Top 6 picks in Week 17 in the Westgate Super Contest:
6) Jacksonville Jaguars +3 (460)- L
5) Indianapolis Colts -3.5 (583)-W
4) Carolina Panthers +3.5 (585)- L
3) Washington Redskins -3 (596)- L
2) Cleveland Browns +11 (666)- W
1) San Francisco 49ers -3 (1,045)- W
Record of top 6 picks each week: 50-49–3
[B][I]Monday’s List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……[/I][/B]
13) Bengals 31, Ravens 27— An epic gag by Baltimore, giving up a 49-yard TD pass with 0:41 left on a 4th-and-12 play that puts Buffalo in the playoffs and knocks the Ravens out. Bills are in the playoffs for the first time since 1999.
12) Falcons 22, Panthers 10— Atlanta is in, Seattle is out; Falcons visit the Los Angeles Coliseum next week to play the Rams.
11) Buccaneers 31, Saints 24— Tampa Bay scored on a 38-yard TD pass with 0:09 left to beat the Saints, who will now host Carolina next week in the playoffs, as the #4 seed.
10) Titans 15, Jaguars 10— If you’re Jacksonville, how do you feel about going to the playoffs with two consecutive losses? Meaningless losses, but still…….
Titans visit Kansas City next week in the playoffs.
9) Cowboys 6, Eagles 0— First NFL game in ten years that was 0-0 after three quarters. Eagles’ #3 QB Nate Sudfeld wasn’t horrible in his NFL debut.
8) Patriots 26, Jets 6— With 10:28 to play and down 24-3, the Jets kicked a 35-yard FG. This was the only game that was still going on at 4:05 ET— Week 17 games tend to go faster. Game ended at 4:10, leaving 15 minutes of dead air before the late games started.
7) Colts 22, Texans 13— Houston GM Rick Smith is taking a leave of absence to help care for his wife, who was recently diagnosed with cancer. No one is saying if he’ll be back in his job as GM; there were rumors that Smith and coach Bill O’Brien weren’t getting along well, to the point that one of them would have to leave the Texans. We’ll see.
6) Chargers 30, Raiders 10— This is how fragile success in the NFL is; Raiders were 12-4 last year. Now they might be totally cleaning house, 12 short months later.
Oakland hasn’t ended the regular season with a win since 2009- Jack Del Rio told a writer he was fired before I got the game’s stats written in my notebook.
5) Cardinals 26, Seahawks 24— Arizona won four of its last five visits to Seattle; Cardinals will have a hard time finding a head coach as good as Bruce Arians was.
4) Chiefs 27, Broncos 24— This game was first time since 1987 that the Chiefs won a game that was QB’d by a player they drafted— 30 years !!! Todd Blackledge was the QB in ’87; this game was won by rookie Patrick Mahomes, and now Alex Smith can get traded to the Browns, after the Chiefs lose in the playoffs.
3) Steelers 28, Browns 24— Cleveland has the 1st and 4th picks in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft— maybe they should call Kevin Costner to make the picks for them (movie reference).
Cleveland just went 1-31 the last two years; the NFL should demand that one of their first round picks be a quarterback, just so the fans don’t get even more depressed.
2) Vikings 23, Bears 10— Minnesota gets #1 seed in NFC; if they win two home playoff games, they’ll play the Super Bowl on their home field.
[B][I]Betting Recap – Week 17
December 31, 2017[/I][/B]
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 17 RESULTS[/B]
Straight Up 11-5
Against the Spread 9-6-1
Straight Up 10-6
Against the Spread 8-7-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
[B]HAPPY NEW YEAR, EVERYONE!!![/B]
[B]The largest underdogs to win straight up[/B]
Bengals (+8, ML + ) at Ravens, 31-27
Cardinals (+8, ML + ) at Seahawks, 26-24
Buccaneers (+6, ML + ) vs. Saints, 31-24
Giants (+5, ML + ) vs. Redskins, 18-10
[B]The largest favorite to cover[/B]
Chargers (-7) vs. Raiders, 30-10
Lions (-7) vs. Packers, 35-11
49ers (-6.5) at Rams, 34-13
Colts (-5.5) vs. Texans, 22-13
[B]Finishing Up Strong[/B]
— The San Francisco 49ers were obviously helped out in Week 17 by the fact the Los Angeles Rams were resting their starters with nothing to gain in the playoff seeding process, but Vegas also had the Niners installed as a 6 1/2-point favorite. They produced yet another win, as the legend of QB Jimmy Garoppolo continues to grow. The 49ers won their fifth consecutive game to close out the 2017 campaign, finishing 6-10 after opening 0-9 SU. At the betting window the Niners were a favorite, too, as they ended up going 4-1 ATS over their final five outings to close out 2017. They’ll be a team to watch heading into 2018 after free agency and the NFL Draft.
Not Done Yet[/B]
— The Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans secured AFC Wild Card berths with wins in Week 17. The Bills needed the Cincinnati Bengals to take care of the Baltimore Ravens, and they scored a shocking touchdown with less than a minute left for the 31-27 road upset to snap the Bills’ 17-year playoff drought. The Titans ended the regular season on a high note, going 5-1 ATS across their final six games. They’ll travel to meet the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Wild-Card round next weekend, and they opened 7 1/2-point underdogs. The Bills are underdogs by the same number as they travel to meet the Jacksonville Jaguars next weekend. They closed out their regular season with a 4-2 ATS mark, although they were just 2-4 ATS over their past six road games. The Titans-Chiefs and Bills-Jaguars did not meet in the 2017 regular season.
— The Chiefs pushed past the Denver Broncos by a 27-24 score, a game which hit the ‘over’ (37.5) rather easily. But the game was littered with plenty of reserves on both sides of the ball, so there isn’t much to glean from this result. In the previous seven games, the Chiefs were using their starters and the ‘under’ cashed in six of seven outings. That’s something to watch heading into their playoff game next week. The Titans hit the ‘under’ in Week 17, and it cashed in four of their final six outings. The ‘under’ was also 4-2 in their final six games on the road.
— The Bills went ‘under’ in Week 17, and the total went under for a 4-1-1 record in their final six games. On the road, the ‘under’ was 5-3 overall on the season. The Jaguars had a stout defense this season, but the ‘over’ still cashed rather frequently. The over was 3-1 in their final four outings, although the ‘under’ hit in Week 17. The over actually hit in five of their eight home games this season. The total opened at 41 for the Bills-Jaguars game.
— There were no primetime games in Week 17, so the ‘over’ finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games during the 2017 season. Officially, the ‘over’ finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.
— Bills RB LeSean McCoy (ankle) rolled his ankle in the third quarter of the Week 17 game at Miami and he was unable to return. His status for Wild-Card weekend is uncertain.
— Chiefs WR De’Anthony Thomas (leg) sustained a fractured tibia on a punt return late in the Week 17 game against the Broncos and he is obviously done for the season.
— The Titans will travel to meet the Chiefs in the wild card. The Titans are 6-1 ATS over their past seven against teams with a winning record, and 4-1 ATS in their past five on a grass surface. However, they’re still just 14-38-4 ATS in their past 56 against AFC foes, and 8-20 ATS in their past 28 road games. They’re also 0-5 ATS in their past five appearances on a Saturday.
— The Chiefs have covered four in a row, they’re 4-0 ATS in their past four vs. AFC teams and they’re 4-1 ATS in their past five home games. However, Kansas City is a dismal 1-8 ATS in their past nine playoff games, and 0-5 ATS in their past five playoff games at Arrowhead.
— The Falcons are an impressive 13-6 ATS in their past 19 vs. NFC opponents, but they’re just 2-7 ATS in their past nine playoff games. They’re also 1-5 ATS in their past six road games, and 0-4 ATS in their past four playoff road outings. They travel to meet the Rams on Saturday night. The ‘over’ is 5-0 in Atlanta’s past five playoff games.
— The Rams have posted a 6-13-1 ATS mark across their past 20 against NFC foes, while going 4-10-1 ATS in their pat 15 at home. And while it’s been a while, the Rams are 1-4 ATS in their past five playoff games.
— It has been 17 years, but Buffalo is on an 0-4 ATS run in their past four playoff games. The ‘over’ is 9-4 in Buffalo’s past 13 against teams with a winning overall record.
— The Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their past eight games against AFC opponents, and 4-1 ATS in their past five at home. While it has been a long time, the ‘over’ is 4-1-1 in Jacksonville’s past six playoff home games, but the ‘under’ is 7-1 in their past eight vs. AFC opponents.
— The Panthers and Saints meet for the third time this season. Carolina was swept in the regular season by New Orleans, and they’re just 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to NOLA, while going 0-6 ATS in the past six meetings overall. However, the road team is a sparkling 23-10 ATS in the past 33 meetings in this series, with the underdog 6-1 ATS in the past seven. The ‘over’ is also 4-0 in the past four in New Orleans, and 6-1 in the past seven meetings overall.
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