Cnotes 2017 NFL Trends/Stats/News/Picks Thru The Super Bowl

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  • #466925

    cnotes
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    [SIZE=4][COLOR=”#A52A2A”][B]NFL opening line report: Focus is on the NFC in Week 14 with several key matchups[/B][/COLOR][/SIZE]
    Patrick Everson

    [I]”We anticipate Saints money from the public, and this line could head south sooner than later.”[/I]

    Without question, the best Week 14 NFL games are in the NFC, as the playoff picture continues to evolve. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening lines for a handful of matchups, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

    [B]New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-2)[/B]

    New Orleans had a one-game hiccup, then got right back to its winning ways and now stands atop the NFC South. The Saints (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) saw their eight-game win streak end in Week 12 at the Los Angeles Rams, but came home Sunday and beat Carolina 31-21 as a 5.5-point chalk.

    Defending NFC champion Atlanta is making things tough for itself to even get back to the playoffs, let alone the Super Bowl. The Falcons (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) had a nice little three-game SU and ATS win streak, then had a dismal offensive showing and lost at home to Minnesota 14-9 as a 2-point favorite in Week 13.

    “Our team was anywhere from a pick ‘em to -3 for this matchup,” Cooley said. “The deuce felt like a fair number. We can see where the bettors are leaning early and adjust from there. We anticipate Saints money from the public, and this line could head south sooner than later.”

    [B]Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+1)[/B]

    Minnesota just keeps on rolling behind a top-notch defense that ranks No. 2 in the league in scoring, allowing just 17 points per game. On Sunday, the Vikings (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) went to Atlanta as a 2-point underdog and won a defensive slog 14-9.

    Carolina (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) won and cashed four straight heading into Sunday’s showdown with New Orleans. But the Panthers couldn’t keep it going, losing 31-21 catching 5.5 points.

    “No matter how many wins, the Vikings don’t get any love from the general betting public,” Cooley said. “Sharps were on them again (against the Saints), and likely will be here, but the squares aren’t hopping aboard, so these spreads are kept somewhat at bay. Of course, you have to think Minnesota is going to stumble at some point.”

    [B]Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams (no line)[/B]

    Philadelphia has been the class of the NFC this season, but its impressive winning streak of nine games SU and eight games ATS finally ended Sunday night. The Eagles (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) went off as 3.5-point road chalk against Seattle and lost outright, 24-10.

    Los Angeles is red-hot of late, going 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven outings. The NFC West-leading Rams (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) doubled up Arizona 32-16 giving 7.5 points on the road Sunday.

    With Philly having played in the Sunday nighter, Bookmaker.eu won’t post the line on this game until Monday.

    “Depending on how Sunday night plays out, we could make this anywhere from a pick to L.A. a small ‘dog,” Cooley said. “If the latter happens, the Rams feel like a very live ‘dog at home. Despite the two prolific offenses, I expect to see sharp players on the under.”

    [B]Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)[/B]

    Kansas City started the season 5-0 SU and ATS and was 6-2 SU and ATS through eight weeks. The Chiefs (6-6 SU and ATS) haven’t won since then, dumping four in a row to fall into a three-way logjam atop the AFC West with Oakland and San Diego. On Sunday, K.C. blew a 14-0 lead by the end of the first quarter and ultimately lost to the New York Jets 38-31 as a 4-point road fave.

    Oakland has also played far below expectations this season, but has won three of its last four (1-2-1 ATS). In Week 13, the Raiders (6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) held off the New York Giants 24-17 giving 10 points at home.

    “Early action from the pros has been on Oakland, which prompted a 1-point move. They really don’t like this K.C. squad right now, and it’s obvious why,” Cooley said of sharp Raiders action forcing Bookmaker down to K.C. -3.5. “That said, you know this losing streak is going to end soon, and this is a season-defining type of game for the Chiefs. Expect their best effort here.”

    #466927

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Monday’s Best Bet
    December 4, 2017[/I][/B]

    [B]Week 13 MNF Best Bet
    Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals[/B]

    One of the nastiest rivalries in the NFL during the past few years takes center stage tonight as the Pittsburgh Steelers go into Cincinnati and look to sweep the Bengals away this year. A win by Pittsburgh would not only give the Steelers a 2-0 SU record against Cincy this year, but they’d keep pace with New England for 1st overall in the AFC, keep a three-game lead over Baltimore for the AFC North, with a return match against the Ravens coming up next week, and effectively end Cincinnati’s slim playoff hopes.

    That’s quite a bit to play for if you’re in the Steelers camp tonight, and given the recent history these two teams have, there shouldn’t be any sort of “letdown” from either side tonight.
    [B]
    Bookmaker.eu Odds: Pittsburgh (-4); Total set at 43[/B]

    Pittsburgh’s 29-14 win over the Bengals in late October helped spark this run the Steelers have been on as that victory was two in a row for Pittsburgh at the time and they’ve since gone on to win four straight. That six-game winning streak (4-2 ATS) is on the line in Cincinnati tonight, and it’s not going to be easy to extend.

    The Bengals are playing with basically their season on the line at 5-6 SU, knowing that likely only one Wildcard spot is within reach for them this year, and any loss the rest of the way in essence puts the 2017 Cincinnati Bengals on life support. A desperate team can often be a dangerous one, and there is no question that Cincinnati’s precarious position is part of the reason why we’ve already seen money on the side in this game come that way.

    This game opened up with the Steelers in the -6.5 range, but ever since late last week this number has settled around the current -4. Even some -3.5’s are starting to pop up across the board as bigger bettors look to cash in on a Bengals team that’s got everything to play for tonight. A Bengals ATS win would be the reverse of what cashed in the first meeting, and with the perception/reality based notion of the Steelers not being anywhere near as good on the road as they are at home, this spread probably did end up opening up a little too high.

    However, it’s not the side I’m looking to back – especially now with most, if not all the value sucked out of it – as this total of 43 has held rather steady the entire week. VegasInsider.com shows about a 60/40 split in favor of the ‘over’ for tonight’s total, as a slight majority believe the 43 points we saw in the first meeting will indeed get surpassed. After all, that game was 20-14 at halftime as the Bengals were shutout in the final two frames while Pittsburgh padded their lead with three FG’s. A half of sub-10 points combined is becoming more and more rare in today’s NFL, and with the Bengals scoring 20+ in four of their five games since that first Pittsburgh game, and the Steelers scoring 20+ in all four of their games during that span – including back-to-back weeks of 31+ – you can see why the ‘over’ has actually got some significant traction for most tonight.

    Yet, this is the 5th and final division rematch game of Week 13 and if you’ve followed along all year, you’ll know that I do prefer to flip results (either ATS or totals) in these return matchups. So far that line of thought in Week 13 hasn’t done great as the previous four rematch games saw the same team win ATS in three contests, while the reversing the total results ended up going 2-2. But specifically regarding tonight’s Steelers/Bengals game, I do believe that flip flopping this total is the better way to bet this contest. And those 43 points in the first meeting was more than enough for that game to sail ‘over’ the closing total of 40.

    That means we should expect this game to be relatively lower scoring and be chalk-full of all the nastiness and physical play we’ve come to expect from these two teams when they share a field. The Steelers perception/reality argument about them on the road does have some truth to it when discussing their results as visitors this year, as they are a perfect 0-6 O/U away from home this year and have only scored more than 21 points once (Week 1). Offensively you can’t help but wonder if those Steelers playmakers may have one eye on what lies ahead for them the next two weeks (Baltimore, New England), and with guys like WR Ju Ju Smith-Schuster and Antonio Brown dealing with some nagging injuries, those “footsteps” they might hear from the Bengals defenders could have Pittsburgh’s attack performing at a sub-optimal level.

    Taking things a step further, Pittsburgh has been a great ‘under’ bet on the road as they are 5-22 O/U in their last 27 away from home. This Steelers defense can clearly travel, and with a 6-20 O/U run going anywhere when playing a foe with a losing record, there may be a bit more reality to that talk about Pittsburgh’s home/road splits than some Steelers fans may want to believe.

    From Cincinnati’s perspective, they know what’s at stake for them in this game and probably know they aren’t likely to beat the Steelers in a back-and-forth, shootout type game. The fact that Cincy’s defense ranks 5th in the league against the pass helps them in that regard, and if this game turns into a slugfest, the Bengals should like their chances. With a 5-16 O/U run going after an ATS win, and a 4-12 O/U run going in divisional games, Cincinnati will look to their defense to step up big tonight.

    So in a game where both defensive weaknesses are against the run, we’ve got high stakes for both sides regarding the playoff picture, and plenty of “sharp” money has already pushed the Bengals line down, there really is nowhere else to look but the under. The fact that oddsmakers have shown plenty of respect to the Bengals ATS action they’ve gotten so far suggests that this ‘under’ play may be quite correlated with that. Cincinnati just doesn’t have the weapons to keep up with Pittsburgh if the Steelers offense is hitting on all cylinders, and based on how this line has moved in terms of the action it’s received, that doesn’t appear to be the type of game oddsmakers are expecting tonight.

    Lot of running plays bleeds the clock down, and we all know about the level of physicality both teams bring to the table when they meet up. Touchdowns will be at a premium, and with drives hopefully stalling out in the redzone and FG tries following, this game tops out at 40 to 41 points.
    [B]
    Odds per – Bookmaker.eu

    Best Bet: Under 43 points[/B]

    #466931

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Betting Recap – Week 13
    December 4, 2017[/I][/B]

    [B]Overall Notes

    NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 13 RESULTS[/B]

    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 9-6
    Against the Spread 7-8

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 11-4
    Against the Spread 9-6

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 7-8

    [B]The largest underdogs to win straight up[/B]
    Jets (+4, ML +170) vs. Chiefs, 38-31
    Seahawks (+4, ML +170) vs. Eagles, 24-10
    49ers (+2.5, ML +125) at Bears, 15-14
    Vikings (+2, ML +115) at Falcons, 14-9

    [B]The largest favorite to cover[/B]
    Jaguars (-10) vs. Colts, 30-10
    Patriots (-8) at Bills, 23-3
    Rams (-7) at Cardinals, 32-16
    Titans (-7) vs. Texans, 24-13
    [B]
    Feeling Minnesota[/B]

    — The Minnesota Vikings passed a major test on the road against the Atlanta Falcons, winning 14-9 in a defensive battle. The Purple People Eaters are on a roll, winning eight straight while covering seven in a row. Might we see the first-ever team to play a Super Bowl in their home stadium? We’ll find out if the Vikings can do it in back-to-back road games with a trip to meet the Carolina Panthers in Charlotte in Week 14. The Panthers had their four-game cover streak halted with a 31-21 loss against the New Orleans Saints.

    [B]Jimmy Time[/B]

    — The San Francisco 49ers turned to QB Jimmy Garoppolo to start in Week 13 against the Chicago Bears, and his first start with the team was a success. Suddenly the Niners have won twice in the past three weeks, while the ‘under’ improved to 4-1 over their past five. The offense still needs work, as they have scored 15 or fewer points in five of the past six outings. But the Niners look like an NFL team again with Garoppolo at the helm. And, really, they haven’t been that bad on the road this season, posting a respectable 4-2 ATS mark. They’re back on the road next Sunday against the turnover-prone Houston Texans.
    Total Recall

    — Vegas was expecting a shootout in Western New York in the New England-Buffalo (49) battle, but it never came into fruition. ‘Over’ bettors had a sinking feeling when the teams couldn’t muster any touchdowns in the first half, and that bad feeling was compounded when QB Tyrod Taylor (knee) was carted off to the locker room. The Patriots picked up the pace in the third quarter with 14 points, but the teams combined for a scoreless fourth quarter and barely made it halfway to the over. The second-highest total was in the Minnesota-Atlanta (48.5) game, and that also was never threatened with 23 total points. It isn’t often Vegas is way off, but these two battles weren’t even close to the number.

    — The three lowest totals on the board from Sunday — Indianapolis-Jacksonville (41), Denver-Miami (41) and San Francisco-Chicago (42) — went 2-1 to the ‘under’. The Broncos-Dolphins game featured two safeties, a rarity, to add to the scoring total. The Colts-Jaguars game just barely made it ‘under’, with a total of 40 points. Oddly enough, this was the first weekend all season where the NFL slate did not have at least one matchup with a total in the 30’s.

    — The Chargers defense continues to impress, allowing just 10 points to the winless Browns. They have yielded just 13.9 PPG over their past seven games, which is a major reason they find themselves tied atop the AFC West despite an 0-4 SU/0-3-1 ATS start. The ‘under’ is an impressive 6-1 over the past seven for the Bolts, including 4-0 in their past four road games. They are home in Week 14 against the Redskins before they hit the road to play the Chiefs in Week 15 and Jets in Week 16.

    — The ‘Over/under’ finished 1-1 in the first two primetime games during Week 13, and the ‘over’ is 24-16 (60.0%) through the first 40 primetime games of the 2017 season with Monday’s Pittsburgh Steelers-Cincinnati Bengals result still pending. Officially, the ‘over’ finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

    [B]Injury Report[/B]

    — Bills QB Tyrod Taylor (knee) was knocked out of the loss against the Patriots due to a knee injury, but he reportedly told sources after the game that the injury wasn’t as serious and he’ll have further tests. Taylor sounds optimistic about a return sooner rather than later.

    — Lions QB Matthew Stafford (hand) suffered a hand injury late in the loss at Baltimore, and he was taken to the locker room with a towel wrapped around his hand. X-rays were negative.

    — Eagles TE Zach Ertz (concussion) left for the locker room due to the league’s mandated NFL concussion protocol in the the third quarter and he did not return.

    [B]Looking Ahead[/B]

    — The Falcons (-2, 54) host the Saints in Thursday’s game in a key NFC South battle. Atlanta swept the two high-scoring battles last season, averaging 41.5 PPG while allowing 32.0 PPG. The last time these teams met on a Thursday was back on Nov. 29, 2012, a 23-13 victory by the Falcons as Atlanta covered at the Georgia Dome in a game which easily hit the ‘under’. Five of the past seven meetings in Atlanta have resulted in ‘under’ results, although this will be the first meeting at the brand, spanking new Mercedes-Benz Stadium. And hey, Atlanta fans…good news…Chick-Fil-A will be open for this game!

    — First place will be on the line when the Raiders and Chiefs do battle at Arrowhead. The Chiefs will be looking to avenge a heartbreaking 31-30 loss in the Black Hole back in Week 7. It was a rare Raiders win, as the Chiefs had won the five previous meetings while going 4-2 ATS. The Chiefs have won four straight home meetings against the Raiders, while going 3-1 ATS in the meetings. The ‘under’ is also an impressive 8-1 in the past nine meetings in Kansas City.

    — The Ravens and Steelers will lock horns at the confluence, and Pittsburgh looks for three straight wins in the series for the first time since sweeping the two regular-season matchups and the 2009 AFC Championship Game during the 2008-09 season. The ‘under’ has hit in four of the past five meetings in this series, and Baltimore enters the game 4-1-1 ATS over the past six meetings. The Steelers have won just three times in the past eight meetings at Heinz Field, including a playoff game in 2015. In fact, Pittsburgh is just 5-10 SU and 5-8-2 ATS over the past 15 meetings overall in the regular season and playoffs.

    #466933

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Saints bury books in Week 13
    December 4, 2017[/I][/B]

    After nine consecutive wins and eight straight covers, the Eagles experienced only their second loss of the season Sunday night at Seattle which in turn helped the Las Vegas sports not lose too much, but still enough to hurt. The books were all on the ropes ready for the public knockout punch with another Eagles cover following a rough first 13 games of Sunday’s week 13 action. Most books still lost, but a few were able to escape with a short profit.

    “Every scenario for us in the Sunday night game is a loser with the Seahawks and Under being our best scenario,” MGM Resorts sports book hub manager Jeff Stoneback said just prior to kickoff of the Seahawks eventual 24-10 win.

    The Eagles had lots of live parlays waiting to cash after nearly every popular team covered the spread earlier.

    “The Saints and Over were both bad for us, but not as bad as the Packers and Rams,” said Station Casinos sports book director Jason McCormick. However, Station books were fortunate to escape with a small win thanks to Seattle, which paid bettors +180 on the money-line.

    There was no escaping the Saints’ 31-21 home win against the Panthers. Every book took a beating in this battle between the NFC South where the Saints moved from 4-point favorites to -6 by kickoff.

    “The Saints were our worst game of the day,” said Stoneback. “The Patriots weren’t as bad just because it was a morning game. If was in the afternoon it may have been worse than the Saints.”

    The Saints game was in the afternoon and had results branched in from the nine 10 a.m. PT games waiting to cash, and they did cash a bunch. The most popular two-team parlay of the day was Patriots to the Saints. As for New England, the Westgate’s 2-to-1 Super Bowl favorite, all they did on Sunday was win 23-3 at Buffalo (+8) for its eighth straight win and sixth straight cover.

    These are the type of teams the public loves to hook up in teasers and parlays and if you look at how the sports books have been faring on a few teams since Week 4, you’ll wonder why anyone would bet any other team. The Eagles (8-1 ATS), Rams (7-2 ATS), Vikings (7-2 ATS), Patriots (7-2 ATS) and Saints (6-3 ATS) have combined to go an incredible 35-10 ATS since Oct. 1. The Vikings’ 14-9 win at Atlanta had equal action game because the Falcons are still popular, but the public finds other teams to insert.

    “The favorites only went 7-6 ATS on the day, but bettors caught most of the favorites they we’re betting the most collectively such as the Saints, Patriots, Rams and Jaguars,” said Stoneback. “It was just a terrible afternoon. We we’re a small loser in the nine morning games, but got whalloped in the afternoon with the Rams and Saints.”

    Jacksonville’s No. 1 defense gained public favor this week as they were 10-point home favorites against the Colts and they’d win 30-10. The Rams (-7) took care of business at Arizona with a 32-16 win to maintain it’s lead in the NFC West. They get a visit from a Philly squad this week coming off a loss and a couple long west coast flights. It’ll be interesting see how they bounce back and if the Rams are really serious about getting that bye in the playoffs.

    Bettors knew how to stay clear of betting against the Browns this week catching +13.5 at Los Angeles against the Chargers. Cleveland lost 19-10 to cover making them 3-9 ATS and pulling them out of the bettors’ gutter. After Denver’s awful 35-9 loss at Miami, the Broncos (2-9-1 ATS) are now the worst cover team in the NFL. Way to go Mr. Elway, Super Bowl to toilet bowl in record time.

    Anyway, the inflated point spread on the Chargers kept bettors away from picking against the Browns again.

    The Giants also did the amazing to get a backdoor field goal to cut the Raiders (-9.5) lead to 24-17 with under two minutes to go. It’s one of the few games to go the books way because the public absolutely hates Geno Smith. There was one game the books also thought they had that turned on them in the last seconds.

    “The Titans (-7) ended up being a loser for us thanks to that play,” said Stoneback of Derrick Henry’s 75-yard TD run with under a minute to go to go from a 17-13 ATS loser to a 24-13 ATS win. The Texans did the same thing the Giants did by kicking a field goal when down by 10 with hopes of recovering the onside kick. Henry rolled through a sweep and just kept plowing all the way down field. It was cheered heavily by the sports book crowds.

    Week 13 finished up with favorites going 7-7 ATS with five underdogs winning outright and eight of them staying Under the total. Congrats on a great week people, Merry Christmas!

    #467072

    cnotes
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    [B][I]MONDAY, DECEMBER 4
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS[/I][/B]

    PIT at CIN 08:30 PM

    [B]PIT -4.0

    O 43.0[/B]

    #467139

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Opening Line Report – Bowl Games
    December 4, 2017[/I][/B]

    When the South Point posted the first College Football Playoff lines in Las Vegas on Sunday, sharp money showed up on Alabama at pick ‘em vs. Clemson in the Sugar Bowl (Jan. 1, 8:45 p.m., ESPN). Chris Andrews, sports book director at the South Point, was happy to take that action and moved the line to Alabama -1.

    Other Vegas books opened Alabama as the slight chalk, the Westgate SuperBook hanging -1 and CG Technology going -2, and the Crimson Tide are now laying points at every shop in town.

    Andrews thinks the betting market has it wrong.

    “I really thought Clemson should be the favorite, but I opened pick, let them (sharp bettors) take me where they want to go, but I’m comfortable needing Clemson,” Andrews said. “If I go into the game needing them, that’s fine with me.”

    There are many observers among the mainstream (non-gambling) college football punditry who questioned the Selection Committee’s decision to invite to Alabama to the playoffs, suggesting the Tide are in the final four because of reputation, not so much their 2017 resume. Andrews offered a similar notion regarding the betting line.

    “This is probably one of those situations where we’re thinking of the historic Alabama rather than the current Alabama,” Andrews said. “I just think Clemson’s better than them right now.”

    He added, “Alabama’s been exposed a little bit. It’s probably not Nick Saban’s best team. I predicted the Auburn win (over the Tide two weeks ago, 26-14). I just thought they weren’t that great of a team this year. They rely on (quarterback) Jalen Hurts an awful lot, their defense has clusters of injuries in linebacking, and if you look around the pros there’s tons of linebackers for Alabama, so it’s always been a key part of their defense.”

    Over at CG Technology, sharp money grabbed Clemson +2, prompting a move to +1.5. But it’s likely that those early bettors were shopping for the best number, rather than expressing an opinion on the game, Jason Simbal, vice president of risk at the sports book operator, said.

    Simbal, in fact, said his bookmaking team’s power ratings had Alabama a 3.5-point favorite, but that’s not a number they wanted to offer on a game certain to attract immediate high-volume action, particularly since betting opened Sunday as gamblers lined up to make their NFL wagers.

    “In a normal week, where you’re not going to get a ton of attention on the game right away and nobody’s going to really bet it till the day of, you can hang 3 or 3.5 there,” Simbal said. “But in this case, it’s hard to hang that number because so many people are going to be betting this right away, fans and sharps alike, that you have to build in the perception.”

    This, of course, is the third season in a row in which Alabama and Clemson will have met in the postseason. Clemson has covered the spread in the previous two meetings, winning outright 35-31 as 6.5-point dogs in last season’s championship game, and cashing as 6-point dogs in a 45-40 loss two years ago.

    “I thought Alabama would be a really small favorite, but I’m hesitant to bet against Clemson in a big spot,” Simbal said. “Athletically, they have the ability to keep up with Alabama, one of the few teams that can do that, so we’ll see how they do without Deshaun Watson. If I had to bet that game I’d probably take Clemson.”

    [B]Rose Bowl – Georgia vs. Oklahoma (-1)
    Jan. 1, 5 p.m. ET, ESPN
    [/B]
    The early Rose Bowl betting sentiment has been on underdog Georgia, as the line opened between Oklahoma -2 and -2.5, before drifting to -1 at most shops and even to pick ‘em at MGM Resorts.

    CG opened Oklahoma -2.5 but moved to -1.5 after writing a sharp money-line play on Georgia.

    The most appropriate number on this game is Oklahoma -1.5, Andrews believes, although he opened -2.

    “If a wiseguy bet me -2, I would have gone right to -3, and conversely, if a wiseguy bet me +2, I would have gone to 1,” Andrews said. “Just in that area off an opening number, you move things a little more quickly.” While no respected money showed up on either side, an abundance of smaller bets on the dog prompted the South Point to move to Oklahoma -1.

    “We didn’t have any big bets on the dog, but it was just kind of trickling in,” Andrews said, “so it looked like at this point in time, people were either going to bet Georgia or they were going to pass.”

    Simbal, though, expects most casual bettors to back Oklahoma as game day approaches.

    “I think we’re going to end up needing Georgia because the public is in love with Oklahoma,” Simbal said. “(Baker) Mayfield is a pretty popular player and they’ve been so hot ever since the Iowa State loss, and in hindsight that Iowa State loss wasn’t as bad as we thought at the time.”

    [B]Here’s a peek at some other intriguing bowl matchups:

    Cotton Bowl – USC vs. Ohio State (-6.5)
    Dec. 29, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
    [/B]
    There’s a consensus on the Cotton Bowl, as Ohio State -6.5 is the number being dealt throughout Las Vegas, with no action significant enough for early adjustments.

    [B]Fiesta Bowl – Washington vs. Penn State (-3)
    Dec. 30, 4 p.m. ET, ESPN[/B]

    Penn State’s been as high as -4.5 and as low as -2 offshore, but the line has settled at a field goal in Vegas.

    [B]Orange Bowl – Wisconsin (-6.5) vs. Miami
    Dec. 30, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN[/B]

    Respect for the Big Ten continues, with the Badgers listed as substantial favorites in what’s essentially a home game for Miami.

    [B]Outback Bowl – South Carolina vs. Michigan (-10)
    Jan. 1, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2[/B]

    There’s been a strong early move on Michigan, as the Wolverines opened -7 at the Wynn and have been bet to between -9.5 and -10 around town.

    [B]Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl – Central Florida vs. Auburn (-10)
    Jan. 1, 12:30 p.m. , ESPN[/B]

    Doubt abounds around unbeaten Central Florida as they take a major step up in class. Auburn can be found for -9.5 at some betting locales.

    [B]Citrus Bowl – LSU (-2.5) vs. Notre Dame
    Jan. 1, 1 p.m. ET, ABC[/B]

    Wiseguys are on LSU early, driving the line at the Wynn to Tigers -2.5 after Notre Dame opened the 1-point chalk. LSU is laying as many as 3 at some shops.

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    #468669

    cnotes
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    [B][I]DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS & OPINIONS ( BASED ON 5 UNITS )

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    12/04/2017 0-1-1 0.00% -5.50
    12/03/2017 11-17-0 39.29% -38.50

    BEST BETS:………………….ATS……………….. ..UNITS…………………….O/U………………..UNITS

    12/03/2017………………0 – 1…………………-5.50……………………….0 – 0………………PUSH
    12/03/2017………………5 – 5…………………-2.50……………………….5 – 5………………-2.50[/I][/B]

    #468670

    cnotes
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    [SIZE=4][COLOR=”#A52A2A”][B]NFL’s biggest betting mismatches: Week 14[/B][/COLOR][/SIZE]
    Monty Andrews

    [B]Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 47.5)[/B]

    [I]Raiders’ ragged secondary vs. Chiefs’ elite ball security[/I]

    The AFC West is officially the craziest division in the NFL, with three teams tied for the division lead as we enter the final four weeks of the regular season. This week’s encounter between the streaking Raiders and the tumbling Chiefs will have a significant impact on how the final standings play out – and despite Kansas City having squandered what was a comfortable lead just a month ago, it has a sizeable edge in this one when it comes to retaining possession on offense.

    The Oakland pass defense is a major reason why the Raiders are sitting at .500 through 13 weeks rather than leading the division by several games. By any measure, Oakland has struggled mightily to contain opposing signal callers, surrendering 20 pass touchdowns with just one interception; only one other team, the Atlanta Falcons (three), have fewer than five INTs. In addition, Oakland’s 108.2 passer rating against is easily the worst in football.

    Despite Kansas City’s recent struggles, don’t expect the Raiders secondary to suddenly look like world beaters against Alex Smith. The Chiefs have perennially been one of the lowest-turnover offenses in football with Smith at the helm, and 2017 is no exception – Kansas City has thrown just six interceptions, tied for the fourth-fewest in the league. Look for Smith to pick apart Oakland’s pass defense, which should at least give the Chiefs a fighting chance of ending their four-game losing skid.

    [B]Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns (+3.5, 40.5)[/B]

    [I]Packers’ red-zone proficiency vs. Browns’ broken defense[/I]

    No Aaron Rodgers? No problem – okay, several problems, but not as many as fans and bettors thought after the Packers lost their franchise quarterback to a collarbone injury in a Week 6 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Green Bay evened its record at 6-6 with an impressive 26-20 overtime win over Tampa Bay, and with Rodgers due back later this month, a postseason spot remains in play. The Packers will look to improve their chances this week by exploiting a major edge in red-zone play against winless Cleveland.

    If there is one area where Green Bay has remained as potent as ever, it is in turning red-zone opportunities into six points. The Packers come into Week 14 with a success rate of nearly 65 percent inside the opponents’ 20-yard line, the third-best rate in the league. That red-zone proficiency was on full display in last week’s victory over the Buccaneers, when Aaron Jones ran in his only carry from the Tampa Bay 20-yard line to give the Packers a critical victory.

    The Browns have been halfway decent at limiting opponent yardage (327.2, 10th in NFL), but are lagging behind in just about every other defensive metric. That includes red-zone points against, with Cleveland having allowed a touchdown on 68.6 percent of foes’ trips inside their 20 – the second-worst rate in the NFL. The Browns’ chances of earning win No. 1 will likely hinge on their ability to hold Green Bay to field goals – and if that’s the case, bettors shouldn’t hold their breath.

    [B]San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-3, 43)[/B]

    [I]49ers’ third-down troubles vs. Texans’ punt-forcing prowess[/I]

    A two-game losing skid and a date with a suddenly improving San Francisco team has the host Texans staring at a minuscule edge in the Vegas line this weekend. Yet, despite having lost four of its past five games to guarantee a non-winning season, Houston is still in good position heading into Week 14. Not only have the Texans prevailed in two of their previous three home games, but they have been a force on third downs – and the 49ers, for lack of a more eloquent turn of phrase, have not.

    Perhaps the switch at quarterback from C.J. Beathard to Jimmy Garoppolo will mean great things for the 49ers on third down – after all, they went a stunning 10-for-18 in such situations in Garoppolo’s first start in the red and gold. But one game is just that – and if you look at the season, San Francisco is still converting just 36.3 percent of third downs, good for 26th out of 32 teams. And getting to third down 18 times against the Texans probably won’t turn out nearly as well for Garoppolo and the visitors.

    Only five teams have been stingier on third down than the Texans, who have forced a punt or fourth-down try on 65.9 percent of opponent opportunities. Houston has been even tighter over the previous three games, allowing teams to extend drives or score on just 31.4 percent of third-down chances. And with opponents converting just 32.4 percent of their third-down opportunities at NRG Stadium, it could be a long afternoon for Garoppolo and the rest of the San Francisco offense.

    [B]Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, 44)[/B]

    [I]Ravens’ ball-hawking skills vs. Big Ben’s interception troubles[/I]

    The Ravens still have a shot at the NFC North title – albeit a small one – as they prepare to visit Ben Roethlisberger and the division-leading Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night. Baltimore did its part to remain in the hunt with a 44-20 drubbing of the Detroit Lions – its third consecutive victory – and will be looking to atone for a 26-9 loss to the Steelers in their previous meeting Oct. 1. Even though Heinz Field is Big Ben’s personal playground, the Ravens have the secondary to make life miserable for him.

    The Ravens continue to lead the NFL in interceptions with 20 – four more than the runner-up Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars. And while it’s fair to note that eight of those picks came in Baltimore’s first two games – specifically, four each against the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns – the Ravens are still a top-six interception unit even if they hadn’t recorded an INT in either of those contests. Opponents throw a pick on 5.14 percent of passing plays vs. Baltimore.

    Roethlisberger escaped with just one interception in the Steelers’ Week 4 triumph in Baltimore, but that was largely because his team ran the ball an unbelievable 42 times in the victory. Pittsburgh passers – yes, plural, thanks to Robert Golden’s 44-yard completion in a Week 7 win over Cincinnati – come into this weekend with (12) interceptions, the seventh-most of any team. And with the Ravens looking to make up for their earlier loss, Pittsburgh might want to fire up 35 more carries for Le’Veon Bell.

    #468671

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    [B][SIZE=”5″]NFL[/SIZE]
    Long Sheet

    Week 14[/B]

    [b]Thursday, December 7[/b]

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]NEW ORLEANS (9 – 3) at ATLANTA (7 – 5) – 12/7/2017, 8:25 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    [b]Sunday, December 10[/b]

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]DETROIT (6 – 6) at TAMPA BAY (4 – 8) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]CHICAGO (3 – 9) at CINCINNATI (5 – 7) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]INDIANAPOLIS (3 – 9) at BUFFALO (6 – 6) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]SEATTLE (8 – 4) at JACKSONVILLE (8 – 4) – 12/10/2017, 4:25 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 67-37 ATS (+26.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
    JACKSONVILLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
    JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]OAKLAND (6 – 6) at KANSAS CITY (6 – 6) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]MINNESOTA (10 – 2) at CAROLINA (8 – 4) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
    MINNESOTA is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]GREEN BAY (6 – 6) at CLEVELAND (0 – 12) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    GREEN BAY is 186-131 ATS (+41.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 66-38 ATS (+24.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    CLEVELAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]SAN FRANCISCO (2 – 10) at HOUSTON (4 – 8) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]WASHINGTON (5 – 7) at LA CHARGERS (6 – 6) – 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]NY JETS (5 – 7) at DENVER (3 – 9) – 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY JETS are 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
    DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
    DENVER is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
    DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
    DENVER is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]TENNESSEE (8 – 4) at ARIZONA (5 – 7) – 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
    ARIZONA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
    ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]PHILADELPHIA (10 – 2) at LA RAMS (9 – 3) – 12/10/2017, 4:25 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
    LA RAMS is 183-228 ATS (-67.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 183-228 ATS (-67.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 131-180 ATS (-67.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 142-180 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 62-93 ATS (-40.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]DALLAS (6 – 6) at NY GIANTS (2 – 10) – 12/10/2017, 1:00 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]BALTIMORE (7 – 5) at PITTSBURGH (10 – 2) – 12/10/2017, 8:30 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 104-74 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    [b]Monday, December 11[/b]

    ——————————————————————————–

    [B]NEW ENGLAND (10 – 2) at MIAMI (5 – 7) – 12/11/2017, 8:30 PM [/B]
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    MIAMI is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    #468672

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    [B][SIZE=”5″]NFL[/SIZE]

    Week 14[/B]

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    [size=”3″][I][B]Trend Report[/B][/I][/size]
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    [b]Thursday, December 7[/b]

    [B]NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA[/B]
    New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta’s last 17 games at home

    [b]Sunday, December 10[/b]

    [B]SAN FRANCISCO @ HOUSTON[/B]
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games
    San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games at home
    Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

    [B]OAKLAND @ KANSAS CITY[/B]
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Oakland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
    Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

    [B]INDIANAPOLIS @ BUFFALO[/B]
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Buffalo’s last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

    [B]MINNESOTA @ CAROLINA[/B]
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    [B]CHICAGO @ CINCINNATI[/B]
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games
    Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games

    [B]GREEN BAY @ CLEVELAND[/B]
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay’s last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland’s last 11 games at home
    Cleveland is 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 games at home

    [B]DETROIT @ TAMPA BAY[/B]
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

    [B]DALLAS @ NY GIANTS[/B]
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas’s last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas’s last 22 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants’s last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants’s last 7 games

    [B]WASHINGTON @ LA CHARGERS[/B]
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington’s last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington’s last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers’s last 7 games
    LA Chargers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

    [B]TENNESSEE @ ARIZONA[/B]
    Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 6 games when playing Arizona
    Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arizona’s last 18 games at home

    [B]NY JETS @ DENVER[/B]
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets’s last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

    [B]SEATTLE @ JACKSONVILLE[/B]
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games
    Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games

    [B]PHILADELPHIA @ LA RAMS[/B]
    Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

    [B]BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH[/B]
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games on the road
    Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    [b]Monday, December 11[/b]

    [B]NEW ENGLAND @ MIAMI[/B]
    New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami’s last 11 games at home

    #468673

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    [B][SIZE=”5″]NFL[/SIZE]
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Week 14[/B]

    [B]Thursday’s game[/B]
    Saints (9-3) @ Falcons (7-5)— New Orleans took over top spot in NFC South with win over Carolina LW; Saints won nine of last 10 games, are 3-2 in true road games, losing to Vikings, Rams. In its last five games, NO has run ball for 176 yds/game, taking heat off of Brees. Atlanta had 3-game win streak snapped by Vikings LW; Falcons are 7-0 when they score 23+ points, 0-5 when they score 17 or less. These rivals split last eight meetings; they meet again in two weeks in Superdome. Saints are 5-3 in last eight visits to Atlanta. Home teams are 4-2 vs spread in NFC South divisional games this season. Three of last four Saint games went over total; under is 7-2 in Atlanta’s last nine games.

    [B]Sunday’s games[/B]
    Lions (6-6) @ Buccaneers (4-8)— Stafford hurt his hand late in loss to Ravens LW; check status. Untested Iowa alum Rudock is his backup. Lions allowed 74 points in losing last two games (turnover ratio of -5); they’re 4-2 on road, losing by 14 in Superdome, 24 in Baltimore. Tampa Bay lost seven of last eight games; they got QB Winston back last week, and are 3-2 at home, losing 19-14 to Patriots, 17-3 to Carolina. Detroit won three of last four series games, winning 27-20/23-20ot in last two visits here, with last visit here in ’11. NFC South non-divisional home teams are 7-10 vs spread; NFC North road teams are 7-6. Last five Detroit games went over total; four of Buccaneers’ five home games stayed under.

    Bears (3-9) @ Bengals (5-7)— Last week, Bears were first team in NFL history to run a punt back for a TD, not allow a TD, win turnover battle and still lose the game. Last two weeks combined, Bears have run 85 plays for 287 yards- not good. Short week for Bengals after blowing 17-0 lead in Monday night loss to hated Steelers. Since 2005, Cincy is 5-9-1 vs spread in game the week following loss to Pittsburgh. Bengals covered their last four games; they’re 3-3 SU at home, 2-3 as home favorites. Chicago lost its last five gamesBengals won four of last six series games; teams split four meetings played here. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 6-6. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Bengal games.

    Colts (3-9) @ Bills (6-6)— Bills QB Taylor hurt his knee LW, would be replaced here by rookie Peterman who threw five picks in one dreadful half vs Chargers in his only NFL start. Buffalo lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-0-1 as home favorites. Indy lost six of its last seven games; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs, with only win 20-14 (+7) in Houston. Colts won seven of last nine series games, but most of that was in Manning era for Colts; Indy lost 30-7/27-14 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-4-1 vs spread; AFC South road underdogs are 4-4-1. Bills are -8 in turnovers their last five games; they were +14 in their first seven. Last four Indy games stayed under the total.

    Seahawks (8-4) @ Jaguars (8-4)— Seahawks won seven of their last nine games; they won last four road games, after losing first two- Seattle is 1-2 as road underdogs. Jacksonville won five of its last six games; they’re 4-2 at home, 2-2 as home favorites, losing to Titans/Rams. Jaguars allowed 23+ points in their four losses; they’re 8-0 when they allow 17 or less. Seahawks scored 22+ points in six of their last seven games. Seattle is 5-2 against the Jaguars; home side won last four series games. Teams split four games played here. NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 4-7 vs spread; AFC South home favorites are 5-4-1. Under is 6-2 in Seattle’s last eight games, 5-1 in Jaguars’ last six.

    Raiders (6-6) @ Chiefs (6-6)— Teams are in 3-way tie with Chargers atop AFC West. Chiefs lost six of last seven games after a 5-0 start; KC is 3-2 as home favorites, winning by 7-9-8 points, losing to Steelers/Bills. Chiefs have only one takeaway (-4) in their last four games. Raiders won three of last four games; they’re 2-3 in true road games, 1-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 17-6-20 points, with wins in Nashville, Miami. Chiefs (-3) lost 31-30 in Oakland in Week 7; Raiders gained 505 yards, threw for 417 as they snapped 5-game series skid. Oakland lost its last four games in Arrowhead, by 17-18-6-8 points. Last three Raider games stayed under total, as did three of last four Chief games. KC is 0-4 in games decided by less than 7 points.

    Vikings (10-2) @ Panthers (8-4)— Minnesota is on road for third week in a row; they won their last eight games, covered last seven. Vikings are 4-1 in true road games, with only loss 26-9 in Pittsburgh. In their last four games, Minnesota is 27-51 (52.9%) on 3rd down, their opponents 12-46 (26.1%). Carolina won four of its last five games; they’re 3-2 at home, losing to Saints, Eagles, winning by 6-3-24 points. Panthers are 8-4 despite a -7 turnover ratio; they have only 11 takeaways. Carolina scored 11 TD’s on its last 30 drives; eight of them were 75+ yard drives. Vikings won three of last four series games; they won 22-10 in Charlotte LY. Four of last six Viking games went over the total, as have last three Carolina games.

    Packers (6-6) @ Browns (0-12)— Winless Cleveland is 3-9 vs spread, 2-3 at home, losing games on Lake Erie by 3-24-3-3-12 points. Browns are -20 in turnovers because in part because Kizer isn’t an NFL-caliber QB; in their last nine games, Cleveland scored 63 points on 21 red zone drives, which is really poor. Green Bay lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-3 on road, 0-1 as road favorite. Packers have been outscored in 2nd half in six of last seven games. Green Bay is 3-1 against the Browns, winning by 23-28-18 points, winning 31-3 in its last visit here, in ’09. All five Cleveland home games stayed under the total; four of last five Packer games went over. Last two weeks, Green Bay opponents converted 17 of 29 third down plays.

    49ers (2-10) @ Texans (4-8)— 49ers won Garoppolo’s first start LW, despite not scoring a TD; they were first team in NFL history to allow punt return for a TD, not score a TD, lose turnover battle and still win the game. Niners won two of last three games; they’re 4-2 vs spread as road underdogs, losing away games by 3-3-3-2-23 points, with win in Chicago. Texans lost five of their last six games; they’re 3-3 at home, 2-2 as home favorites, with wins by 43-16-10 points. In their last three games, Houston lost field position by 13-13-14 yards; they haven’t led at halftime since Watson got hurt. Home side won all three series games; 49ers lost 24-21 in last visits here, in ’09. Despite their win last week, Niners had no TD’s (five FG’s) in five red zone drives.

    Redskins (5-7) @ Chargers (6-6)— Chargers are 6-2 in last eight games, winning last three, by 30-22-9 points- they were +10 in turnovers in those games. Bolts won last three home games after losing first three- they’re 1-2 as home favorites. Redskins lost five of last seven games; they are 2-4 on road, beating Rams/Seattle, losing by 9-10-3-24 points. Washington is 7-3 against the Chargers; five of last six series games were decided by 5 or less points or in OT. Teams split four series games that were played in California. Over is 6-2 in last eight Washington games; six of last seven Charger games stayed under. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 9-3 against the spread; AFC West home favorites are 4-9 vs spread.

    Jets (5-7) @ Broncos (3-9)— Denver is horrible, losing last eight games (0-8 vs spread); their offense was outscored 9-0 by the Miami defense last week. Broncos are 1-4 vs spread as a dog this year- they lost last three home games, by 13-25-3 points. In its last six games, Denver lost field position by 11+ yards five times. Jets lost five of their last seven games; they’re 1-4 on road, with only win by FG in Cleveland. Jets are 3-1 when allowing 20 or less points. 2-6 if they allow more than 20. Denver won four of last five series games; this is Jets’ first visit here since 2011. Four of last six Denver games went over the total, as did three of last four Jet games. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 10-8-1 vs spread, 6-5 on the road.

    Titans (8-4) @ Cardinals (5-7)— Tennessee won six of its last seven games; four of their last five wins were by 4 or less points. Titans are 3-3 on road, 2-2 as road favorites; they’re 7-0 when they score 20+ points, 1-4 if they score less than 20. Arizona was outscored 55-24 in 2nd half of its last three games; they’re at home for 3rd week in row. Cardinals lost three of last four games, are 3-3 at home, 2-2-1 as home underdogs. Arizona leads series 6-4; they won last meeting in OT in Nashville in 2013- this is Titans’ first visit to the desert since ’05. Over is 7-4 in Titans’ last 11 games, 3-0 in Arizona’s last three. Tennessee outscored its last two opponents 28-6 in 2nd half; in their last six games, Titans allowed an average of only 66.5 rushing yards/game.

    Eagles (10-2) @ Rams (9-3)— Eagles have 4-game lead with four weeks left; Rams lead by game in NFC West, and visit Seattle next week. Philly had 9-game win streak snapped LW; Eagles are 4-2 on road, 1-1 as road underdogs. Iggles turned ball over five times in last two games, after turning it over only five times in previous seven games. Last week was first time since Week 1 that Philly ran for less than 100 yards. Rams won six of their last seven games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites. LA won field position battle in last seven games; they’re only 9-36 on 3rd down in last three games. Eagles won last four series games; last meeting was in ’14. Rams’ last win was in ’04. Four of last five Eagle games stayed under, as did three of Rams’ last four games.

    Cowboys (6-6) @ Giants (2-10)— McAdoo is gone, Manning is back at QB for Giants team that is 1-4 at home, with only win 12-9 in OT over the Chiefs. New York is 1-4 as home underdogs this season. In their last three games, Giants are 10-41 on 3rd down. Cowboys had extra prep time after playing on Thursday LW; they’ve lost three of last four games, are 3-2 on road, losing in Denver, Atlanta, both by 20+ points. Cowboys are 5-3 vs spread as favorites this year, 3-1 on road. Dallas (-4) beat the Giants 19-3 at home in season opener; outrushing them 129-35, winning despite scoring only 16 points in four visits to red zone. Cowboys are 6-3 in last nine series games, but lost 27-20/10-7 in last two visits here.

    Ravens (7-5) @ Steelers (10-2)— Shazier/Smith-Schuster are both out for Steelers, after tough win in Cincy Monday night. Steelers won their last seven games; four of their last five wins were by 5 or less points. Pitt is 4-1 at home, 3-2 as home favorites. Ravens won four of last five games, allowing 11.8 ppg; they’re 2-1-1 as road underdogs. Pitt (-3) spanked Ravens 26-9 in Baltimore in Week 4, running ball for 172 yards; Baltimore turned ball over three times (-2), averaged 3.9 ypp. Ravens are +20 in turnovers in their wins, -6 in losses- they have 11 takeaways in their last three games. Baltimore won four of last five series games; they won two of last three visits here, with an OT win, playoff win. Over is 2-0-1 in last three Steeler games, 7-1 in Ravens’ last eight.

    [B]Monday’s game[/B]
    Patriots (10-2) @ Dolphins (5-7)— New England (-16) spanked Miami 35-17 two weeks ago in Foxboro, running ball for 196 yards, outgaining Fish 417-221- it was Patriots’ 5th win in last six series games. NE actually lost three of last four visits to Miami. Patriots won their last eight games, covered their last six; they’re 4-1 as road favorite this year, with only non-cover a 24-17 win at the Jets. Miami snapped a 5-game skid LW; Dolphins are 3-2 at home, losing to Bucs by 10, Raiders by 3- they’re 1-0-1 as home underdogs. Six of last eight Patriot games stayed under; last six Miami games went over. New England ran ball for 196-191 yards last two weeks; they held last three opponents under 5.0 ypa. Pats’ TE Gronkowski is suspended for this game.

    [B]2017 week-by-week results[/B]
    HF HU Totals O/U AFC-NFC
    1) 5-5 3-2 4-11 1-0N
    2) 6-6 2-2 6-9-1 3-2A
    3) 1-4 8-2 10-5 3-0N
    4) 4-7 2-3 8-7-1 2-2
    5) 4-7 1-1 6-8 3-0A
    6) 3-8 3-0 8-6 3-1N
    7) 5-0-2 3-4 7-8 1-1
    8) 5-4 0-4 7-6 3-1N
    9) 5-2-1 0-3-1 5-8 2-0N
    10) 4-3 3-3-1 8-6 5-0N
    11) 4-4 1-5 7-7 2-2
    12) 7-2-1 1-5 8-8 2-2
    13) 1-0 1-0

    T) 54-52-2 27-32-2 85-89-2 26-15N

    #468674

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    [B][SIZE=”5″]NFL[/SIZE]
    Dunkel

    Week 14

    Thursday, December 7[/B]

    [B]New Orleans @ Atlanta[/B]

    Game 101-102
    December 7, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    142.767
    Atlanta
    138.311
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4 1/2
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2
    53 1/2
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+2); Over[/B]

    [B]Sunday, December 10[/B]

    [B]Detroit @ Tampa Bay[/B]

    Game 105-106
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    130.415
    Tampa Bay
    131.446
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    No Line
    N/A
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    N/A

    Chicago @ Cincinnati[/B]

    Game 107-108
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    127.650
    Cincinnati
    136.908
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 9 1/2
    34
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 5 1/2
    37 1/2
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (-5 1/2); Under

    Indianapolis @ Buffalo[/B]

    Game 109-110
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indianapolis
    125.223
    Buffalo
    132.786
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 7 1/2
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    No Line
    N/A
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    N/A

    Seattle @ Jacksonville[/B]

    Game 111-112
    December 10, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    139.476
    Jacksonville
    138.642
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 1
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 3 1/2
    39 1/2
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Oakland @ Kansas City[/B]

    Game 113-114
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    131.558
    Kansas City
    130.226
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 1 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 4 1/2
    47
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Carolina[/B]

    Game 115-116
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    141.224
    Carolina
    136.786
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4 1/2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    42
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-1); Under

    Green Bay @ Cleveland[/B]

    Game 117-118
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Green Bay
    132.655
    Cleveland
    125.519
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Green Bay
    by 7
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 3 1/2
    41
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Green Bay
    (-3 1/2); Under

    San Francisco @ Houston[/B]

    Game 119-120
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Francisco
    130.332
    Houston
    129.498
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Francisco
    by 1
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 3
    43
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    San Francisco
    (+3); Under

    Washington @ LA Chargers[/B]

    Game 121-122
    December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    134.238
    LA Chargers
    137.698
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 3 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 7
    46
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+7); Over

    NY Jets @ Denver[/B]

    Game 123-124
    December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Jets
    123.410
    Denver
    127.227
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 4
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 1
    41
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-1); Under

    Tennessee @ Arizona[/B]

    Game 125-126
    December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tennessee
    136.312
    Arizona
    131.224
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 5
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 3
    44
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    (-3); Under

    Philadelphia @ LA Rams[/B]

    Game 127-128
    December 10, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    137.247
    LA Rams
    140.685
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Rams
    by 3 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Rams
    by 1
    51
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    LA Rams
    (-1); Under

    Dallas @ NY Giants[/B]

    Game 129-130
    December 10, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    134.776
    NY Giants
    127.213
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 7 1/2
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 4
    41
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (-4); Over

    Baltimore @ Pittsburgh[/B]

    Game 131-132
    December 10, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    137.221
    Pittsburgh
    140.309
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 3
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 6
    43 1/2
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Baltimore
    (+6); Over[/B]

    [B]Monday, December 11[/B]

    [B]New England @ Miami[/B]

    Game 133-134
    December 11, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New England
    137.422
    Miami
    129.308
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 8
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 12
    48
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+12); Under[/B]

    #468677

    cnotes
    Member
    • Author

    [B]NFL

    Wednesday, December 6

    CB Marcus Peters has been suspended by the team for one game for trying out for the Olympic flag tossing team and leaving the sidelines and going to the locker room during Week 13’s game @ Jets. He will miss Sunday’s contest vs Raiders.
    Line: Chiefs -4[/B]

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