Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Rams versus the Flyers? Tip off is at at 1:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBSS. The game will be played at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. This Atlantic 10 conference matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points, and Dayton is favored to win by -15 at home vs. Fordham.

FORDHAM RAMS VS DAYTON FLYERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Fordham Rams +15

This game will be played at UD Arena at 1:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE FORDHAM RAMS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Flyers.
  • Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like Fordham at +15.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Rams Find a Way to Win in Dayton?

Coming into this game, Fordham is 10-14 overall and 4-7 in Atlantic 10 play. They have lost two straight games, including their most recent contest, an 85-67 loss to St. Bonaventure. On the road this season, the Rams are 5-2 compared to 5-12 at home. Over their last 10 road games, Fordham has gone 6-4.

As an underdog, the Rams have gone 5-8 this season, and they are 5-6 when they are the favorites. So far, Fordham has been the underdog in 13 of their 24 games. This season, they have an average scoring differential of -1.9 points per game on the road.

As the underdog, Fordham has gone 5-8 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Rams have an ATS mark of 5-2 and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. Overall, Fordham is 9-15 vs. the spread this year.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Fordham’s games this season (143) and the average scoring total in their games (146.8). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

Compared to their season average of 72.8 points per game, Fordham struggled in their previous game. Against St. Bonaventure, the Rams scored 67 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.6%. The top scorer for the Rams was Will Richardson with 10 points, while Kyle Rose also chipped in with 10 points.

Currently, the Rams’ defense holds the 221st rank in the nation, allowing 74.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Fordham’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 37.4% this season.

Can Dayton Lock in a Home Win?

Dayton has been dominant at home this season, going a perfect 14-0 and outscoring opponents by an average of 14.7 points per game. They have won 14 straight games at home.

Overall, the Flyers have gone 20-4 this season, including a 10-2 mark in Atlantic 10 play. They have been favored in 20 of their 24 games, going 18-2 in those matchups.

At home this season, Dayton has an ATS record of 7-7 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flyers are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 for the Dayton-Fordham game is higher than the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this year (136.9). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

In their previous game, the Flyers’ offense finished with 75 points, which is right in line with their current average of 73.8 points per contest. One area that the Dayton offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 148th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 47%.

So far this season, the Dayton defense has been performing well, ranking 19th in the country at 64.0 points allowed per contest. So far, the Dayton defense is giving up an average of 9.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.2 times per game (370th).