Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights Game Day

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Forums College Football Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights Game Day

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  • #204940

    coleryan
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    Arguably the biggest college football rivalry game of the season takes place this weekend when the Navy Midshipmen take on the Army Black Knights.

    It is the sharing of information from the entire forum community that makes this the best sports betting forum on the internet!
    This thread will be updated daily with information on the game to include important news, injuries, and all essential information to picking a winner leading up to kickoff. Feel free to add anything about this game from news, opinion or picks, all comments and questions are welcomed!

    Good Luck this week!

    Cole (cool)

    #204941

    coleryan
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    Navy -15, Total: 60

    #204942

    coleryan
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    The Navy Midshipmen take the field with the Army Black Knights in their annual season ending battle.

    The Navy Midshipmen were supposed to be in better shape heading in to their battle with Army but early season struggles capped off by wins in four of five have the team sitting at 6-5. The Middies offense looked great in a 42-40 victory over South Alabama but defense was awful versus a team not known for a lot of scoring. The Jaguars totaled 415 yards with some balance while throwing a pair of picks while Navy posted 430 yards with 388 coming on the ground. Keenan Reynolds completed 1-4 for 42 yards but blasted the USA defense for 119 yards on ten carries and three touchdowns. Noah Copeland followed with another 112 yards on 17 touches with a pair of scores while Chris Swain ripped of a 32 yard scoring run.

    The Army Black Knights had hoped a change in head coach would be enough to at least become Bowl eligible but too often the team was forced to play from behind and even a productive rushing attack wasn’t enough to win consistently. The Black Knights have won two of three after outscoring Fordham 42-31 with the Rams totaling 470 yards with 352 yards coming through the air while 382 yards of the Black Knights 430 yards coming on the ground. Angel Santiago completed 2-4 for 48 yards in a token passing attack with workhorse Larry Dixon rushing the ball 22 times for 158 yards and three trips to the end zone while AJ Schurr and Terry Baggett combining for 122 yards with Bagget scoring. The Black Knights also recovered a blocked punt.

    The Midshipmen are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while going are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Navy are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game and are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Black Knights are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and are 15-3 ATS in their last 51 games following a S.U. win. Army are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games while going 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

    #204943

    coleryan
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    This year’s Navy football team took its cue from co-captains Noah Copeland and Parrish Gaines, both of whom are the epitome of lead-by-example. Throughout their careers, Copeland and Gaines have kept their heads down, noses to the grindstone and never complained. Copeland has overcome losing his starting fullback job and an injury-riddled junior season to have the best statistical campaign of his career. Gaines made the transition from cornerback to safety in the middle of last season for the good of the team and did not miss a beat in terms of performance.

    It means something when the captains are two of a team’s best players and hardest workers. However, both Copeland and Gaines also have a great sense of humor. Copeland is famous for jumping on teammates’ beds and mussing their hair at 7:30 on Sunday morning. Nobody has a broader smile or more infectious laugh than Gaines. Starting outside linebacker Jordan Drakes cracks up teammates by doing spot-on impressions of head coach Ken Niumatalolo and defensive coordinator Buddy Green. Backup cornerback Myer Krah rivals Copeland and Drake for the title of team clown. That combination of strong work ethic and sometimes light-hearted attitude created a team chemistry that was crucial to Navy overcoming a 2-4 start to become bowl eligible by winning four of its last five games.

    #204944

    coleryan
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    When looking to see what sets this Army team apart from the squads of the recent past, just turn to first-year coach Jeff Monken. The Black Knights have taken on Monken’s hard-nosed persona.

    Army is a tougher team than they’ve been in the past. The proof is in its finish. Few expected Army to win another game after it was manhandled by Air Force 23-6 on Nov. 1. Army has wilted down the stretch, winning just one of 12 games played in November and December the past three years. Not this Army team. Monken and Army have a chance to finish the season 3-1 in its last four games after Air Force with a win over Navy.

    It’s started with veteran players embracing reduced roles. Senior running backs Terry Baggett and Raymond Maples are perfect examples of the new Army team. Baggett’s carries have dropped from 141 to 50 this season. Maples, a fifth-year senior and two-time 1,000-yard rusher, has only 40 rushes in 2014. Baggett, a 1,000-yard rusher in 2013, and Maples have bought in and not complained once. It pushes the two to work harder on their blocking and become better teammates.

    #204945

    coleryan
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    Navy -15, Total: 57

    Navy owns the recent rivalry with Army, winning the last 12 meetings SU, going 8-4 ATS.

    The 6-5 Midshipmen, headed to a bowl game, will try to extend that streak to a lucky 13 in a row when they battle the 4-7 Black Knights in the final game of the college football regular season on Saturday in Baltimore.

    Since a 2-4 start Navy has won four of its last five games, and covered three of its last four spreads. Last time out the Middies spotted South Alabama an early 17-7 advantage, then went on a 35-10 run, leading to a 42-40 victory. Army, meanwhile, after a 2-6 start, has won and covered two of its last three games, after racking up almost 400 yards on the ground while beating Fordham two weeks ago 42-31.

    Supporters of the Army Black Knights have seen them go 4-7 and 4-7 ATS so far this season, while the Navy Midshipmen are at 6-5 and 5-6 ATS. In totals betting, the Midshipmen are 4-6, while the Black Knights are 7-3-1.

    – How Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Stats Matchup

    The game also pits Navy’s No. 33-ranked offense, averaging 34.55 PPG, against a Army defense that ranks No. 109 this week at 34.36 PPG. The Navy aerial game is averaging 87.64 yards per game, less than the Army Black Knights secondary allows through the air, 252 YPG per game.

    Defensively, the Army Black Knights feature the league’s No. 104-rated road run defense, allowing 224.8 yards per game. Navy, meanwhile, ranks No. 3 in rushing offense at home.

    – Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Betting Odds Trends

    Army is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Army is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Army’s last 6 games
    Army is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Navy
    Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Navy is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Army
    Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy’s last 5 games when playing Army

    #204946

    coleryan
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    Army and Navy match up against one another for the 115th time Saturday in Maryland (3 p.m. ET, CBS). As the only FBS college football game scheduled this week, all eyes will be on a rivalry that has been largely one-sided recently. Navy has won the last 12 meetings. At the time of publication, Navy was listed as -700 money-line favorites by several Las Vegas betting shops, implying an 87.5 percent chance of winning the game outright. Army is offered at +500. After 10,000 simulations, AccuScore gives Navy a 71 percent chance of winning. Based on AccuScore data, Navy would be at about -250 on the money-line.

    Both AccuScore and Vegas have Navy as overwhelming favorites. The payout, though, clearly isn’t very favorable, and it’s hard to recommend laying -700.

    While Army has just 29 percent chance to win the game, a gambler can’t be faulted for taking a shot on the +500 money-line odds.

    The average simulated score is Navy 34, Army 24, and there’s a 58.5 percent chance Army covers as a 15-point underdogs.

    Both sides average the same number of turnovers in simulations.

    The biggest indicator to Navy’s success this season has been QB Keenan Reynolds. Earlier in the season, he struggled and so did the entire team. Following a sub-par 2-4 start, however, Reynolds got in a groove and led Navy to a 4-1 record in the next five. In those five matchups, Reynolds has thrown for 15 TDs and just one INT. Reynolds led them to a victory over Army in 2012, dominated them last year in the 34-7 victory and should be the best player on the field this weekend.

    #204947

    coleryan
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    The final game of the 2014 regular season is the classic Army-Navy matchup, played this year at M&T Bank Stadium.

    The Black Knights will be closing up shop no matter what the outcome of this, the 115th edition of the battle between the Academies. Army won just twice through the first eight games of the season, defeating Buffalo and Ball State, but the team showed some resiliency in the last several weeks by posting two victories in three chances.

    The squad took down UConn by a score of 35-21 the second week of November, and then closed out the month with a 42-31 triumph over Fordham at home. The Black Knights failed to win a single true road game, but the good news is that the squad did squeeze out a neutral-site triumph over the Huskies.

    As for the Midshipmen, they already have plans made for the postseason, facing off against San Diego State in the Poinsettia Bowl on Dec. 23 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego regardless of the outcome of this meeting. Heading to the postseason for the 11th time since 2003, Navy enters this meeting one game over .500 thanks to a narrow 42-40 victory over South Alabama on the road on Nov. 28.

    In terms of the series between these two programs, Navy is ahead by a count of 58-49-7, thanks in large part to a 12-game win streak that stretches back to 2002 for the Midshipmen. Last season, Navy delivered a 34-7 win in Philadelphia.

    In games played in Baltimore, the Knights have managed to split four encounters, but at this particular facility, Navy is 2-0, with the most recent win being a 38-3 thrashing back in 2007.

    The last win for Army took place in 2001 as the team secured a 26-17 final at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.

    Both of these teams rely heavily on running the football, but Navy has managed to add some passing to the mix thanks to quarterback Keenan Reynolds. The signal caller has thrown five TDs this season, against three interceptions, to at least give defenses reason to cover receivers when they do appear on the field.

    But make no mistake, Reynolds is a run-first quarterback who has become one of the best at his position in that mode. With three rushing touchdowns against South Alabama, Reynolds set an NCAA record for rushing scores by a quarterback with 60, with 20 of those coming this year alone. The MVP in each of the last two Army-Navy battles, Reynolds has also set the NCAA mark for the most games (12) with at least three rushing TDs, passing Montee Ball of Wisconsin.

    Ranked first in the nation in rushing with 357.8 ypg, the Midshipmen have nine players who have gained at least 100 yards this season, three with at least 500 yards as Reynolds leads the way with his 1,082 yards on 205 attempts over the course of nine games. Noah Copeland contributes another 78.1 ypg, averaging better than eight yards per carry, and landing in the end zone five times.

    Out on the edges, Jamir Tillman and Brendan Dudeck both have a pair of receiving scores, the former registering 18 receptions for 338 yards in an effort to keep defenses honest.

    On the defensive side of the ball, Navy is giving up 426.2 ypg (86th in the nation), with a good portion of those yards coming on the ground (199.8 ypg), which ranks the squad 96th in the country. Jordan Drake paces the program with 85 tackles, while Parrish Gaines has picked off three passes and Bernard Sarra has been credited with three blocked kicks, something the Black Knights need to keep in mind.

    Another aspect of the game that Navy has excelled at this season is in the area of penalties. A disciplined group for sure, the Midshipmen are first in the nation in both fewest penalties per game (2.27) and yards assessed (23.4 ypg).

    Navy will be tasked with slowing down an Army rushing attack which is fifth in the nation with 305.5 ypg. Considering the Black Knights are dead last in the FBS with a mere 64.5 ypg through the air, the Midshipmen should be able to load the box and attack the line of scrimmage.

    Quarterback Angel Santiago, who has taken the majority of the snaps for the Academy this season, has completed 51.5 percent of his pass attempts for a meager 44.4 ypg and a single TD, against one interception. Unlike Navy, the Knights go to the air only when they absolutely have to.

    Instead, Santiago has taken off for a team-high 182 runs, leading to 793 yards and a team-best 10 touchdowns, his scoring total one ahead of Larry Dixon who is averaging 5.8 yards per carry on 177 attempts, leading to a team-high 1,028 yards.

    Another legitimate threat is Terry Baggett who, during the 2013 campaign raced for 304 yards and four touchdowns in a huge win over Eastern Michigan. He hasn’t had a break-out game anywhere near that since, but you never know when he could get into a groove for the Black Knights.

    Should Army threaten to go to the air at any point this weekend, Edgar Poe would be a safe bet having caught a team-best 10 passes for 199 yards and a score, although Xavier Moss had even better results on his six grabs in 11 games, finding his way into the end zone twice.

    The fact that the Knights rank 119th in the country in pass efficiency defense, with a rating of 154.88, it only makes sense that Navy would try to exploit that weakness. Jeremy Timpf, who leads the Knights in tackles with 102 and is first with 14.0 stops for loss, will do all he can to slow down the opposition, but it might be an uphill battle. Josh Jenkins (60 tackles) and Chris Carnegie (51 tackles) have combined with Timpf to account for 10 interceptions, but that aspect of the game will provide opportunities that are few and far between.

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