kentucky has now won its last 10 games SU, but it is a spotty 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven outings.

    Freshman guard De’Aaron Fox went off for 28 points against the Crimson Tide after scoring 20 points against the Bulldogs. This was the third game in a row that he eclipsed his 16.1 point scoring average.

    Betting Trends

    — The Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral-site games and they have failed to cover in four out of their last five games on a Sunday. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games following a SU win.

    — The Wildcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Sunday games and they have covered in eight of their last 11 games played at a neutral site. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games as favorites.

    — Head-to-head in this SEC tilt, the favorite has covered in the last four meetings including Kentucky’s 97-71 victory earlier in the season as a 17 ½-point home favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

    Big Ten Championship
    Michigan Wolverines vs. Wisconsin Badgers (CBS, 3:00 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Wisconsin -1 ½, Total 127 ½

    Betting Matchup

    With six SU victories in their last eight regular season games, the Wolverines (23-11 SU, 15-16 ATS) brought some momentum into this week’s Big Ten Tournament as the eighth seed. They kept things rolling right into this championship game with victories against No. 9 Illinois as favorites and against No. 1 Purdue and No. 4 Minnesota as underdogs. Michigan is now 5-1 both SU and ATS in its last six games.

    The total has gone OVER the closing line in seven of its last eight contests. Senior guard Derrick Walton Jr. put an exclamation point on Saturday’s win in the semifinals with a game-high 29 points to go along with nine assists and five rebounds. He has been the team’s leading scorer this season with 15.0 points per game.

    Wisconsin was second-best team in the Big Ten this season at 12-6 SU and it made its way into the championship with double-digit victories over Indiana and Northwestern both SU and ATS. The Badgers (25-8 SU, 15-15 ATS) had lost five of their final seven regular season contests (SU and ATS) including a 64-58 setback against Michigan on Feb. 16 as two-point road underdogs.

    This followed a 68-64 victory against the Wolverines as 10 ½-point home favorites on Jan. 17. The total stayed UNDER in both games. Senior guard Bronson Koenig has been Wisconsin’s top scorer this season with 14.0 PPG. While he only scored eight points in Saturday’s win, he had exceeded that average in his previous five starts.

    Betting Trends

    — The Wolverines have covered in their last five neutral-site games, but they fall to 2-5 ATS in their last seven Sunday games. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games as underdogs.

    — The Badgers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when favored by 6 ½ points or less; however they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six neutral-site games when closing as favorites.

    — The underdog in this Big Ten tilt is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six games between these two.

    Other Games

    Betting odds for some of the other conference title games on Sunday starts with Princeton favored by seven points against Yale in an Ivy League clash at 12 p.m. on ESPN2.

    Rhode Island will square off against VCU in the Atlantic 10 Championship at 12:30 p.m. on CBS in a game that has been opened as a PICK.

    Troy will play Texas State at 2 p.m. on ESPN as a 1 ½-point favorite in the Sun Belt title game and the final game of the day is a 3:15 p.m. tip on ESPN between SMU and Cincinnati in the AAC Championship. The Mustangs have been opened as two-point favorites over the Bearcats.

    #385432

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    Vandy hoping to get NCAA call despite loss
    March 12, 2017

    Vanderbilt had a rough ending to the SEC Tournament, blown out 76-62 to Arkansas in the semifinals Saturday.

    Now the Commodores will have an anxious 24-or-so hours to find out if they’re in the NCAA Tournament.

    ”It’s been spectacular run by our guys the last couple weeks, been a lot of emotional games all packed into the last few weeks,” Vanderbilt coach Bryce Drew said. ”And, you know, we’re going tomorrow to watch the brackets and hopefully have a good celebration after.”

    Vanderbilt (19-15) has a solid resume.

    The Commodores have six RPI top-50 victories, 12 top-100 wins and were the only SEC team to sweep Florida this season, beating the Gators three times. Vanderbilt won eight of its final 11 games while playing the nation’s toughest schedule, with six of its final 11 wins against projected NCAA Tournament teams.

    The two knocks against Vanderbilt: a whopping 15 losses and a bad last impression with the blowout loss.

    ”The NCAA Tournament, I think it’s the best time of the sports season, obviously, coming up,” Drew said. ”It’s awesome whenever you get to be a part of it. I think our guys have worked really, really hard to put themselves in that position to be part of it. And with the schedule we played this year, with the teams that we have some wins over, we feel like if we go and we play well, hopefully we can stay there for a little while.”

    Alabama had a huge opportunity to move a bit closer to bubble when it faced No. 8 Kentucky in Saturday’s other SEC semifinal.

    The Crimson Tide held their own against the Wildcats, but fell short with a 79-74 loss, dropping to 19-14. Alabama beat Vanderbilt and knocked off South Carolina in the SEC quarterfinals, but finished 6-13 against the RPI Top-100 teams.

    A NCAA Tournament berth could be a longshot now.

    RHODY WINS: Rhode Island still have to play in the Atlantic-10 championship game against VCU on Sunday, when an automatic NCAA Tournament berth will be on the line.

    The Rams could have a slot waiting for them regardless of what happens.

    Rhode Island was No. 25 in the preseason AP Top 25, but had a couple of rough stretches and finished 13-5 in conference. The Rams at least started playing well at just the right time, winning their final seven games, including a blowout over Davidson in Saturday’s tournament semifinals.

    Rhode Island is still firmly on the bubble, though, so beating VCU for the auto bid will make the rest of Sunday a whole lot easier on the Rams.

    ”This is what we talked about four years ago and to be like finally here, we can really taste it,” Rhode Island guard E.C. Matthews said. ”We’re not there yet, so we know we have a lot of work to put in and we’re going to be patient and we’re going to get a lot of rest. We’re going to look at it as another game even though it’s not and be ready to play tomorrow.”

    BLUE RAIDERS RIDE: Middle Tennessee appeared to have a strong enough resume to get into the field of 68 regardless of what happened in Saturday’s Conference-USA title game.

    The Blue Raiders took all the doubt out of it by beating Marshall 83-72 victory for their second straight C-USA title.

    ”For us to be able to do that in the fashion we did it, it really speaks volumes about our team and what we had to go through over the season and not just being satisfied with what we did last year,” Middle Tennessee senior Reggie Upshaw Jr. said.

    MOUNTAIN WEST: Nevada took itself off the bubble by beating Colorado State 79-71 in the Mountain West Conference Tournament title game on Saturday.

    That creates a question: Is the Mountain West a one-bid or two-bid conference?

    Colorado State finished the season 23-11, but was runner-up to Nevada for the regular-season and tournament titles in a conference that is not particularly strong. The Rams didn’t do much during the non-conference schedule, either, their marquee win coming over rival Colorado.

    Selection Sunday is going to be tense for them.

    #385434

    cnotes
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    Armadillo: Sunday’s six-pack

    Odds to win major league strikeout title this season:

    7-2— Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw

    8-1— Madison Bumgarner

    10-1— Chris Archer, Chris Sale

    14-1— Corey Kluber, Noah Syndergaard

    18-1— Justin Verlander

    20-1— Michael Pineda, David Price

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a super Saturday…….

    13) Arizona 83, Oregon 80— High-level game; Wildcats jumped out quickly, held on at the end. I’m not big on debating seeding, but I do think that right now, both these teams are better than Gonzaga, if only because they’ve been tested so much more in the last nine weeks.

    12) VCU 87, Richmond 77 OT— Spiders (+6.5) are our Bad Beat of the Day (they led by 3 with 0:30 left in regulation), but also they lost to their crosstown rival for third time this season. Has to be frustrating.

    Bad beat #2: Penn (+7) lost by 8 in OT at home to Princeton.

    Champ Week is great fun because of games like this one; VCU was in NCAA’s no matter what, but Richmond could’ve been a bid stealer, so teams like USC, Illinois State, Kansas State had to be rooting like hell for VCU, maybe harder than VCU fans.

    11) Big Sky final: North Dakota 93, Weber State 89, OT— They used to be called the Fighting Sioux before the world became politically correct; now they’re the Fighting Hawks. Fitting that a team whose best player is Quinton Hooker won the first Big Sky tournament played in Nevada.

    10) Duke 75, Notre Dame 69— Blue Devils are first ACC team to win conference tournament by winning four games in four days- they came from behind in second half the last three days.

    9) Oregon lost Chris Boucher, its best shot blocker, with a torn ACL, damaging blow to their NCAA hopes. He was scoring 11.8 pts/game, grabbing 6.1 rebounds/game. Boucher played 12:00 last night AFTER the injury, which was found by an MRI today. Tough kid.

    Minnesota lost senior guard Akeem Springs for the season with an achilles injury, big blow for the Gophers.

    8) First day of the first-ever Ivy League tournament was an on-court success; Princeton snuck past the host Penn Quakers in overtime, while Yale beat rival Harvard to advance to the finals.

    Princeton was 14-0 during regular season; would’ve been a bitter pill to lose to a 6-8 team that was playing on its home court. Harvard has a really good senior point guard, but their other four starters are freshmen. Unusual.

    7) Random fact: Over last eight NCAA tournaments, the overall #1 seed has only won the national championship twice.

    6) Nevada 79, Colorado State 71— CSU coach Larry Eustachy got every last drop out of his seven-man squad that had five frosh/sophs on it, but it wasn’t enough to win three games in three days in a conference tournament.

    Question for Nevada is this: can they keep their coach now? Eric Musselman was an NBA head coach (Golden State/Sacramento); his salary in Reno isn’t that great (less than $400K). He was an assistant at LSU a few years ago; he’d be a great hire for them.

    5) Illinois went 37-53 in conference play the last five years; they fired John Groce Saturday. Illini played for the national title in 2005 under Bruce Weber, but has only made tournament in three of last ten years.

    Bob Williams is out after 19 years at Cal-Santa Barbara; Gauchos had a horrible year this season, but the three years before this one, UCSB was 34-14 in the Big West- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2011, but this seems like a quick hook.

    4) Texas State 83, Texas-Arlington 62— UTA was a team I was looking at to be a Cinderella next week; they beat St Mary’s easily in Moraga, but they got upset in the semis of their conference tournament, so they’re off to the NIT. Texas State plays Troy State Sunday for the Sun Belt title; will the winner be headed to Dayton for a Wednesday play-in game?

    3) Cincinnati 81, UConn 71— Bearcats beat UConn three times this season, all by double digits, twice in the Nutmeg State. Cincy will be a trendy sleeper pick in brackets next week.

    2) What could the biggest possible “worlds colliding” matchup in the first round of the NCAA’s? In 1986, Montana State played St John’s; something like that. How often does a team from NYC play a team from Bozeman, Montana?

    How about North Dakota-UCLA? Vermont-West Virginia?

    1— Random observation; officials called way fewer fouls in Champ Week than they did during the regular season. Watched games from all over the country: the Big West tournament could’ve been played on an outdoor court at Venice Beach— tremendous amount of contact was ignored.

    #385436

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 12

    Yale @ Princeton

    Game 893-894
    March 12, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Yale
    57.087
    Princeton
    61.239
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Princeton
    by 4
    126
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Princeton
    by 7
    130 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Yale
    (+7); Under

    Cincinnati @ SMU

    Game 891-892
    March 12, 2017 @ 3:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    71.306
    SMU
    70.244
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 1
    124
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    SMU
    by 2
    129 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+2); Under

    Michigan @ Wisconsin

    Game 889-890
    March 12, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan
    67.810
    Wisconsin
    75.348
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 7 1/2
    122
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 1
    127 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wisconsin
    (-1); Under

    Troy @ Texas State

    Game 887-888
    March 12, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Troy
    54.139
    Texas State
    50.936
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Troy
    by 3
    128
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Troy
    by 1
    134 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Troy
    (-1); Under

    Arkansas @ Kentucky

    Game 885-886
    March 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arkansas
    70.545
    Kentucky
    75.930
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kentucky
    by 5 1/2
    165
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kentucky
    by 8 1/2
    160 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Rhode Island @ VA-Commonwealth

    Game 883-884
    March 12, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rhode Island
    68.653
    VA-Commonwealth
    63.674
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rhode Island
    by 5
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Rhode Island
    Pick
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rhode Island
    Over

    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 12

    ——————————————————————————–

    RHODE ISLAND (23 – 9) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (26 – 7) – 3/12/2017, 1:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-1 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    ARKANSAS (25 – 8) vs. KENTUCKY (28 – 5) – 3/12/2017, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARKANSAS is 76-118 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 76-117 ATS (-52.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    KENTUCKY is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
    ARKANSAS is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
    KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENTUCKY is 4-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    TROY (21 – 14) vs. TEXAS ST (20 – 12) – 3/12/2017, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
    TEXAS ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
    TEXAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
    TROY is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    TROY is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS ST is 5-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS ST is 5-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    MICHIGAN (23 – 11) vs. WISCONSIN (25 – 8) – 3/12/2017, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    WISCONSIN is 4-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    CINCINNATI (29 – 4) vs. SMU (29 – 4) – 3/12/2017, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game this season.
    SMU is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games this season.
    SMU is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
    SMU is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
    SMU is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    SMU is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    SMU is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
    SMU is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
    SMU is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
    SMU is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SMU is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    SMU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
    SMU is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    SMU is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    SMU is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 4-2 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 4-2 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    YALE (18 – 10) vs. PRINCETON (22 – 6) – 3/12/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PRINCETON is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    YALE is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    YALE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PRINCETON is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
    PRINCETON is 3-3 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    NCAAB
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Sunday, March 12

    Atlantic 14 tournament, Pittsburgh
    VCU is in A-14 tourney final for 5th year in row; they went 1-3 in finals last four years. VCU beat crosstown rival Richmond in OT yesterday, is already in NCAA’s; Rhode Island needs win here to make NCAAs. URI was 31-39 on foul line in 69-59 home win over VCU 15 days ago, only meeting this season, when VCU was 1-15 on arc- that was Rhode Island’s first win in five A-14 games vs VCU. URI had easy time with Davidson yesterday; too one played more than 28:00. VCU played nine kids 9+ minutes yesterday; Lewis played 37:00, Alie-Cox 36:00.

    SEC tournament, Nashville
    Kentucky is 18-3 in SEC tournament the last eight years; they won this event the last two years. Arkansas lost 97-71 in Rupp Arena Jan 7, but game was 41-38 at half; Wildcats were 28-40 on foul line at home. Razorbacks won eight of last nine games; they whacked a good Vanderbilt team by 14 yesterday, playing no one more than 29:00. Over last decade, Arkansas is 0-3 in SEC tourney final, last making it two years ago (lost 78-63 to Kentucky). Wildcats won their last four games vs Arkansas, winning by 17-15-14-26 points.

    Sun Belt tournament, New Orleans
    Troy is playing for 4th time in five days; Texas State for third day in row. Trojans won five in row, nine of last 11 games; they’re #58 in experience, starting three juniors, one senior. Texas State starts three seniors, plays 8th-slowest tempo in country; they upset #1-seed Tex-Arlington by 21 yesterday, scoring an uncharacteristically high 83 points, Bobcats swept Troy State this year, winning both games by four points; they’re 4-4 overall in Sun Belt games with Troy. Troy played four guys 30:00+ yesterday in win over Georgia State; Texas State played two guys 32:00+.

    Big 14 tournament, Washington DC
    Michigan is playing 4th day in row, Wisconsin third day in row. Wolverines won four games in row, nine of last 11; they’re #60 experience team in country. Badgers allowed 54 pts/game in wins over Indiana/Northwestern last two days; they’re #62 experience team, used one guy more than 30:00 yesterday. Teams split pair of games this year; Badgers won 68-64 at home Jan 17, after being down 8 in second half. Michigan won rematch 64-58 Feb 16, when Badgers were just 3-16 on arc. Walton/Irvin both played 37:00 yesterday in Wolverines’ win vs Minnesota.

    AAC tournament, Hartford
    Cincinnati/SMU will both be popular sleepers in brackets next week; teams split pair of wins this season- Bearcats won first meeting 66-64 at home Jan 17, going 12-26 on arc. Mustangs won rematch 60-51 at home Feb 12; they played only six guys that day. SMU used three kids 38+ minutes yesterday in an easy win- again, only six guys played- they’ve won 15 games in a row since the loss at Cincinnati. Bearcats won 22 of last 24 games, with only other loss at Central Florida. SMU shot 41.7% on arc in AAC games; Cincy is #2 in AAC at defending the arc.

    Ivy League tournament, Philadelphia
    Princeton is 15-0 in Ivy League games this year, but needs win here to make NCAA’s; they needed OT to beat 13-15 Penn on its home court yesterday. Tigers haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2011- they also haven’t lost since Monmouth beat them Dec 20. Princeton swept its games with Yale this season, 66-58 at home Jan 14, 71-52 in New Haven Feb 17. Bulldogs used three guys 30:00+ yesterday. Tigers are #65 experience team in country; Yale is #286. These teams normally play back/back days, unlike most leagues.

    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 12

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Trend Report
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    12:00 PM
    YALE vs. PRINCETON
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Princeton’s last 13 games
    Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    12:30 PM
    RHODE ISLAND vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
    No trends available
    Virginia Commonwealth is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Virginia Commonwealth is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

    1:00 PM
    ARKANSAS vs. KENTUCKY
    No trends available
    Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky’s last 6 games

    2:00 PM
    TROY vs. TEXAS STATE
    No trends available
    Texas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy
    Texas State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Troy

    3:00 PM
    MICHIGAN vs. WISCONSIN
    No trends available
    Wisconsin is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Michigan
    Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan

    3:15 PM
    CINCINNATI vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
    No trends available
    Southern Methodist is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

    #385437

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 12

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    SEC Tournament Final betting preview: Arkansas vs Kentucky
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    The Wildcats can breathe a sigh of relief after freshman phenom Malik Monk (20.5 points) broke out of a brief two-game shooting slump to score 20 points in Saturday’s semifinal.

    Arkansas Razorbacks vs Kentucky Wildcats (-8, 159.5)

    Tournament being played at Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee

    Kentucky and its freshman-heavy lineup appear to be peaking just in time to be a national championship contender, and the top-seeded Wildcats will try to keep their hot streak rolling in the SEC Tournament championship game against Arkansas on Sunday. The Wildcats have won a season-best 10 straight following a 79-74 win over Alabama in Saturday’s semifinals.

    The Razorbacks reached the tournament final for the second time in three years with a 76-62 win over Vanderbilt on Saturday, while Kentucky is in the title game for the seventh time in coach John Calipari’s eight seasons. The Wildcats are 30-10 all-time in the SEC Tournament final and have won four tournament titles under Calipari. Arkansas is looking for just its second SEC Tournament title and its first since 2000, when the Razorbacks also were the No. 3 seed. The Wildcats routed the Razorbacks 97-71 at home on Jan. 7, but Arkansas has been a different team of late, winning eight of its last nine games.

    TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN

    LINE HISTORY: The top seeded Kentucky Wildcats opened as 8.5-point favorites over the Arkansas Razorbacks and the total hit the betting board at 161. Check out the complete line history here.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Arkansas – G RJ Glasper (Out Indefinitely, shoulder).

    Kentucky – F Sacha Killeya-Jones (Questionable, illness).

    POWER RANKINGS: Arkansas (-5.6) – Kentucky (-17.7) + neutral site (0) = Kentucky -12.1

    ABOUT ARKANSAS (25-8 SU, 17-14 ATS, 16-15 O/U): The Razorbacks displayed their balance against Vanderbilt, as Jaylen Barford led four players in double-figures. Barford (12.6 points) has scored in double digits in eight straight games and has led the team in scoring five times in the last eight games. Leading scorer Dusty Hannahs (14.6 points) and reserve guard Daryl Macon (13.3 points) also have been in double figures in both tournament games, and big man Moses Kingsley (11.9 points, 7.9 rebounds) posted a double-double with 12 points and 13 rebounds on Saturday.

    ABOUT KENTUCKY (28-5 SU, 17-16 ATS, 17-16 O/U): The Wildcats can breathe a sigh of relief after freshman phenom Malik Monk (20.5 points) broke out of a brief two-game shooting slump to score 20 points, but fellow freshman De’Aaron Fox continued his hot streak with a career-high 28 points against Alabama. Fox (16.1 points, 4.9 assists, 4.2 rebounds) has averaged 22.3 points over the past three games, and his big game against the Crimson Tide helped offset a quiet outing from backcourt mate Isaiah Briscoe (12.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.3 assists). Freshman big man Bam Adebayo has averaged 14 points and 10 rebounds over the past nine games with three double-doubles over that span.

    TRENDS:

    * Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
    * Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
    * Under is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 games following a straight up win.
    * Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games as a favorite.
    * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

    #385438

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 12

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Big Ten Conference Tournament Final betting preview: Michigan vs. Wisconsin
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    Michigan has overcome a lot to get to the Big Ten Final, but one one has looked better than Wisconsin during this tourney.

    Michigan Wolverines vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-1.5, 128)

    Game to be played at Verizon Center, Washington, District of Columbia

    Michigan may be able to claim to be the Big Ten’s hottest team, but 23rd-ranked Wisconsin has made it clear no squad in the conference has played better over the last week. The second-seeded Badgers eye their second Big Ten tournament title in three years and fourth overall on Sunday, when they face the eighth-seeded Wolverines in the championship game in Washington D.C.

    Wisconsin dropped five of six games to fall out of contention for the regular-season conference title, but it has flashed the same form over the last week – especially on defense – that allowed it to race out to a 21-3 start to the campaign. Following a 17-point home victory last Sunday over Minnesota in its regular-season finale, Wisconsin held Indiana’s league-best offense more than 20 points below its season average in Friday’s 70-60 quarterfinal triumph before limiting Northwestern to a season-low point total in a 76-48 semifinal rout the following day. Michigan shot 63.3 percent in the first half and led by as many as 16 points before settling for an 84-77 victory over Minnesota in Saturday’s other semifinal – its fourth straight win and ninth in 11 games. The Wolverines, who are the lowest seed to reach the conference tournament final since No. 10 seed Illinois did so in 2008, are seeking their first Big Ten championship since the inaugural event in 1998 – a title the school was forced to later vacate due to NCAA sanctions.

    TV: 3 p.m. ET, CBS

    LINE HISTORY: The Badgers opened the Big Ten championship favored by one-point and have been bet up to the current number of -1.5. The total hit the board at 128 and was bet up to 128.5, before being bet down to the current number of 127.5. Check out the complete line history here.

    ABOUT MICHIGAN: Derrick Walton Jr. (15 points, 4.7 assists) recorded 19 of his career-high 29 points – one shy of Trey Burke’s school record for a Big Ten tournament game – in the second half Saturday and either scored or assisted on 18 of his team’s final 20. Moritz Wagner (12.1 points), who registered 21 points in a meeting with Wisconsin on Feb. 16, poured in 17 on 6-for-7 shooting versus Minnesota after going 3-of-11 for 11 over his first two tournament games. Playing their fourth contest in as many days, the Wolverines likely will need more from their bench, which has produced only 28 of the team’s 233 points in this tournament.

    ABOUT WISCONSIN: Ethan Happ (13.9 points, 9.1 rebounds) produced his highest-scoring output in six games with 16 points Saturday – uncharacteristically doing much of his damage from the free-throw line, where the sophomore forward was 8-of-11 after entering the game as a 47.5-percent foul shooter. Nigel Hayes (13.5 points, 6.4 boards) posted game highs of 18 points and 10 rebounds against Northwestern and was the only other Badger to attempt a free throw (2-of-4) but one of five to hit exactly two 3-pointers as the team finished with 12. Since going scoreless in a loss at Ohio State on Feb. 23, Zak Showalter (8.3 points) is averaging 12 points on 23-of-38 shooting, including 11-of-22 from beyond the arc.

    TRENDS:

    * Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site games.
    * Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
    * Under is 5-1 in Michigan’s last six neutral site games as an underdog.
    * Under is 9-1 in Wisconsin’s last 10 neutral site games.

    CONSENSUS: The very early consensus is backing the underdog Wolverines, with 53 percent of wagers on Michigan.

    #385439

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 12

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    AAC Tournament Finals betting preview and odds: Cincinnati vs. Southern Methodist
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    SMU is one of the best bets in the nation this year at 20-6-1 ATS and are 2-point chalk for the AAC championship vs. Cincinnati.

    Cincinnati Bears vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (-2, 128.5)

    Game to be played at XL Center, Hartford, Connecticut

    No. 15 SMU has won 15 games in a row and 25 of its last 26 as it rolls into Sunday’s American Athletic Conference tournament title game in Hartford, Conn., against 18th-ranked Cincinnati after posting its school-record 29th victory of the season in Saturday’s semifinal contest versus Central Florida. The top-seeded Mustangs shot 55 percent as their starting five accounted for all the offense in a 70-59 victory, with Sterling Brown scoring 22 points.

    The Mustangs also are playing well defensively, allowing 66 points or fewer in 23 of their last 26 games. The second-seeded Bearcats are the last team to have defeated SMU, posting a 66-64 home victory on Jan. 12, but the Mustangs got even with a 60-51 home triumph on Feb. 12. Cincinnati has captured seven of its last eight games as Gary Clark scored a team-high 25 points off the bench in an 81-71 semifinal victory over Connecticut. Sunday’s matchup features two of the best defensive teams in the nation, as SMU is third with 59.9 points allowed while the Bearcats are fourth at 60.5.

    TV: 3:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

    LINE HISTORY: The Mustangs, who are one of the nation’s best bets at 21-6-1 ATS, hit the board as 2-point chalk for the AAC Final. The total hit the board at 130.5 and has seen nothing but under moving, moving down to 128.5. Check out the complete line history here.

    ABOUT CINCINNATI: Clark, who rebounded from a five-point performance in Friday’s quarterfinal contest against Tulsa, finished 15-of-16 from the free-throw line against UConn and pulled down nine rebounds. Jacob Evans has scored 41 points in two games during the tournament, while leading scorer Kyle Washington looks to bounce back after foul trouble rendered him scoreless on Saturday. The Bearcats have allowed more than 68 points only once in their last 13 games.

    ABOUT SMU: AAC Player of the Year Semi Ojeleye has scored 52 points through two games of the tournament, while Brown is shooting 64.1 percent overall and 13-of-23 from 3-point range over his last four contests. SMU is limiting opponents to 38.6 percent shooting. The Mustangs have reached the NCAA Tournament just once since 1993 (two seasons ago) and have not won a game in the event since 1988.

    TRENDS:

    * Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.
    * Southern Methodist is 23-5-1 ATS in is last 29 games as a favorite.
    * Over is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s last six neutral site games.
    * Over is 7-0 in Southern Methodist’s last seven games overall.

    CONSENSUS: The very early consensus is seeing 55 percent of bettors backing Cincinnati in this matchup.

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