[B][I]CFL Betting Recap – Week 16
October 10, 2017[/I][/B]
[B]League Betting Notes
— Underdogs went 3-1 SU in Week 16
— Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 16
— Road teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 16
— Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 16
— The ‘Over/under’ went 2-2 in Week 16
For the second consecutive weekend road teams dominated, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS over the span. In Week 16, it was a clean sweep, as the road teams went 4-0 SU/ATS, with two of the four games decided by 17 or more points.
Perhaps the most surprising result on the board was the win by Hamilton (4-10) over the previously red hot Winnipeg (10-4). The Tiger-Cats opened the season 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS, but they have rattled off victories in four of the past six outings while going 4-2 ATS. The exacted revenge on the Blue Bombers for a 39-12 setback on Aug. 12 at Tim Horton’s Stadium, and even at six games below .500 the Ti-Cats are smack dab in the middle of the playoff chase in the awful East Division. Crazy.
Edmonton (8-6) finally slapped the brakes on their freefall, snapping a six-game losing streak against doormat Montreal (3-12), 42-24. The Eskimos opened the season 7-0 SU. but they had lost six in a row dating back to Aug. 10. The win and cover also snapped a 1-5 ATS skid for the Esks.
Team Betting Notes[/B]
— Ottawa (6-9-1) picked up an important win, besting the rested BC Lions (6-8) in Vancouver. Despite the bye week, the Lions were unable to snap their three-game 0-3 SU/ATS skid. They have also dropped six of the past seven outings while going 1-6 ATS after a 4-1 SU start.
— The 17-loss for the Blue Bombers against the Ti-Cats was shocking, as they entered 3-0 SU/ATS over the past three outings, while going 8-1 over their past nine outings. The 13 points were their fewest since Week 2 when they managed just 10 against Calgary (12-1-1). The Bombers will look to bounce back againstthe Lions. Winnipeg lost a 45-42 shootout in Vancouver back on July 21.
— Toronto (7-8) continue to be a difficult team to figure. They looked like they had it going in the right direction with a 3-0 SU/ATS mark over their three games entering Week 16, but they fell at home to Saskatchewan (8-6) by a 27-24 count. The ‘under’ result for the Argos also snapped a three-game ‘over’ run.
— The Roughriders have won consecutive games for just the second time this season, and defense has been a big reason for their turnaround lately. They have allowed just 18.8 PPG over the past four outings, all ‘under’ results. Their offense is doing barely enough during the span, posting just 18.0 PPG over the past three contests.
[B][I]CFL Betting Notes – Week 17
October 10, 2017[/I][/B]
Road underdogs were the big winners this past weekend in the CFL. Hamilton got things started on Friday night with a stunning 30-13 victory against Winnipeg as a 12-point road underdog. Saturday’s action got underway with Saskatchewan pulling off a 27-24 road victory against Toronto as a slight one-point underdog and the day ended with Ottawa getting past British Columbia 30-25 as a four-point underdog on the road.
Canada celebrated its Thanksgiving holiday on Monday with Edmonton rolling over Montreal 42-24 as a 7 ½-point road favorite to snap its recent straight-up six-game losing streak.
[B][B]Friday, Oct. 13
Calgary Stampeders (12-1-1 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS)
The Stampeders are coming off a well-deserved bye week. They ran their current SU winning streak to 10 games after dismantling Montreal 59-11 in Week 15 as heavy 17-point favorites at home. They have gone a highly profitable 8-1-1 against the spread during this run with the total staying UNDER five of the last seven contests. Calgary is averaging 33.1 points per game while holding opponents to just 17.3 PPG.
Hamilton’s stunning upset against Winnipeg was led by Jeramiah Masoli throwing the ball and Brandon Banks catching it. Masoli completed an impressive 81.8 percent of his 33 passing attempts for 338 yards and two touchdowns. Banks came down with six receptions for 104 yards and a score. The Tiger-Cats ended the game with 484 yards of total offense.
— Calgary won the first meeting this season 60-1 as a 13-point home favorite to extend its winning streak ATS to four games. The total went OVER 55 points after staying UNDER in the previous nine meetings.
[B]Ottawa RedBlacks (6-9-1 SU, 11-5 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS)
Ottawa’s win last week combined with Toronto’s loss has the RedBlacks in the thick of the East Division title race. They have now covered in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in seven of those contests. Ottawa got a huge effort from Trevor Harris in Saturday’s victory with 380 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. He is now third in the CFL in passing yards (4,104) and second in touchdown throws (26).
The Roughriders helped their postseason chances with a pair of road wins against Ottawa and Toronto in their last two games. They beat the RedBlacks 18-17 two weeks ago as 2 ½-point road favorites. In the win against the Argonauts, Brandon Bridge took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in place of Kevin Glenn and completed 20-of-28 attempts for 292 yards and two scores.
— With the previous victory against Ottawa in Week 15, the Roughriders are 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings. Ottawa still holds the slight 4-3 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in five of the seven games.
[B]Saturday, Oct. 14
British Columbia Lions (6-8 SU, 5-8-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-4 SU, 10-4 ATS)
BC is last in the West Division at 6-8, but still very much alive for a crossover spot in the playoffs given current the records in the East Division standings. The Lions have not played with any kind of consistency since early Augusts with just one SU victory in their last seven games while going a costly 1-5-1 ATS. Jonathon Jennings did turn in one of his more productive outings last week with 375 yards passing and three touchdown throws.
Last week’s loss to Hamilton could have come at a steep cost with quarterback Matt Nichols leaving that game with an injury to his throwing hand. His status for this Saturday remains up in the air. Backup Dominique Davis connected on nine of his 14 passing attempts for 84 yards in relief. Nichols is fourth in the CFL in passing and he leads the league in touchdown passes with 27.
— BC won the first meeting this season 45-42 as a four-point home favorite. The home team has won four of the last six meetings SU, but the Blue Bombers have covered ATS in the last six games in this West Division tilt. The total has gone OVER in the last five games.
[B]Toronto Argonauts (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (8-6 SU, 5-9 ATS)
Toronto’s recent three-game winning streak both SU and ATS came to an end with the loss to Saskatchewan last week, but veteran quarterback Ricky Ray continued to put up some big numbers with 341 yards passing and two scoring strikes in the losing effort. James Wilder led an effective running game with 72 yards rushing on 13 carries as part of the top two playmakers for an Argonauts’ offense that is averaging 25.7 points per game.
The Eskimos may have resurrected their season with Monday’s win and they actually remain in position to still lock up the No. 2 seed in the West if they can finish the year on a strong note and get some help closing the gap with Winnipeg. Mike Reilly continues to lead the CFL in passing yards with 4,546 and he added 286 yards to that total against Montreal. He left the game in the fourth quarter will a lower body injury, but remains listed as probable for Saturday.
— Toronto took the series opener 34-26 on Sept. 26 as a four-point home underdog, but Edmonton still has a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has gone OVER in the last four meetings.
— Cleveland is 3-12 vs spread in its last fifteen games.
— Chiefs covered 10 of their last 11 games.
— Denver is 6-1 vs spread in game after its last seven byes.
— Falcons are 10-20 vs spread in last 30 games as a favorite.
— Arizona is 3-13 vs spread in its last 16 games.
— Houston is 8-1 in last nine games as a non-divisional home favorite.
Friday’s List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend……[/I][/B]
Things I’m looking for this weekend……
13) 49ers are playing on road for third week in row; since 1997, underdogs are 23-34-1 vs spread if they’re on road for the 3rd week in a row.
12) LSU is honoring the 2007 national champs Saturday night, which means Les Miles will be in the house. Maybe if they ask him really nice, he’ll come back and coach the Bayou Bengals, who already have a 37-7 loss at Miss State and a home loss to Troy this season.
11) Dolphins are 2-2, despite scoring three offensive TD’s in four games; their OL coach being fired for alleged drug use, and their having played one home game so far. Miami visits Atlanta this week, a Falcon team coming off a bye— Falcons are 6-2 after their last eight byes.
10) TCU is the last unbeaten team in the Big X; Kansas State covered 9 of its last 11 tries as a home underdog, but they’re coming off an OT loss to Texas.
9) Giants lost 3 of their top 4 WR’s to injury last week, then suspended one of their best DB’s for four weeks after a sideline confrontation with the coach LW. Giants are a double digit underdog in Denver this week; an 0-6 start would have people calling for more heads to roll.
8) Coming off of wins over USC/Oregon, Washington State has a trap game in Berkeley, where the Golden Bears are 8-16 vs spread in last 24 games as a home underdog.
7) Chiefs are rolling at 5-0, but they lost twice to Pittsburgh LY. Roethlisberger is coming off one of the worst games of his career (5 INT’s vs Jaguars). Can Steelers bounce back here?
6) Last three Oklahoma-Texas games were all decided by 7 or less points, with Longhorns 4-0 vs spread in last four series games. Texas State Fair is the backdrop for this historic rivalry, with Sooners coming off a loss to Iowa State. when they were favored by 31 points.
5) It is Week 6 and Bills-Patriots-Jets are all tied atop AFC East, at 3-2. Buffalo has the week off, so winning of Patriot-Jet game is atop AFC East by himself. Jets won their last three games, but can their offense put up points against a struggling New England defense?
4) San Diego State is 6-0 and Boise State is in the rare situation of being a road underdog in a Mountain West game. Broncos are 37-18 vs spread in last 55 road games, but they were favored in vast majority of those games. Aztecs are 29-13-1 vs spread in their last 43 conference games.
3) Cleveland Browns passed on Deshaun Watson not once, but twice in LY’s draft; you think he remembers (undoubtedly, he does)? Texans scored 124 points in their last three games. Browns were held to 18 or less points in four of their five games.
2) Florida State is 1-6 for the first time since 1976, when I was a senior in HS and Bobby Bowden was in his first year as the Seminoles’ coach. FSU lost to Miami last week for the first time in eight years— can they win here and get their season jumpstarted?
1) Minnesota is 14-5 vs spread in its last 19 home games they beat Packers in Green Bay’s first visits to the Vikings’ new dome LY. Packers are playing their third dome game in six weeks to start the season; they’re 8-3 vs spread in their last 11 games.
[B]CALGARY (12 – 1 – 1) at HAMILTON (4 – 10) – 10/13/2017, 7:00 PM [/B]
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
[B]OTTAWA (6 – 9 – 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (8 – 6) – 10/13/2017, 10:00 PM [/B]
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
[b]Saturday, October 14[/b]
[B]BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 – 8) at WINNIPEG (10 – 4) – 10/14/2017, 4:00 PM [/B]
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
[B]TORONTO (7 – 8) at EDMONTON (8 – 6) – 10/14/2017, 7:00 PM [/B]
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
[B]Calgary (12-1-1) @ Hamilton (4-10)[/B]— Calgary (-13) waxed the Ti-Cats 60-1 back on July 29, but now June Jones coaches Hamilton- they’re 4-2 in last six games after an 0-8 start, with both losses by 8 points. Hamilton is 4-0 vs spread as a double digit underdog this year- five of their last six games stayed under. Stampeders won their last ten games (9-1 vs spread); they’re 4-3 vs spread as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Calgary won 10 games in a row vs Hamilton, winning last four visits here, by 11-24-10-3 points.
[B]Ottawa (6-9-1) @ Saskatchewan (8-6)[/B]— Roughriders won six of last eight games, are 3-0 as a home favorite this year- favorites covered five of their six home games. Riders (-3) won 18-17 in Ottawa two weeks ago, outscoring RedBlacks 11-0 in 4th quarter. Saskatchewan won last three series games; underdogs covered 3 of last 4 series games. Over is 5-2 in this series. Ottawa is 2-3 in its last five games; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs this year. Five of last six RedBlack games stayed under the total. This is fourth road game in last five weeks for Ottawa.
[B]BCLions (6-8) @ Winnipeg (10-4)[/B]— Blue Bombers covered last six series games, last five of which were decided by 3 or less points. Last five series games went over total. Lions lost last two visits here, 23-15/37-35; they beat Winnipeg 45-42 (-4) in first meeting 45-42 this year, but BC lost six of last seven games overall, losing last four home games by 11-33-7-14 points. Bombers are 8-2 in last ten games, but lost as a 12-point home favorite to Hamilton LW. Winnipeg is 4-2 as a home favorite this season.
[B]Toronto (7-8) @ Edmonton (8-6)[/B]— Argonauts (+4) upset Edmonton 34-26 at home three weeks ago; last time they swept season series from Eskimos was 2006. Over is 11-2 in last 13 series games. Toronto lost last three visits to Edmonton, by 14-23-24 points. Argos won three of last four games; they’re 2-5 on road, 1-4 as a road underdog, with losses by 8-12-12-16-7 points. Edmonton snapped 6-game skid with win over woeful Montreal LW; Eskimos lost their last three home games; they’re 1-5 as home favorites. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Eskimos games, 3-1 in last four Argonaut games.
[B]CALGARY vs. HAMILTON[/B]
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Hamilton’s last 24 games at home
[B]OTTAWA vs. SASKATCHEWAN[/B]
Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa’s last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan’s last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
[b]Saturday, October 14[/b]
[B]BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG[/B]
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Winnipeg’s last 22 games
[B]TORONTO vs. EDMONTON[/B]
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
Edmonton is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton’s last 10 games when playing Toronto
[B][I]STAMPEDERS SQUEAK ONE OUT IN WIN OVER TICATS[/I][/B]
HAMILTON — It hardly resembled the dominance of their 59-point win back in July but the Calgary Stampeders scrapped out a 28-25 win over the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a defensive battle at Tim Hortons Field Friday night.
A 17-yard Rene Paredes field goal – set up by a pass interference penalty on Hamilton – with zeros on the clock helped lift Calgary to a victory that was tough-sledding throughout.
With the win, Calgary is one step closer to hosting their second consecutive Western Final – the win Friday combined with a Winnipeg loss Saturday will clinch the West Division.
As for the Tiger-Cats, despite the loss, Hamilton still has an outside chance of making the playoffs in the East but will have to do so by leapfrogging Ottawa as there will be a crossover from the West Division.
The last time these clubs met, the Stampeders scored early and often in a lopsided 60-1 tally. They would once again race to an early lead in this one with special teams coming up with a big play to set the tone out of the gate.
Following Hamilton’s first possession, newcomer K/P Kenny Allen set up to punt but had his boot clocked by RB Terry Williams. The loose ball was scooped up at the two yard line by FB William Langlais who tumbled into the endzone for the score. The Sherbrooke product’s major, combined with a single point on the previous drive gave the Stamps an early 8-0 lead.
The ever-precise Calgary offence sputtered a bit in the first quarter as they tried to stretch the field with three different deep routes falling just short.
The defence did their part when the second quarter began when CB Ciante Evans picked off a Masoli pass and took it down to the Hamilton 39-yard line but the Stamps were forced to come away with a Rene Paredes field goal from 38 yards out.
With the Hamilton defence hanging in tough, their offence started to find their rhythm after getting great field position from KR Willie Quinn. Masoli connected with receivers Jalen Saunders, Luke Tasker and Shamawd Chambers to help set up a 1-yard touchdown run by RB Alex Green. The drive lasted just over six minutes and cut into the Stampeders lead which was now at 11-6 after a missed two-point convert.
With momentum on their side and the defence giving Mitchell problems, Masoli’s next possession was set up inside the Calgary 25-yard line – aided by a 22-yard Rob Maver punt and 25 yards in Stampeder penalties. The Ticats quarterback promptly found Tasker on a crossing route for a 21-yard gain before punching it himself from a yard out to give the Ticats a 12-11 lead.
Held silent for the majority of the first half, Mitchell looked to answer with halftime looming. First, he found WR Marken Michel over the middle on a pair of plays to get the Stamps deep inside Hamilton territory but once again settled for a Paredes field goal.
Halftime would arrive with Calgary clutching a 14-12 lead.
When the third quarter began, the Ticats seemed poised to build momentum after DB Don Unamba returned a Marquay McDaniel fumble down to the Calgary 12-yard line but the Ticats turned the ball right back – on downs – when Masoli lined up in shotgun on third-and-one and threw an errant pass to Tasker in the flat.
The result of the turnover however, was field position on the Calgary side of half once they got the ball back and a completion to WR Brandon Banks helped set up an Allen field goal from 26 yards out to give Hamilton 15-14 lead.
Banks was coming off a pair of 100-yard games as he turns the corner on what was a slow first half of the season.
The only success the Stamps offence seemed to have heading into the fourth was over the top and when Mitchell needed it most, he went to his veteran in McDaniel. The former all-star made a pair of receptions in traffic over the middle to set up a 36-yard Paredes boot to restore the Stampeders two-point lead 17-15.
The field goals kept on coming, as the Ticats drove down the field to put up another one from 27 yards out to retake the one-point advantage.
The Stamps scrimmaged from their own 35 and once again, Mitchell leaned on McDaniel for a 35-yard gain on a crosser. That reception helped open up the ground game which had been relatively silent for most of the evening as Williams took a speed sweep 20 yards into Hamilton territory.
Those two big plays helped the Stampeders finally break the ice because with 4:36 remaining, the Stampeders posted their first major. Flushed out of the pocket, Mitchell rolled right and heaved a ball to the front of the endzone where Kemar Jorden out-jumped his defender and came down with a highlight-reel touchdown.
Jorden’s touchdown – and ensuing two-point conversion – not only gave Calgary a 25-18 lead but highlighted his return to the lineup after being out of the lineup since July.
The Ticats looked to send the game to OT and on the strength of a 14-yard gain from Green, got into Stamps territory. Masoli then threw a strike to Saunders to put the ‘Cats at the Calgary 4-yard line but a pitch to was fumbled and recovered by Green at the Stamps 12. But a pass interference call put the Cats at the one and they tied the game with a major with 38 seconds left.
With 11 seconds left, Mitchell heaved the ball in desperation down the field and WR Anthony Parker drew a PI call of his own to set up the Paredes boot.
Next week the Stampeders return home to host the rival Saskatchewan Roughriders while the Ticats try to keep their playoff hopes alive against the Montreal Alouettes at Percival Molson Stadium.
[B][I]REDBLACKS STORM BACK TO PUNCH POST-SEASON TICKET[/I][/B]
REGINA — The Ottawa REDBLACKS completed an exciting comeback to clinch a home playoff berth on Friday night, defeating the Saskatchewan Roughriders on the final play of the game for a 33-32 victory at Mosaic Stadium. A one-yard QB sneak touchdown from Ryan Lindley sealed the comeback victory, and with the win Ottawa has now jumped ahead of the Toronto Argonauts to claim first place in the East Division.
The Riders’ passing game was on fire all game long in this one, and Duron Carter set a career high in receiving yards to help Saskatchewan maintain the lead for most of the night. Carter was quite simply unrecoverable, reeling in 11 of 14 targets for an incredible 231 yards. Kevin Glenn threw the ball effectively all game long, finishing with 387 passing yards and two touchdown passes.
Ottawa’s late comeback bid began after a Greg Ellingson touchdown catch brought the score within a single touchdown, and Trevor Harris‘ 262 passing yards and two scores led the way to the crucial Week 17 victory.
The Roughriders struck first and took an early three-point lead thanks to an explosive 52-yard punt return from Christion Jones in the opening minutes. The big return set up a 33-yard field goal from kicker Tyler Crapigna a couple plays later.
Trevor Harris’ first big throw of the game came on a back shoulder pass to receiver Juron Criner for 28 yards, setting Ottawa’s offence up near the Riders’ 30-yard line. The REDBLACKS tied the game up as a result, with kicker Brett Maher knocking through a 38-yard field goal with just under five minutes left in the opening quarter.
Riders quarterback Kevin Glenn moved the ball with efficiency early on through the air, completing nine of his first 10 throws. The veteran passer connected with receiver Caleb Holley for a 16-yard pickup before the end of the quarter, bringing the the Riders’ offence down to Ottawa’s 14-yard line.
Ottawa’s defence stepped up on the next play, however, and linebacker Taylor Reed brought pressure with the blitz to sack Glenn for a loss of eight yards. The Riders were forced to settle for a 21-yard Crapigna field goal to take the 6-3 lead.
The REDBLACKS’ offence gambled on the following drive when they went for it on third down with a Ryan Lindley QB sneak. But Ottawa’s offensive line lost the battle at the line of scrimmage, and the Riders stopped Lindley to force the turnover on downs. The gamble cost Ottawa three points, as the Riders turned the solid field position into a 34-yard field goal to take the 9-3 lead.
Diontae Spencer reeled in a big over-the-shoulder grab for 32-yards on Ottawa’s next drive, securing the ball near the sidelines for his 60th reception of the season. But the REDBLACKS turned the ball over on the next play when Riders linebacker Henoc Muamba picked off a Harris pass for his second interception of the season.
An apparent miscommunication occurred for the Riders’ offence when they attempted to capitalize on the turnover, and Glenn’s throw into the end zone sailed directly into the hands of Ottawa defensive back Jonathan Rose.
The Riders were able to bounce back and break through on offence near the end of the first half, as Glenn threw a deep 38-yard pass to star receiver Duron Carter. Glenn found running back Kienan LaFrance on the next play for the six-yard touchdown strike, helping the Riders take the 16-3 lead. Glenn finished the first half with 177 passing yards and the touchdown.
Harris and the REDBLACKS’ offence came storming down the field after getting the ball back, and their biggest play of the half came when Harris found receiver Dominique Rhymes for 36 yards. Rhymes fought his way up the field for 27 yards after the catch, and the play set up a crucial 12-yard touchdown pass to Spencer on the very next play.
The touchdown catch was Spencer’s sixth of the season, cutting the Riders’ lead down to six points with under a minute left in the first half.
Both team’s rushing attacks were held in check in the first half, with Ottawa gaining 32 yards on the ground and Saskatchewan gaining 31.
Glenn and the Riders picked up right where they left off after the half, as the quarterback found Carter deep down the field once again for a 50-yard strike. The reception put Carter over 100 yards receiving on the night, and moved the ball into scoring territory. The Riders expanded their lead to two scores as a result, with Crapigna kicking his fourth field goal of the game to make it 19-10.
Ottawa responded with a scoring drive of their own, and a combination of Harris passes and rushes from running back William Powell led to a 48-yard field goal from Maher, bringing the REDBLACKS within a touchdown score.
The REDBLACKS continued to establish major momentum on the following drive when Ottawa defensive back Antoine Pruneau made a phenomenal play to pick off a Glenn pass, taking it all the way to the end zone for the 46-yard touchdown. The score was Pruneau’s fourth interception of the season and his first career CFL touchdown, giving Ottawa their first lead of the game at 20-19.
The Riders struck back with Crapigna’s fifth field goal of the game, putting Saskatchewan back on top 22-20. Newly added running back Trent Richardson gained tough yards up the middle for the Riders on the drive, contributing a 15-yard rush to set up the 35-yard field goal.
Carter’s big receiving night continued on Saskatchewan’s next possession when Glenn found his receiver for a 45-yard gain. Carter split two defenders and stretched out for the diving catch. Richardson converted a third down attempt on the ground after taking the direct snap a few plays later, and Glenn capped off the drive with an 11-yard touchdown pass to Holley, putting the Riders up 29-20.
The Riders’ defence quickly got the ball back for their offence, and another big return from Christion Jones helped maintain momentum for Saskatchewan. The Glenn-Carter connection continued to thrive after that for Saskatchewan, and the quarterback connected his with main weapon for another 37 yards on the drive. The drive led to Crapigna’s sixth field goal of the game, giving the Riders the 32-20 lead.
Ottawa rallied back with a touchdown drive near the end of the fourth quarter, and receiver Greg Ellingson made his biggest play on a quiet night with an 11-yard touchdown catch to help bring the score to 32-27 with just over two minutes remaining.
The REDBLACKS got the ball back after stopping Glenn from moving the chains, and Harris the Ottawa offence all the way down the field. The REDBLACKS completed the comeback with a one-yard Lindley rushing touchdown, sealing the 33-32 victory.
The Roughriders will head to Calgary next Friday for Week 18 action against the Stampeders, while the REDBLACKS will have a week off before they host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Oct. 27.
[B][I]CFL Betting Recap – Week 17
October 16, 2017[/I][/B]
[B]League Betting Notes [/B]
— Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 17
— Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 17
— Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 17
— Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 17
— The ‘Over’ went 3-1 in Week 17
Road teams continue to dominate in the Canadian Football League, posting a 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS mark over the past three weekends. After a clean sweep last week it was a split down the middle. Surprisingly, Calgary (13-1-1) had its hands full with Hamilton (4-11), a team which has been rather pesky lately. The Stampeders were able to pull out the 28-25 win at Tim Horton’s Stadium, but it took a game-winning field goal at the end of regulation to win it. Hamilton actually held an 18-17 lead with 7:39 to play.
Ottawa (7-9-1) supplanted Toronto (7-9) at the top of the East Division standings by winning their game in Saskatchewan (8-7), 33-32 in the highest-scoring game on the board. The RedBlacks have won back-to-back games, and they have covered three in a row heading into their regular-season finale on Oct. 27 against the Ti-Cats. They’ll have two weeks to prepare. The two sides have split the previous two meetings season, with both teams winning on each other’s home field.
After a six-week freefall, Edmonton (9-6) has finally pulled the rip cord. They buried Montreal (10-4) last week, now they toppled the Argos by a 30-27 count. While the Esks are playing better over the past two games, averaging 36.0 PPG, they’re still just 1-3 ATS over the past four outings, and 2-6 ATS over the past eight.
[B]Team Betting Notes[/B]
— BC Lions (6-9) has had a tale of two seasons, that’s for sure. They started out 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS through five games, and they were a respectable 5-2 SU as recently as Aug. 5. However, the Lions have dropped seven of the past eight outings while going 1-7 ATS during the span, falling into the basement of the ultra-competitive West Division.
— The Stamps haven’t covered back-to-back games since a 6-0 ATS run from July 22-Sept. 4. They failed to cover as 9 1/2-point favorites on the road against the Ti-Cats after covering last week against the Alouettes. They’ll be looking to bounce back Friday against the Roughriders, a team they just edged 15-9 on Sept. 24 in Regina. They’re 2-0/1-0-1 ATS in the two previous meetings this season with the ‘under’ cashing in both.
— The Riders had an ‘over’ result in their narrow loss to the RedBlacks, snapping a four-game ‘under’ streak. Their 33 points allowed were the second most they have given up in the past 13 games, and third-most points allowed this season. Their 32-point output on offense was the most since a 38-point effort bak on Sept. 3.
— The Ti-Cats might not be winning many games again, but they’re certainly much more competitive. They have alternated wins and losses over the past six outings, but they’re an impressive 5-2 ATS over the past seven games after starting out a dismal 2-6 ATS over their first eight showings.
— The Argos dropped a 30-27 decision in Edmonton, but it was another cover and ‘over’ result. The under hit in eight of their first 11 games, but the over has hit in four of their past five. Toronto is also an impressive 4-1 ATS over the past five outings after going 3-8 ATS across their first 11 contests.
[B][I]CFL Betting Notes – Week 18
October 17, 2017[/I][/B]
Last weekend in the CFL, the favorites once again took it on the chin against the spread starting with Calgary’s close call in a tight 28-25 road victory against Hamilton as a heavy 9 ½-point favorite. In last Friday’s other action, Ottawa beat Saskatchewan outright as a 3 ½-point road underdog in a wild 33-32 victory.
Saturday’s doubleheader started with Winnipeg covering by the thinnest of margins in a 26-20 victory as a 5 ½-point home favorite against British Columbia. Edmonton closed things out by upending Toronto 30-27, but it could not cover as a seven-point favorite at home.
Friday, Oct. 20
Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-1-1 SU, 9-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Saskatchewan is still in the driver seat for a spot in the postseason despite its last-second loss to Ottawa, but its margin for error to actually clinch one is a bit tighter heading into a tough road game this week. Kevin Glenn looked sharp in that game with 387 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 74.4 percent of his 39 attempts, but he was also picked off twice. Duron Carter hauled in 11 receptions for 231 yards in a losing cause.
The Stampeders kept their SU winning streak alive, but getting that 11th-straight victory was much harder than expected. This was just the second time in their last seven games that they failed to cover the spread in what has been another dominating performance in the regular season. Bo Levi Mitchell is one of the top quarterbacks in the CFL, but he struggled against the Tiger-Cats his last time out with completion percentage of just 55.9 on his 34 passing attempts.
— Calgary extended its current SU winning streak to eight games in this division clash with a hard-fought 15-9 victory as a 5 ½-point road favorite on Sept. 24. The Stampeders have covered in the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER in all five games.
[B]Saturday, Oct. 21
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-4 SU, 11-4 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1
The Blue Bombers are holding down the second seed in the West Division heading into their final three games and they remain one of the most prolific scoring teams in the league with an average of 31.7 points per game. That average has dropped significantly over the last two games with a combined 39 points. One injury note, wide receiver Darvin Adams left last week’s game with an arm injury and he will be out indefinitely.
Toronto is still sporting a losing record and coming off back-to-back losses to Saskatchewan at home and Edmonton on the road, but its overall record is still good enough to clinch a playoff spot in the East. The Argonauts can still win the division with a win and an Ottawa loss. While its defense has been suspect all season long with a points-allowed average of 25.9, quarterback Ricky Ray has led Toronto’s offense to a scoring average of 25.8 points.
— Winnipeg has won the last three meetings both SU and ATS including a 33-25 victory earlier this season as a three-point home favorite. The total has gone OVER in all three games.
[B]Edmonton Eskimos (9-6 SU, 5-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (6-9 SU, 5-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -2.5
Edmonton’s roller coaster ride is headed back up the hill with back-to-back victories against Montreal on the road and Toronto at home. This followed a SU six-game losing streak which followed seven wins in a row to start the season. It all adds up to a spot in the playoffs, but the Eskimos’ record ATS is still a costly 3-7 over their last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight outings.
The Lions desperately need a win on Saturday to keep their fading postseason plans intact. This could be a tall task considering that they have only posted one game in the win column both SU and ATS in their last eight contests. The average margin of victory in BC’s last four games has been 6.5 points, but it has been on the losing end each time.
— Edmonton won both meetings earlier this season SU and ATS to extend its SU edge to 5-1 in the last six matchups. The Eskimos are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings with the total staying UNDER in three of those games.
Sunday, Oct. 22
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-11 SU, 7-8 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-12 SU, 4-11 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2.5
Give credit to the Tiger-Cats for putting forth a solid effort down the stretch. After losing their first eight games of the season SU, they have gone 4-3 SU over their last seven games. While it is still a case of too little, too late this team is still in position to play the role of spoiler with a road game against Ottawa sandwiched in between this home-and home series against Montreal to close out the year.
The Alouettes have been riding out the string for quite some time now and coming off last week’s bye they are still in the midst of an eight-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Early in the year defense was a strong suit for Montreal, but this unit has been torched for at least 29 points in all eight of those recent losses. On the year, it is allowing an average of 31.3 points per game.
— This will be the first meeting this season and coming into this East Division tilt the road team has won four of the last five meetings SU while going a perfect 5-0 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings.