Cnotes 2017 College Football Picks-Trends-News Etc. !

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  • #453561

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    [B][SIZE=5]NCAAF[/SIZE]
    Dunkel

    Week 11[/B]

    [b]Tuesday, November 7[/b]

    [B]Akron @ Miami of Ohio[/B]

    Game 101-102
    November 7, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Akron
    75.515
    Miami of Ohio
    71.422
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Akron
    by 4
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami of Ohio
    by 7
    51
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Akron
    (+7); Over

    Bowling Green @ Buffalo[/B]

    Game 103-104
    November 7, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Bowling Green
    72.435
    Buffalo
    72.530
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Bowling Green
    Even
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 8 1/2
    59 1/2
    [B]Dunkel Pick:
    Bowling Green
    (+8 1/2); Over[/B]

    [B][SIZE=5]NCAAF[/SIZE]
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Week 11[/B]

    Akron won its last four games with Miami (2-1-1 vs spread), winning 37-28/24-17 in its last two visits here. Zips won four of their last five games, covered five of their six games; their last two wins were both by a point. Akron is 2-2 vs spread as a road underdog this season. Miami lost four of last five games, losing two of last three at home, to Cincy/Bowling Green. RedHawks are 2-6 vs spread this season, 1-4 as a favorite- they lost four of their five home games. Under is 7-1 in Akron games. Home teams are 11-17 vs spread in MAC games this season.

    Bowling Green is 2-7 this season, but they split last four games; Falcons are 1-5 vs spread as an underdog this year, but they did win their last two road games. Buffalo lost its last four games after a 3-2 start; Bulls’ three I-A home games were decided by a total of seven points- they beat FAU 34-31, lost the other two. Buffalo lost its last six games with Bowling Green, but covered last three. Falcons won their last six visits to Buffalo (4-2 vs spread). Last four Falcon games went over the total. MAC home favorites are 8-8 vs spread this season.

    #453562

    cnotes
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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, November 7

    ——————————————————————————–

    AKRON (5 – 4) at MIAMI OHIO (3 – 6) – 11/7/2017, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    AKRON is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    AKRON is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    BOWLING GREEN (2 – 7) at BUFFALO (3 – 6) – 11/7/2017, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOWLING GREEN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
    BOWLING GREEN is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
    BOWLING GREEN is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    BOWLING GREEN is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
    BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    NCAAF

    Week 11

    ————————————————————————————————————————
    Trend Report
    ————————————————————————————————————————

    Tuesday, November 7

    AKRON @ MIAMI-OH
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron’s last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron’s last 6 games on the road
    Miami-OH is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Akron
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-OH’s last 9 games when playing Akron

    BOWLING GREEN @ BUFFALO
    Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
    Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    #453566

    cnotes
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    [B]TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 7
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS[/B]

    BGSU at BUFF 07:30 PM

    [B]BGSU +8.0 *****

    U 60.5 *****[/B]

    AKR at M-OH 07:30 PM

    [B]AKR +7.5 *****

    U 55.0 *****[/B]

    #453640

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Ragland, Young lead Miami (Ohio) past Akron 24-14
    November 7, 2017[/I][/B]

    OXFORD, Ohio (AP) Gus Ragland threw three touchdown passes, Kenny Young had a combined 198 yards rushing and receiving, and Miami (Ohio) kept Akron from becoming bowl eligible with a 24-14 victory on Tuesday night.

    Ragland was 19-of-32 passing for 244 yards and two interceptions. It was the first time the RedHawks (4-6, 2-3 Mid-American Conference) won a game in which Ragland threw an interception. He was 8-0 in games without a pick and 0-5 with a pick.

    Ragland hit Sam Martin for a 19-yard score in the first quarter to tie the game at 7. Young turned a short pass into a 30-yard score, his first-ever TD reception, in the third quarter before James Gardner’s 19-yard reception made it 24-7 entering the fourth.

    Young finished with nine catches for 98 yards, both career highs, and rushed 14 times for 100.

    Nelson Kato opened the scoring with a 7-yard run and found Tra’Von Chapman for a 30-yard TD for the Zips (5-5, 4-2).

    **********************

    [B]Buffalo trio leads Bulls to 38-28 win over Bowling Green
    November 7, 2017[/B]

    BUFFALO, N.Y. (AP) Tyree Jackson and Theo Anderson had career games, and Anthony Johnson went over 1,000 yards receiving to lead Buffalo to a 38-28 win over Bowling Green on Tuesday night.

    Jackson was 23 of 37 passing for a career-high 406 yards and three touchdowns for the Bulls (4-6, 2-4 Mid-American Conference). It marked the first time that two players threw for at least 400 yards in a game in the same season for Buffalo. Drew Anderson, now injured, had 597 yards in a seven-overtime loss to Western Michigan.

    Two of the touchdowns went to Johnson, who had eight receptions for 160 yards, pushing him to 1,048. It’s the sixth 1,000-yard receiving season in Buffalo history, and Johnson is the fourth player to reach that milestone. Johnson had two TD receptions in the first quarter, including a career-best 69-yarder, as Buffalo jumped to a 21-7 lead.

    Anderson carried 22 times for a career-high 133 yards. His 8-yard touchdown capped the scoring with 8:53 to play as Buffalo ended a six-game losing streak against Bowling Green.

    Jarret Dodge threw for 294 yards and two touchdowns to keep the Falcons (2-8, 2-4) in the game.

    #453644

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    [B][I]Wednesday’s MAC Action
    November 7, 2017[/I][/B]

    There are three games on tap in the MAC on Wednesday night. That means college football bettors have six options with sides and totals. Let’s get you ready for the action with in-depth previews of two games and some notes on the other.
    [B]
    **Toledo at Ohio**[/B]

    — In what might be a preview of the MAC Championship Game, Ohio (7-2 straight up, 7-2 against the spread) will play host to Toledo in a battle between division leaders. The Bobcats were in a first-place tie with Akron (pending the Zips’ Tuesday night result at Miami (OH) in the East with identical 4-1 league records. Meanwhile, Toledo holds a one-half game lead over Northern Illinois in the West. The Rockets are 5-0 in conference play, while the Huskies are 4-1.

    — As of Tuesday night, most betting shops had Toledo (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) listed as a four-point road ‘chalk’ with a total of 65. The Bobcats were +155 on the money line (risk $100 to win $155).

    — Toledo took its only loss at Miami by a 52-30 count as a 13.5-point road underdog. However, this was a misleading final, as the Rockets led 16-10 at halftime and trailed by only eight midway through the fourth quarter.

    — Jason Candle’s team is 3-0 both SU and ATS as a road favorite this season. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in five such spots since Candle took over for current Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell going into the 2016 campaign.

    — Toledo has ripped off five consecutive wins since the loss at Miami. The Rockets have covered the number in four straight, winning each of those games by double-digit margins. They’re off last week’s 27-17 win over No. Illinois last Thursday as 7.5-point home favorites. Senior quarterback Logan Woodside completed 23-of-31 passes for 361 yards, while senior RB Terry Swanson rushed for 116 yards and three TDs on 29 carries. Sophomore WR Diontae Jonson had 10 receptions for 166 yards, while sophomore TE Jordan Fisher brought down six catches for 102 yards.

    — Woodside, a first-team All-MAC selection in 2016 when he threw for 4,129 yards with a stellar 45/9 TD-INT, hasn’t missed a beat despite losing his favorite target Cody Thompson to a season-ending injury. Thompson, a senior WR who was also a first-team All-MAC pick in ’16, went down in early October. He had 28 catches for 537 yards and four TDs in the team’s first four games (and change; he was injured early in a 20-15 home win over Eastern Michigan). Woodside has connected on 64.3 percent of his throws for 2,656 yards with a 19/2 TD-INT ratio.

    — Diontae Jonson has a team-best 46 receptions for 859 yards and eight TDs. Jon’Vea Johnson, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, has 24 grabs for 354 yards and three TDs.

    — Toledo is three-deep in the backfield. Swanson gets the bulk of the touches and he’s rushed for 844 yards and 11 TDs, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Shakif Seymour has run for 468 yards and six TDs with a 6.6 YPC average, while Art Thompkins has rushed for 466 yards and one TD with a 5.5 YPC average.

    — Toledo is sixth in the nation in total offense, averaging 519.7 yards per game. The Rockets are ranked 19th in the country in passing offense, 23rd in rushing and 14th in scoring with a 39.0 points-per-game average.

    — Since losing 26-23 to Central Michigan as a 10.5-point home favorite on Oct. 7, Frank Solich’s 13th team at Ohio has won three consecutive games both SU and ATS. Solich’s squad has won those three games by margins of 17 points or more, including last Tuesday’s 45-28 win over Miami (OH.) as a 6.5-point home favorite. The 73 combined points soared above the 54-point total to provide the Bobcats with their third straight ‘over.’ Nathan Rourke completed 21-of-33 passes for 294 yards and three TDs without an interception. Rourke absolutely dominated the game, rushing for 54 yards and three TDs on 10 attempts as well. RB A.J. Ouellette added 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, while senior WR Brendan Cope had five catches for 80 yards and one TD. Papi White contributed five receptions for 80 yards and one TD.

    — Ohio’s only other loss of the year came in Week 2 when it dropped a 44-21 decision at Purdue. The Bobcats hosted Kansas in non-conference play, defeating the Jayhawks 42-20 as 7.5-point home ‘chalk.’

    — Rourke has completed 56.7 percent of his passes for 1,517 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. He has also run for 548 yards and 16 TDs, averaging 6.2 YPC. Ouellette has run for a team-best 832 yards and six TDs with a 5.9 YPC average. Dorian Brown has added 458 rushing yards, four TDs on the ground and a 5.7 YPC average.

    — Cope has been Rouke’s favorite target, making 31 catches for 436 yards and three TDs. Andrew Meyer has 25 receptions for 361 yards and two TDs, while White has 17 grabs for 312 yards and two TDs.

    — During Solich’s tenure, Ohio has compiled an 11-5 spread record in 16 games as a home underdog.

    — Toledo saw its 12-game winning streak over Ohio snapped in a 31-26 loss as a 15-point home favorite in last season’s meeting. Brown was the catalyst for the winners, rushing for 212 yards and one TD on 29 carries. White had three catches for 64 yards and one TD, in addition to five rushing attempts for 54 yards. In the losing effort, Woodside threw for 438 yards and three TDs with one interception. Swanson ran for 58 yards on 10 carries, while J-Johnson had six receptions for 156 yards and two TDs.

    — The ‘over’ is 7-2 overall for the Bobcats, 4-1 in their home outings. They’ve watched their games net combined scores of 66.9 PPG.

    — The ‘over’ is 5-4 overall for the Rockets, 2-2 in their four road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 63.4 PPG.

    — Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

    [B]**Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan**[/B]

    — As of Tuesday night, most spots had Eastern Michigan (3-6 SU, 7-2 ATS) installed as a two-point road favorite. The Chippewas were +105 to win outright.

    — Eastern Michigan brought its brutal six-game losing streak to an end with last week’s 56-14 bludgeoning of Ball St. as a 25-point home favorite. Presuming you’d like me to define a ‘brutal’ six-game losing streak, here goes: EMU lost three of the six games in overtime, including back-to-back OT setbacks before the win over the Cardinals. The six defeats came by 23 combined points and the OT home loss to Ohio was the widest margin (seven; 27-20).

    — EMU started the season 2-0 both SU and ATS with a home win vs. Charlotte (24-7) and a 16-13 triumph at Rutgers. In the victory over Ball State, senior QB Brogan Roback connected on 15-of-21 passes for 263 yards and three TDs without an interception. Ian Eriksen ran 21 times for 114 yards and one TD, while Sergio Bailey contributed two catches for 110 yards and one TD.

    — For the season, Roback has completed 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,347 yards with a 14/8 TD-INT ratio. Bailey is his favorite target, hauling in 46 receptions for 763 yards and six TDs. Meanwhile, Antoine Porter has 38 catches for 464 yards and four TDs, while John Niupalau has 24 grabs for 328 yards and three TDs.

    — Eriksen, EMU’s junior RB, has produced a team-high 535 yards and five TDs with a 4.4 YPC average.

    — Eastern Michigan has lost four of its five games on the road, but it has hooked up its backers with an incredible 5-0 spread record.

    — This is only the second time Eastern Michigan has been a road favorite during Chris Creighton’s four-year tenure. The Eagles took the cash in the lone prior such situation by beating Charlotte 37-19 last year as three-point road ‘chalk.’

    — Central Michigan (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won three of its last four games both SU and ATS since dropping three consecutive games. John Bonamego’s squad won 35-28 at Western Michigan last week as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Chippewas rallied from a 28-14 deficit with less than 10 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. Shane Morris threw both of his TD passes in the final stanza, including a 77-yard scoring strike to Corey Willis with 2:37 left. Jonathan Ward rushed for 130 yards and one TD on 18 carries. Morris threw for 243 yards without a pick and he also had a pair of scoring runs. Willis caught five balls for 148 yards and one TD, while Ward added four receptions for 81 yards.

    — For the season, Morris has completed 55.2 percent of his passes for 2,209 yards with an 18/11 TD-INT ratio. He’s also run for 136 yards and three scores. Ward has run for 590 yards and five TDs with a 5.2 YPC average. Willis, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, has 28 receptions for 441 yards and five TDs. He missed four games with an injury, though. Mark Chapman has a team-best 44 catches for 593 yards and three TDs, while Ward has 38 grabs for 326 yards and one TD.

    — CMU has limped to a 1-2 SU record and a 0-3 ATS mark at home. The Chippewas are 2-3 ATS as home ‘dogs on Bonamego’s watch, failing to cover in their lone such spot this year in a 30-10 loss to Toledo.

    — CMU has won four in a row over EMU until losing 26-21 last year. The Eagles prevailed thanks to Roback’s 24-yard scoring strike to Bailey with 21 ticks remaining.

    — The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for CMU, 3-0 in its home contests. The Chippewas have seen their games produce average combined scores of 53.9 PPG.

    — The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for EMU, 3-2 in its five road assignments. Their games have netted average combined scores of 45.0 PPG.

    — ESPNU will have the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
    [B]
    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**[/B]

    — Western Michigan will host Kent State in a third #MACtion game on Wednesday night. This 7:00 p.m. Eastern kick will be on the CBS Sports College Network. As of Tuesday night, most spots had the Broncos installed as 21.5-point favorites with a total of 46.5. The Golden Flashes haven’t scored more than 17 points against an FBS foes all year long. Their team total was 13 at most books as of Tuesday night.

    — Miami junior DE Demetrious Jackson had season-ending knee surgery on Monday. This is a big loss for the ‘Canes, who are poised to take on Notre Dame in South Florida on Saturday. Jackson had recorded 18 tackles, 3.5 sacks, four TFL’s, one interception with a four-yard return, one QB hurry and two passes broken up.

    — 5Dimes.eu has Alabama listed as a seven-point favorite over Georgia for a potential matchup at the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta during the first weekend of December.

    #453647

    cnotes
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    [B][I]College football notebook: No change at top of CFP rankings
    November 7, 2017[/I][/B]

    The second College Football Playoffs rankings released Tuesday night looked very much like the first one released a week ago, although games this weekend could have impact going forward.

    The top five teams this week, as chosen by the 13-member selection committee, were identical to the top five teams a week ago, with Georgia (9-0) holding the No. 1 spot, followed by No. 2 Alabama (9-0), No. 3 Notre Dame (8-1) and No. 4 Clemson (8-1). Those would be the four teams involved in the College Football Playoff if it were held today.

    But these ranking don’t matter at all at this point. The pairings for the four-team national championship playoff are not determined until the final CFP rankings come out on Dec. 3.

    Holding the fifth spot again this week is Oklahoma (8-1). The newcomer to the top six is TCU (8-1), as Ohio State, which was No. 6 a week ago, slipped all the way to No. 13 following its 55-24 loss to Iowa.

    Unbeaten Miami (8-0) moved up from No. 10 to No. 7 following its victory over Virginia Tech, while unbeaten Wisconsin (9-0) moved up just one spot to No. 8.

    Washington (8-1) comes in at No. 9, and Auburn (7-2), the highest ranked two-loss team, is No. 10.

    Auburn hosts Georgia this Saturday in game that will have an impact on the rankings. The other Saturday game with significant ranking ramifications is Notre Dame’s game at Miami. Notre Dame’s only loss was by one point against Georgia.

    –Two players from Alabama’s 2009 national championship team accepted cash in exchange for signing their names to memorabilia, Sports Illustrated reported.

    Cliff Panezich, who sold signed sports memorabilia, told the magazine that he and associate Adam Bollinger paid Crimson Tide players Marquis Johnson and Terrence Cody $200 and $400, respectively, in December 2009.

    Johnson denied that he was paid for his autograph and told Sports Illustrated that he did not know Panezich. Cody, through his agent, declined comment.

    Other players mentioned in the report include cornerback Rod Woodson and tight end Colin Peek. Defensive back Ali Sharrief and quarterback Greg McElroy were also included in the story, although Panezich said those two declined compensation in order to comply with NCAA rules.

    Panezich pleaded guilty in December 2016 to aggravated theft, identity fraud, telecommunications fraud, money laundering, engaging in a pattern of corrupt activity and three counts of forgery with a forfeiture specification. He was sentenced to six years in prison.

    –Florida Gators wide receiver Kadarius Toney and defensive end Jachai Polite have been ruled out for Saturday’s game at South Carolina, the team announced.

    Toney and Polite are nursing shoulder injuries for the Gators (3-5, 3-4 SEC).

    Toney has recorded 117 rushing yards and 115 receiving this season while Polite has registered 22 tackles and two sacks.

    –Florida State has rescheduled its football game against Louisiana-Monroe for Saturday, Dec. 2 at noon, the university announced..

    The contest was originally scheduled for Sept. 9 but was canceled due to Hurricane Irma.

    #453650

    cnotes
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    [B][I]CFB November’s Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
    11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
    11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
    11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
    11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

    Totals………….35 – 39………47.29%…..-39.50

    Best Bets:*****
    Best Bets :……………………ATS…………TOTALS…. ………….O/U…………….TOTALS

    11/07/2017………………….0 – 2…………-11.00………………1 – 1………………-0.10
    11/04/2017………………..11 – 10……….+0.00……………….5 – 2……………..+14.00
    11/03/2017………………….2 – 1…………+4.50………………0 – 2………………-11.00
    11/02/2017………………….2 – 0…………+10.00…………….1 – 3………………-11.50
    11/01/2017………………….1 – 0…………+5.00………………1 – 0 ……………..+5.00

    Totals………………………..16 – 13……….+8.50………………8 – 8……………….-3.60[/I][/B]

    #453652

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Wednesday’s six-pack[/I][/B]

    Odds to win the college football national title

    — Alabama 2-3

    — Georgia 5-1

    — Clemson 7-1

    — Notre Dame 10-1

    — Ohio State 12-1

    — Wisconsin 16-1

    ************************
    [B][I]
    Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings……[/I][/B]

    13) UCLA plays Georgia Tech in basketball Friday night in China. Tuesday, three freshman on UCLA’s team were busted for shoplifting from a Louis Vuitton store in Shanghai.

    Was reading some stuff on the Interweb about this; the Chinese system is different from ours- these three nitwits could get 3-10 years in prison for shoplifting. There is no guarantee they’ll be back in the United States anytime soon- the Chinese justice system is slower, they don’t offer bail the way we do.

    Donald Trump is going to be in China later this week; now there are worlds colliding, Trump and LaVar Ball in China at the same time, with Ball’s son in dire need of some legal aid.

    Put that on your reality show.

    12) The Andrew Luck situation in Indianapolis is becoming a huge mess, as Colts owner Jim Irsay is apparently questioning Luck in private conversations, saying Luck’s injury is “in his head.” Terrific.

    Luck first hurt his shoulder in 2015; now he won’t play until next summer, at the earliest.

    11) Suns traded Eric Bledsoe to Milwaukee, for Greg Monroe and protected 2018 1st/2nd-round picks. Monroe’s contract is up after this season, so that becomes valuable salary cap space.

    10) Detroit Lions didn’t punt in Monday night’s win in Green Bay, the first time Detroit didn’t punt in a game since……..1971.

    9) Interesting bit of knowledge from Aaron Rodgers Monday night; he says if you get a broken bone x-rayed a lot to check on progress of healing, the radiation actually slows down the bone’s healing, so Green Bay doctors will not be doing that with Rodgers’ clavicle this time around.

    8) Green Bay lost RT Bryan Bulaga with a torn ACL in Monday’s loss, as their season crumbles even further……..if I coached the Packers, we’d go no-huddle with Brett Hundley. He looked a lot more comfortable playing at a faster pace.

    7) Omri Casspi has played in 507 career NBA games, scoring 8.2 ppg thanks largely to a 36.8% mark from 3-point range; this is his 9th season, but he has never been on a team that made the playoffs. That changes soon; Casspi is on the Warriors this season.

    6) Houston Texans signed QB Josh Johnson to be their #3 QB, and waived Matt McGloin.

    5) Former Mets’ pitching coach Dan Warthen has moved on to the same job with the Texas Rangers.

    4) Anaheim Ducks captain Ryan Getzlaf broke his cheekbone, will be out for a couple of months. He got hit in the face with a puck and broke his cheekbone- it hurts me just to type that.

    3) Alabama had one basketball player declared ineligible this week; another one had his knee scoped. Going to take some time in November to get a handle on who is and isn’t eligible, with all the off-court nonsense going on.

    One of the non-basketball people scheduled to be indicted in SneakerGate won’t be indicted this week, meaning he could be cooperating with authorities, which means more heads could roll, and more players could be declared ineligible.

    2) Charlotte’s Malik Monk is 19 years old; he scored 8.8 ppg in 21.3 mpg in his first 10 NBA games. Tuesday night in New York, he scored 21 points in 27 minutes in the Hornets’ highly entertaining 118-113 loss to the Knicks. Monk looks like he will be an elite scorer.

    1) RIP to the great big league pitcher Roy Halladay 40, who passed away Tuesday in a plane crash in the Gulf of Mexico. Halladay will likely get elected to the Hall of Fame in 2019. He was 203-105, 3.38 in 16 big league seasons, with the Blue Jays/Phillies.

    Halladay and Don Larsen threw the only two postseason no-hitters.

    #453661

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    #453784

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    Wednesday, November 8

    ——————————————————————————–

    KENT ST (2 – 7) at W MICHIGAN (5 – 4) – 11/8/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W MICHIGAN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    TOLEDO (8 – 1) at OHIO U (7 – 2) – 11/8/2017, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO U is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    OHIO U is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    OHIO U is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
    TOLEDO is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    TOLEDO is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TOLEDO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OHIO U is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    E MICHIGAN (3 – 6) at C MICHIGAN (5 – 4) – 11/8/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E MICHIGAN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ——————————————————————————–

    Wednesday, November 8

    KENT STATE @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
    Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State’s last 7 games
    Western Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Western Michigan is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

    TOLEDO @ OHIO
    Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Toledo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ohio
    Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

    EASTERN MICHIGAN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
    Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Eastern Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Central Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan’s last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Michigan

    —————————————-

    NCAAF
    Armadillo’s Write-Up

    Week 11

    Wednesday’s games
    Western Michigan lost two of three games since its epic 71-68 OT win over Buffalo; four of their last six games went over total. Western ran ball for 315 yards in 35-28 home loss to Central Mich LW- they’re 1-3 as a home favorite this year. Kent State lost five of last six games; they allowed 563 yards in last two games, are 2-3 as road dogs. Favorites covered eight of last nine Kent-WMU games; Flashes lost three of last four visits to Kalamazoo, with all three losses by 23+ points- Kent covered last three series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven Kent games.

    Ohio (+16) upset Toledo 31-26 LY, in teams’ first meeting since 2010; total yardage was 560-512. Rockets won last three visits to Athens, by 7-9-7 points. Toledo won its last five games, covering last four; they’re 3-1 on road, with all three wins by 13+ points- they lost 52-30 at unbeaten Miami, FL. Ohio won three in row, six of last seven games; they’re 4-1 at home, with a 26-23 loss to Central Michigan. Four of Bobcats’ last five games went over the total. MAC home underdogs are 3-9 vs spread this season.

    Eastern Michigan snapped a 6-game skid LW with 56-14 win over Ball St; all is of those losses were by 7 or less points. Eagles are 1-4 on road, with win 16-13 at Rutgers. Central Michigan won three of its last four games- they scored 91 points in winning last two games. CMU won six of last eight games with Eastern Michigan, winning three of last four here, winning by 7-32-48 points. EMU outgained Central 538-383 in LY’s win. Over is 3-1 in last four EMU games, 2-5 in last seven Chippewa games.

    ————————————-

    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 11

    Wednesday, November 8

    Kent State @ Western Michigan

    Game 105-106
    November 8, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kent State
    56.414
    Western Michigan
    83.600
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 27
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 21
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Michigan
    (-21); Over

    Toledo @ Ohio

    Game 107-108
    November 8, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toledo
    91.467
    Ohio
    83.599
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toledo
    by 8
    66
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toledo
    by 3 1/2
    64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toledo
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan

    Game 109-110
    November 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Eastern Michigan
    82.535
    Central Michigan
    82.120
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Michigan
    Even
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Eastern Michigan
    by 2
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Central Michigan
    (+2); Over

    #453785

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Wednesday’s MAC Action
    November 7, 2017[/I][/B]

    There are three games on tap in the MAC on Wednesday night. That means college football bettors have six options with sides and totals. Let’s get you ready for the action with in-depth previews of two games and some notes on the other.

    [B]**Toledo at Ohio**[/B]

    — In what might be a preview of the MAC Championship Game, Ohio (7-2 straight up, 7-2 against the spread) will play host to Toledo in a battle between division leaders. The Bobcats were in a first-place tie with Akron (pending the Zips’ Tuesday night result at Miami (OH) in the East with identical 4-1 league records. Meanwhile, Toledo holds a one-half game lead over Northern Illinois in the West. The Rockets are 5-0 in conference play, while the Huskies are 4-1.

    — As of Tuesday night, most betting shops had Toledo (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) listed as a four-point road ‘chalk’ with a total of 65. The Bobcats were +155 on the money line (risk $100 to win $155).

    — Toledo took its only loss at Miami by a 52-30 count as a 13.5-point road underdog. However, this was a misleading final, as the Rockets led 16-10 at halftime and trailed by only eight midway through the fourth quarter.

    — Jason Candle’s team is 3-0 both SU and ATS as a road favorite this season. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in five such spots since Candle took over for current Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell going into the 2016 campaign.

    — Toledo has ripped off five consecutive wins since the loss at Miami. The Rockets have covered the number in four straight, winning each of those games by double-digit margins. They’re off last week’s 27-17 win over No. Illinois last Thursday as 7.5-point home favorites. Senior quarterback Logan Woodside completed 23-of-31 passes for 361 yards, while senior RB Terry Swanson rushed for 116 yards and three TDs on 29 carries. Sophomore WR Diontae Jonson had 10 receptions for 166 yards, while sophomore TE Jordan Fisher brought down six catches for 102 yards.

    — Woodside, a first-team All-MAC selection in 2016 when he threw for 4,129 yards with a stellar 45/9 TD-INT, hasn’t missed a beat despite losing his favorite target Cody Thompson to a season-ending injury. Thompson, a senior WR who was also a first-team All-MAC pick in ’16, went down in early October. He had 28 catches for 537 yards and four TDs in the team’s first four games (and change; he was injured early in a 20-15 home win over Eastern Michigan). Woodside has connected on 64.3 percent of his throws for 2,656 yards with a 19/2 TD-INT ratio.

    — Diontae Jonson has a team-best 46 receptions for 859 yards and eight TDs. Jon’Vea Johnson, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, has 24 grabs for 354 yards and three TDs.

    — Toledo is three-deep in the backfield. Swanson gets the bulk of the touches and he’s rushed for 844 yards and 11 TDs, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Shakif Seymour has run for 468 yards and six TDs with a 6.6 YPC average, while Art Thompkins has rushed for 466 yards and one TD with a 5.5 YPC average.

    — Toledo is sixth in the nation in total offense, averaging 519.7 yards per game. The Rockets are ranked 19th in the country in passing offense, 23rd in rushing and 14th in scoring with a 39.0 points-per-game average.

    — Since losing 26-23 to Central Michigan as a 10.5-point home favorite on Oct. 7, Frank Solich’s 13th team at Ohio has won three consecutive games both SU and ATS. Solich’s squad has won those three games by margins of 17 points or more, including last Tuesday’s 45-28 win over Miami (OH.) as a 6.5-point home favorite. The 73 combined points soared above the 54-point total to provide the Bobcats with their third straight ‘over.’ Nathan Rourke completed 21-of-33 passes for 294 yards and three TDs without an interception. Rourke absolutely dominated the game, rushing for 54 yards and three TDs on 10 attempts as well. RB A.J. Ouellette added 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, while senior WR Brendan Cope had five catches for 80 yards and one TD. Papi White contributed five receptions for 80 yards and one TD.

    — Ohio’s only other loss of the year came in Week 2 when it dropped a 44-21 decision at Purdue. The Bobcats hosted Kansas in non-conference play, defeating the Jayhawks 42-20 as 7.5-point home ‘chalk.’

    — Rourke has completed 56.7 percent of his passes for 1,517 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. He has also run for 548 yards and 16 TDs, averaging 6.2 YPC. Ouellette has run for a team-best 832 yards and six TDs with a 5.9 YPC average. Dorian Brown has added 458 rushing yards, four TDs on the ground and a 5.7 YPC average.

    — Cope has been Rouke’s favorite target, making 31 catches for 436 yards and three TDs. Andrew Meyer has 25 receptions for 361 yards and two TDs, while White has 17 grabs for 312 yards and two TDs.

    — During Solich’s tenure, Ohio has compiled an 11-5 spread record in 16 games as a home underdog.

    — Toledo saw its 12-game winning streak over Ohio snapped in a 31-26 loss as a 15-point home favorite in last season’s meeting. Brown was the catalyst for the winners, rushing for 212 yards and one TD on 29 carries. White had three catches for 64 yards and one TD, in addition to five rushing attempts for 54 yards. In the losing effort, Woodside threw for 438 yards and three TDs with one interception. Swanson ran for 58 yards on 10 carries, while J-Johnson had six receptions for 156 yards and two TDs.

    — The ‘over’ is 7-2 overall for the Bobcats, 4-1 in their home outings. They’ve watched their games net combined scores of 66.9 PPG.

    — The ‘over’ is 5-4 overall for the Rockets, 2-2 in their four road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 63.4 PPG.

    — Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

    [B]**Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan**[/B]

    — As of Tuesday night, most spots had Eastern Michigan (3-6 SU, 7-2 ATS) installed as a two-point road favorite. The Chippewas were +105 to win outright.

    — Eastern Michigan brought its brutal six-game losing streak to an end with last week’s 56-14 bludgeoning of Ball St. as a 25-point home favorite. Presuming you’d like me to define a ‘brutal’ six-game losing streak, here goes: EMU lost three of the six games in overtime, including back-to-back OT setbacks before the win over the Cardinals. The six defeats came by 23 combined points and the OT home loss to Ohio was the widest margin (seven; 27-20).

    — EMU started the season 2-0 both SU and ATS with a home win vs. Charlotte (24-7) and a 16-13 triumph at Rutgers. In the victory over Ball State, senior QB Brogan Roback connected on 15-of-21 passes for 263 yards and three TDs without an interception. Ian Eriksen ran 21 times for 114 yards and one TD, while Sergio Bailey contributed two catches for 110 yards and one TD.

    — For the season, Roback has completed 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,347 yards with a 14/8 TD-INT ratio. Bailey is his favorite target, hauling in 46 receptions for 763 yards and six TDs. Meanwhile, Antoine Porter has 38 catches for 464 yards and four TDs, while John Niupalau has 24 grabs for 328 yards and three TDs.

    — Eriksen, EMU’s junior RB, has produced a team-high 535 yards and five TDs with a 4.4 YPC average.

    — Eastern Michigan has lost four of its five games on the road, but it has hooked up its backers with an incredible 5-0 spread record.

    — This is only the second time Eastern Michigan has been a road favorite during Chris Creighton’s four-year tenure. The Eagles took the cash in the lone prior such situation by beating Charlotte 37-19 last year as three-point road ‘chalk.’

    — Central Michigan (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) has won three of its last four games both SU and ATS since dropping three consecutive games. John Bonamego’s squad won 35-28 at Western Michigan last week as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Chippewas rallied from a 28-14 deficit with less than 10 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. Shane Morris threw both of his TD passes in the final stanza, including a 77-yard scoring strike to Corey Willis with 2:37 left. Jonathan Ward rushed for 130 yards and one TD on 18 carries. Morris threw for 243 yards without a pick and he also had a pair of scoring runs. Willis caught five balls for 148 yards and one TD, while Ward added four receptions for 81 yards.

    — For the season, Morris has completed 55.2 percent of his passes for 2,209 yards with an 18/11 TD-INT ratio. He’s also run for 136 yards and three scores. Ward has run for 590 yards and five TDs with a 5.2 YPC average. Willis, a second-team All-MAC selection last season, has 28 receptions for 441 yards and five TDs. He missed four games with an injury, though. Mark Chapman has a team-best 44 catches for 593 yards and three TDs, while Ward has 38 grabs for 326 yards and one TD.

    — CMU has limped to a 1-2 SU record and a 0-3 ATS mark at home. The Chippewas are 2-3 ATS as home ‘dogs on Bonamego’s watch, failing to cover in their lone such spot this year in a 30-10 loss to Toledo.

    — CMU has won four in a row over EMU until losing 26-21 last year. The Eagles prevailed thanks to Roback’s 24-yard scoring strike to Bailey with 21 ticks remaining.

    — The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for CMU, 3-0 in its home contests. The Chippewas have seen their games produce average combined scores of 53.9 PPG.

    — The ‘under’ is 6-3 overall for EMU, 3-2 in its five road assignments. Their games have netted average combined scores of 45.0 PPG.

    — ESPNU will have the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

    [B]**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**[/B]

    — Western Michigan will host Kent State in a third #MACtion game on Wednesday night. This 7:00 p.m. Eastern kick will be on the CBS Sports College Network. As of Tuesday night, most spots had the Broncos installed as 21.5-point favorites with a total of 46.5. The Golden Flashes haven’t scored more than 17 points against an FBS foes all year long. Their team total was 13 at most books as of Tuesday night.

    — Miami junior DE Demetrious Jackson had season-ending knee surgery on Monday. This is a big loss for the ‘Canes, who are poised to take on Notre Dame in South Florida on Saturday. Jackson had recorded 18 tackles, 3.5 sacks, four TFL’s, one interception with a four-yard return, one QB hurry and two passes broken up.

    — 5Dimes.eu has Alabama listed as a seven-point favorite over Georgia for a potential matchup at the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta during the first weekend of December.

    #453786

    cnotes
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    [B]WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 8
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS[/B]

    TOL at OHIO 07:00 PM
    OHIO +3.5
    O 64.5 *****

    KENT at WMU 07:00 PM
    KENT +21.5 *****
    U 48.5 *****

    EMU at CMU 08:00 PM
    EMU -2.0
    U 48.0 *****

    #453946

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Western Michigan crushes Kent, 48-20
    November 8, 2017[/I][/B]

    KALAMAZOO, Mich. (AP) Darius Phillips had one of Western Michigan’s three defensive touchdowns to extend his FBC record, and Jarvion Franklin ran for 191 yards and a touchdown in the Broncos’ 48-20 victory over Kent State on Wednesday night.

    Phillips made it 31-14 late in the first half with a 43-yard interception return, his FBC-record 12th touchdown on runbacks. He has scored on five kickoff returns, five interceptions, a punt return and a fumble return. Allen Rossum (Notre Dame, 1994-97) and Adoree’ Jackson (USC, 2014-16) are second with nine each.

    Phillips had a 100-yard kickoff return called back in the first quarter.

    Four rushers combined for 292 yards for Western Michigan (6-4, 4-2 Mid-American Conference), which is bowl eligible for a fourth straight season.

    WMU went on a 12-play, 92-yard scoring drive to open the game. On Kent State’s first possession, Robert Spillane returned an interception 35 yards for a 14-point lead. Kent State punted on its next possession, but Erik Simpson forced a fumble and recovered it, and the Golden Flashes got on the board with Justin Rankin’s 21-yard touchdown run on a reverse.

    Franklin gave Western Michigan a 21-14 lead on a career-long, 72-yard run up the middle. He had 149 yards rushing in the first quarter.

    Rankin rushed for 67 yards and two touchdowns on 14 carries for Kent State (2-8, 1-5). He took a direct snap and stretched out at the goal line for a 3-yard touchdown to tie it at 14.

    ****************************

    [B][I]Ohio runs all over Toledo, 38-10
    November 8, 2017[/I][/B]

    ATHENS, Ohio (AP) Dorian Brown had 142 yards rushing and two touchdowns, Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke added 115 yards on the ground and a score, and the Bobcats handed Toledo its first conference loss, 38-10 on Wednesday night.

    On the first possession of the second half, Ohio went 73 yards and Rourke ran it in from the 8 for a 17-7 lead. Brown made it 24-7 on a 62-yard, untouched touchdown run and the Bobcats’ third straight scoring drive was capped by Brendan Cope’s 12-yard grab in the middle of the end zone.

    Rourke was 7-of-15 passing for 139 yards and one touchdown and one interception for Ohio (8-2, 5-1, Mid-American Conference), which rushed for 393 yards.

    In the first half, A.J. Ouellette gave Ohio a 7-0 lead late on a 6-yard run. Javon Hagan returned a fumble 34 yards and Ohio’s Louie Zervos kicked a 44-yard field goal for a 10-7 lead with 11 seconds left before halftime.

    Logan Woodside completed 24 of 35 passes for 263 yards and a touchdown for Toledo (8-2, 5-1), which lost for the first time since a 52-30 defeat at then-No. 14 Miami on Sept. 23. Four plays after Toledo’s Toled Ja’Wuan Woodley recovered a fumble, Diontae Johnson caught a 34-yard touchdown pass to tie it at 7.

    *****************************

    [B][I]Central Michigan has 5 interceptions, tops EMU 42-30
    November 8, 2017[/I][/B]

    MOUNT PLEASANT, Mich. (AP) Shane Morris threw three touchdown passes in the first half, Sean Bunting had two of Central Michigan’s five interceptions, and the Chippewas held off Eastern Michigan 42-30 on Wednesday night.

    Central Michigan was ahead 28-10 late in the second quarter, but the Chippewas’ only first down of the second half came with 6:27 remaining in the game.

    EMU scored on back-to-back drives in the fourth to pull to 35-30. The Eagles punted on their next two possessions, but got the ball back at their 26 with 1:03 left. Two plays later, Amari Coleman sealed it with his eighth career interception, returning it for a 32-yard TD.

    Jonathan Ward rushed for 159 yards and two touchdowns, including a career-long 79-yarder, for Central Michigan (6-4, 4-2 Mid-American Conference), which is bowl eligible for the 10th time in 12 years. Morris was 9-of-12 passing for 141 yards before halftime and finished with 155 yards on 11 completions.

    Tyler Conklin made a 4-yard catch to set a CMU record for tight ends with 11 TDs, topping David Blackburn (2008-11). Corey Willis had back-to-back touchdown catches, of 12 and 4 yards, to make it 28-10. Willis has six touchdowns this season – all in the last three games.

    Brogan Roback was 23 of 39 for 204 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions for Eastern Michigan (3-7, 1-5).

    Roback’s second fourth-quarter touchdown pass set the program record with 54 passing TDs, topping former Pittsburgh Steeler Charlie Batch. Roback found Mathew Sexton over the middle from 18 yards out to pull to 35-30 and set the mark with 7:24 remaining.

    #453947

    cnotes
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    [B][I]Inside the Stats – Week 11
    November 8, 2017[/I][/B]

    Stats don’t lie. People who interpret them do.

    Let’s take a look at how teams are performing this season ‘Inside The Stats’.

    [B]LOOKING INSIDE THE STATS[/B]

    Here are the teams who won phony games ‘inside-out’ ITS (In The Stats) but were out-gained by 100 or more yards in their last game.

    This week includes:

    College Football: Florida State, Kansas State

    NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers, Washington Redskins

    [B]PUTTIN’ ON THE STATS PLAY LIST[/B]

    Listed below are the qualifying teams to date with their respective ITS win-loss records that have either won or lost all – or all but one – of their games in the stats. Play accordingly as long as these teams remain on this list from now thru the end of the season.

    Play On ITS teams: Alabama 8-1, Central Florida 8-0, Georgia 9-0, LSU 8-1, Michigan 8-1, Michigan State 8-1, Oklahoma 9-0, Oklahoma State 8-1, South Florida 9-0, Toledo 8-1, Washington 8-1, Washington State 9-1 and Wisconsin 9-0.

    Play Against ITS teams: Connecticut 0-8-1, East Carolina 1-7-1, Kent State 1-8, Kentucky 1-8, Rutgers 1-8, and UTEP 1-8.

    [B]WHAT HAVE YOU DONE FOR ME LATELY[/B]

    From this week’s MIDWEEK ALERT it’s apparent that certain teams are in current form that is diametrically opposite to that of their overall season-to-date team stats.

    The net differential of their overall team stats, with a net difference of 100 YPG or more since Game Five, as opposed to the overall season-to-date team stats, are contained below. You would be wise to observe these opposite-form comparison teams.

    Positive Game Five Out Net Stats: Arkansas State +100, Temple +128

    Negative Game Five Out Net Stats: Clemson -116, Duke -140, Georgia Tech -145, Kansas State -115, Maryland -100, Navy -101, Oregon -104, Rutgers -103
    [B]
    LEAKING OIL[/B]

    Each week on the football card each we isolate favorites that have been out-gained in each of their last three games.

    We call them ‘leaking oil’ favorites for reasons that are self-explanatory. Here are this week’s Pennzoil favorites and their current ITS losing skein record.

    College Football: Duke 0-5, Kansas State 0-6, Navy 0-4, Texas A&M 0-4, Tulane 0-4

    NFL: New York Giants 0-5, New York Jets 0-3

    [B]SEASON-HIGH; SEASON-LOW[/B]

    One of the gauges of how a team can be expected to perform on the field is how they go toe-to-toe with other teams throughout the course of a season.

    When a team holds another to season-low yardage it’s an indicator that their defense is legit. Conversely, when they allow foes season-high yards their defense is waning and trouble is generally looming.

    With that thought in mind, below is a list of teams that have held four or more FBS opponents to either season-low marks, or season-high yards this campaign, along with the amount of times they have accomplished the feat this season to date:

    Season-lows: Alabama 5, Boston College 4, Clemson 5, Michigan 6, Michigan State 5, Ohio State 5, TCU 6, Texas 4, Virginia Tech 4, Washington 5, Washington State 5.

    Season-highs: Bowling Green 4, Tulsa 4, UL Lafayette 4, UL Monroe 5.

    Keep in mind that season-lows are season-lows, and season-highs are season-highs. It doesn’t matter against whom they were recorded.

    [B]STAT OF THE WEEK[/B]

    The success of the Jacksonville Jaguars this season can be largely attributed to its top ranked rush offense. The real strength of the team, though, is a defense that has surrendered season-low yards in five games, including sub 200-yard efforts on three occasions, more than any other team in the league.

    #453948

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    [B][I]Thursday’s six-pack[/I][/B]

    NFL trends with Week 10 approaching:

    — Minnesota is 1-6 vs spread in last seven post-bye games.

    — Cleveland is 4-14 vs spread in its last 18 games.

    — 49ers are 2-16 vs spread in last 18 non-divisional games.

    — Colts are 12-3 vs spread in last 15 games as a home dog.

    — Saints covered eight of their last eleven games.

    — Arizona is 5-14 vs spread in its last 19 games.

    ***********************

    [B][I]Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……[/I][/B]

    13) Funny/not funny story of the day:

    A Qatar Airways pilot was forced to make an emergency landing after a passenger found out her husband was cheating on her, leading to a violent reaction in midair; the woman reportedly used her sleeping husband’s finger to unlock his phone and discovered his cheating ways.

    Officials say she started fighting with her husband, and also fought with crew members who tried to calm her down.

    The flight was forced to land in India on the way to Bali; the woman and her family members were escorted off the plane there.

    Morals of this story:
    a) Don’t cheat on your spouse.
    b) Don’t leave your cellphone within reach of your spouse, especially if you’re cheating.

    12) Here is a breakdown of where major league ballplayers come from; players used here are from 2017 Opening Day rosters:
    4-year colleges: 43.8%
    International: 26.5%
    High school: 23.9%
    2-year colleges: 5.8%

    11) Coming into this year, in five NBA seasons, Detroit’s Andre Drummond was 683-1,793 (38.1%) on the foul line— really bad.

    So far this year, Drummond is 30-47 (63.8%) on the charity stripe. I applaud his hard work in the offseason to strengthen his game, but after I added this, he went 0-7 on the line Wednesday against the Pacers, so it is an ongoing struggle.

    10) Sounds like Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl is on the way out; one of his assistants (Chuck Person) just got fired because of SneakerGate, and Pearl isn’t cooperating with the school’s internal investigation. That not good.

    9) I’m wondering how much Dak Prescott’s success in the NFL helps Mississippi State when they recruit young quarterbacks?

    8) DeShaun Watson’s injury figures to help the Cleveland Browns, since they have the Texans’ first-round draft pick in April. Now all Cleveland needs is someone in charge who has a clue on how to draft productive players.

    7) Vikings activated QB Teddy Bridgewater and put Sam Bradford on IR; both those guys’ contracts are up after the season, so Minnesota has some decisions to make, especially since they’re 6-2 and Case Keenum has been playing well for them.

    6) Our country does a census every ten years; so, you know, everyone knows how many people live here. Apparently the 2020 census will cost $15.6B, which seems a little excessive, but that is just me.

    5) Royals manager Ned Yost, 63, broke his pelvis recently when he fell while trying to fix a tree stand on his property in Georgia.

    4) Joe Buck has a good interview show called Undeniable, on the Audience Network (channel 500 on DirecTV); he has had an interesting cross-section of guests, but why in God’s name would he have Robert M Knight on as a guest? Knight is a bully, a creep; he was a really good coach at one time, but that time has passed. Now he adds nothing but negative energy.

    3) Minnesota’s Taj Gibson is the first NBA player EVER to wear number 67; turns out he went to PS 67 in Brooklyn. Used to be in high school, no digits above 5 could be on a uniform, to make it easier for refs to signal fouls to the scorer’s table.

    2) How many college basketball coaches spent time at Wednesday preaching to their teams about how they represent their families, their friends, their school whenever they go on a road trip?

    Three UCLA kids are stuck in China now after they got caught shoplifting from a Louis Vuitton store. There is no “easy out” for athletes there— this is a foreign country that isn’t real fond of America- they have their own laws, and they’re tougher laws than we have here.

    1) Never thought I’d spend an hour in the middle of the night reading up on Chinese law, but that was me at 3am Tuesday night, trying to learn more about the situation the UCLA kids are in. I’m pretty sure Bill Walton is on the mike for UCLA-Georgia Tech game Friday night from China; he is pretty much unfiltered all the time, and he is obviously a UCLA alum, so this broadcast could be interesting, to say the least.

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bangthebook radio november 20 2017

BangTheBook Sports Betting Podcast November 20, 20...

Hate Week is here and that means we’ll be talking a lot of college football this week on BangTheBook Radio ...
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vikings lions nfl picks

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions 11/23/17 Bettin...

For the second straight year, the Minnesota Vikings draw the short (week) straw and will take on the Detroit Lions ...
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nfl week 12 opening line report

NFL Opening Line Report Week 12

Week 12 of the NFL season is definitely a different kind of handicap. Three Thursday games means a short week ...
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opening line report college football week 13

College Football Opening Line Report Week 13

Week 13 is here and we have a whole menu of betting options once again. This week is the most ...
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Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk Preview, Prediction and Betting Tips - Champions League

Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk Preview, Prediction and...

Match-up : Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk Date : 21/11/2017 Time : 15:45 EDT (20:45 GMT) Spread : Shakhtar Donetsk +1.25 ...
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