Cnotes March Madness Trends-Picks-News !

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  • #385241

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Top 25 Capsules
    March 11, 2017[/I][/B]

    NEW YORK (AP) Josh Hart scored 19 points, including the game-winning basket with 9.6 seconds to play, and No. 2 Villanova beat Seton Hall 55-53 on Friday night in the semifinals of the Big East Tournament.

    Hart’s three-point play on a rebound was the fifth lead change of the final 4 minutes and there were two ties.

    There was almost a third as Seton Hall’s Angel Delgado, the nation’s leading rebounder, missed a shot from in close with 1 second left.

    Delgado fell to the court and remained face down as his teammates tried to console him.

    The Wildcats (30-3), the four-time defending regular-season champion, will face Creighton for the title on Saturday.

    Desi Rodriguez led Seton Hall (21-11) with 14 points. The Pirates had won five in a row.

    [B]No. 7 ARIZONA 86, No. 3 UCLA 75
    [/B]
    LAS VEGAS (AP) – Lauri Markkanen scored 29 points, Allonzo Trier added 20 and Arizona shot its way past UCLA in the Pac-12 Tournament semifinals.

    Arizona (29-4) took advantage of UCLA’s defensive lapses and played well on its own end while avenging disappointing loss to the Bruins in Tucson two weeks ago.

    The co-Pac-12 champion Wildcats shot 50 percent and made 10 of 20 from 3-point range in front of a rowdy crowd that made T-Mobile Arena feel like McKale Center west.

    Arizona will play No. 5 Oregon in Saturday night’s title game.

    UCLA (29-4) struggled from the perimeter against Arizona’s length, hitting 4 of 25 from 3-point range. Lonzo Ball and Bryce Alford combined for 13 points.

    [B]No. 5 OREGON 73, CALIFORNIA 65[/B]

    LAS VEGAS (AP) – Tyler Dorsey had 23 points, Dylan Ennis scored on a key three-point play with 22 seconds left, and Oregon outlasted California in the Pac-12 Tournament semifinals.

    Top-seeded Oregon (29-4) played most of the second half without leading scorer Dillon Brooks due to foul trouble, but increased its lead behind a rash of blocked shots and transition baskets.

    Ennis finished with 16 points for Oregon, and Jordan Bell had 15 rebounds and five blocked shots.

    California (21-12) lost leading scorer Jabari Bird 64 seconds into the game to a head injury after a hard fall, yet held its own with the Ducks. Grant Mullins led Cal with 23 points.

    [B]No. 14 DUKE 93, No. 6 NORTH CAROLINA 83
    [/B]
    NEW YORK (AP) – Jayson Tatum scored 24 points and Duke rallied for the win in the Atlantic Coast Conference semifinals.

    Luke Kennard had 20 points for the Blue Devils (26-8), who will play for the title Saturday night in Brooklyn against No. 16 Florida State or No. 22 Notre Dame.

    By winning the second game between the teams in seven days, fifth-seeded Duke took two of three in the season series against the top-seeded Tar Heels (27-7). It was their first ACC Tournament matchup since the Blue Devils won the 2011 championship game.

    Kennedy Meeks had 19 points and 12 rebounds for the taller, deeper and more experienced Tar Heels, who dominated inside early but blew a 13-point lead in the second half.

    [B]No. 8 KENTUCKY 71, GEORGIA 60[/B]

    NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) – Isaiah Briscoe and De’Aaron Fox each scored 20 points, helping Kentucky advance to the semifinals of the Southeastern Conference Tournament.

    Coming off a double bye as the No. 1 seed, the well-rested Wildcats started both halves quickly and steadily pulled away for a double-digit win over the Bulldogs after two close victories. Kentucky (27-5) offset 38 percent shooting by holding Georgia to 19 of 57 from the field (33 percent).

    The Wildcats will face fifth-seeded Alabama on Saturday.

    J.J. Frazier had 15 points for the eighth-seeded Bulldogs (19-14), who played their second tournament game in as many days.

    [B]No. 11 WEST VIRGINIA 51, KANSAS STATE 50[/B]

    KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) – West Virginia’s Esa Ahmad made the second of two free throws with 20.2 seconds left, and an off-balance 3-pointer by Kansas State’s Kamau Stokes was off at the buzzer in the Big 12 Tournament semifinals.

    Tarik Phillip tied the game for the Mountaineers (26-7) with a 3-pointer with 1:41 left, and the Wildcats (20-13) came up empty at the other end. Ahmad was fouled during a mad scramble for a rebound moments later, and he clanked his first free throw before making his second.

    The Wildcats brought the ball up court and called timeout with 10.2 seconds left. Tightly guarded as time ran out, Stokes heaved a shot that hit off the rim.

    The Mountaineers will face No. 23 Iowa State in the final on Saturday night.

    [B]No. 12 SMU 81, EAST CAROLINA 77[/B]

    HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) – Semi Ojeleye scored a career-high 36 points, and SMU held off East Carolina in the quarterfinals of the American Athletic Conference Tournament.

    The conference’s player of the year hit 12 of his 19 shots and pulled down 12 rebounds, giving him his fifth double-double this season.

    Sterling Brown added 16 points for SMU (28-4), which will play UCF in the semifinals on Saturday. The AAC’s regular-season champions have won 14 straight and 24 of their last 25 games.

    Kentrell Barkley, who has been battling tendinitis in his left knee, had 22 of his 24 points in the second half for East Carolina (15-18).

    [B]MICHIGAN 74, No. 13 PURDUE 70, OT[/B]

    WASHINGTON (AP) – Two days after its airplane’s scary abandoned takeoff, Michigan moved into the Big Ten semifinals behind D.J. Wilson’s 26 points.

    The eighth-seeded Wolverines (22-11) also got 13 points from Zak Irvin, including their first four of the extra period, against the No. 1 seed Boilermakers (25-7).

    Michigan next faces No. 4 seed Minnesota, which advanced with a 63-58 victory against Michigan State.

    Caleb Swanigan, the second-leading scorer in the Big Ten, fouled out in OT with 13 points and 13 rebounds for Purdue – his 26th double-double, tying Jerry Lucas and Brad Sellers for the league’s single-season record.

    [B]No. 15 CINCINNATI 80, TULSA 61[/B]

    HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) – Kyle Washington scored 21 points and Jacob Evans finished with 20, powering Cincinnati to the runaway win in the American Athletic Conference quarterfinals.

    Troy Caupain added 15 points for the Bearcats (28-4), who led for all but 17 seconds and by as many as 24 points. Cincinnati advances to face UConn on Saturday.

    Corey Henderson Jr. had 15 points and Sterling Taplin scored 10 for Tulsa, which lost three of its final four games to finish the season 15-17.

    Cincinnati closed the first half on a 7-0 run and went into the intermission ahead 40-25.

    [B]No. 22 NOTRE DAME 77, No. 16 FLORIDA STATE 73[/B]

    NEW YORK (AP) – Steve Vasturia and Bonzie Colson each scored 18 points, helping Notre Dame advance to the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament title game.

    The third-seeded Fighting Irish (25-8) will face fifth-seeded Duke on Saturday night at Barclays Center.

    Notre Dame has eliminated Duke from the tournament each of the past two seasons, including a semifinal victory in 2015 on the way to the Irish’s first conference tournament championship.

    Dwayne Bacon led Florida State (25-8) with 18 points.

    [B]VANDERBILT 72, No. 17 FLORIDA 62, OT[/B]

    NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) – Riley LaChance scored five of his 18 points in overtime, and Vanderbilt topped Florida in the Southeastern Conference Tournament quarterfinals.

    The Commodores (19-14) beat the Gators for the third time this season and second in seven days to earn a berth in the semifinals against Arkansas on Saturday. First-year coach Bryce Drew has Vanderbilt in the semifinals for the first time since 2013 with a win that should push his Commodores firmly into the NCAA Tournament for a second straight year.

    Florida (24-8) fought back from an eight-point deficit to force overtime thanks to KeVaughn Allen, who made a tying 3 with 1:42 left. The Gators had the ball with the game tied at 58 but missed two shots in the final seconds of regulation.

    Vanderbilt scored the first seven points of OT, with LaChance’s jumper with 4:02 to go putting the Commodores ahead to stay.

    Allen and Kasey Hill each finished with 16 points for Florida.

    [B]No. 23 IOWA STATE 84, YCU 63[/B]

    KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) – Deonte Burton scored 22 points, Monte Morris had 15 and Iowa State reached its third Big 12 Tournament title game in the past four seasons.

    The fourth-seeded Cyclones (22-10) clearly weren’t impressed – or intimidated – by the Horned Frogs’ victory against top-ranked Kansas in the quarterfinals. Iowa State used two big first-half runs to assume control, and then stretched its advantage to 26 points midway through the second.

    That gave coach Steve Prohm’s group, which has won eight of its last nine, plenty of time to rest for Saturday night’s title game against No. 11 West Virginia.

    Vladimir Brodziansky and Jaylen Fisher had 10 points apiece for the No. 8 seed Horned Frogs (19-15).

    [B]No. 24 WISCONSIN 70, INDIANA 60[/B]

    WASHINGTON (AP) – Wisconsin slowed Indiana’s offense, and Ethan Happ had 14 points and 12 rebounds to help the Badgers advance to the Big Ten semifinals.

    Bronson Koenig scored 16 points to lead five Badgers in double figures. They will face Northwestern on Saturday.

    No. 2 seed Wisconsin (24-8) dropped five of six games down the stretch, but now has won two in a row, including its conference tournament opener against 10th-seeded Indiana (18-15), which scored so easily a night earlier while beating Iowa.

    James Blackmon Jr. led Indiana with 17 points, but freshman De’Ron Davis had only two points on 1-of-6 shooting after going 7-for-7 for 15 points Thursday.

    [B]NORTHWESTERN 72, No. 25 MARYLAND 64[/B]

    WASHINGTON (AP) – Northwestern roared into the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament.

    Scottie Lindsey and Vic Law each scored 17 points for the Wildcats (23-10), who took control with a 20-2 run in the second half that all but silenced an arena that earlier produced the loudest cheers of the first Big Ten Tournament held in the nation’s capital.

    Having already defeated Rutgers and No. 3 seed Maryland, Northwestern on Saturday will face Wisconsin, a 70-60 winner over Indiana.

    Melo Trimble scored 20 points for the Terrapins (24-8), but committed six turnovers. Freshman Kevin Huerter had 19 points.

    #385242

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    [B]Armadillo: Saturday’s six-pack[/B]

    Odds to win major league ERA title this season:

    9-5— Clayton Kershaw

    5-1— Madison Bumgarner

    8-1— Noah Synderaard

    10-1— Jon Lester

    12-1— Max Scherzer

    15-1— Jake Arrieta

    **********

    [B]Armadillo: Saturday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a busy Friday of basketball [/B]

    13) Duke 93, North Carolina 83— UNC point guard Joel Berry got in foul trouble and Carolina fell apart. Did they keep him out too long? Doug Gottlieb called it coaching malpractice. Duke made 10-17 on the arc and wins for the third day in a row- they play Notre Dame in the ACC final tonight.

    12) Arizona 86, UCLA 75— No love lost between these two; Wildcats called timeout with 0:01 left, apparently in retaliation for Bruins doing a similar thing in Tucson last month. Coaches had words in the handshake line. Arizona plays Oregon for Pac-12 title tonight.

    3:20 into this game, Bill Walton is hugging someone who patted him on the back at the broadcast table- while they’re on the air. It is Julius Erving, wearing a golf cap and shorts. He stopped by to say hello. Don’t see that every day.

    11) Marshall 93, Louisiana Tech 77— #2-seed in Conference USA goes down; Thundering Herd was an amazing 19-35 on the arc; when you do that, you win. Marshall scored 1.31 points per possession, a very high number.

    Over last five years, La Tech is 70-18 in conference play, but with zero NCAA tournaments; they are 4-5 in conference tournaments. For mid-majors, the conference tournament is the thing.

    10) Michigan 74, Purdue 70 OT— Quite a week for the Wolverines, who played three guys 40:00+ in this game, after hammering Illinois yesterday. Tomorrow they play for third day in row against Minnesota, another very hot team.

    9) Davidson 73, Dayton 67— Big upset in Atlantic 14; Wildcats got 34 from senior G Gibbs, and Aldridge played 40:00 for second day in a row.

    8) Vanderbilt 72, Florida 62— Commodores beat Florida three times this season; is it enough to get them in the Field of 68? Commodores are 19-14; a win over Arkansas today might be needed.

    7) Richmond 70, George Washington 67— Spiders’ best player is senior TJ Cline, a 6-9 kid who is a very good passer, smart player- he is also Nancy Lieberman’s son, a fact that the announcers in this game beat to death. We get it, his mom was a great player. Don’t need to interview her (or any parent), don’t need to see her on the screen six times a game.

    Richmond’s coach played at Princeton, so the Spiders spread the floor a lot and pass the ball well; they led this game 68-62 with 3:42 left but never scored again until a breakaway layup at the buzzer provided the final margin.

    6) Game of the Day: Cal-Bakersfield 81, Utah Valley 80, 4OT— Roadrunners forced 28 turnovers (+12) and advance to the WAC final tonight at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas.

    5) Nevada 83, Fresno State 72— Wolf Pack had already lost twice to Fresno State this season, trailed by 11 at the half in this game, but used a 16-0 run in second half to win and advance to the Mountain West final, on their arch-rival’s home court in Las Vegas.

    4) Creighton 75, Xavier 72— Musketeers hit a 3 to tie game, then Creighton won it with another 3-pointer as a team from Omaha beat a team from Cincinnati in the Big East tournament. If I was a kid and did lousy on a Geography test in school, I’d blame the Big East commissioner.

    3) Big Sky final: Top-seeded North Dakota (the Fighting Hawks, not Fighting Sioux anymore) will face Weber State in the final in beautiful downtown Reno.

    Big West final: Top-seeded Cal-Irvine will face Cal-Davis after the Aggies nipped Fullerton in OT late Friday night. Davis is looking for its first Big West championship.

    2) West Virginia 51, Kansas State 50— Mountaineers shot 6-32 (6 for 32!!!!) in the first half, but hung in there, survived and may have snuffed out K-State’s last chance for an NCAA bid.

    1— Kent State 68, Ohio U 66— Upset in MAC semis produces a final between arch-rivals, Kent and MAC kingpin Akron. Golden Flashes haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2008.

    All the #1 seeds who played Friday won. Unusual.

    There is an 11am tipoff for Albany-Vermont; my alma mater is trying for their sixth America East title. I better sleep fast. ��

    #385244

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Saturday, March 11

    Big 14 tournament, Washington DC
    Michigan won eight of its last ten games; they beat Purdue in OT yesterday, playing three guys 40:00+- they’re playing third day in a row here. Wolverines lost 83-78 in OT at Minnesota Feb 19; Gophers were 28-41 on foul line, Michigan just 9-18. Minnesota won nine of last ten games; they avenged two regular season losses to Michigan State yesterday; this is only their second game this week. Since 2003, Minnesota is 3-7 in its second tourney game. This is third time in four years Michigan won two tourney games; they lost 3rd game those years by 14-17 points.

    Atlantic 14 tournament, Pittsburgh
    Last 8+ years, VCU is 21-5 in conference tournaments; they’re 11-3 in A-14 tourneys- this is their 5th one. Rams won 11 of last 13 games overall. VCU beat crosstown rival Richmond twice this season, 81-74 at home Feb 1, then 84-73 at Richmond Feb 17- they shot 58%/60% inside arc in those games. Spiders won tourney in 2011 but are just 3-5 in this event since; Richmond survived tense struggle with GW last night- they used four starters 31:00+. VCU beat George Mason yesterday by 11; game was tied at half. Only one Ram played more than 28:00.

    SEC tournament, Nashville
    Road team won both Vandy-Arkansas games this season; Hogs won 71-70 in Nashville Jan 24, then Commodores won 72-59 at Arkansas Feb 7. Vandy was 12-23 on arc in their win, 9-26 in the loss. Vanderbilt won seven of its last eight games but needed OT to beat Florida Thursday, their third win over the Gators this season- they used four players 34:00+, with Kornet playing 44:00. Arkansas won seven of its last eight games; they held Ole Miss off 73-72 yesterday, playing nine kids 14:00+, only one player more than 26:00.

    AAC tournament, Hartford

    Cincinnati hammered UConn twice this season, 82-68 at home Feb 4, then 67-47 in Nutmeg State a week ago; Bearcats lost to UConn in four OT’s in LY’s tournament- they haven’t won a conference tourney since 2004 C-USA tourney, when Bob Huggins was their coach. Cincy had an easy time with Tulsa yesterday; no one played more than 29:00. UConn won last two days by 11-10 points; they entered tourney on 4-game losing streak. Huskies are playing on their home court; since 2011, they’re 17-3 in conference tournaments, with two titles.

    Big East tournament, New York City
    Villanova spanked Creighton twice this season, 80-70 in Omaha New Year’s Eve, then 79-63 at home two weeks ago. Wildcats struggled past Seton Hall 55-53 yesterday; three of their guys played 31:00+. Creighton beat Xavier in last 0:07 last night; Bluejays used four starters 30:00+ last night. Villanova is best team in league defending arc; Jays are shooting 37.2% on arc this season, third-best in Big East. Creighton lost final here in 2014; Villanova won this tourney in ’15, lost final LY. Lower seeded team won four of last six Big East finals.

    Big X tournament, Kansas City
    West Virginia beat Iowa State twice this season, 85-72 in Ames Jan 31, then 87-76 at home eight nights ago. Mountaineers shot 6-32 in first half last night, rallied late to sneak past Kansas State, 51-50- they’re won six of last seven games, allowed 53-50 points in first two tournament games this week. Adrian/Carter played 38:00 apiece last nite, no one else more than 28:00. ISU starts four seniors, is #6 experience team in country; Cyclones won by 21 last nite; they’re 24-49 on arc this weekend. Iowa State won this tourney in ’14/’15; WVU lost final to Kansas LY.

    MAC tournament, Cleveland
    Arch-rivals won on each other’s home court this season; Kent won 70-67 in Akron Feb 17, then Zips got revenge 66-56 at Kent eight nights ago. Over last decade, Akron is 3-5 in MAC finals; their last title was in 2013. Flashes were last in final in 2011- they lost to Akron in OT. Zips beat Ball State by 4 yesterday, surviving Cardinals’ 13-29 shooting on arc; Akron used two guys 32:00+- they played eight guys double figure minutes. Kent State won last two days by total of five points; they played three starters 37:00+ yesterday; they played 30:00+ on Thursday.

    ACC tournament, Brooklyn
    Duke rallied to win from down double digits vs Louisville/North Carolina last two nights; no team has ever won four games in four days to win ACC tourney- Duke can do it here. Blue Devils won 84-74 at Notre Dame Jan 30, in only meeting between teams this season- they haven’t won an ACC tournament since 2011; their last final appearance was loss to Virginia in ’14. Notre Dame made 13-27 on arc in 77-73 win over Florida State last nite; Irish bench played total of only 31:00. Notre Dame won eight of last nine games with only loss by 7 at Louisville;

    C-USA tournament, Birmingham
    Middle Tennessee State avenged its only C-USA loss yesterday by thumping UTEP; they beat Marshall twice this season, 69-57 at home Jan 12, then 97-86 in Huntington Feb 18. Marshall is playing 4th day in a row; they made 19-35 on arc yesterday in 93-77 thumping of 2-seed La Tech. Thundering Herd played four starters 35:00+ yesterday; their bench played total of 36:00. MTSU had stress-free games the last two days. Blue Raiders are in third straight C-USA final; Marshall’s last final appearance was loss to Memphis in 2012.

    Pac-12 tournament, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
    Oregon won its last eight games; they used seven guys last nite, playing three of them 31:00+ in game that was 36-33 at half. Ducks hammered Arizona 85-58 at home Feb 4 in only meeting this season; they were 16-25 on arc in that game. Arizona beat UCLA fairly easily last night; Wildcats are 20-39 from arc last two nights- new arena must have good lighting. Ducks are in Pac-12 final for 4th time in five years (2-1 in previous three). Arizona is in final for 5th time in seven years; they were 1-3 in previous three finals, but beat Oregon 80-52 two years ago.

    Big West tournament, Anaheim

    Top-seeded Cal-Irvine won five in a row, eight of its last nine games; they held off Long Beach State 62-57 last nite, playing three guys 30:00+. Anteaters lost 74-65 at Cal-Davis when the Aggies were 35-46 on foul line; Irvine avenged that loss 79-49 at home one week ago. Davis needed OT to beat Fullerton last night, surviving 2-18 shooting on arc; Aggies start four seniors and in mid-major leagues, that makes a big difference. Higher seed won Big West final four of last five years; Anteaters won this tourney two years ago.

    Big Sky tournament, Reno
    Top-seeded North Dakota won eight of its last nine games; they’re 17-3 in last 20 games after starting season 5-6. Hawks swept Weber State, winning 83-77 at home Jan 19, then winning 77-68 in Ogden Feb 18. UND beat Idaho by 5 last night; they played all five starters 32:00+. Weber won its last three games, scoring 82 pts/game; they used three starters 34:00+ last nite. is in Big Sky final for 5th time in last six years; they won title in ’14/’16. North Dakota is looking for its first league title- they lost by 21 to Weber in final three years ago.

    Mountain West tournament, Las Vegas
    On Nov 20, Nevada beat Iona 91-76 at home; six nights later, they lost by hoop to Iona in final of Alaskan Shootout; last Saturday, Wolf Pack beat Colorado State by 13 at home; a week later, here they are again, in Mountain West tourney final. Nevada won its last eight games; they used six guys last night, playing three starters 37:00+. Wolf Pack was 11-21 on arc; they were 12-31 on arc vs Rams last week, a game CSU led by 10 in first half. Colorado State has only seven scholarship players, five of whom are freshmen/sophomores. This will be fun to watch; have a feeling it is Colorado State’s year.

    #385245

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB

    Saturday, March 11

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Trend Report
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    12:30 PM
    TEXAS STATE vs. TEXAS-ARLINGTON
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-Arlington’s last 8 games
    Texas-Arlington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    See more trends!
    MARCH 11, 1:00 PM
    ALABAMA vs. KENTUCKY
    No trends available
    Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky’s last 5 games

    See more trends!
    MARCH 11, 1:00 PM
    MICHIGAN vs. MINNESOTA
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games
    Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

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    MARCH 11, 1:00 PM
    DAVIDSON vs. RHODE ISLAND
    No trends available
    Rhode Island is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Rhode Island is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Davidson

    See more trends!
    MARCH 11, 1:30 PM
    PRINCETON vs. PENNSYLVANIA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Princeton’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
    Princeton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pennsylvania’s last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania’s last 7 games when playing at home against Princeton

    See more trends!
    MARCH 11, 3:00 PM
    CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist’s last 5 games
    Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Florida

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    MARCH 11, 3:00 PM
    TROY vs. GEORGIA STATE
    No trends available
    Georgia State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Troy
    Georgia State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy

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    MARCH 11, 3:25 PM
    VANDERBILT vs. ARKANSAS
    No trends available
    Arkansas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Arkansas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt

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    MARCH 11, 3:30 PM
    RICHMOND vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Commonwealth’s last 5 games when playing Richmond
    Virginia Commonwealth is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Richmond

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    MARCH 11, 3:30 PM
    NORTHWESTERN vs. WISCONSIN
    No trends available
    Wisconsin is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Wisconsin is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Northwestern

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    MARCH 11, 4:00 PM
    YALE vs. HARVARD
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Harvard’s last 7 games when playing Yale
    Harvard is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

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    MARCH 11, 5:00 PM
    CONNECTICUT vs. CINCINNATI
    No trends available
    Cincinnati is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games

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    MARCH 11, 5:30 PM
    CREIGHTON vs. VILLANOVA
    No trends available
    Villanova is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Creighton

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    MARCH 11, 6:00 PM
    COLORADO STATE vs. NEVADA
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nevada’s last 9 games when playing Colorado State
    Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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    MARCH 11, 6:00 PM
    IOWA STATE vs. WEST VIRGINIA
    No trends available
    West Virginia is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia’s last 6 games

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    MARCH 11, 7:30 PM
    KENT STATE vs. AKRON
    No trends available
    Akron is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Akron’s last 11 games when playing Kent State

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    MARCH 11, 8:30 PM
    MARSHALL vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee’s last 6 games
    Middle Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Marshall

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    MARCH 11, 8:30 PM
    WEBER STATE vs. NORTH DAKOTA
    No trends available
    North Dakota is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games
    North Dakota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Weber State

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    MARCH 11, 9:00 PM
    DUKE vs. NOTRE DAME
    No trends available
    Notre Dame is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games

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    MARCH 11, 11:00 PM
    ARIZONA vs. OREGON
    No trends available
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon’s last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon’s last 6 games when playing Arizona

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    MARCH 11, 11:00 PM
    NEW MEXICO STATE vs. CS BAKERSFIELD
    No trends available
    CS Bakersfield is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Mexico State
    CS Bakersfield is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

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    MARCH 11, 11:30 PM
    UC DAVIS vs. UC IRVINE
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Irvine’s last 12 games when playing UC Davis
    UC Irvine is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing UC Davis

    #385247

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB

    Saturday, March 11

    ———————————————————————————————————————–
    ACC Conference Tournament Final betting preview: Duke vs. Notre Dame

    ————————————————————————————————————————

    The Notre Dame Fighting Irish dropped an 84-74 decision at home to the Duke Blue Devils in the only meeting this season on Jan. 30.

    Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (OFF)

    Tournament being played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

    Fifth-seeded Duke attempts to become the first team in history to win four contests in four days to take the ACC tournament when it faces third seed – and 16th-ranked – Notre Dame in the championship game Saturday in Brooklyn, N.Y. The 14th-ranked Blue Devils earned a chance at their record 20th title by scoring 51 points in the second half to rally past top seed North Carolina 93-83 in Friday’s semifinals.

    Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski told ESPN after the game his Blue Devils “played lights out with great courage,” and they will need more of the same to give him his 14th ACC tournament title, which would move him past Dean Smith for the most all-time. Notre Dame, which withstood a second-half rally by Florida State on Friday for a 77-73 victory and a trip the final for the second time in three seasons, will try to oust Duke from the tournament for the third straight season. The Fighting Irish, who are 6-2 in their ACC tournament history that includes a title in 2015, also will go for their eighth straight win at Barclays Center. Notre Dame dropped an 84-74 decision at home to the Blue Devils in the only meeting this season on Jan. 30.

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN, ACC Network

    LINE HISTORY: The line is currently off the board. Check out the complete line history here.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Duke – F Chase Jeter (Out Indefinitely, back), F Sean Obi (Out For Season, knee).

    Notre Dame – No significant injuries to report.

    POWER RANKINGS: Duke (-15.2) – Notre Dame (-13.8) + neutral site (0) = Duke -1.4

    ABOUT DUKE (26-8 SU, 14-18-1 ATS, 16-16-1 O/U): Grayson Allen was blanked in the first game of the tournament but has delivered 18 points in each of the last two contests while hitting a total of seven 3-pointers. Luke Kennard leads the team in scoring (20.2 points) and is contributing 21.3 points in the tournament, but freshman Jayson Tatum is raising his game even more by producing an average of 23 over his last three games. Freshman Frank Jackson scored 15 points on Friday and has been solid over the last six contests, averaging 16 while shooting 50 percent.

    ABOUT NOTRE DAME (25-8 SU, 18-8-1 ATS, 14-12-1 O/U): Bonzie Colson, an All-ACC First Team pick like Kennard, is averaging 19.5 points over the first two games of the tournament and paces the team at 17.1 while leading the league in rebounding (10.2). Matt Farrell, Steve Vasturia and V.J. Beachem also average better than 13 points for the Irish. Coach Mike Brey, a former assistant for Krzyzewski, has been using a smaller lineup that has helped spur an 8-1 run and Matt Ryan stepped up Friday with 11 points after going scoreless over his last three outings.

    TRENDS:

    * Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
    * Fighting Irish are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    * Over is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 games following a straight up win.
    * Under is 4-0-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games following a straight up win.
    * Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

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    Saturday, March 11

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Big Ten Conference Tournament Semifinals betting preview and odds
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    Michigan has gone through quite a bit to get to the Big Ten semi finals, including a plane crash, wearing practice jersey’s and taking down the conference’s No. 1 seed.

    The Big Ten conference semifinals get underway Saturday in Washington and features teams full of a never say die attitude, as Michigan takes on Minnesota and Northwestern faces Wisconsin for the right face off in the Big Ten final.

    Tournament to be played at Verizon Center, Washington, District of Columbia

    Michigan Wolverines vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (+3, OFF)

    The Wolverines cruised past ninth-seeded Illinois 75-55 in the second round despite arriving in Washington, D.C., only hours prior to tipoff Thursday as their charter plane skidded off the runway during takeoff Wednesday before knocking off No. 1 seed Purdue 74-70 in overtime in Friday’s quarterfinal. Michigan eliminated the top seed in the conference tournament for the second time in as many years and hopes to advance to the championship game for the first time since 2014. D.J. Wilson led the way with 26 points, eight rebounds and three blocked shots to lift the Wolverines past Purdue for the second time in two weeks. Zak Irvin added 13 points and seven rebounds, including the game-tying basket with 4.2 seconds left to send the game to overtime.

    Minnesota advanced to the semifinals for the first time in seven years following a hard-fought 63-58 victory against fifth-seeded Michigan State on Friday. The Golden Gophers have won nine of their last 10 games and turn their attention to beating Michigan for the second time this season after an 83-78 overtime victory in Minneapolis on Feb. 19. Reggie Lynch, who was named the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year earlier in the week, scored a team-high 16 points on 6-of-7 shooting and blocked five shots against Michigan State. Amir Coffey added 13 points and Jordan Murphy produced 10 points and 13 rebounds to notch his third double-double in the last four games.

    TRENDS:

    * Michigan is 4-0 ATS in its last four neutral site games.
    * Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall.
    * Under is 7-1 in Michigan’s last eight neutral site games.
    * Over is 7-1 in Minnesota’s last eight games following a SU win.

    Northwestern Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers (OFF)

    The Wildcats advanced to the semifinals for the first time in the 20-year history of this event with Friday’s 72-64 victory over third-seeded Maryland, taking control of the game in the second half thanks to a 20-2 run and 25 points off 14 turnovers by the Terrapins. Bryant McIntosh, who fueled Friday’s upset with 16 points and six assists, played an even bigger role in Northwestern’s 66-59 victory over the Badgers on Feb. 12, finishing with 25 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. McIntosh (team-high 14.6 points, league-best 5.4 assists), who has averaged 26.5 points per game in his last two games against Wisconsin, took most of the offensive load upon himself in last month’s meeting, shooting 10-for-23 from the field as second-leading scorer Scottie Lindsey (14.1 points) was sidelined with mononucleosis.

    That loss to the Wildcats triggered a 1-5 stretch for Wisconsin, but the Badgers appear to be back on track after beating No. 10 seed Indiana 70-60 in Friday’s quarterfinals. The win was a second straight since the slide for Wisconsin, which will attempt to the reach the Big Ten tournament title game for the seventh time. On the same day he joined Frank Kaminsky as the only Badger to be named a finalist for the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar Award (nation’s best center), Ethan Happ (13.9 points, 9.1 rebounds) posted his ninth double-double of the season Friday with 14 points and 12 boards. Bronson Koenig (team-high 14.2 points) led Wisconsin with 16 points against Indiana and has picked up his play on the offensive end over the last five contests, averaging 19.2 points in that span.

    TRENDS:

    * Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral site games.
    * Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a ATS win.
    * Under is 10-3 in Northwestern’s last 13 neutral site games.
    * Under is 11-1 in Wisconsin’s last 12 neutral site games.

    #385249

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    Saturday, March 11

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    Big East Conference Tournament final betting preview: Creighton vs. Villanova
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    Villanova meets Creighton for the Big East crown. The Wildcats have topped the Bluejays in six straight meetings (5-1 ATS).

    Creighton Bluejays vs. Villanova Wildcats (OFF)

    Tournament to be played at Madison Square Garden, New York, New York

    Josh Hart and No. 2 Villanova are in the midst of a magical ride that has lasted nearly a full year. The Wildcats can continue their impressive run of domination Saturday when they face Creighton in the Big East tournament title game at Madison Square Garden.

    Hart lifted the Wildcats past Seton Hall on Friday with an offensive rebound that he converted into a dramatic three-point play with under 10 seconds remaining. The win – its 36th in the last 39 games – moved No. 1 seed Villanova within one victory of its second league tournament title in the last three years. The Wildcats lost to Seton Hall in the championship game last season but of course went on to win the national title behind Hart, Kris Jenkins and Jalen Brunson, among others. This year’s squad has dreams of back-to-back national championships but must not overlook the Bluejays, who nipped Xavier in the final seconds on Friday behind Marcus Foster’s decisive 3-pointer.

    TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, Fox

    LINE HISTORY: The line is currently off the board.

    POWER RANKINGS: Creighton (-9.2) – Villanova (-18.5) + neutral site (0) = Villanova -9.3

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: “The No. 1 seed in this tourney, Villanova has dominated Creighton of late, winning and covering each of the last four match-ups in this series. In addition, defending national champions are 8-3 SU and ATS in conference title games the following season. It all looks good for the Wildcats until you notice the Blue Jays’ sterling 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS mark in conference championship games, including 4-0 SU and ATS as an underdog. Something’s got to give.” – Marc Lawrence

    ABOUT CREIGHTON: The Bluejays received 21 points apiece from Foster and freshman center Justin Patton on Friday and hit 13-of-20 3-pointers as a team in a cofidence-boosting win. Creighton has been inconsistent since losing point guard Maurice Watson Jr. to a season-ending knee injury in January, although three of four since a loss at Villanova. Patton shot 10-of-13 from the field in the semifinals and has shot at least 50 percent in every game this season except for one. Additionally, the Bluejays have struggled at in this matchup over the years, dropping the previous six meetings, going 1-5 against the spread in the process.

    ABOUT VILLANOVA: The Wildcats on Friday shot under 42 percent from the field and went 5-of-19 from the arc while missing seven of their 17 foul shots in their lowest scoring game of the season. “I think we got outplayed tonight. We just found ways at the end. Great players make great plays,” said coach Jay Wright, whose team needs Jenkins in particular to return to form. The senior forward is 7-of-34 from 3-point range over the last five games and he followed up his season-high 24-point effort in the quarterfinals with a four-point effort – his second-lowest total of the year – in the semis.

    TRENDS:

    * Villanova is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
    * Creighton 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a SU win.
    * Under is 5-1 in Creighton’s last five games overall.
    * Under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.

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    Saturday, March 11

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    SEC Conference Tournament Semifinals betting preview and odds
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    The Vanderbilt Commodores shocked the second ranked Florida Gators in the quarterfinals Friday as five-point underdogs and will face a tough Arkansas Razorbacks squad Saturday.

    The SEC conference tournament in Nashville is on to Saturday’s semifinal matchups. No. 1 Kentucky will take on Alabama in the early game and Vandy (fresh off their upset of Florida) will battle No. 3 Arkansas.

    Tournament to be played at Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee

    Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats (-10.5, 137)

    Two more wins in the SEC Tournament would earn Alabama an unlikely automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament – but one more might be enough to make the Crimson Tide an interesting topic for the selection committee. The fifth-seeded Crimson Tide aim for their 20th victory when they face surging No. 1 seed Kentucky in an SEC Tournament semifinal Saturday. Alabama is in the conference semifinals for the first time since 2013 after a 64-53 win over No. 4 South Carolina on Friday. “We’ve had an up-and-down year in a lot of ways and haven’t been able to put together complete games, especially in back-to-back games, but we did it tonight,” Alabama coach Avery Johnson told reporters. “I’m proud of our guys. They were hard-nosed, they fought and they were scrappy.”

    The Crimson Tide have a much bigger challenge ahead, as Kentucky has won a season-best nine straight games including a 71-60 victory over No. 8 seed Georgia in the quarterfinals. The Wildcats won the only regular-season meeting, 67-58 at Alabama on Feb. 11 and have won seven straight in the series. The Wildcats proved they are more than a one-man team by beating Georgia despite a season-low two points from leading scorer Malik Monk (20.6 points). Fellow freshman De’Aaron Fox (15.7 points, 5.0 assists) and sophomore guard Isaiah Briscoe (13.1 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.3 assists) scored 20 points apiece against the Bulldogs, and freshman Bam Adebayo (13.3 points, 7.7 rebounds) recorded a double-double to carry Kentucky.

    TRENDS:

    * Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    * Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as a favorite.
    * Under is 5-0 in Crimson Tide last 5 neutral site games.
    * Under is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games as a favorite.
    * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

    Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks (OFF)

    With a run to the SEC Tournament semifinals, Vanderbilt might have finally done enough to secure an NCAA Tournament bid, but the Commodores would prefer to win two more games in Nashville and remove all doubt. The surging Commodores’ next shot at padding their resume comes Saturday when they take on Arkansas with a trip to the championship game on the line. The Commodores dominated the extra period in a 72-62 overtime win over No. 2 seed Florida on Friday – their third win over the Gators this season. That sets up a rubber match with Arkansas, as the teams split the regular-season series with each winning on the other’s home court. The Commodores are one of the SEC’s best 3-point shooting teams, and they knocked down 11 from behind the arc against the Gators. Reserve guard Matthew Fisher-Davis (13.8 points) and Riley LaChance (10.4 points) were hot from outside Friday, and 7-foot-1 forward Luke Kornet (13.4 points, 6.2 rebounds) collected a double-double despite going 0-for-4 from long range.

    The Razorbacks have won seven of their last eight games since a 72-59 home loss to the Commodores on Feb. 7, and they eked out a 73-72 win over Ole Miss on Friday behind 17 points from Daryl Macon. Arkansas is trying to earn its second trip to the SEC Tournament championship game in the last three years. The Razorbacks have a balanced attack, but it has been sharp-shooting guard Dusty Hannahs (14.6 points) who has lit up the Commodores in the previous two meetings, averaging 20.5 points. Macon (13.3 points) was the man Friday, scoring 17 off the bench including 9-of-10 from the foul line, as the Razorbacks were 20-of-23 from the stripe.

    TRENDS:

    * Commodores are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
    * Under is 14-2 in Commodores last 16 games following a straight up win.
    * Over is 12-1 in Razorbacks last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
    * Commodores are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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    Saturday, March 11

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Big 12 Tournament Final betting preview: Iowa St. vs West Virginia
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    Fourth-seeded Iowa State will be attempting to win the tournament for the third time in four years.

    Iowa St. Cyclones vs. West Virginia Mountaneers (OFF)

    Tournament being played at Sprint Center, Kansas City, Missouri.

    The Sprint Center in Kansas City, site of the Big 12 Tournament, has been nicknamed “Hilton South” because of the crush of Iowa State fans who make the three-hour drive down I-35 each March for the tourney. Over half the arena was filled with Cardinal and Gold-clad Cyclones’ fans for Friday night’s 84-63 semifinal win over TCU, and that crowd advantage for Iowa State figures to be even bigger when they face 11th-ranked West Virginia, which rallied to eek out a 51-50 win over Kansas State, in Saturday night’s championship contest.

    Fourth-seeded Iowa State will be attempting to win the tournament for the third time in four years while second-seeded West Virginia, which lost to Kansas, 81-71, in last year’s title game, will be attempting to win its first Big 12 Tournament after moving over from the Big East in 2012-13. The Mountaineers, who rallied from a 12-point second half deficit to defeat the Wildcats when forward Esa Ahmad sank one of two free throws with 20.2 seconds left, made it to the title game despite a brutal first half offensively when they scored just 16 points on 6-of-32 shooting, holding on at the end when guard Kamau Stokes missed a potential game-winning 3-pointer just before the buzzer. “This is why we came to Kansas City man,” Mountaineers senior guard Tarik Phillip, who scored all 13 of his points in the second half, said. “This is what we dreamed of. We won a couple games. Now we have to win the big one.”

    TV: 6 p.m. ET, ESPN

    LINE HISTORY: The line is currently off the board.

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: “Bob Huggins’ Mountaineers escaped by the skin of their teeth in a one-point win over Kansas State whole the Cyclones clobbered TCU in a letdown following the Horned Frogs shocking win over Kansas. Huggy Bear is 9-2 SU in conference title games, including 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS as a favorite of more than three points. On the flip side, Iowa Sate is a spotless 3-0 SU and ATS in Big 12 championship tiffs. However, ISU will need to put a halt to a 0-4 SU and ATS losing skid in this series if they hope to cut down the nets.” – Marc Lawrence.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Iowa St. – C Stuart Nezlek (Out For Season, shoulder).

    West Virginia – No significant injuries to report.

    POWER RANKINGS: Iowa St. (-12.5) – West Virginia (-15) + neutral site (0) = West Virginia -2.5

    ABOUT IOWA STATE (22-10 SU, 17-12 ATS, 17-12 O/U): The 24th-ranked Cyclones have three senior guards — first team all-Big 12 pick Monte Morris, second team choice Naz Mitrou-Long and Matt Thomas, who earned honorable mention — that played key roles in winning two previous Big 12 Tourney titles and have won eight of nine games in the tournament. Morris, an All-American who came within an assist of a triple-double in Iowa State’s 92-83 quarterfinal win over Oklahoma State when he finished with 21 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists, came back to score 15 points and dish off three assists in the semifinal. Another senior guard, 6-4, 250-pound Deonte Burton, scored 20 points in the first 22 minutes and finished with a team-high 22 points to go along with five rebounds and four assists in Friday’s win over TCU.

    ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (26-7 SU, 13-14-1 ATS, 15-12-1 O/U): The 6-8 Ahmad, who missed three games at the end of the season with back spasms, led the Mountaineers with 15 points and 10 rebounds against Kansas State. He ranks second on the team in scoring (11.3) behind junior guard Jevon Carter (12.9), the Big 12’s Defensive Player of the Year who led the conference in steals (2.72). Phillip, the Big 12’s Sixth Man of the Year, averages 9.4 points and 3.1 assists per game while 6-9 senior forward Nathan Adrian, a third team all-Big 12 pick, also is averaging in double figures (10.0) while grabbing a team best 6.1 rebounds per game.

    TRENDS:

    * Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
    * Mountaineers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    * Over is 9-0 in Cyclones last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Under is 5-0 in Mountaineers last 5 games following a straight up win.
    * Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

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    Saturday, March 11

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    AAC Tournament semifinals betting preview and odds
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    East Carolina gave the Ponies a scare in the quarterfinals as they failed to cover the spread for just the second time in the last 15 games.

    The AAC conference tournament continues Saturday in Hartford with two great semifinal matchups involving three of the top four seeds and oh look, an underachieving UConn team that is trying conjure up yet another March miracle.

    Tournament to be played at XL Center, in Hartford, Connecticut

    Central Florida Knights vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs (-8.5, OFF)

    The top-seeded Mustangs won their last 14 (11-2-1 ATS) games, which includes a victory over the fourth-seeded Knights, who come in on a six-game winning streak. Coach Tim Jankovich’s squad has an explosive offense that seems to be gaining steam as the Mustangs averaged 92.3 points over their last three outings. Forward Semi Ojeleye leads the offensive attack at 19.1 points per game with guards Shake Milton (13.1) and Sterling Brown (12.9) joining Ojeleye to form a trio of players who have each hit at least 53 3-pointers this season. While there are a number of players on the Mustangs’ roster that can and have stepped up with clutch plays throughout the season, the team’s success in the rest of the AAC tournament and the NCAAs will likely rely on the play of Ojeleye. The AAC Player of the Year makes the difference between SMU being a good team and a potential title contender, which he showed again Friday in the AAC tournament quarterfinals.

    They’ll need to be ready to bomb away from the outside to avoid the interior defense of UCF’s 7-6 center Tacko Fall, who averages 2.5 blocks to go with his 11.3 points and 9.6 rebounds. Sophomore guard B.J. Taylor’s 17 points per game lead UCF, while guard Matt Williams averages 15.3 points, with 109 of his 156 field goals coming from beyond the 3-point arc. Earning a top four seed in the conference tournament was one thing, but dominating a Memphis team that they’ve lost 21 of their last 23 meetings to give the Knights all the confidence in the world heading into a meeting with SMU. UCF’s defense was at its best, showing that there’s more than just Fall in the middle for opponents to worry about, while the offense showed great balance, with four different players scoring in double figures.

    TRENDS
    :

    * UCF is 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * SMU is 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
    * Under is 5-1 in UCF’s last six games following a ATS win.
    * Over is 6-0 in SMU’s last six games overall.

    Connecticut Huskies vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (OFF)

    The Bearcats, the No. 2 seed in the tournament, routed the Huskies by 20 on March 5 and by 14 on Feb. 5, covering the spread as 6 and 13.5-point favorites respectively. Cincinnati enters the game on a roll, having won three straight, with all three victories coming by 18 points or more. The Bearcats may be known for their defense, but coach Mick Cronin’s team can score, with swingman Jacob Evans (13.6 points) and forward Kyle Washington (13.5) leading the way. Cronin always makes sure his team is focused on defense, but he also wants to see his players hit the glass on the offensive end, leading to second-chance points. The Bearcats, who rank second in the AAC in offensive rebounding, had a 13-6 edge in offensive boards in its win over Tulsa on Friday, which led to a 19-5 advantage in second-chance points.

    UConn has another hot senior guard in the mold of ex-Huskies Kemba Walker and Shabazz Napier in Rodney Purvis, who had 30 points in the first round and 18 points in the quarterfinals of this tournament. Purvis (13.9 points) and Jalen Adams (14.2 points) form a solid 1-2 scoring duo for coach Kevin Ollie, but they’ll need to take care of the basketball against a pressuring Cincinnati defense. Senior center Amida Brimah isn’t a big offensive threat for the Huskies, but his play could be the difference between UConn possibly playing for a title or heading home. The 7-foot Brimah is an anchor for the Huskies’ defense, averaging 2.6 blocks and intimidating many players that drive the lane against UConn.

    TRENDS:

    * UConn is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.
    * Cincinnati is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 neutral site games.
    * Over is 4-1 in UConn’s last five neutral site games.
    * Over is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last five neutral site games.

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    Long Sheet

    Saturday, March 11

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    TEXAS ST (18 – 12) vs. TX-ARLINGTON (24 – 7) – 3/11/2017, 12:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TX-ARLINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
    TX-ARLINGTON is 6-2 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TROY (19 – 14) vs. GEORGIA ST (19 – 11) – 3/11/2017, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TROY is 4-2 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA ST is 4-2 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MICHIGAN (21 – 11) vs. MINNESOTA (23 – 8) – 3/11/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 84-119 ATS (-46.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
    MINNESOTA is 86-115 ATS (-40.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    MINNESOTA is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NORTHWESTERN (22 – 10) vs. WISCONSIN (23 – 8) – 3/11/2017, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    WISCONSIN is 2-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DAVIDSON (16 – 14) vs. RHODE ISLAND (21 – 9) – 3/11/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DAVIDSON is 188-137 ATS (+37.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    DAVIDSON is 184-141 ATS (+28.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    DAVIDSON is 92-57 ATS (+29.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    RHODE ISLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DAVIDSON is 3-1 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
    RHODE ISLAND is 2-2 straight up against DAVIDSON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    RICHMOND (19 – 11) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (24 – 7) – 3/11/2017, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 4-3 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-2 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ALABAMA (18 – 13) vs. KENTUCKY (26 – 5) – 3/11/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
    KENTUCKY is 84-56 ATS (+22.4 Units) in March games since 1997.
    KENTUCKY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
    ALABAMA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENTUCKY is 5-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    KENTUCKY is 6-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    VANDERBILT (18 – 14) vs. ARKANSAS (23 – 8) – 3/11/2017, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARKANSAS is 3-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    ARKANSAS is 3-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    CONNECTICUT (15 – 16) vs. CINCINNATI (27 – 4) – 3/11/2017, 5:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 5-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 5-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    CREIGHTON (24 – 8) vs. VILLANOVA (29 – 3) – 3/11/2017, 5:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VILLANOVA is 5-1 against the spread versus CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
    VILLANOVA is 6-0 straight up against CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    COLORADO ST (22 – 10) vs. NEVADA (26 – 6) – 3/11/2017, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO ST is 3-2 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    IOWA ST (21 – 10) vs. W VIRGINIA (25 – 7) – 3/11/2017, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    W VIRGINIA is 4-2 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    W VIRGINIA is 4-2 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    KENT ST (20 – 13) vs. AKRON (25 – 7) – 3/11/2017, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    AKRON is 4-2 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    AKRON is 4-3 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    MARSHALL (19 – 14) vs. MIDDLE TENN ST (28 – 4) – 3/11/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MARSHALL is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
    MARSHALL is 42-70 ATS (-35.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
    MARSHALL is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    MARSHALL is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
    MARSHALL is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams – allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams – scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MARSHALL is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
    MARSHALL is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    DUKE (25 – 8) vs. NOTRE DAME (24 – 8) – 3/11/2017, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NOTRE DAME is 4-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    NOTRE DAME is 4-2 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    ARIZONA (28 – 4) vs. OREGON (28 – 4) – 3/11/2017, 11:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OREGON is 3-3 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    OREGON is 3-3 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    WEBER ST (17 – 12) vs. N DAKOTA (20 – 9) – 3/11/2017, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    N DAKOTA is 5-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
    N DAKOTA is 3-3 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    ALBANY (21 – 12) at VERMONT (28 – 5) – 3/11/2017, 11:00 AM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ALBANY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    ALBANY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
    ALBANY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ALBANY is 4-2 straight up against VERMONT over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    NORFOLK ST (16 – 15) vs. NC CENTRAL (23 – 8) – 3/11/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORFOLK ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
    NC CENTRAL is 2-2 straight up against NORFOLK ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    ALCORN ST (17 – 13) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (20 – 11) – 3/11/2017, 6:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS SOUTHERN is 1-1 against the spread versus ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS SOUTHERN is 7-0 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    TEXAS A&M CC (19 – 10) vs. NEW ORLEANS (18 – 11) – 3/11/2017, 10:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M CC over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS A&M CC is 5-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    NEW MEXICO ST (26 – 5) vs. CS-BAKERSFIELD (21 – 8) – 3/11/2017, 11:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CS-BAKERSFIELD is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
    NEW MEXICO ST is 6-2 straight up against CS-BAKERSFIELD over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    PENNSYLVANIA (13 – 14) vs. PRINCETON (21 – 6) – 3/11/2017, 1:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    PRINCETON is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PRINCETON is 3-3 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
    PRINCETON is 6-0 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    YALE (17 – 10) vs. HARVARD (18 – 9) – 3/11/2017, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HARVARD is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
    HARVARD is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
    HARVARD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    HARVARD is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    HARVARD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    YALE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 45-72 ATS (-34.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HARVARD is 4-3 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
    HARVARD is 4-3 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    #385255

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Saturday, March 11

    first post

    Albany @ Vermont

    Game 763-764
    March 11, 2017 @ 11:00 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Albany
    51.807
    Vermont
    68.713
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vermont
    by 17
    127
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vermont
    by 9 1/2
    130
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vermont
    (-9 1/2); Under

    UCF @ SMU

    Game 741-742
    March 11, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UCF
    65.249
    SMU
    69.745
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    SMU
    by 4 1/2
    121
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    SMU
    by 9
    124 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    UCF
    (+9); Under

    Alabama @ Kentucky

    Game 737-738
    March 11, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama
    64.745
    Kentucky
    68.186
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kentucky
    by 3 1/2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kentucky
    by 11
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    Alabama
    (+11); Over

    Davidson @ Rhode Island

    Game 733-734
    March 11, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Davidson
    61.094
    Rhode Island
    65.902
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rhode Island
    by 5
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Rhode Island
    by 3
    136
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rhode Island
    (-3); Under

    Michigan @ Minnesota

    Game 729-730
    March 11, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan
    68.161
    Minnesota
    70.535
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2 1/2
    132
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 3 1/2
    137
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Texas State @ TX-Arlington

    Game 725-726
    March 11, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas State
    48.532
    TX-Arlington
    64.383
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    TX-Arlington
    by 16
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    TX-Arlington
    by 8
    133
    Dunkel Pick:
    TX-Arlington
    (-8); Over

    #385257

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    Saturday’s Title Action
    March 11, 2017

    Saturday, March 11

    BIG EAST FINAL
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 1 Villanova
    Overall: 30-3 SU, 18-15 ATS
    Totals: 12-21 O/U

    No. 6 Creighton
    Overall: 25-8 SU, 19-12 ATS
    Totals: 13-17-1 O/U

    No. 1 Villanova vs. No. 6 Creighton (FOX, 5:30 p.m. ET)

    If this game is close down the stretch, neither one of these teams should be shook given what transpired in the semifinals. Both teams are here because they not only landed the last punch, but also dodged the final bullet. In the Wildcats’ case, that was a point-blank layup missed by Seton Hall’s Angel Delgado, who would’ve likely sent a game the Pirates led for the majority of the evening to overtime if he’d executed something he typically manages in his sleep. The degree of difficult for Xavier’s JP Macura was much more challenging since he pulled up from nearly 25 feet, misfiring on the game-tying 3-pointer in the closing seconds after Blue Jays’ leading scorer Marcus Foster snapped a tie with a pull-up 3-pointer of his own. Creighton has reached the Big East final for the second time since joining the conference in 2014 and finding immediate success thanks to Doug McDermott. Bryce Cotton, who has since bounced around the NBA and is currently playing Australia, led Providence to a 65-58 win at the Garden. Villanova won its second title, the first under head coach Jay Wright, in ’15 but lost last year. Even after winning an NCAA championship and dominating the league with a 16-2 regular season, the Wildcats are hungry to claim another one of these and looked every bit invested as they rallied from 11 points down and held on after four lead changes in the final minutes. Josh Hart, a top candidate for National Player of the Year, led Villanova with 19 points and 10 boards, delivering the go-ahead 3-point play with 9.6 seconds remaining. It won despite shooting 5-for-19 from beyond the arc and 10-for-17 from the free-throw line, so ‘Nova did some flirting with disaster and still won for the 13th time in 14 games. Foster’s shot connected with 6.9 seconds left, on the heels of losing a late lead with just 15 ticks left. Despite draining 13-of-20 3-pointers, Creighton’s fate wasn’t decided until Xavier’s final attempt clanked off the rim. After shooting 18-for-25 from the field in the second half and 7-for-9 from 3-point range, the Blue Jays will come into their third clash against Villanova with some confidence. They’ve rescued their profile in this tournament following a skid after losing point guard Mo Watson to a knee injury. In center Justin Patton, Creighton has a big man who can command attention inside the way Delgado did, so ‘Nova must be prepared for another challenge after being pushed around by Seton Hall in the paint. Villanova beat Creighton in Omaha (80-70) on Dec. 31 when it was the No. 1 team in the country and 79-63 in Philly on Feb. 25 when it was ranked second. That first game was a New Year’s Eve battle of unbeatens, won by Jalen Brunson’s career-high 27 points. Foster led Creighton in scoring in both games, averaging 24.5 points despite the losses. The Blue Jays could probably rise a seed line or two with a win here, while Villanova has already done enough to secure a No. 1 seed, though it could be ranked as the top overall team by finishing the deal here. The under has prevailed in 12 of 17 ‘Nova games following Friday’s win and came through in both Creighton games. It has hit in five of six Jays’ games, including yesterday’s by a half-point.

    Villanova 74
    Creighton 66

    BIG 12 FINAL
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 2 West Virginia
    Overall: 26-7 SU, 13-14-1 ATS
    Totals: 15-12-1 O/U

    No. 4 Iowa State
    Overall: 22-10 SU, 17-12 ATS
    Totals: 17-12 O/U

    No. 2 West Virginia vs. No. 4 Iowa State (ESPN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

    In early February, Iowa State owned a 6-5 record inside the Big 12 after losing at last-place Texas. The Cyclones have torn through the conference recently by winning eight of nine games to reach the Big 12 championship against West Virginia. Iowa State cruised past TCU on Friday, 84-63 as 4 ½-point favorites to cash the OVER for the eighth straight game. The only loss in this stretch for ISU came in the season finale at West Virginia, 87-76, as the Mountaineers pulled off the season sweep of the Cyclones. WVU squeezed past Kansas State in a 51-50 victory on Friday, but failed to cover as six-point favorites. The Mountaineers dropped to 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games, in spite of winning six times during this stretch. West Virginia is playing for the Big 12 championship for the second straight season after losing to Kansas in 2016, while Iowa State captured the tournament title in both 2014 and 2015.

    West Virginia 80
    Iowa State 77

    ACC FINAL
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 3 Notre Dame
    Overall: 24-9 SU, 18-11 ATS
    Totals: 15-13-1 O/U

    No. 5 Duke
    Overall: 26-8 SU, 14-18-1 ATS
    Totals: 17-16 O/U

    No. 3 Notre Dame vs. No. 5 Duke (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

    The Irish topped Florida State in Friday’s semifinals, while the Blue Devils topped UNC in the third installment of the ‘Battle of the Blues’. So we’ll get a matchup against good friends Mike Brey and Mike Krzyzewski in the ACC Final. These two sides met once during the regular season, and it was the Blue Devils coming away with an 84-74 victory in South Bend. Notre Dame has come alive over the past few weeks after a four-game slide from Jan. 24-Feb. 5. The Irish are 8-1 SU over their past nine outings, and 8-2 ATS over their past 10 outings. The ‘under’ has cashed in five of their past six outings, while the ‘over’ has cashed in each of Duke’s three tournament games so far, and four in a row overall. The Blue Devils are looking for their 20th ACC Tournament championship, most of any school in the conference. Notre Dame won their only ACC Tournament in 2015. For just the second time in the past seven years the final does not feature the University of North Carolina.

    Notre Dame 83
    Duke 81

    PAC-12 FINAL
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 1 Oregon
    Overall: 29-4 SU, 19-13 ATS
    Totals: 18-13-1 O/U

    No. 2 Arizona
    Overall: 29-4 SU, 17-14 ATS
    Totals: 15-17 O/U

    No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 2 Arizona (ESPN, 11:00 p.m. ET)

    The Ducks handled the Sun Devils 80-57 in the least entertaining of the Pac-12 quarterfinals, running away from the No. 9 seed after the break. While the league’s other two heavyweights square off in the nightcap, Dillon Brooks-led Oregon will try and guard against complacency against a Cal team still looking to cement an NCAA at-large bid. Holding off a late Utah surge to prevail in a bubble battle helped aid their cause, but the Bears struggled down the stretch and don’t have the most impressive of resumes, making this a must-win if it wants to be confident going into Selection Sunday. Since February began, Cal’s two most impressive outings before yesterday’s win were losses at Arizona and home against Oregon, which won 68-65 on Feb. 22. The Bears blew a 16-point second-half lead when Dillon Brooks connected on a 3-pointer with 0.2 left, rescuing a game that the Ducks trailed by 10 pints with less than five minutes remaining. Weeks later, Cal is still looking for the signature win that escaped them and knows it will likely see full-court pressure considering how poorly it handled it as Oregon staged its comeback. Jabari Bird scored 20 points in that loss and was the driving force on Thursday, pouring in 26 and connecting on a crucial 3-point play to help the Bears avoid blowing an 11-point lead with 2:17 remaining. Both Ducks’ wins over Cal went over the posted total, as have both games for the Bears in this tournament. Oregon had a four-game run of overs ended when yesterday’s win over ASU fell well short of 154.5.

    Oregon 76
    Arizona 72

    #385258

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    Championship Week Results
    March 11, 2017

    ACC
    Venue: Barclays Center
    Location: Brooklyn, N.Y.

    ACC TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Tuesday, March 7 ATS Results
    Clemson 61 vs. North Carolina State (-5.5) 75 Favorite-Under (151)
    Wake Forest (-12.5) 92 vs. Boston College 78 Favorite-Over (158.5)
    Georgia Tech 59 vs. Pittsburgh (-2.5) 61 Underdog-Under (131.5)

    Second round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Syracuse 57 vs. Miami-Florida (-2) 62 Favorite-Under (130.5)
    Clemson 72 vs. Duke (-6.5) 79 Favorite-Over (145)
    Wake Forest 90 vs. Virginia Tech (+3, +135 ML) 99 Underdog-Over (161.5)
    Pittsburgh 63 vs. Virginia (-9.5) 75 Favorite-Over (117)

    Quarterfinals – Friday, March 9 ATS Results
    Miami-Florida 53 vs. North Carolina (-9) 78 Favorite-Under (138.5)
    Duke (+1.5, +115 ML) 81 vs. Louisville 77 Underdog-Over (146)
    Virginia Tech 68 vs. Florida State (-8) 74 Underdog-Under (158)
    Virginia 58 vs. Notre Dame (+3.5, +150 ML) 71 Underdog-Over (124.5)

    Semifinals – Saturday, March 10 ATS Results
    Duke (+4.5, ML +170) 93 vs. North Carolina 83 Underdog-Over (155.5)
    Florida State 73 vs. Notre Dame (+1.5, ML +105) 77 Underdog-Under (151)

    Championship – Sunday, March 11 ATS Results
    Duke vs. Notre Dame –

    Pac-12
    Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
    Location: Las Vegas, Nevada

    PAC-12 TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Arizona State (+5, +180 ML) 98 vs. Stanford 88 (OT) Underdog-Over 149.5
    California (-14) 67 vs. Oregon State 62 Underdog-Over (121.5)
    Colorado (-11.5) 73 vs. Washington State 63 Underdog-Under (144.5)
    Southern California (-13) 78 vs. Washington 73 Underdog-Under (153)

    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Arizona State 57 vs. Oregon (-17) 80 Favorite-Under (155)
    California (+3.5, +150 ML) 78 vs. Utah 75 Underdog-Over (129)
    Colorado 78 vs. Arizona (-8) 92 Favorite-Over (138.5)
    Southern California 74 vs. UCLA (-10.5) 76 Underdog-Under (167)

    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    California 65 vs. Oregon (-9) 73 Underdog-Over (128)
    Arizona (+2.5, ML +125) 86 vs. UCLA 75 Underdog-Over (157.5)

    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Arizona vs. Oregon –

    Big 12
    Venue: Sprint Center
    Location: Kansas City, Missouri

    BIG 12 TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Texas Christian (-2) 82 vs. Oklahoma 63 Favorite-Over (139.5)
    Texas Tech 52 vs. Texas (+4.5, +175 ML) 61 Underdog-Under (129.5)

    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Iowa State (+1.5, +115 ML) 92 vs. Oklahoma State 83 Underdog-Over (160.5)
    Texas Christian (+9,+400 ML) 85 vs. Kansas 82 Underdog-Over (149.5)
    Texas 53 vs. West Virginia (-10.5) 63 Underdog-Under (137.5)
    Baylor 64 vs. Kansas State (+4.5, +175 ML) 70 Underdog-Over (130.5)

    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Iowa State (-5) 84 vs. TCU 63 Favorite-Over (144.5)
    West Virginia (-5.5) 51 vs. Kansas State 50 Underdog-Under (139.5)

    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Iowa State vs. West Virginia –

    Big East
    Venue: Madison Square Garden
    Location: New York City, New York

    BIG EAST TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    St. John’s (+1) 74 vs. Georgetown 73 Underdog-Under (154)
    Xavier (-7.5) 75 vs. DePaul 64 Favorite-Under (141.5)

    Quarterfinals – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    St. John’s 67 vs. Villanova (-16) 108 Favorite-Over (147.5)
    Marquette 76 vs. Seton Hall (+1.5, +115 ML) 82 Underdog-Over (148.5)
    Xavier (+6.5, +240 ML) 62 vs. Butler 57 Underdog-Under (143)
    Providence 58 vs. Creighton (-2) 70 Favorite-Under (145)

    Semifinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Seton Hall 53 vs. Villanova (-11) 55 Underdog-Under (135.5)
    Xavier 72 vs. Creighton (-4.5) 75 Underdog-Under (147.5)

    Championship – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Creighton vs. Villanova –

    Big Ten
    Venue: Verizon Center
    Location: Washington, D.C.

    BIG TEN TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Nebraska 67 vs. Penn State (-1.5) 76 (OT) Favorite-Over (143)
    Ohio State 57 vs. Rutgers (+7.5, +290 ML) 66 Underdog-Under (134.5)

    Second round – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Michigan (-6) 75 vs. Illinois 55 Favorite-Under (132.5)
    Penn State 51 vs. Michigan State (-6) 78 Favorite-Under (138)
    Iowa 73 vs. Indiana (-2.5) 95 Favorite-Over (156.5)
    Rutgers 61 vs. Northwestern (-8) 83 Favorite-Over (123)

    Quarterfinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Michigan (+3, +130 ML) 74 vs. Purdue 70 (OT) Underdog-Over (139)
    Michigan State 58 vs. Minnesota (-1) 63 Favorite-Under (137.5)
    Indiana 60 vs. Wisconsin (-5) 70 Favorite-Under (136.5)
    Northwestern (+2, ML +105) 72 vs. Maryland 64 Underdog-Over (134.5)

    Semifinals – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Michigan vs. Minnesota –
    Northwestern vs. Wisconsin –

    Championship – Sunday, March 12 ATS Results
    TBA vs. TBA –

    SEC
    Venue: Bridgestone Arena
    Location: Nashville, Tennessee

    SEC TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
    First round – Wednesday, March 8 ATS Results
    Mississippi State (-5.5) 79 vs. Louisiana State 52 Favorite-Under (155.5)
    Auburn 83 vs. Missouri (+7, +260 ML) 86 Underdog-Over (153.5)

    Second round – Thursday, March 9 ATS Results
    Georgia (-1) 59 vs. Tennessee 57 Favorite-Under (141.5)
    Mississippi State 55 vs. Alabama (-2) 75 Favorite-Over (127.5)
    Vanderbilt (-3.5) 66 vs. Texas A&M 41 Favorite-Under (131.5)
    Missouri 74 vs. Mississippi (-7) 86 Favorite-Over (143)

    Quarterfinals – Friday, March 10 ATS Results
    Georgia 60 vs. Kentucky (-11.5) 71 Underdog-Under (146)
    Alabama (+4, ML +155) 64 vs. South Carolina 53 Underdog-Under (122)
    Vanderbilt (+5, ML +200) 72 vs. Florida 62 Underdog-Under (136)
    Mississippi 72 vs. Arkansas (-4.5) 73 Underdog-Under (159)

    Semifinals – Saturday, March 11 ATS Results
    Kentucky vs. Alabama –
    Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas –

    Championship – Sunday, March 12 ATS Results
    TBA vs. TBA –

    #385268

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    ACC Trends and Angles
    March 11, 2017

    Venue: Barclays Center – Brooklyn, New York

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS
    Over/Under: 6-6

    Saturday, March 11
    FINALS
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 3 Notre Dame
    Overall: 24-9 SU, 18-11 ATS
    Totals: 15-13-1 O/U

    No. 5 Duke
    Overall: 26-8 SU, 14-18-1 ATS
    Totals: 17-16 O/U

    No. 3 Notre Dame vs. No. 5 Duke (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

    The Irish topped Florida State in Friday’s semifinals, while the Blue Devils topped UNC in the third installment of the ‘Battle of the Blues’. So we’ll get a matchup against good friends Mike Brey and Mike Krzyzewski in the ACC Final. These two sides met once during the regular season, and it was the Blue Devils coming away with an 84-74 victory in South Bend. Notre Dame has come alive over the past few weeks after a four-game slide from Jan. 24-Feb. 5. The Irish are 8-1 SU over their past nine outings, and 8-2 ATS over their past 10 outings. The ‘under’ has cashed in five of their past six outings, while the ‘over’ has cashed in each of Duke’s three tournament games so far, and four in a row overall. The Blue Devils are looking for their 20th ACC Tournament championship, most of any school in the conference. Notre Dame won their only ACC Tournament in 2015. For just the second time in the past seven years the final does not feature the University of North Carolina.

    Notre Dame 83
    Duke 81

    ———————————————-

    Big East Trends and Angles
    March 11, 2017

    Venue: Madison Square Garden – New York, New York

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS
    Over/Under: 2-6

    Saturday, March 11
    FINAL
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 1 Villanova
    Overall: 30-3 SU, 18-15 ATS
    Totals: 12-21 O/U

    No. 6 Creighton
    Overall: 25-8 SU, 19-12 ATS
    Totals: 13-17-1 O/U

    No. 1 Villanova vs. No. 6 Creighton (FOX, 5:30 p.m. ET)

    If this game is close down the stretch, neither one of these teams should be shook given what transpired in the semifinals. Both teams are here because they not only landed the last punch, but also dodged the final bullet. In the Wildcats’ case, that was a point-blank layup missed by Seton Hall’s Angel Delgado, who would’ve likely sent a game the Pirates led for the majority of the evening to overtime if he’d executed something he typically manages in his sleep. The degree of difficult for Xavier’s JP Macura was much more challenging since he pulled up from nearly 25 feet, misfiring on the game-tying 3-pointer in the closing seconds after Blue Jays’ leading scorer Marcus Foster snapped a tie with a pull-up 3-pointer of his own. Creighton has reached the Big East final for the second time since joining the conference in 2014 and finding immediate success thanks to Doug McDermott. Bryce Cotton, who has since bounced around the NBA and is currently playing Australia, led Providence to a 65-58 win at the Garden. Villanova won its second title, the first under head coach Jay Wright, in ’15 but lost last year. Even after winning an NCAA championship and dominating the league with a 16-2 regular season, the Wildcats are hungry to claim another one of these and looked every bit invested as they rallied from 11 points down and held on after four lead changes in the final minutes. Josh Hart, a top candidate for National Player of the Year, led Villanova with 19 points and 10 boards, delivering the go-ahead 3-point play with 9.6 seconds remaining. It won despite shooting 5-for-19 from beyond the arc and 10-for-17 from the free-throw line, so ‘Nova did some flirting with disaster and still won for the 13th time in 14 games. Foster’s shot connected with 6.9 seconds left, on the heels of losing a late lead with just 15 ticks left. Despite draining 13-of-20 3-pointers, Creighton’s fate wasn’t decided until Xavier’s final attempt clanked off the rim. After shooting 18-for-25 from the field in the second half and 7-for-9 from 3-point range, the Blue Jays will come into their third clash against Villanova with some confidence. They’ve rescued their profile in this tournament following a skid after losing point guard Mo Watson to a knee injury. In center Justin Patton, Creighton has a big man who can command attention inside the way Delgado did, so ‘Nova must be prepared for another challenge after being pushed around by Seton Hall in the paint. Villanova beat Creighton in Omaha (80-70) on Dec. 31 when it was the No. 1 team in the country and 79-63 in Philly on Feb. 25 when it was ranked second. That first game was a New Year’s Eve battle of unbeatens, won by Jalen Brunson’s career-high 27 points. Foster led Creighton in scoring in both games, averaging 24.5 points despite the losses. The Blue Jays could probably rise a seed line or two with a win here, while Villanova has already done enough to secure a No. 1 seed, though it could be ranked as the top overall team by finishing the deal here. The under has prevailed in 12 of 17 ‘Nova games following Friday’s win and came through in both Creighton games. It has hit in five of six Jays’ games, including yesterday’s by a half-point.

    Villanova 74
    Creighton 66

    ————————————-

    Big 10 Trends and Angles
    March 11, 2017

    Venue: Verizon Center – Washington, D.C.

    Overall Betting Results
    Favorites/Underdogs: 7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS
    Over/Under: 5-5
    Saturday, March 11

    SEMIFINALS
    Matchup Records Skinny Projection

    No. 8 Michigan
    Overall: 22-11 SU, 14-16 ATS
    Totals: 18-12 O/U

    No. 4 Minnesota
    Overall: 24-8 SU, 19-11 ATS
    Totals: 17-13 O/U

    No. 4 Minnesota vs. No. 8 Michigan (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Michigan knocked off a No. 1 seed for the second consecutive season in the Big Ten Tournament when they ousted Purdue. The Wolverines strengthen their resume for an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament, but have they done enough? A win over Minnesota and a trip to the Finals would likely clinch a bid. The Gophers, meanwhile, exorcised some demons when they showed Michigan State the door, 63-58. Sparty manhandled them by 18 points in East Lansing back on Jan. 11. Michigan and Minnesota played a classic game on Feb. 19, with the Gophers coming out on top 83-78 in overtime. It was the only meeting of the season. The ‘over’ is 10-3 in the past 13 for Minnesota, but the ‘under’ is 2-0 in their past two. That includes the only meeting with the Wolverines. The over cashed for Michigan in their quarterfinals game, and is 5-2 over their past seven.

    Michigan 75
    Minnesota 77

    No. 2 Wisconsin
    Overall: 24-8 SU, 14-15 ATS
    Totals: 11-16 O/U

    No. 6 Northwestern
    Overall: 23-10 SU, 19-10-1 ATS
    Totals: 10-17-1 O/U

    No. 2 Wisconsin vs. No. 6 Northwestern (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    The Wildcats of Northwestern likely cemented their first-ever NCAA Tournament berth with a victory over 3-seed Maryland on Friday night. They have their eyes set on a much bigger prize, however, as this team continues to defy the odds and push forward for bigger and better things. The Wildcats will face the Badgers for the second time this season. They met in Madison on Feb. 12 and it was Northwestern coming away with a 66-59 victory as 11 1/2-point underdogs.The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS over their past five outings, and 11-6 ATS over their past 17 games. Wisconsin has won back-to-back games for the first time since an eight-game winning streak from Jan. 12-Feb. 9. They closed out the season 2-5 SU in the final seven regular season games, and 2-6 ATS in their final eight outings, but they appear to have righted the ship. The ‘under’ has hit in three straight for the Badgers and is 12-6-1 in Northwestern’s past 19, although the ‘over’ is 2-0 in their two Tournament games. The total pushed in their earlier meeting.

    Wisconsin 65
    Northwestern 68

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